Citations

AbstractBackgroundFluorodeoxyglucose positron emission tomography (FDG‐PET) is an established modality for differential diagnosis of dementia. Deriving phenotypic signatures from FDG‐PET via machine learning is challenging due to the high dimensional nature of brain images relative to the generally small number of labeled examples available for training, the class imbalance among those labels, and the cooccurrence of multiple pathologies. In this study, we developed a multi‐class, multi‐label framework to address these challenges.MethodA database of clinically acquired PET/CT images from 3,000 unique patients was used to develop a latent space model using matrix decomposition. This model was then applied to images from a separate cohort of Mayo Clinic Alzheimer’s Disease Research Center participants (n=1,745) labeled as cognitively unimpaired (CU) (n=1,436) or with the following potentially co‐occurring phenotypes: Alzheimer’s disease (AD) (n=165), Lewy body dementia (DLB) (n=92), behavioral variant frontotemporal dementia (bvFTD) (n=43), semantic (svPPA) (n=10) and logopenic (lvPPA) (n=13) variant PPA, and posterior cortical atrophy (PCA) (n=17). A k‐nearest neighbors classifier that is robust to these imbalanced and overlapping labels was then trained on these examples. The resulting classifier was evaluated by area under receiver‐operator characteristic curve (ROC‐AUC) via leave one out cross validation, using clinical diagnosis as the gold standard.ResultROC curves and AUC scores for each phenotype are illustrated in Fig. 1a. Because the classifier is based on a k‐nearest neighbors connectivity matrix, it has a convenient graphical representation, where images are nodes and edges are drawn between an image and its set of nearest neighbors in latent space. A self‐organizing force directed graph constructed in this way is illustrated in Fig 1b, highlighting the strong separation of CU and degenerative images, as well as the segregation of each phenotype within the neurodegenerative region of the graph.ConclusionIn this study, we developed a machine learning framework for classification of neurodegenerative disease based on k‐nearest neighbor analysis in a low dimensional latent space projection of FDG‐PET images. By leveraging low‐dimensional representations and k‐nearest neighbors analysis, this framework is robust in multi‐class, multi‐label tasks with strong class imbalance and provides a highly interpretable graphical representation.

AbstractBackgroundBrain amyloid‐β (Aβ) is the pathological hallmark of Alzheimer's disease (AD). In logistic disease models, Aβ accumulation is a sigmoid function of time‐since‐disease‐onset (TSDO) (figure 1). Previous positron emission tomography (PET)‐based models vary accumulation onset(t50) and duration(r) globally; capacity(K) and baseline(NS) regionally (Whittington2018). We confirm existing approaches and propose a more powerful ICA‐based approach to quantify disease severity and estimate TSDO.MethodWe used 1071 18F‐florbetapir standard uptake value ratio (SUVR) images from the ADNI‐2 study (adni.loni.usc.edu/data‐samples/data‐types/pet). Images were mapped into MNI space. Averages were extracted using the Harvard‐Oxford brain‐atlas. Whole‐brain tracer‐specific sigmoid parameters (Jack2013) obtained from the literature were used to estimate TSDO.Of 16 models of regional Aβ accumulation (each of the 4 regional sigmoid parameters varied either regionally or globally), the optimal Bayesian information criterion was found with global t50 and r, and regional NS and K (figure 1) with global values r=6.16y and t50=4.10y.Linearised maps of NS and K were obtained by regressing the SUVR maps onto the global sigmoid. We also estimated these maps as independent components, using a 2‐component ICA on the SUVR maps. Both outcomes were used to quantify Aβ accumulation from SUVR images as weighting factors of the accumulation map.We compared the weights from the logistic model and the ICA model in ADNI, using effect size measured with Hedges' g between cognitively normal (CN), subjective memory complaints (SMC), mild cognitive impairment (EMCI/MCI/LMCI) and AD groups. We compared 3 longitudinal visits (N=112) in the OASIS‐3 study (see www.oasis‐brains.org) with both methods, global SUVR and Centiloid (Klunk2015) using 11C‐PiB PET SUVR images.ResultMaps of accumulation capacity from both models had spatial correlation of 0.86 (figure 2); baseline maps had spatial correlation of 0.95. Hedges' g between ADNI groups was 2.25 for K, and 2.42 for ICA (1.46 for global SUVR). In OASIS‐3, Hedges' g between visits was 1.24 for K, 1.46 for ICA (global SUVR 0.15, Centiloid 0.4).ConclusionWe demonstrate that linear accumulation models can be used to quantify brain Aβ with PET; maps obtained by ICA yield larger effect sizes than the logistic method for differentiating groups and measuring changes between visits.

