Background: There is a significant long-term risk of posttraumatic osteoarthritis (PTOA) after anterior cruciate ligament reconstruction (ACLR). Elucidating the risk factors and successfully identifying at-risk patients is challenging. Purpose/Hypothesis: The purpose of this study was to produce machine learning survival models that can identify (1) patients at risk of symptomatic PTOA and (2) patients who are at risk of undergoing total knee arthroplasty (TKA) after ACLR. It was hypothesized that these models would outperform traditional Kaplan-Meier estimators. Study Design: Case-control study; Level of evidence, 3. Methods: A geographic database was used to identify patients undergoing ACLR between 1990 and 2016 with a minimum 7.5-year follow-up. Models were used to analyze various factors to predict the rate and time to (1) symptomatic osteoarthritis and (2) TKA using random survival forest (RSF) algorithms. Performance was measured using out-of-bag (OOB) c-statistic, calibration, and Brier score. The predictive performances of the RSF models were compared with Kaplan-Meier estimators. Model interpretability was enhanced utilizing global variable importance and partial dependence curves. Results: A total of 974 patients with ACLR and a minimum follow-up of 7.5 years were included; among these, 215 (22.1%) developed symptomatic osteoarthritis, and 25 (2.6%) progressed to TKA. The RSF algorithms achieved acceptable good to excellent predictive performance for symptomatic arthritis (OOB c-statistic, 0.75; Brier score, 0.128) and progression to TKA (OOB c-statistic, 0.89; Brier score, 0.026), respectively. Significant predictors of symptomatic PTOA included increased pain scores, older age, increased body mass index, increased time to ACLR, total number of arthroscopic surgeries before the diagnosis of arthritis, positive pivot-shift test after reconstruction, concomitant chondral injury, secondary meniscal tear, early (<250 days) or delayed (>500 days) return to sports or activity, and use of allograft. Significant predictors for TKA included older age, increased pain scores, total number of arthroscopic surgeries, high-demand activity/occupation, hypermobility, higher body mass index, systemic inflammatory disease, increased time to surgery, early (<250 days) or delayed (>500 days) return to sports or activity, and midsubstance tears. The Brier score over time revealed that RSF models outperformed traditional Kaplan-Meier estimators. Conclusion: Machine learning survival models were used to reliably identify patients at risk of developing symptomatic PTOA, and these models consistently outperformed traditional Kaplan-Meier estimators. Strong predictors for the development of PTOA after ACLR included increased pain scores at injury and postoperative visit, older age at injury, total number of arthroscopic procedures, positive postoperative pivot-shift test, and secondary meniscal tear.
Influence of radiotherapy technique on incidental dose to the whole ventricular system in focal irradiation of nongerminomatous germcell tumours
Abstract Background Subsequent to a diagnosis of a brain tumor, psychological distress has been associated with negative effects on mental health as well as suicidality. The magnitude of such impact has been understudied in the literature. We conducted a systematic review to examine the impact of a brain tumor on suicidality (both ideation and attempts). Methods In accordance with the PRISMA guidelines, we searched for relevant peer-reviewed journal articles on PubMed, Scopus, and Web of Science databases from inception to October 20, 2022. Studies investigating suicide ideation and/or attempt among patients with brain tumors were included. Results Our search yielded 1,998 articles which were screened for eligibility. Seven studies consisting of 204,260 patients were included in the final review. Four studies comprising 203,906 patients (99.8%) reported elevated suicidal ideation and suicide attempt incidence compared with the general population. Prevalence of ideation and attempts ranged from 6.0% to 21.5% and 0.03% to 3.33%, respectively. Anxiety, depression, pain severity, physical impairment, glioblastoma diagnosis, male sex, and older age emerged as the primary risk factors associated with increased risk of suicidal ideation and attempts. Conclusion Suicidal ideation and attempts are increased in patients and survivors of brain tumors compared to the general population. Early identification of patients exhibiting these behaviors is crucial for providing timely psychiatric support in neuro-oncological settings to mitigate potential harm. Future research is required to understand pharmacological, neurobiological, and psychiatric mechanisms that predispose brain tumor patients to suicidality.
Molecular Profiling in Neuro-Oncology: Where We Are, Where We're Heading, and How We Ensure Everyone Can Come Along
Advances in molecular profiling have led to improved understanding of glioma heterogeneity. Results have been used to inform diagnostic classification and targeted treatment strategies. Validation of these tests is necessary in the development of biomarkers that can aid in treatment decision, allowing for personalized medicine in neuro-oncologic diseases. Although not all populations have benefitted equally from awareness of and access to testing, opportunities arise regarding incorporating this testing into the standard of care for patients with glioma.
Partnering With All Patients: Ensuring Shared Decision Making and Evidence-Based Management for Underrepresented Groups With Multiple Myeloma
Several landmark therapeutic advances in multiple myeloma (MM) have led to an unprecedented number of options available to patients and their physicians as shared decision making is attempted. A myriad of factors need to be considered to ensure that patient-, disease-, and treatment-related factors are addressed to arrive at the most appropriate choice for patients at that time in their journey with myeloma. Some of these factors have traditionally remained underaddressed but have a clear association with patient outcomes, leading to underrepresented groups of patients with MM, including the elderly patients, racial-ethnic minorities, and those with specific advanced comorbidities, for example, renal insufficiency. Some of these factors may not be modifiable, but data suggest that they may give rise to implicit or explicit bias and affect treatment decisions. A growing body of literature is bringing these factors to light. However, their incorporation in day-to-day decision making for patients needs to be universal. It is imperative that prospective data are generated for all these and other underrepresented groups such that evidence-based medicine is applicable universally to all patients with MM, irrespective of clinical and sociodemographic factors.
National Trends in Glucagon Prescriptions Among U.S. Adults With Diabetes and End-Stage Kidney Disease Treated by Dialysis: 2013–2017