Augustine, Joshua J.

Background: Although donor and recipient characteristics are used to estimate graft failure risk, they remain limited in predicting early acute rejection. We developed and validated a next-generation sequencing (NGS) assay targeting the pre-transplant immunologic profile to predict early acute rejection following kidney transplantation. Methods: This prospective, international study enrolled 321 kidney transplant participants across 13 sites, forming discovery and validation cohorts. Peripheral blood was collected prior to transplant and at 1, 3, 6, 12, and 24 months post-transplant, with protocol biopsies performed at 3 and 12 months, as well as any indication biopsies. Biopsies were assessed by a blinded central pathologist according to the 2019 Banff criteria. The pre-transplant risk assessment (PTRA™) test to evaluate RNA expression of a 29-gene signature algorithm designed to predict early acute rejection risk was clinically validated utilizing 122 deceased donor kidney transplant recipients. Results: PTRA classified 31 of 122 participants (25%) as high-risk and 91 (75%) as low-risk. There were 9 early acute rejection events in the first 60 days post-transplant: 6/31 (19%) in the high-risk group and 3/91 (3%) in the low-risk group. PTRA discrimination for early acute rejection at 60 days post-transplant yielded an AUC of 0.78 (95% confidence interval [CI]: 64.4 to 91.5), p<0.001. A cut-off of ≤45 was defined as low-risk and >45 as high-risk for early acute rejection within 60 days post-transplant. Sensitivity 0.67 (95% CI: 0.36 to 0.97), specificity 0.78 (95% CI: 0.70 to 0.86), positive predictive value 0.19 (95% CI: 0.05 to 0.33), and negative predictive value 0.97 (95% CI: 0.93 to 1.00). The odds ratio comparing patients identified as high- vs low-risk by PTRA was 7.04 (95% CI: 1.64 to 30.2), p=0.009. Conclusions: This study validates the ability of PTRA to stratify kidney transplant recipients as high- or low-risk for early acute rejection using a pre-transplant transcriptomic profile, with implications for graft health and personalized treatment management.

Significance Statement Segmentation of multiple structures in cross-sectional imaging is time-consuming and impractical to perform manually, especially if the end goal is clinical implementation. In this study, we developed, validated, and demonstrated the capability of a deep learning algorithm to segment individual medullary pyramids in a rapid, accurate, and reproducible manner. The results demonstrate that cortex volume, medullary volume, number of pyramids, and mean pyramid volume is associated with patient clinical characteristics and microstructural findings and provide insights into the mechanisms that may lead to CKD. Background The kidney is a lobulated organ, but little is known regarding the clinical importance of the number and size of individual kidney lobes. Methods After applying a previously validated algorithm to segment the cortex and medulla, a deep-learning algorithm was developed and validated to segment and count individual medullary pyramids on contrast-enhanced computed tomography images of living kidney donors before donation. The association of cortex volume, medullary volume, number of pyramids, and mean pyramid volume with concurrent clinical characteristics (kidney function and CKD risk factors), kidney biopsy morphology (nephron number, glomerular volume, and nephrosclerosis), and short- and long-term GFR <60 or <45 ml/min per 1.73 m 2 was assessed. Results Among 2876 living kidney donors, 1132 had short-term follow-up at a median of 3.8 months and 638 had long-term follow-up at a median of 10.0 years. Larger cortex volume was associated with younger age, male sex, larger body size, higher GFR, albuminuria, more nephrons, larger glomeruli, less nephrosclerosis, and lower risk of low GFR at follow-up. Larger pyramids were associated with older age, female sex, larger body size, higher GFR, more nephrons, larger glomerular volume, more nephrosclerosis, and higher risk of low GFR at follow-up. More pyramids were associated with younger age, male sex, greater height, no hypertension, higher GFR, lower uric acid, more nephrons, less nephrosclerosis, and a lower risk of low GFR at follow-up. Conclusions Cortex volume and medullary pyramid volume and count reflect underlying variation in nephron number and nephron size as well as merging of pyramids because of age-related nephrosclerosis, with loss of detectable cortical columns separating pyramids.

