Cash, David M.

Importance Amyloid positron emission tomography (PET) is increasingly used in research and clinical settings to determine the etiology of cognitive decline and eligibility for amyloid-targeting therapies. To assist with amyloid PET evaluation and to guide clinical decision-making, images can be quantified in a standardized unit called Centiloid, the interpretation of which can vary according to the method and threshold used. Objective To collect Centiloid values from available studies and determine robust positivity cutoffs using data-driven methods and correspondence with visual reads. Data Sources PubMed search (October 2024) identified studies with Centiloid values. Corresponding authors were invited to share individual participant data. Additional data were obtained through access-controlled repositories and conference outreach (July 2024-July 2025). Study Selection Studies were included if they provided Centiloids, radiotracer, age, and sex. Data Extraction and Synthesis Each study was analyzed using a unified statistical pipeline; study estimates were pooled using random-effects meta-analysis. Main Outcomes and Measures Gaussian mixture models (GMMs) were fitted to Centiloid values for each study. In studies with a bimodal distribution (per integrated completed likelihood), single cutoffs for positivity were set as mean plus 2 SDs of the lower gaussian component. Using GMMs, a double-cutoff approach defined a lower certainty range using a 90% posterior probability cutoff for assignment to the low (amyloid-negative) vs high (amyloid-positive) component. An alternative Centiloid cutoff was derived from maximizing the correspondence (Cohen κ) with the binary visual reads when available. Results This meta-analysis included cross-sectional amyloid PET scans acquired with 5 radiotracers from 49 227 participants across 53 studies from 15 countries (mean age, 71 years; 54% female, 62% cognitively impaired). The data-driven GMM approach identified a bimodal distribution in 51 studies (n = 48 786), resulting in a single cutoff for positivity of 18 Centiloids (95% CI,16-19; I 2 = 97%). The double-cutoff approach revealed high confidence for interpreting scans as negative when Centiloid values were lower than 11 (95% CI, 9-13; I 2 = 95%) and interpreting scans as positive if Centiloid values were higher than 26 (95% CI, 24-28; I 2 = 95%). In analyses of correspondence with binary (positive or negative) visual reads of amyloid PET scans (n = 35 045; 36 studies), Centiloids were highly predictive of visual positivity (Cohen κ, 0.86; 95% CI, 0.83-0.89; I 2 = 96%) with a cutoff of 27 Centiloids (95% CI, 24-30; I 2 = 80%). Conclusions and Relevance In this individual participant data meta-analysis, positivity cutoffs converged around 18 Centiloids (data-driven) and 27 Centiloids (visual reads). Findings from a double-cutoff analysis suggest that scans in the 11 to 26 Centiloid range should be interpreted with caution depending on the context of use.

Objective Age of symptom onset is highly variable in familial frontotemporal lobar degeneration (f‐FTLD). Accurate prediction of onset would inform clinical management and trial enrollment. Prior studies indicate that individualized maps of brain atrophy can predict conversion to dementia in f‐FTLD. We used a Bayesian linear mixed‐effect (BLME) prediction method for identifying accelerated brain volume loss to predict conversion to dementia. Methods Participants included 234 asymptomatic or prodromal carriers of C9orf72 , GRN , or MAPT mutations (including 21 dementia converters) with ≥3 longitudinal magnetic resonance imaging (MRI) T1‐weighted scans. The BLME models established individual voxel‐wise gray matter trajectories using the first 2 scans. Person‐specific clusters of accelerated volume loss were estimated in subsequent scans and tested as predictors of dementia conversion compared with other approaches in time‐varying Cox proportional hazard models covarying for age. Receiver‐operating characteristic (ROC) curves estimated utility of cluster volume in discriminating which participants converted to dementia within 24 months. Results The BLME cluster volume predicted conversion to dementia in f‐FTLD mutation carriers overall and separately in C9orf72 , GRN , and MAPT , with comparable hazard ratios observed for atrophy W‐maps and regional volumes. Within a 24‐month timeframe, BLME cluster volume discriminated dementia converters from non‐converters with larger areas under the curve (AUCs) than other approaches. Interpretation Bayesian‐modeled individualized atrophy scores predict dementia progression among asymptomatic f‐FTLD mutation carriers and may have increased utility compared with other structural imaging methods when studying individuals over shorter timeframes that align with clinical trial design. ANN NEUROL 20269999:n/a–n/a

