Barisoni, Laura

Significance Statement Glomerular size differs by cortex depth. Larger nephrons are prognostic of progressive kidney disease, but it is unknown whether this risk differs by cortex depth or by glomeruli versus proximal or distal tubule size. We studied the average minor axis diameter in oval proximal and distal tubules separately and by cortex depth in patients who had radical nephrectomy to remove a tumor from 2019 to 2020. In adjusted analyses, larger glomerular volume in the middle and deep cortex predicted progressive kidney disease. Wider proximal tubular diameter did not predict progressive kidney disease independent of glomerular volume. Wider distal tubular diameter showed a gradient of strength of prediction of progressive kidney disease in the more superficial cortex than in the deep cortex. Background Larger nephrons are prognostic of progressive kidney disease, but whether this risk differs by nephron segments or by depth in the cortex is unclear. Methods We studied patients who underwent radical nephrectomy for a tumor between 2000 and 2019. Large wedge kidney sections were scanned into digital images. We estimated the diameters of proximal and distal tubules by the minor axis of oval tubular profiles and estimated glomerular volume with the Weibel–Gomez stereological model. Analyses were performed separately in the superficial, middle, and deep cortex. Cox proportional hazard models assessed the risk of progressive CKD (dialysis, kidney transplantation, sustained eGFR <10 ml/min per 1.73 m 2 , or a sustained 40% decline from the postnephrectomy baseline eGFR) with glomerular volume or tubule diameters. At each cortical depth, models were unadjusted, adjusted for glomerular volume or tubular diameter, and further adjusted for clinical characteristics (age, sex, body mass index, hypertension, diabetes, postnephrectomy baseline eGFR, and proteinuria). Results Among 1367 patients were 62 progressive CKD events during a median follow-up of 4.5 years. Glomerular volume predicted CKD outcomes at all depths, but only in the middle and deep cortex after adjusted analyses. Proximal tubular diameter also predicted progressive CKD at any depth but not after adjusted analyses. Distal tubular diameter showed a gradient of more strongly predicting progressive CKD in the superficial than deep cortex, even in adjusted analysis. Conclusions Larger glomeruli are independent predictors of progressive CKD in the deeper cortex, whereas in the superficial cortex, wider distal tubular diameters are an independent predictor of progressive CKD.

Significance Statement Nephrosclerosis (glomerulosclerosis, interstitial fibrosis, and tubular atrophy) is the defining pathology of both kidney aging and CKD. Optimal thresholds for nephrosclerosis that identify persons with a progressive disease are unknown. This study determined a young-age threshold (18–29 years) and age-based 95th percentile thresholds for nephrosclerosis on the basis of morphometry of kidney biopsy sections from normotensive living kidney donors. These thresholds were 7.1-fold to 36-fold higher in older (70 years or older) versus younger (aged 18–29 years) normotensive donors. Age-based thresholds, but not young-age threshold, were prognostic for determining risk of progressive CKD among patients who underwent a radical nephrectomy or a for-cause native kidney biopsy, suggesting that age-based thresholds are more useful than a single young-age threshold for identifying CKD on biopsy. Background Nephrosclerosis, defined by globally sclerotic glomeruli (GSG) and interstitial fibrosis and tubular atrophy (IFTA), is a pathology of both kidney aging and CKD. A comparison of risk of progressive CKD using aged-based thresholds for nephrosclerosis versus a single young-adult threshold is needed. Methods We conducted morphometric analyses of kidney biopsy images for %GSG, %IFTA, and IFTA foci density among 3020 living kidney donors, 1363 patients with kidney tumor, and 314 patients with native kidney disease. Using normotensive donors, we defined young-age thresholds (18–29 years) and age-based (roughly by decade) 95th percentile thresholds. We compared age-adjusted risk of progressive CKD (kidney failure or 40% decline in eGFR) between nephrosclerosis that was “normal compared with young,” “normal for age but abnormal compared with young,” and “abnormal for age” in patients with tumor and patients with kidney disease. Results The 95th percentiles in the youngest group (18–29 years) to the oldest group (70 years or older) ranged from 1.7% to 16% for %GSG, 0.18% to 6.5% for %IFTA, and 8.2 to 59.3 per cm 2 for IFTA foci density. Risk of progressive CKD did not differ between persons with nephrosclerosis “normal compared with young” versus “normal for age but abnormal compared with young.” Risk of progressive CKD was significantly higher with %GSG, %IFTA, or IFTA foci density that was abnormal versus normal for age in both cohorts. Conclusions Given that increased risk of progressive CKD occurs only when nephrosclerosis is abnormal for age, age-based thresholds for nephrosclerosis seem to be better than a single young-age threshold for identifying clinically relevant CKD.