Citations

BACKGROUND Predictive biomarkers to guide chemotherapy decisions for metastatic castration–resistant prostate cancer (mCRPC) are lacking. Preclinical studies indicate that circulating tumor cell (CTC) studies of chromosomal instability (CTC-CIN) can predict taxane resistance. METHODS The CARD trial randomized individuals with mCRPC progressing within a year of treatment with an androgen receptor pathway inhibitor (ARPI; enzalutamide or abiraterone acetate plus prednisolone/prednisone) to cabazitaxel or the alternative ARPI. As a preplanned biomarker analysis, CTCs were isolated from blood samples obtained at baseline, cycle 2, and the end of treatment. Associations between baseline CTC and CTC-CIN counts with imaging-based progression-free survival (ibPFS), overall survival (OS), time to prostate-specific antigen (PSA) progression, RECIST 1.1 objective response rate (ORR), and PSA 50 response rate were assessed. RESULTS High baseline CTC-CIN counts significantly associated with worse OS after adjustment for confounding variables (median OS, 15.3 vs. 8.9 months; univariate HR, 2.16; 95% CI, 1.52–3.06; P < 0.001; multivariate HR, 1.56; 95% CI, 1.01–2.43; P = 0.047). Detectable CTC-CIN counts at baseline may predict a lack of ibPFS and OS benefit when comparing cabazitaxel with ARPI. CONCLUSION This preplanned analysis of biomarker data from the CARD trial confirms that CTC-CIN counts are a clinically useful prognostic and predictive biomarker of taxane resistance in mCRPC. Detectable CTC-CIN at baseline defines a patient subpopulation with unmet clinical needs in which alternative therapeutics should be tested. TRIAL REGISTRATION ClinicalTrials.gov number NCT02485691. FUNDING Funded by Sanofi and Epic Sciences.

Abstract Background: Chromosomal instability (CIN) is frequent in patients with metastatic castration-resistant prostate cancer (mCRPC) and determines taxane resistance. A circulating tumor cell (CTC) assay which morphologically identifies CTCs with CIN (CTC-CIN) from a single tube of whole blood could predict clinical outcomes in this population. We tested this hypothesis as a pre-planned, secondary outcome of the CARD trial, where patients with mCRPC progressing within a year of treatment with an androgen receptor pathway inhibitor (ARPI; enzalutamide or abiraterone acetate + prednisolone/prednisone) were randomized to treatment with cabazitaxel or the alternative ARPI. Methods: CTCs were isolated from blood samples obtained at baseline; cycle two, and end of treatment. The associations of baseline CTC and counts with imaging-based progression free survival (ibPFS), overall survival (OS), time to prostate-specific antigen (PSA) progression, RECIST 1.1 objective response rate (ORR), and PSA50 response rate (PRR) were assessed. Results: Of 255 patients randomized, CTC counts were acquired from 237 patients at screening, 213 patients at C2D1, and 166 patients at EOT. High baseline CTC counts were significantly associated with worse OS (median OS, 14.9 vs 9.8 months; univariate HR, 1.81; 95% CI, 1.30 - 2.51; p &lt; 0.001). High baseline CTC-CIN counts were significantly associated with worse OS after adjustment for confounding variables (median OS, 15.3 vs 8.9 months; univariate HR, 2.16; 95% CI, 1.52 - 3.06; p &lt; 0.001; multivariate HR, 1.56; 95% CI, 1.01 - 2.43; p = 0.047). Low CTC-CIN at baseline predicted ibPFS, ORR, and PRR benefit with cabazitaxel; conversely, high at baseline predicted no different ibPFS or OS outcomes with cabazitaxel or a second ARPI. Conclusions: This preplanned biomarker analysis of CARD confirmed that CTC-CIN counts are prognostic for OS and may be predictive of cabazitaxel benefit. (Funded by Sanofi and Epic Sciences; CARD ClinicalTrials.gov number, NCT02485691.) Citation Format: Ossian Longoria, Jan Rekowski, Santosh Gupta, Nick Beije, Klaus Pantel, Eleni Efstathiou, Cora Sternberg, Daniel Castellano, Karim Fizazi, Bertrand Tombal, Adam Sharp, Oliver Sartor, Sandrine Mace, Christine Geffriaud-Ricouard, Richard Wenstrup, Ronald de Wit, Johann de Bono. Morphological evaluation of chromosomal instability in circulating tumor cells and prediction of taxane resistance in metastatic prostate cancer: a prespecified sub-analysis of the CARD trial [abstract]. In: Proceedings of the American Association for Cancer Research Annual Meeting 2025; Part 1 (Regular Abstracts); 2025 Apr 25-30; Chicago, IL. Philadelphia (PA): AACR; Cancer Res 2025;85(8_Suppl_1):Abstract nr 1145

199 Background: Contained within the spectrum of metastatic cancer is an oligometastatic state where metastases are limited in number. Recent prospective data have shown that metastasis directed therapy (MDT) can alter the natural history of oligometastatic disease. In hormone-sensitive prostate cancer (HSPC), the positive clinical effect of MDT has been observed by the phase II STOMP and ORIOLE trials. Circulating tumor cells (CTCs) are a likely origin of the formation of macroscopic metastases. CTCs thus may provide an approach for identifying subgroups of patients with oligometastatic HSPC (oligoHSPC) that would benefit most from MDT. Our main goal was to evaluate the association between presence of CTCs at baseline or day 180 with clinical outcomes in the ORIOLE trial. Methods: ORIOLE was a phase II trial randomizing men with recurrent oligoHSPC with 1-3 metastases to observation (Obs) versus stereotactic ablative radiotherapy (SABR) MDT. Blood samples were prospectively collected at baseline and day 180. Progression-free survival (PFS) was a composite endpoint including any of the following: a PSA rise of at least 2 ng/dL and 25% above nadir; radiologic progression by CT, MRI or bone scan (RECIST v1.1); symptomatic progression of disease; initiation of ADT; or death. Patient blood samples were shipped for analysis on Epic Sciences liquid biopsy platform (Epic Sciences, San Diego, CA). Machine learning algorithms identified CTCs and characterized androgen receptor (AR) expression. Comparisons of patient and tumor characteristics between the groups were performed by two-sample t-tests. Survival curves were generated using the Kaplan-Meier method and p-values were calculated using log-rank test. Analysis was performed using SPSS version 28. Results: A total of 82 samples were collected: 70 from the SABR arm (35 baseline and 35 on day 180) and 12 Obs (7 baseline and 5 on day 180). CTCs were detected in 30/42 samples at baseline (71%, AR+= 7) and in 26/40 samples on day 180 (65%, AR+= 9). In the SABR group there was no difference between CTC+ versus CTC- and AR + versus AR- groups for PSA evaluated at baseline, day 90 or day 180 or Gleason score. With a median follow-up of 41.7 months, PFS was significantly lower in the patients with AR+ versus AR- CTCs at baseline in the SABR arm (p = 0.011, mean PFS: AR+ = 9.3 months, AR- = 27.1 months). The mean biochemical failure-free survival was AR+= 12.9 versus AR-= 29.2 months (p = 0.058). Conclusions: Our preliminary results demonstrate an association between AR+ CTCs at baseline and Day 180 with clinical outcomes following SABR MDT in oligoHSPC. This is the first report examining baseline and dynamic presence of CTCs in oligoHSPC treated from a prospective randomized trial of SABR. Longer follow-up, further analysis and a greater number of patients are needed for a more comprehensive conclusion.