Umpierrez, Guillermo E.

OBJECTIVE To examine kidney disease outcomes associated with dipeptidyl peptidase 4 inhibitors (DPP-4i). RESEARCH DESIGN AND METHODS In this target trial emulation, claims data from enrollees in commercial, Medicare Advantage, and traditional Medicare health plans were used to identify adults ≥21 years old with type 2 diabetes, with moderate cardiovascular risk, and without stage 3 or worse chronic kidney disease (CKD) initiating alogliptin, linagliptin, saxagliptin, or sitagliptin between 2014 and 2021. The primary outcome was a composite of incident CKD stages 3–5, kidney failure, or kidney replacement therapy. Random treatment assignment was emulated using propensity scores, estimated using the super learner ensemble method and incorporated as inverse probability of treatment weights into proportional hazards models. RESULTS The weighted study cohort included 3,026 individuals starting alogliptin, 38,213 starting linagliptin, 14,934 starting saxagliptin, and 115,091 starting sitagliptin. One year after treatment initiation, the primary outcome occurred in 1.4%, 2.7%, 2.2%, and 2.4% of patients initiating alogliptin, linagliptin, saxagliptin, and sitagliptin, respectively, increasing to 3.2%, 6.2%, 5.0%, and 5.4%, respectively, at 3 years. Alogliptin was associated with lower risk of stage 3 or worse CKD than linagliptin (hazard ratio [HR] 0.50; 95% CI 0.37–0.69), saxagliptin (HR 0.63; 95% CI 0.45–0.86), and sitagliptin (HR 0.58; 95% CI 0.42–0.79), while saxagliptin was associated with lower risk than linagliptin (HR 0.80; 95% CI 0.73–0.87). Conversely, linagliptin was associated with higher risk than sitagliptin (HR 1.15, 95% CI 1.10–1.21). CONCLUSIONS Alogliptin was associated with lower risk of moderate-to-severe kidney disease than other DPP-4i, while linagliptin was associated with higher risk. Limitations include lack of laboratory data and potential unmeasured confounding.

Introduction To assess the within-class variation in kidney outcomes following initiation of sulfonylurea therapy. Research design and methods We used claims data of enrollees in commercial, Medicare Advantage, and traditional Medicare health plans between 2014 and 2021 to emulate a target trial including adults ≥21 years with type 2 diabetes at moderate cardiovascular risk to compare initiation of glimepiride, glipizide, or glyburide on the incidence of chronic kidney disease (CKD) stage 3 or worse, including initiation of kidney replacement therapy (primary outcome); secondary outcomes examined incident CKD stages 3-4, kidney failure (including kidney replacement therapy), all-cause mortality, and hypoglycemia requiring emergency department or hospital care. Random treatment assignment was emulated using propensity scores, estimated using the super learner ensemble method, and incorporated as inverse probability of treatment weights into proportional hazards models. Results The weighted study cohort included 295 092 individuals starting glimepiride (n=134 926), glipizide (n=145 984), and glyburide (n=14 182). One year after treatment initiation, stage 3 or worse CKD developed in 2.1% of patients in the glimepiride group, 2.2% in the glipizide group, and 1.8% in the glyburide group. Glyburide was associated with a lower risk of kidney complications compared with both glimepiride (HR 0.84, 95% CI 0.76 to 0.92) and glipizide (HR 0.81, 95% CI 0.73 to 0.89), despite a higher risk of severe hypoglycemia (HR 1.47, 95% CI 1.27 to 1.71 vs glipizide and HR 1.22, 95% CI 1.05 to 1.42 vs glimepiride). In contrast, the risk of kidney complications was modestly increased with glipizide compared with glimepiride use (HR 1.04, 95% CI 1.00 to 1.07). Conclusions Glyburide was associated with a modestly lower risk of kidney complications, despite a higher risk of hypoglycemia, while glipizide was associated with a higher risk of kidney complications. These hypothesis-generating findings suggest important within-class differences that warrant consideration in clinical decision-making and future research. Despite rigorous prespecified causal inference analytic methods, the risk of unmeasured confounding and bias by indication with the use of observational data remains. Trial registration number NCT05214573 .