Abstract Background Ten years after the original publication, the Centiloid framework is now broadly used to harmonize amyloid‐PET quantification, facilitate data sharing and comparison across cohorts, and even assist visual interpretation in clinical settings. We evaluated the global implementation of Centiloids by comparing their distribution and corresponding positivity thresholds across cohorts. Methods We gathered data from publicly available cohorts and reached out to investigators across the world to collect cross‐sectional Centiloids, demographic and clinical information, and visual read data. Gaussian mixture models (GMM, k=2) were fitted to Centiloid values for each cohort and cutoffs were calculated as mean + 2SD of the lower Gaussian. When visual reads were available, we determined Centiloid cutoffs that maximized correspondence with visual reads (Cohen's kappa). Data was combined across cohorts using random effects meta‐analyses. Results As of January 2025, we included 37 cohorts ( n = 41,678 participants) with heterogeneous pipelines, radiotracers, and clinical and demographic characteristics (Table‐1). The low Gaussian peaks ranged from ‐9 to 10CL; the meta‐analysis identified a common peak at 1CL. The second peaks were more heterogeneous (range=38‐102CL; meta‐analysis outcome=64CL). Across cohorts, the proportion of cognitively unimpaired versus impaired participants impacted the position of both peaks, with better separation in cohorts enriched in impaired individuals (Figure 1C). The meta‐analysis indicated a GMM‐based cutoff of 19CL (95%CI: 16‐21CL, Figure 1B); subgroup analyses showed no evidence of significant effect between single versus multicenter settings (17 versus 20CL, p = 0.30), MRI‐based or PET‐only processing (18 versus 19CL, p = 0.88), and no evidence of difference across radiotracers (Flutemetamol: 16CL; PIB: 17CL, Flutafuranol: 18CL, Florbetaben: 19CL, Florbetapir: 20CL, p = 0.78). In a subset of 29,496 participants with visual reads available, binary visual reads corresponded well to Centiloids (common kappa=0.86, Figure 2A). The visual read‐based cutoff of 24CL (95%CI: 21‐27CL, Figure 2B) maximized correspondence between visual read and quantification and was slightly higher than the GMM‐based cutoff. All meta‐analysis models showed high non‐random heterogeneity (I 2 >80%) across studies, suggesting non‐random differences in peaks and cutoffs. Conclusions Meta‐analysis‐based cutoffs align well with thresholds from the existing literature. High heterogeneity among studies underscores the need to investigate contributing factors, raising concerns about applying common cutoffs.

Abstract Background Sex, education and race/ethnicity are all associated with risk of Alzheimer's disease dementia. Here, we assess the effects of self‐reported sex, educational attainment and race/ethnicity on amyloid‐positivity, and tau‐PET‐positivity in 12,048 (7,394 cognitively unimpaired [CU], 2,177 MCI, and 2,477 dementia) individuals from 42 cohorts worldwide. Method Logistic generalized estimating equations were used to estimate frequency of amyloid‐positivity (using cohort‐specific thresholds for amyloid‐PET [84%] or CSF) and tau‐PET‐positivity (cohort‐specific thresholds of 2SD above mean temporal uptake in amyloid‐negative controls). We assessed: i) sex and APOEε4 ( N = 10,098) associations, to complement earlier findings of a higher frequency of tau‐positivity in females, ii) effects of lower/higher education ( N = 10,970; cohort‐specific median‐split), and iii) effects of race/ethnicity (non‐Hispanic White [hereafter: White], N = 4880; Asian, N = 116; Black or African‐American [hereafter: Black], N = 353; Hispanic, N = 356, only from Northern‐American cohorts). Outcomes were frequency of amyloid‐positivity in CU individuals only, and tau‐PET‐positivity in both amyloid‐positive (AB+) CU and cognitively impaired (CI, i.e. MCI and dementia) individuals. Interaction effects on the relationship between age and amyloid/tau‐positivity were assessed and only retained in the models when significant. Result Female sex was associated with an APOEε4 ‐independent increased frequency of amyloid‐positivity (β=0.51[0.22], p = 0.02) in CU and increase of tau‐positivity in both AB+CU (β=0.27[0.08]) and AB+CI (β=0.37[0.08], both p <0.01). Remarkably, tau‐positivity frequencies of female APOEε4 non‐carriers were equivalent to male APOEε4 carriers in AB+CI (Figure 1). No significant sex* APOE interactions were observed. In CU, higher education was associated with lower amyloid‐positivity frequency (β=‐0.12[0.05], p = 0.02). In contrast, among AB+CU, there was an age*education interaction effect that indicated more pronounced age effects on tau‐positivity in individuals with higher education (age*education:β interaction =0.03[0.01], p <0.01). There were no education effects in AB+CI (Figure 2). In CU, an age*race/ethnicity interaction effect was observed across all non‐White groups compared to White (Hispanic:β interaction =‐0.05[0.01], p <0.01; Black:‐0.04[0.01], p <0.01; Asian:‐0.02[0.01], p = 0.04). This suggests that the impact of age on amyloid‐positivity was less pronounced in non‐White groups. Furthermore, in AB+CI, Hispanic ethnicity was related to higher tau‐positivity frequency than White (β=0.51[0.22], p = 0.02; Figure 3). Conclusion In this multi‐center initiative comprised of clinical and community‐based cohorts, we observed that self‐reported sex, educational attainment and race/ethnicity were related to positivity‐frequencies of Alzheimer's disease pathology.