AbstractIndividuals with prodromal Alzheimer’s disease show considerable variability in rates of cognitive decline, which hampers the ability to detect potential treatment effects in clinical trials. Prognostic markers to select those individuals who will decline rapidly within a trial time frame are needed. Brain network measures based on grey matter covariance patterns have been associated with future cognitive decline in Alzheimer’s disease. In this longitudinal cohort study, we investigated whether cut-offs for grey matter networks could be derived to detect fast disease progression at an individual level. We further tested whether detection was improved by adding other biomarkers known to be associated with future cognitive decline [i.e. CSF tau phosphorylated at threonine 181 (p-tau181) levels and hippocampal volume]. We selected individuals with mild cognitive impairment and abnormal CSF amyloid β1–42 levels from the Amsterdam Dementia Cohort and the Alzheimer’s Disease Neuroimaging Initiative, when they had available baseline structural MRI and clinical follow-up. The outcome was progression to dementia within 2 years. We determined prognostic cut-offs for grey matter network properties (gamma, lambda and small-world coefficient) using time-dependent receiver operating characteristic analysis in the Amsterdam Dementia Cohort. We tested the generalization of cut-offs in the Alzheimer’s Disease Neuroimaging Initiative, using logistic regression analysis and classification statistics. We further tested whether combining these with CSF p-tau181 and hippocampal volume improved the detection of fast decliners. We observed that within 2 years, 24.6% (Amsterdam Dementia Cohort, n = 244) and 34.0% (Alzheimer’s Disease Neuroimaging Initiative, n = 247) of prodromal Alzheimer’s disease patients progressed to dementia. Using the grey matter network cut-offs for progression, we could detect fast progressors with 65% accuracy in the Alzheimer’s Disease Neuroimaging Initiative. Combining grey matter network measures with CSF p-tau and hippocampal volume resulted in the best model fit for classification of rapid decliners, increasing detecting accuracy to 72%. These data suggest that single-subject grey matter connectivity networks indicative of a more random network organization can contribute to identifying prodromal Alzheimer’s disease individuals who will show rapid disease progression. Moreover, we found that combined with p-tau and hippocampal volume this resulted in the highest accuracy. This could facilitate clinical trials by increasing chances to detect effects on clinical outcome measures.

Abstract Improving risk prediction and prevention strategies through identifying new susceptibility genes for non-high-grade serous ovarian cancer (non-HGS) would represent an important advance in reducing incidence and mortality. Epithelial ovarian cancer (EOC) has five main histotypes that have distinct pathologies, molecular changes, clinical characteristics, and tissues of origin. They are classified as high-grade serous (HGS), low-grade serous (LGS), clear-cell (CCC), endometrioid (END), and mucinous (MUC). A family history of breast or ovarian cancer is the strongest single risk factor for EOC. Germline mutations in the high-penetrance susceptibility genes BRCA1 and BRCA2 confer EOC risks of 44% and 17% by age 80, respectively. Only 40% of the excess familial risk is known, suggesting there are many other susceptibility genes yet unidentified. The non-HGS histotypes are poorly studied due to limited sample size within individual studies. Thus, families of cases with non-HGS tumors have few risk prediction options. Whole-exome sequencing (WES) analysis was performed on 251 non-HGS cases (56 LGS, 55 CCC, 117 END, 23 MUC). Cases were screened negative for BRCA1/2 mutations and selected for a family history of ovarian or breast cancer, or young onset (<45 years) of ovarian cancer. WES identified 1,278 genes with rare predicted truncating mutation in at least one case. Predicted truncating mutations in cases were compared to 171,584 controls from the Exome Aggregation Consortium (ExAC) and the Genome Aggregation Database (gnomAD). Gene-set enrichment analysis showed enrichment for genes involved in the DNA repair pathway (p=3.08 × 10−7). Twenty-five candidate genes (including 4 DNA repair genes) were selected for validation by targeted sequencing. Five genes important in HGS (BRIP1, FANCM, PALB2, RAD51C, RAD51D) as well as two additional candidates (XRCC2 and XRCC3) were also sequenced. Targeted sequencing was performed on 1,779 cases (669 END, 356 CCC, 327 LGS, 427 MUC) and 1,863 controls from studies in the Ovarian Cancer Association Consortium (OCAC). Library preparation and target enrichment was performed using the Fluidigm Juno System and Illumina sequencing was performed on a NovaSeq 6000 Sequencing System. A case-control analysis of predicted truncating variants in the 32 genes was performed. Using a minimum alternate allele frequency of 30%, we identified a higher frequency of mutations in non-HGS cases than controls in ERCC6 (p=0.034) and IL31RA (p=0.034). ERCC6 is involved in DNA repair and IL31RA is a cytokine receptor. Sanger sequencing validation of variants to confirm these results is ongoing. Several other genes showed suggestive higher frequencies of mutations in cases than controls. A larger case control analysis will be performed to confirm those findings. Identifying novel susceptibility genes for non-HGS may have clinical impact by reducing disease-associated mortality through improving risk prediction, identifying prevention strategies, and developing new targeted treatments. Citation Format: Marina Pavanello, Ed Dicks, Honglin Song, Amir Ariff, Adelyn Bolithon, Maria P. Intermaggio, Mark Pinese, Kirsten Moysich, Kunle O. Odunsi, Ellen Goode, David D. Bowtell, Peter Fasching, Jennifer A. Doherty, Francesmary Modugno, Susanne K. Kjær, Penelope M. Webb, Anna Wu, Anna deFazio, Ovarian Cancer Association Consortium, Paul James, Deepak Subramanian, Ian Campbell, Simon A. Gayther, Paul D.P. Pharoah, Susan J. Ramus. Germline mutations in new susceptibility genes for non-high-grade serous ovarian cancer [abstract]. In: Proceedings of the AACR Special Conference on Advances in Ovarian Cancer Research; 2019 Sep 13-16, 2019; Atlanta, GA. Philadelphia (PA): AACR; Clin Cancer Res 2020;26(13_Suppl):Abstract nr B37.