Significance Statement Nephrosclerosis (glomerulosclerosis, interstitial fibrosis, and tubular atrophy) is the defining pathology of both kidney aging and CKD. Optimal thresholds for nephrosclerosis that identify persons with a progressive disease are unknown. This study determined a young-age threshold (18–29 years) and age-based 95th percentile thresholds for nephrosclerosis on the basis of morphometry of kidney biopsy sections from normotensive living kidney donors. These thresholds were 7.1-fold to 36-fold higher in older (70 years or older) versus younger (aged 18–29 years) normotensive donors. Age-based thresholds, but not young-age threshold, were prognostic for determining risk of progressive CKD among patients who underwent a radical nephrectomy or a for-cause native kidney biopsy, suggesting that age-based thresholds are more useful than a single young-age threshold for identifying CKD on biopsy. Background Nephrosclerosis, defined by globally sclerotic glomeruli (GSG) and interstitial fibrosis and tubular atrophy (IFTA), is a pathology of both kidney aging and CKD. A comparison of risk of progressive CKD using aged-based thresholds for nephrosclerosis versus a single young-adult threshold is needed. Methods We conducted morphometric analyses of kidney biopsy images for %GSG, %IFTA, and IFTA foci density among 3020 living kidney donors, 1363 patients with kidney tumor, and 314 patients with native kidney disease. Using normotensive donors, we defined young-age thresholds (18–29 years) and age-based (roughly by decade) 95th percentile thresholds. We compared age-adjusted risk of progressive CKD (kidney failure or 40% decline in eGFR) between nephrosclerosis that was “normal compared with young,” “normal for age but abnormal compared with young,” and “abnormal for age” in patients with tumor and patients with kidney disease. Results The 95th percentiles in the youngest group (18–29 years) to the oldest group (70 years or older) ranged from 1.7% to 16% for %GSG, 0.18% to 6.5% for %IFTA, and 8.2 to 59.3 per cm 2 for IFTA foci density. Risk of progressive CKD did not differ between persons with nephrosclerosis “normal compared with young” versus “normal for age but abnormal compared with young.” Risk of progressive CKD was significantly higher with %GSG, %IFTA, or IFTA foci density that was abnormal versus normal for age in both cohorts. Conclusions Given that increased risk of progressive CKD occurs only when nephrosclerosis is abnormal for age, age-based thresholds for nephrosclerosis seem to be better than a single young-age threshold for identifying clinically relevant CKD.

Significance Statement Nephron number currently can be estimated only from glomerular density on a kidney biopsy combined with cortical volume from kidney imaging. Because of measurement biases, refinement of this approach and validation across different patient populations have been needed. The prognostic importance of nephron number also has been unclear. The authors present an improved method of estimating nephron number that corrects for several biases, resulting in a 27% higher nephron number estimate for donor kidneys compared with a prior method. After accounting for comorbidities, the new nephron number estimate does not differ between kidney donors and kidney patients with tumor and shows consistent associations with clinical characteristics across these two populations. The findings also indicate that low nephron number predicts CKD independent of biopsy and clinical characteristics in both populations. Background Nephron number can be estimated from glomerular density and cortical volume. However, because of measurement biases, this approach needs refinement, comparison between disparate populations, and evaluation as a predictor of CKD outcomes. Methods We studied 3020 living kidney donors and 1354 patients who underwent radical nephrectomy for tumor. We determined cortex volume of the retained kidney from presurgical imaging and glomerular density by morphometric analysis of needle core biopsy of the donated kidney and wedge sections of the removed kidney. Glomerular density was corrected for missing glomerular tufts, absence of the kidney capsule, and then tissue shrinkage on the basis of analysis of 30 autopsy kidneys. We used logistic regression (in donors) and Cox proportional hazard models (in patients with tumor) to assess the risk of CKD outcomes associated with nephron number. Results Donors had 1.17 million nephrons per kidney; patients with tumor had 0.99 million nephrons per kidney. A lower nephron number was associated with older age, female sex, shorter height, hypertension, family history of ESKD, lower GFR, and proteinuria. After adjusting for these characteristics, nephron number did not differ between donors and patients with tumor. Low nephron number (defined by <5th or <10th percentile by age and sex in a healthy subset) in both populations predicted future risk of CKD outcomes independent of biopsy and clinical characteristics. Conclusions Compared with an older method for estimating nephron number, a new method that addresses several sources of bias results in nephron number estimates that are 27% higher in donors and 1% higher in patients with tumor and shows consistency between two populations. Low nephron number independently predicts CKD in both populations. Podcast This article contains a podcast at https://dts.podtrac.com/redirect.mp3/www.asn-online.org/media/podcast/JASN/2023_06_22_JASN0000000000000124.mp3