Background SGLT2 (sodium‐glucose cotransporter 2) inhibitors reduce major adverse cardiovascular events (MACE) in type 2 diabetes. However, no direct comparison of individual SGLT2 inhibitor drugs has been conducted, particularly among adults with moderate cardiovascular risk who comprise most people with type 2 diabetes. Methods We used data for commercial, Medicare Advantage, and Medicare fee‐for‐service beneficiaries to emulate a target trial of adults (≥21 years) with type 2 diabetes and moderate cardiovascular risk who started canagliflozin, dapagliflozin, or empagliflozin between 2015 and 2020. We estimated propensity scores using the super learner ensemble method and incorporated them as inverse probability of treatment weights into Cox models, estimating risk of MACE, expanded MACE, and hyperglycemic and hypoglycemic crises through December 31, 2022. Results The weighted cohort, balanced on all baseline covariates, included 137 232 patients (mean age 65.7 years [SD, 8.1], 75.3% non‐Hispanic White, 57.0% male, 81.9% on metformin, 11.4% on glucagon‐like peptide‐1 receptor agonists) starting canagliflozin (N=42 877), dapagliflozin (N=17 871), or empagliflozin (N=7648). The risk of MACE was lower among patients starting empagliflozin versus canagliflozin (hazard ratio [HR], 0.92 [95% CI, 0.87–0.97]), driven by reduced risk of all‐cause mortality (HR, 0.86 [95% CI, 0.80–0.94]). There was no difference in MACE between empagliflozin versus dapagliflozin or dapagliflozin versus canagliflozin therapy. There was no difference in remaining outcomes between the three drugs. Conclusions The 3 most used SGLT2 inhibitor medications demonstrate similar effectiveness on cardiovascular outcomes among patients with type 2 diabetes at moderate cardiovascular risk, with differences between these drugs small in magnitude. Clinicians and health systems should prioritize enhancing access to these cardioprotective therapies.

Introduction To examine within-class sulfonylurea safety, we compared risks of major adverse cardiovascular events (MACE) and severe hypoglycemia among adults with type 2 diabetes (T2D) and moderate cardiovascular risk following sulfonylurea initiation. Research design and methods We conducted a target trial emulation including adults ≥21 years old with T2D and moderate cardiovascular risk who initiated glimepiride, glipizide or glyburide between 2014 and 2021, using claims data from Optum Labs Data Warehouse and the Medicare fee-for-service 100% sample. Study outcomes were MACE (primary), expanded MACE and its components and emergency department or hospital encounters for hypoglycemia, ascertained during follow-up through 2022. Inverse probability of treatment weighting (IPTW) was applied using propensity scores estimated using the super learner ensemble, and outcomes were examined using IPTW Cox proportional hazards models. Results The weighted study cohort comprised 314 699 patients (mean age 66.9 years, 52.0% men, 76.6% non-Hispanic white). At 1 year, MACE was experienced by 2.5%, 2.7% and 2.8% of patients starting glimepiride, glipizide and glyburide, respectively. Compared with glimepiride, glyburide and glipizide were associated with higher risk of MACE (HR 1.10, 95% CI 1.05 to 1.16 for glyburide; HR 1.05, 95% CI 1.03 to 1.07 for glipizide). At 1 year, severe hypoglycemia was experienced by 0.3%, 0.3% and 0.4% of patients starting glimepiride, glipizide and glyburide, respectively. Glyburide was associated with a greater risk of severe hypoglycemia compared with glipizide (HR 1.43, 95% CI 1.23 to 1.65), while glipizide was associated with a lower risk compared with glimepiride (HR 0.82, 95% CI 0.77 to 0.87). Conclusions Among adults with T2D and moderate cardiovascular risk, glimepiride was associated with lowest risk of MACE and glipizide with lowest risk of severe hypoglycemia. These results can help inform treatment selection if sulfonylureas are used for glucose-lowering.