Abstract Background The link between regional tau load and clinical manifestation of Alzheimer's disease (AD) highlights the importance of characterizing spatial tau distribution. In typical (memory‐predominant) AD, the spatial progression of tau pathology mirrors the functional connections from temporal lobe epicenters. However, atypical (non‐amnestic‐predominant) AD variants with heterogeneous tau patterns provide a key opportunity to assess the universality of connectivity as a scaffold for tau progression. Method We included tau‐PET data from 320 subjects with atypical AD, characterized by highly heterogeneous tau patterns ( n = 139 posterior cortical atrophy/PCA‐AD; n = 103 logopenic variant primary progressive aphasia/lvPPA‐AD; n = 35 behavioural variant AD/bvAD; n = 43 corticobasal syndrome/CBS‐AD) from 14 sites, with a subset of patients ( n = 78) having longitudinal tau‐PET data. As an independent sample, we further included regional post‐mortem tau stainings from 93 atypical AD patients from two sites ( n = 19 PCA‐AD, n = 32 lvPPA‐AD, n = 23 bvAD, n = 19 CBS‐AD). Gaussian mixture modeling was used to harmonize different tau‐PET tracers by transforming tau‐PET standardized uptake value ratios to tau positivity probabilities (a uniform scale ranging from 0% to 100%). Using linear regression, we assessed whether 1) brain regions with stronger functional connectivity showed greater covariance in cross‐sectional and longitudinal tau‐PET and post‐mortem tau pathology, and 2) functional connectivity of tau‐PET epicenters and tau‐PET accumulation epicenters was associated with cross‐sectional and longitudinal tau patterns. Result Tau‐PET epicenters—defined as the 5% brain regions with the highest tau load—aligned with clinical variants, e.g. a posterior pattern in PCA‐AD (“visual AD”) and left‐hemispheric temporal predominance in lvPPA‐AD (“language AD”) (Figure 1). More strongly functionally connected regions showed correlated concurrent tau‐PET levels, which was confirmed with post‐mortem data (Figure 2). Moreover, the connectivity profile of tau‐PET epicenters and accumulation epicenters corresponded to tau‐PET progression patterns (Figure 3). Conclusion Our data are consistent with the hypothesis that tau propagation occurs along functional connections originating from local epicenters, across all AD clinical variants. Since tau proteinopathy is a key driver of neurodegeneration and cognitive decline, this finding may advance personalized medicine and participant‐specific endpoints in clinical trials.