Background In kidney transplantation, a contrast CT scan is obtained in the donor candidate to detect subclinical pathology in the kidney. Recent work from the Aging Kidney Anatomy study has characterized kidney, cortex, and medulla volumes using a manual image-processing tool. However, this technique is time consuming and impractical for clinical care, and thus, these measurements are not obtained during donor evaluations. This study proposes a fully automated segmentation approach for measuring kidney, cortex, and medulla volumes. Methods A total of 1930 contrast-enhanced CT exams with reference standard manual segmentations from one institution were used to develop the algorithm. A convolutional neural network model was trained ( n =1238) and validated ( n =306), and then evaluated in a hold-out test set of reference standard segmentations ( n =386). After the initial evaluation, the algorithm was further tested on datasets originating from two external sites ( n =1226). Results The automated model was found to perform on par with manual segmentation, with errors similar to interobserver variability with manual segmentation. Compared with the reference standard, the automated approach achieved a Dice similarity metric of 0.94 (right cortex), 0.90 (right medulla), 0.94 (left cortex), and 0.90 (left medulla) in the test set. Similar performance was observed when the algorithm was applied on the two external datasets. Conclusions A fully automated approach for measuring cortex and medullary volumes in CT images of the kidneys has been established. This method may prove useful for a wide range of clinical applications.

AbstractBackgroundThe medium‐ to long‐term outcomes of living kidney donors with hypertension compared to normotensive donors are not well understood, especially with the recent changes in hypertension guidelines.MethodsWe studied a cohort of 950 living kidney donors using different definitions of hypertension based on either ≥140/90 or ≥130/80 mmHg thresholds and based on either office or ambulatory blood pressure readings. Microstructural features on kidney biopsy at the time of donation were compared using different definitions of hypertension.ResultsAfter adjusting for years of follow‐up, age, sex, and baseline eGFR, hypertension (by any definition) did not significantly predict an eGFR < 45 ml/min/1.73 m2 at a median follow‐up of 10 years postdonation, though there was a borderline association with ambulatory blood pressure ≥ 130/80 mmHg predicting a 40% decline in eGFR (OR = 1.53, 1.00–2.36; p = .051). Proteinuria was predicted by office blood pressure ≥ 140/90 mmHg and by nondipper profile on nocturnal ambulatory blood pressure measurements. At the time of donation, larger glomeruli and arterial hyalinosis on biopsy were associated with hypertension defined by either ≥140/90 or ≥130/80 mmHg (by office or ambulatory measurements). Nocturnal nondipper status was associated with larger glomeruli size but not arteriolar hyalinosis when compared to dippers.ConclusionsIn programs that accept donors with controlled hypertension, various definitions of hypertension are associated with histological findings in the donated kidney, but none predict a clinically significant decline in kidney function 10 years after donation. These data support allowing healthy individuals with controlled hypertension to donate a kidney. However, donors with office hypertension (≥140/90 mmHg) and nondippers (regardless of hypertension status) are at greater long‐term risk for proteinuria, and particularly for these donors, longer follow‐up is warranted.

Significance Statement The quality of a kidney obtained from a living donor is often inferred from the donor’s age, risk factors, and kidney function. Little is known about the influence of a donated kidney’s structural features on the risk of death-censored graft failure in the recipient. In an analysis of 2293 kidney donor-recipient pairs, the authors identified subclinical nephrosclerosis, larger nephron size (but not nephron number), and smaller medullary volume as structural predictors of death-censored graft failure that were independent of both donor and recipient clinical characteristics. These findings provide important insights into the factors that define the “intrinsic quality” of the living kidney donor graft at the time of donation, and support use of intraoperative biopsies to identify donor kidneys that are at higher risk for failure. Background Nephrosclerosis, nephron size, and nephron number vary among kidneys transplanted from living donors. However, whether these structural features predict kidney transplant recipient outcomes is unclear. Methods Our study used computed tomography (CT) and implantation biopsy to investigate donated kidney features as predictors of death-censored graft failure at three transplant centers participating in the Aging Kidney Anatomy study. We used global glomerulosclerosis, interstitial fibrosis/tubular atrophy, artery luminal stenosis, and arteriolar hyalinosis to measure nephrosclerosis; mean glomerular volume, cortex volume per glomerulus, and mean cross-sectional tubular area to measure nephron size; and calculations from CT cortical volume and glomerular density on biopsy to assess nephron number. We also determined the death-censored risk of graft failure with each structural feature after adjusting for the predictive clinical characteristics of donor and recipient. Results The analysis involved 2293 donor-recipient pairs. Mean recipient follow-up was 6.3 years, during which 287 death-censored graft failures and 424 deaths occurred. Factors that predicted death-censored graft failure independent of both donor and recipient clinical characteristics included interstitial fibrosis/tubular atrophy, larger cortical nephron size (but not nephron number), and smaller medullary volume. In a subset with 12 biopsy section slides, arteriolar hyalinosis also predicted death-censored graft failure. Conclusions Subclinical nephrosclerosis, larger cortical nephron size, and smaller medullary volume in healthy donors modestly predict death-censored graft failure in the recipient, independent of donor or recipient clinical characteristics. These findings provide insights into a graft’s “intrinsic quality” at the time of donation, and further support the use of intraoperative biopsies to identify kidney grafts that are at higher risk for failure.