Sharing research code in an open access version-controlled repository offers significant benefits for both science as a whole and for individual researchers. In this article, we focus on this practice, which is fully aligned with the NIH’s Gold Standard Science (GSS) program as well as FAIR (findable, accessible, interoperable, reusable) and TRUST (transparency, responsibility, user focus, sustainability, technology) principles. Gold Standard Science supports open science by emphasizing transparency, reproducibility, and the use of best practices that enable others to verify and extend research. Pairing a research article’s cited data snapshot with a versioned, environment-specific code release, deposited in a companion code repository, ensures that, upon submission to a medical journal, readers and reviewers can directly verify results. An executable and updatable companion code repository complements, rather than replaces, established research data repositories. When code underlying medical research results is made openly available, then other scientists can inspect, run, and validate analyses. These activities enhance reproducibility, which is a core aim of GSS. Shared code also facilitates collaborative innovation by allowing researchers to extend the utility of the code to new datasets and applications. For researchers, code sharing can increase visibility, credibility, and citation impact. Demonstrating transparency through shared executable and updatable code builds trust with journal readers, peer reviewers, funders, and peers. Shared code in an open access repository signals adherence to high standards of scientific integrity and attracts opportunities for collaboration. A researcher who shares code receives recognition as a leader in reproducible, trustworthy research consistent with NIH’s GSS principles.

OBJECTIVE In many individuals, type 2 diabetes (T2D) remains poorly controlled despite taking multiple glucose-lowering therapies. Several studies have demonstrated that endogenous hypercortisolism is prevalent among these individuals. We tested whether cortisol-directed therapy improves their glycemic control. RESEARCH DESIGN AND METHODS In this prospective, multicenter, double-blind study, 136 individuals with T2D (hemoglobin A1c [HbA1c] 7.5%–11.5% [58–102 mmol/mol] on multiple medications) and hypercortisolism (by dexamethasone suppression test) were randomized 2:1 to the glucocorticoid receptor antagonist mifepristone (300–900 mg once daily; n = 91) or placebo (n = 45) for 24 weeks, with stratification by presence/absence of an adrenal imaging abnormality. The primary end point was the change in HbA1c. Secondary end points included changes in glucose-lowering medications, weight, and waist circumference and safety. RESULTS Mean baseline HbA1c in the study cohort was 8.55% (69.9 mmol/mol). At 24 weeks, the least squares mean (LSM) difference from placebo in HbA1c was −1.32% (95% CI −1.81 to −0.83; P < 0.001). Participants receiving mifepristone experienced reductions in body weight and waist circumference (placebo-adjusted LSM differences of −5.12 kg [95% CI −8.20 to −2.03] and −5.1 cm [−8.23 to −1.99], respectively). Of participants on mifepristone, 46% discontinued therapy, compared with 18% on placebo. Adverse events with mifepristone (>10% of participants) included hypokalemia, fatigue, nausea, vomiting, headache, peripheral edema, diarrhea, and dizziness, consistent with mifepristone’s known tolerability profile. Increases in blood pressure also occurred. CONCLUSIONS In individuals with inadequately controlled T2D and hypercortisolism, cortisol-directed medical therapy with mifepristone reduced HbA1c, with a manageable tolerability profile.