Abstract Background Ten years after the original publication, the Centiloid framework is now broadly used to harmonize amyloid‐PET quantification, facilitate data sharing and comparison across cohorts, and even assist visual interpretation in clinical settings. We evaluated the global implementation of Centiloids by comparing their distribution and corresponding positivity thresholds across cohorts. Methods We gathered data from publicly available cohorts and reached out to investigators across the world to collect cross‐sectional Centiloids, demographic and clinical information, and visual read data. Gaussian mixture models (GMM, k=2) were fitted to Centiloid values for each cohort and cutoffs were calculated as mean + 2SD of the lower Gaussian. When visual reads were available, we determined Centiloid cutoffs that maximized correspondence with visual reads (Cohen’s kappa). Data was combined across cohorts using random effects meta‐analyses. Results As of January 2025, we included 37 cohorts ( n = 41,678 participants) with heterogeneous pipelines, radiotracers, and clinical and demographic characteristics (Table‐1). The low Gaussian peaks ranged from ‐9 to 10CL; the meta‐analysis identified a common peak at 1CL. The second peaks were more heterogeneous (range=38‐102CL; meta‐analysis outcome=64CL). Across cohorts, the proportion of cognitively unimpaired versus impaired participants impacted the position of both peaks, with better separation in cohorts enriched in impaired individuals (Figure‐1C). The meta‐analysis indicated a GMM‐based cutoff of 19CL (95%CI: 16‐21CL, Figure‐1B); subgroup analyses showed no evidence of significant effect between single versus multicenter settings (17 versus 20CL, p = 0.30), MRI‐based or PET‐only processing (18 versus 19CL, p = 0.88), and no evidence of difference across radiotracers (Flutemetamol: 16CL; PIB: 17CL, Flutafuranol: 18CL, Florbetaben: 19CL, Florbetapir: 20CL, p = 0.78). In a subset of 29,496 participants with visual reads available, binary visual reads corresponded well to Centiloids (common kappa=0.86, Figure‐2A). The visual read‐based cutoff of 24CL (95%CI: 21‐27CL, Figure‐2B) maximized correspondence between visual read and quantification and was slightly higher than the GMM‐based cutoff. All meta‐analysis models showed high non‐random heterogeneity (I 2 >80%) across studies, suggesting non‐random differences in peaks and cutoffs. Conclusions Meta‐analysis‐based cutoffs align well with thresholds from the existing literature. High heterogeneity among studies underscores the need to investigate contributing factors, raising concerns about applying common cutoffs.

Abstract The cortical asymmetry index evaluates the cortical thickness asymmetry between hemispheres. We investigated cortical asymmetry index in asymptomatic and symptomatic mutation carriers of autosomal dominant Alzheimer’s disease to explore the brain asymmetry within the Alzheimer’s disease continuum. Sixty baseline T1-weighted MRI scans were obtained from the Clinic Barcelona cohort. Baseline and longitudinal MRI data from 564 participants within the dominantly inherited Alzheimer network observational study were used as an independent, confirmatory cohort. Cerebrospinal fluid and plasma neurofilament light chain levels were included when available. Cortical thickness was calculated using Freesurfer and cortical asymmetry index was calculated via an open-source pipeline. Cross-sectional analyses examined cortical asymmetry index differences based on clinical classification and APOE ε4 status, adjusting for age, sex and estimated years from onset, while correlations were assessed with age, estimated years from onset, mini-mental state examination scores, and neurofilament light. Longitudinal cortical asymmetry index evolution was modelled using generalized additive models in the dominantly inherited Alzheimer network observational study cohort, incorporating age, sex, and the interaction between group and estimated years from onset. The cortical asymmetry index successfully distinguished asymptomatic mutation carrier and symptomatic mutation carriers from healthy controls in the Clinic Barcelona cohort and symptomatic mutation carriers from controls in dominantly inherited Alzheimer network observational study. Higher cortical asymmetry index in mutation carriers (asymptomatic mutation carrier and symptomatic mutation carriers combined) and in symptomatic mutation carriers were associated with higher plasma neurofilament light levels, a closer proximity to symptom onset, and lower mini-mental state examination in the Clinic Barcelona cohort. In the dominantly inherited Alzheimer network observational study cohort, mutation carriers exhibited increased cortical asymmetry index compared to controls and correlated with elevated neurofilament light (plasma and Cerebrospinal fluid), lower mini-mental state examination, and a closer proximity to symptom onset. APOE3/3 carriers showed greater asymmetry than other APOE genotypes and significant cortical asymmetry index differences between asymptomatic mutation carrier and symptomatic mutation carriers. Longitudinally, cortical asymmetry index increased over time significantly in symptomatic mutation carriers. These findings underscore brain asymmetry as a potential biomarker for early Alzheimer’s disease progression in autosomal dominant Alzheimer’s disease, with implications for detection and monitoring tracking disease-related neuroanatomical changes.