Abstract Structural grey matter covariance networks provide an individual quantification of morphological patterns in the brain. The network integrity is disrupted in sporadic Alzheimer’s disease, and network properties show associations with the level of amyloid pathology and cognitive decline. Therefore, these network properties might be disease progression markers. However, it remains unclear when and how grey matter network integrity changes with disease progression. We investigated these questions in autosomal dominant Alzheimer’s disease mutation carriers, whose conserved age at dementia onset allows individual staging based upon their estimated years to symptom onset. From the Dominantly Inherited Alzheimer Network observational cohort, we selected T1-weighted MRI scans from 269 mutation carriers and 170 non-carriers (mean age 38 ± 15 years, mean estimated years to symptom onset −9 ± 11), of whom 237 had longitudinal scans with a mean follow-up of 3.0 years. Single-subject grey matter networks were extracted, and we calculated for each individual the network properties which describe the network topology, including the size, clustering, path length and small worldness. We determined at which time point mutation carriers and non-carriers diverged for global and regional grey matter network metrics, both cross-sectionally and for rate of change over time. Based on cross-sectional data, the earliest difference was observed in normalized path length, which was decreased for mutation carriers in the precuneus area at 13 years and on a global level 12 years before estimated symptom onset. Based on longitudinal data, we found the earliest difference between groups on a global level 6 years before symptom onset, with a greater rate of decline of network size for mutation carriers. We further compared grey matter network small worldness with established biomarkers for Alzheimer disease (i.e. amyloid accumulation, cortical thickness, brain metabolism and cognitive function). We found that greater amyloid accumulation at baseline was associated with faster decline of small worldness over time, and decline in grey matter network measures over time was accompanied by decline in brain metabolism, cortical thinning and cognitive decline. In summary, network measures decline in autosomal dominant Alzheimer’s disease, which is alike sporadic Alzheimer’s disease, and the properties show decline over time prior to estimated symptom onset. These data suggest that single-subject networks properties obtained from structural MRI scans form an additional non-invasive tool for understanding the substrate of cognitive decline and measuring progression from preclinical to severe clinical stages of Alzheimer’s disease.

