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279 citation(s) found for "Sy, Ethan".

Using a Machine-Learning Algorithm to Identify Palliative Care Needs in a Primary Care Population: A Pilot Study
Bartley, Mairead M. , Karow, Jordan C., Wiste, Rachel M., Heinzen, Ethan P. , Wilson, Patrick M. , Demuth, Gabriel , Asai, Shusaku , Storlie, Curtis B. , Havyer, Rachel D., Demuth, Gabriel O, Asai, Shusaku W, Bartley, Mairead M. , