199 Background: Contained within the spectrum of metastatic cancer is an oligometastatic state where metastases are limited in number. Recent prospective data have shown that metastasis directed therapy (MDT) can alter the natural history of oligometastatic disease. In hormone-sensitive prostate cancer (HSPC), the positive clinical effect of MDT has been observed by the phase II STOMP and ORIOLE trials. Circulating tumor cells (CTCs) are a likely origin of the formation of macroscopic metastases. CTCs thus may provide an approach for identifying subgroups of patients with oligometastatic HSPC (oligoHSPC) that would benefit most from MDT. Our main goal was to evaluate the association between presence of CTCs at baseline or day 180 with clinical outcomes in the ORIOLE trial. Methods: ORIOLE was a phase II trial randomizing men with recurrent oligoHSPC with 1-3 metastases to observation (Obs) versus stereotactic ablative radiotherapy (SABR) MDT. Blood samples were prospectively collected at baseline and day 180. Progression-free survival (PFS) was a composite endpoint including any of the following: a PSA rise of at least 2 ng/dL and 25% above nadir; radiologic progression by CT, MRI or bone scan (RECIST v1.1); symptomatic progression of disease; initiation of ADT; or death. Patient blood samples were shipped for analysis on Epic Sciences liquid biopsy platform (Epic Sciences, San Diego, CA). Machine learning algorithms identified CTCs and characterized androgen receptor (AR) expression. Comparisons of patient and tumor characteristics between the groups were performed by two-sample t-tests. Survival curves were generated using the Kaplan-Meier method and p-values were calculated using log-rank test. Analysis was performed using SPSS version 28. Results: A total of 82 samples were collected: 70 from the SABR arm (35 baseline and 35 on day 180) and 12 Obs (7 baseline and 5 on day 180). CTCs were detected in 30/42 samples at baseline (71%, AR+= 7) and in 26/40 samples on day 180 (65%, AR+= 9). In the SABR group there was no difference between CTC+ versus CTC- and AR + versus AR- groups for PSA evaluated at baseline, day 90 or day 180 or Gleason score. With a median follow-up of 41.7 months, PFS was significantly lower in the patients with AR+ versus AR- CTCs at baseline in the SABR arm (p = 0.011, mean PFS: AR+ = 9.3 months, AR- = 27.1 months). The mean biochemical failure-free survival was AR+= 12.9 versus AR-= 29.2 months (p = 0.058). Conclusions: Our preliminary results demonstrate an association between AR+ CTCs at baseline and Day 180 with clinical outcomes following SABR MDT in oligoHSPC. This is the first report examining baseline and dynamic presence of CTCs in oligoHSPC treated from a prospective randomized trial of SABR. Longer follow-up, further analysis and a greater number of patients are needed for a more comprehensive conclusion.
Long-term outcomes and genetic predictors of response to metastasis-directed therapy versus observation in oligometastatic castration-sensitive prostate cancer: A pooled analysis of the STOMP and ORIOLE trials.
5025 Background: Prospective reports suggest metastasis directed therapy (MDT) in oligometastatic castration sensitive prostate cancer (omCSPC) is associated with improved treatment outcomes. Here we present long term outcomes of the phase II STOMP and ORIOLE trials and assess the ability of a high-risk (HiRi) mutational signature to provide prognostic and predictive information regarding MDT response. Methods: Patients with omCSPC (< 3 lesions) enrolled on STOMP (n = 62) and ORIOLE (n = 54) randomized to MDT or observation were pooled. The primary endpoint was progression-free survival (PFS) defined as either PSA or radiographic progression, initiation of androgen deprivation, or death. Secondary endpoint was radiographic PFS (rPFS) defined as radiographic progression or death. Both were calculated using the Kaplan-Meier method and stratified by treatment group. Next generation sequencing (NGS) was performed to identify a HiRi mutational signature defined as pathogenic mutations within ATM, BRCA1/2, Rb1, or TP53. Cox proportional hazards regressions were fit to calculate hazard ratios (HR) and assess the prognostic and predictive values of HiRi mutational status. Results: Median follow-up was 52.5 months. Median PFS was prolonged with MDT (11.9 months) compared to observation (5.9 months) with a pooled HR of 0.44 (95% CI, 0.29 – 0.66, p-value < 0.001). MDT was associated with PSA decrease in a majority of patients (84%) as compared to the observation group (41%). On NGS, the incidence of a pathogenic mutation in a HiRi gene was 24.3%. HiRi mutation was prognostic for PFS -- in those without a HiRi mutation median PFS was 11.9 months compared to 5.9 months in those with a HiRi mutation (HR of 1.74, p = 0.06). HiRi mutation was also prognostic for rPFS -- those without a high-risk mutation experienced median rPFS of 22.6 months compared to 10.0 months in those with a high-risk mutation (HR 2.62, p < 0.01). Tumors without a HiRi mutation treated with MDT experienced the longest PFS (13.4 months) while those with a HiRi randomized to observation experienced the shortest PFS (2.8 months). Stratifying by both treatment arms and HiRi status appeared to show a differential benefit to MDT, with those with HiRi mutations experiencing a larger relative magnitude of benefit to treatment: (HiRi mutation: HR of 0.05, p < 0.01; no HiRi mutation: HR of 0.42, p = 0.01; p interaction, 0.12) suggesting a HiRi mutational status can provide information regarding differential response to treatment. Conclusions: Long-term outcomes from the only two randomized trials in omCSPC suggest a sustained benefit to MDT over observation. A HiRi mutational signature appears prognostic for outcomes in omCSPC and those with HiRi might have a relatively larger magnitude of response to MDT. Future studies are needed to optimize patient selection. Clinical trial information: NCT02680587.