Purpose The known epithelial ovarian cancer (EOC) susceptibility genes account for less than 50% of the heritable risk of ovarian cancer suggesting that other susceptibility genes exist. The aim of this study was to evaluate the contribution to ovarian cancer susceptibility of rare deleterious germline variants in a set of candidate genes. Methods We sequenced the coding region of 54 candidate genes in 6385 invasive EOC cases and 6115 controls of broad European ancestry. Genes with an increased frequency of putative deleterious variants in cases versus controls were further examined in an independent set of 14 135 EOC cases and 28 655 controls from the Ovarian Cancer Association Consortium and the UK Biobank. For each gene, we estimated the EOC risks and evaluated associations between germline variant status and clinical characteristics. Results The ORs associated for high-grade serous ovarian cancer were 3.01 for PALB2 (95% CI 1.59 to 5.68; p=0.00068), 1.99 for POLK (95% CI 1.15 to 3.43; p=0.014) and 4.07 for SLX4 (95% CI 1.34 to 12.4; p=0.013). Deleterious mutations in FBXO10 were associated with a reduced risk of disease (OR 0.27, 95% CI 0.07 to 1.00, p=0.049). However, based on the Bayes false discovery probability, only the association for PALB2 in high-grade serous ovarian cancer is likely to represent a true positive. Conclusions We have found strong evidence that carriers of PALB2 deleterious mutations are at increased risk of high-grade serous ovarian cancer. Whether the magnitude of risk is sufficiently high to warrant the inclusion of PALB2 in cancer gene panels for ovarian cancer risk testing is unclear; much larger sample sizes will be needed to provide sufficiently precise estimates for clinical counselling.

Abstract Background The purpose of this study was to estimate precise age-specific tubo-ovarian carcinoma (TOC) and breast cancer (BC) risks for carriers of pathogenic variants in RAD51C and RAD51D. Methods We analyzed data from 6178 families, 125 with pathogenic variants in RAD51C, and 6690 families, 60 with pathogenic variants in RAD51D. TOC and BC relative and cumulative risks were estimated using complex segregation analysis to model the cancer inheritance patterns in families while adjusting for the mode of ascertainment of each family. All statistical tests were two-sided. Results Pathogenic variants in both RAD51C and RAD51D were associated with TOC (RAD51C: relative risk [RR] = 7.55, 95% confidence interval [CI] = 5.60 to 10.19; P = 5 × 10-40; RAD51D: RR = 7.60, 95% CI = 5.61 to 10.30; P = 5 × 10-39) and BC (RAD51C: RR = 1.99, 95% CI = 1.39 to 2.85; P = 1.55 × 10-4; RAD51D: RR = 1.83, 95% CI = 1.24 to 2.72; P = .002). For both RAD51C and RAD51D, there was a suggestion that the TOC relative risks increased with age until around age 60 years and decreased thereafter. The estimated cumulative risks of developing TOC to age 80 years were 11% (95% CI = 6% to 21%) for RAD51C and 13% (95% CI = 7% to 23%) for RAD51D pathogenic variant carriers. The estimated cumulative risks of developing BC to 80 years were 21% (95% CI = 15% to 29%) for RAD51C and 20% (95% CI = 14% to 28%) for RAD51D pathogenic variant carriers. Both TOC and BC risks for RAD51C and RAD51D pathogenic variant carriers varied by cancer family history and could be as high as 32–36% for TOC, for carriers with two first-degree relatives diagnosed with TOC, or 44–46% for BC, for carriers with two first-degree relatives diagnosed with BC. Conclusions These estimates will facilitate the genetic counseling of RAD51C and RAD51D pathogenic variant carriers and justify the incorporation of RAD51C and RAD51D into cancer risk prediction models.

Thymidylate synthase (TYMS) is a crucial enzyme for DNA synthesis. TYMS expression is regulated by its antisense mRNA, ENOSF1. Disrupted regulation may promote uncontrolled DNA synthesis and tumor growth. We sought to replicate our previously reported association between rs495139 in the TYMS-ENOSF1 3′ gene region and increased risk of mucinous ovarian carcinoma (MOC) in an independent sample. Genotypes from 24,351 controls to 15,000 women with invasive OC, including 665 MOC, were available. We estimated per-allele odds ratios (OR) and 95% confidence intervals (CI) using unconditional logistic regression, and meta-analysis when combining these data with our previous report. The association between rs495139 and MOC was not significant in the independent sample (OR = 1.09; 95% CI = 0.97–1.22; p = 0.15; N = 665 cases). Meta-analysis suggested a weak association (OR = 1.13; 95% CI = 1.03–1.24; p = 0.01; N = 1019 cases). No significant association with risk of other OC histologic types was observed (p = 0.05 for tumor heterogeneity). In expression quantitative trait locus (eQTL) analysis, the rs495139 allele was positively associated with ENOSF1 mRNA expression in normal tissues of the gastrointestinal system, particularly esophageal mucosa (r = 0.51, p = 1.7 × 10−28), and nonsignificantly in five MOC tumors. The association results, along with inconclusive tumor eQTL findings, suggest that a true effect of rs495139 might be small.