OBJECTIVE Despite the use of multiple glucose-lowering medications, glycemic targets are not met in a significant fraction of people with type 2 diabetes. In this prospective, observational study we assessed the prevalence of hypercortisolism, a potential contributing factor to inadequate glucose control. RESEARCH DESIGN AND METHODS Individuals with type 2 diabetes and HbA1c 7.5%–11.5% (58–102 mmol/mol) on two or more glucose-lowering medications with or without micro-/macrovascular complications or taking multiple blood pressure–lowering medications were screened with a 1-mg dexamethasone suppression test. Common causes of false-positive DSTs were excluded. The primary end point was the prevalence of hypercortisolism, defined as post-DST cortisol >1.8 μg/dL (50 nmol/L). Characteristics associated with hypercortisolism were assessed with multiple logistic regression. The percentage and characteristics of participants with hypercortisolism and adrenal imaging abnormalities were also assessed. RESULTS Post-DST cortisol was unsuppressed in 252 of 1,057 participants (prevalence 23.8%; 95% CI 21.3, 26.5). Hypercortisolism prevalence was 33.3% among participants with cardiac disorders and 36.6% among those taking three or more blood pressure–lowering medications. Adrenal imaging abnormalities were reported in 34.7% of participants with hypercortisolism. Use of sodium–glucose cotransporter 2 inhibitors (odds ratio 1.558), maximum-dose glucagon-like peptide 1 receptor agonists (1.544), tirzepatide (1.981), or a higher number of blood pressure–lowering medications (1.390); older age (1.316); BMI <30 kg/m2 (1.639); non-Latino/Hispanic ethnicity (3.718); and use of fibrates (2.676) or analgesics (1.457) were associated with higher prevalence (all P < 0.03). CONCLUSIONS Hypercortisolism was associated with hyperglycemia in approximately one-quarter of individuals with inadequately controlled type 2 diabetes despite multiple medications.

Importance The increasing use of glucagon-like peptide-1 receptor agonists (GLP-1RA) demands a better understanding of their association with thyroid cancer. Objective To estimate the risk of incident thyroid cancer among adults with type 2 diabetes being treated with GLP-1RA vs other common glucose-lowering medications. Design, Setting, and Participants This was a prespecified secondary analysis of a target trial emulation of a comparative effectiveness study using claims data for enrollees in commercial, Medicare Advantage, and Medicare fee-for-service plans across the US. Eligible participants were adults with type 2 diabetes at moderate risk for cardiovascular disease and without history of thyroid cancer who had newly filled prescriptions for GLP-1RA, sodium-glucose cotransporter 2 inhibitor (SGLT2i), dipeptidyl peptidase-4 inhibitor (DPP4i), or sulfonylurea from January 1, 2014, to December 31, 2021. Data were analyzed February 1 to October 31, 2024. Main Outcomes and Measures Overall and piecewise (<1, 1-2, and ≥2 years since treatment initiation) hazard ratios (HRs) for thyroid cancer with use of GLP-1RA vs the other 3 drug classes were estimated using inverse propensity score weighted Cox proportional hazards models. Modified intention-to-treat (mITT) (primary) and as-treated (sensitivity) analyses were performed. Results Of 351 913 patients (mean [SD] age, 65.3 [8.5] years; 173 391 [49.3%] females and 178 522 [50.7%] males), 41 112 started treatment with GLP-1RA; 76 093, with DPP4i; 43 499, with SGLT2i; and 191 209, with sulfonylurea therapy. The numbers of patients diagnosed with thyroid cancer were 69 (0.17%) in the GLP-1RA group, 172 (0.23%) in the DPP4i group, 72 (0.17%) in the SGLT2i group, and 381 (0.20%) in the sulfonylurea group. In the mITT analysis, GLP-1RA initiation was not significantly associated with increased overall risk for thyroid cancer compared to the other 3 diabetes drugs (HR, 1.24; 95% CI, 0.88-1.76). However, the risk for thyroid cancer was significantly higher within the first year after GLP-1RA initiation (HR, 1.85; 95% CI, 1.11-3.08) and was amplified in the overall as-treated analysis that censored patients when therapy was discontinued or another medication was added (HR, 2.07; 95% CI, 1.10-3.95). Conclusions and Relevance This secondary analysis of a target trial emulation of a comparative effectiveness study found that despite the low absolute risk of thyroid cancer among patients receiving GLP-1RA therapy, there was an increased risk of new thyroid cancer diagnoses within the first year of GLP-1RA initiation compared to 3 other diabetes drugs. This finding may have been due to enhanced early detection; therefore, further research is necessary to understand the underlying causes of this association.