Abstract INTRODUCTION Preclinical Alzheimer's disease (AD) can be described relative to biomarker positivity onset time. METHODS We estimated time from amyloid positivity (A+) using sampled iterative local approximation (SILA) in a longitudinal autosomal dominant AD (ADAD) sample ( N = 379) with amyloid positron emission tomography. We compared (1) predicted age at A+ to imputed age, (2) estimated age at A+ to estimated age at symptom onset, and (3) variance in cognitive performance explained. RESULTS Mean error between imputed and SILA‐estimated age at A+ ( N = 26) was 1.15 years. Age at A+ explained 39% of estimated years to symptom onset (EYO) variance. Time from A+ explained 19% of cognitive composite variance and 14% of Clinical Dementia Rating Sum of Boxes CDR‐SB variance; EYO explained 43% and 57%, respectively. DISCUSSION SILA estimates A+ age in ADAD with reasonably good accuracy. SILA‐estimated time from A+ describes the start of pathology, but the time from A+ onset to symptoms is variable in ADAD and better described by EYO. Highlights Amyloid chronicity predicts a 14‐year preclinical AD phase in ADAD. SILA accurately estimates age at A+ (MAE < 2 years). EYO outperforms chronicity in predicting symptom onset. APP mutation carriers show atypical amyloid accumulation. Chronicity models help reveal AD heterogeneity in preclinical stages.

Abstract The link between regional tau load and clinical manifestation of Alzheimer’s disease (AD) highlights the importance of characterizing spatial tau distribution across disease variants. In typical (memory-predominant) AD, the spatial progression of tau pathology mirrors the functional connections from temporal lobe epicentres. However, given the limited spatial heterogeneity of tau in typical AD, atypical (non-amnestic-predominant) AD variants with distinct tau patterns provide a key opportunity to investigate the universality of connectivity as a scaffold for tau progression. In this large-scale, multicentre study across 14 international sites, we included cross-sectional tau-PET data from 320 individuals with atypical AD (n = 139 posterior cortical atrophy/PCA-AD; n = 103 logopenic variant primary progressive aphasia/lvPPA-AD; n = 35 behavioural variant AD/bvAD; n = 43 corticobasal syndrome/CBS-AD), with a subset of individuals (n = 78) having longitudinal tau-PET data. Additionally, as an independent sample, we included regional post-mortem tau stainings from 93 atypical AD patients from two sites (n = 19 PCA-AD, n = 32 lvPPA-AD, n = 23 bvAD, n = 19 CBS-AD). Gaussian mixture modelling was used to harmonize different tau-PET tracers by transforming tau-PET standardized uptake value ratios to tau positivity probabilities (a uniform scale ranging from 0% to 100%). Using linear regression, we assessed whether brain regions with stronger resting-state functional MRI-based functional connectivity, derived from healthy elderly controls in the Alzheimer’s Disease Neuroimaging Initiative (ADNI), showed greater covariance in cross-sectional and longitudinal tau-PET and post-mortem tau pathology. Furthermore, we examined whether functional connectivity of tau-PET epicentres (i.e. the top 5% of regions with the highest baseline tau load) and tau-PET accumulation epicentres (i.e. the top 5% of regions with the highest tau accumulation rates) was associated with cross-sectional and longitudinal tau patterns. Our findings show that tau-PET epicentres aligned with clinical variants, e.g. a visual network predominant pattern in PCA-AD (‘visual AD’) and left-hemispheric temporal predominance, particularly within the language network, in lvPPA-AD (‘language AD’). Moreover, more strongly functionally connected regions showed correlated concurrent tau-PET levels (confirmed with post-mortem data) and tau-PET accumulation rates. The functional connectivity profile of tau-PET epicentres and accumulation epicentres corresponded to tau-PET progression patterns, with higher tau-PET levels and accumulation rates in functionally close regions, and lower tau-PET levels and accumulation rates in functionally distant regions. Our data are consistent with the hypothesis that tau propagation occurs along functional connections originating from local epicentres, across all AD clinical variants. Since tau proteinopathy is a major driver of neurodegeneration and cognitive decline, this finding may advance personalized medicine and participant-specific end points in clinical trials.