Abstract Background High glomerular filtration rate (GFR) is often used as a surrogate for single-nephron hyperfiltration. Our objective was to determine the definition for high GFR that best reflects clinical and structural characteristics of hyperfiltration. Methods We studied living kidney donors at the Mayo Clinic and Cleveland Clinic. Potential donors underwent evaluations that included measured GFR (mGFR) by iothalamate clearance and estimated GFR (eGFR) by the serum creatinine–based Chronic Kidney Disease-Epidemiology collaboration (CKD-EPI) equation. High GFR was defined by the 95th percentile for each method (mGFR or eGFR) using either overall or age-specific thresholds. High mGFR was defined as both corrected and uncorrected for body surface area. The association of high GFR by each definition with clinical characteristics and radiologic findings (kidney volume) was assessed. In the subset that donated, the association of high GFR with kidney biopsy findings (nephron number and glomerular volume) and single-nephron GFR was assessed. Results We studied 3317 potential donors, including 2125 actual donors. The overall 95th percentile for corrected mGFR was 134 mL/min/1.73 m2 and for eGFR was 118 mL/min/1.73 m2. The age-based threshold for uncorrected mGFR was 198 mL/min − 0.943×Age, for corrected mGFR it was 164 mL/min/1.73 m2 − 0.730×Age and for eGFR it was 146 mL/min/1.73 m2 − 0.813×Age. High age-based uncorrected mGFR had the strongest associations with higher single-nephron GFR, larger glomerular volume, larger kidney volume, male gender, higher body mass index and higher 24-h urine albumin, but also had the strongest association with high nephron number. A high age-height-gender–based uncorrected mGFR definition performed almost as well but had a weaker association with nephron number and did not associate with male gender. Conclusions High age-based uncorrected mGFR showed the most consistent associations reflective of hyperfiltration. However, high age-based uncorrected mGFR has limited clinical utility because it does not distinguish between hyperfiltration and high nephron number.

Background Glomerular volume increases when demand exceeds nephron supply, which may lead to glomerulosclerosis. It is unclear if determinants of glomerular volume are consistent between populations that differ by severity of comorbidities. Methods We studied kidney biopsy specimens from living kidney donors ( n =2453) and patients who underwent radical nephrectomy for a renal tumor ( n =780). We scanned specimen sections into high-resolution digital images, manually traced glomerular profiles, and calculated mean glomerular volumes using the Weibel–Gomez stereologic formula (separately for nonsclerosed glomeruli and globally sclerosed glomeruli). We then assessed the relationship of glomerular volume with age, clinical characteristics, and nephrosclerosis on biopsy specimen. Results Compared with kidney donors, patients with tumors were older and more frequently men, obese, diabetic, or hypertensive, had more glomerulosclerosis and interstitial fibrosis on biopsy specimen, and had 12% larger nonsclerosed glomeruli ( P <0.001). In both populations, male sex, taller height, obesity, hypertension, and proteinuria associated with larger nonsclerosed glomeruli to a similar extent. In patients with tumors, diabetes, glomerulosclerosis >25%, and interstitial fibrosis >25% also associated with larger nonsclerosed glomeruli. Independent clinical predictors of larger nonsclerotic glomeruli were family history of ESRD, male sex, taller height, obesity, diabetes, and proteinuria. After adjustment for these characteristics, nonsclerotic glomerular volume did not differ between populations and was stable up to age 75 years, after which it decreased with age. Many of these findings were also evident with globally sclerotic glomerular volume. Conclusions Characteristics associated with glomerular volume are consistent between patient populations with low and high levels of comorbidity.