Abstract Aims Sodium–glucose co-transporter-2 (SGLT2) inhibitors improve health status and outcomes in the setting of heart failure (HF) across the range of ejection fraction (EF). Baseline kidney disease is common in HF, complicates HF management and is strongly linked to worse health status. This study aimed to assess whether the treatment effects of dapagliflozin on health status vary based on estimated glomerular filtration rate (eGFR). Methods and Results We conducted a pooled participant-level analysis of two double-blind, randomized trials, DEFINE-HF (n = 236) and PRESERVED-HF (n = 324), which evaluated dapagliflozin versus placebo. Both multicentre studies enrolled adults with HF, New York Heart Association Class II or higher, elevated natriuretic peptides, and an EF < 40% in DEFINE-HF or >45% in PRESERVED-HF. The primary exposure was eGFR. The main outcome was the Kansas City Cardiomyopathy Questionnaire Clinical Summary Score (KCCQ-CSS) at 12 weeks. Across both trials, there were 583 (99.3%) participants with a baseline eGFR. The median (25th, 75th) eGFR was 59 (46, 77) mL/min/1.73 m2. Dapagliflozin improved KCCQ-CSS at 12 weeks [placebo-adjusted difference, +5.0 points, 95% confidence interval (CI) 2.6–7.5; P < 0.001], and this was consistent in participants with an eGFR ≥ 60 (+6.0 points, 95% CI 2.4–9.7; P = 0.001) and eGFR < 60 (+4.1 points, 95% CI 0.5–7.7; P = 0.025) (P interaction = 0.46). The benefits of dapagliflozin on KCCQ-CSS remained robust across eGFR when modelled as a continuous variable (P interaction = 0.48). Conclusions Dapagliflozin led to early and clinically meaningful improvements in health status in HF patients, regardless of EF or baseline eGFR.

Introduction: Preload insufficiency can mimic HFpEF or complicate its treatment, and SGLT2 inhibitors may worsen preload insufficiency by reducing stressed blood volume. A drop in pulse pressure (PP) when going from supine to standing (i.e., orthostatic PP) may indicate an inability to vasoconstrict the splanchnic circulation, leading to preload insufficiency. We, therefore, sought to determine baseline characteristics associated with orthostatic PP and whether the effects of dapagliflozin vary by baseline orthostatic PP in patients with HFpEF. Hypothesis: In patients with HFpEF, the magnitude of treatment response to dapagliflozin – in terms of efficacy and safety - may be associated with orthostatic PP at baseline. Methods: We measured orthostatic PP (standing PP – supine PP) at baseline in 321 of the 324 patients with HFpEF randomized in the PRESERVED-HF trial. We categorized patients into tertiles of orthostatic PP and compared baseline characteristics. We examined the interaction between baseline orthostatic PP, treatment, and the following outcomes during 12 weeks of follow-up: (1) Kansas City Cardiomyopathy Questionnaire Clinical Summary Score (KCCQ-CSS); (2) 6-minute walk distance (6MWD); (3) volume depletion events. Results: At baseline, the median orthostatic PP was 0 mmHg (25 th -75 th percentile, -8.0, +5.3 mmHg). Patients with lower orthostatic PP had higher supine SBP and lower standing SBP. There were no differences in age, comorbidities, laboratory studies, KCCQ, and 6MWD among tertiles of orthostatic PP. Dapagliflozin improved KCCQ-CSS and 6MWD across the range of orthostatic PP; participants with the highest (vs lowest) orthostatic PP appeared to have numerically greater improvements with dapagliflozin, but these differences were not statistically significant (Table). Overall, 18 (5.6%) experienced volume depletion events (dapagliflozin 11 [6.8%], placebo 7 [4.3%]). In tertile 1 (lowest orthostatic PP), there were numerically more volume depletion events with dapagliflozin than placebo (8 [14.3%] vs 3 [5.0%] events); whereas the numbers of such events were similar in tertiles 2 and 3 (Table). Conclusions: In patients with HFpEF, dapagliflozin improved KCCQ and 6MWD across the range of orthostatic PP, although those with the highest (vs lowest) orthostatic PP appeared to have numerically greater improvements. Very low orthostatic PP may identify patients who could be at increased risk of volume depletion events with SGLT2 inhibitors.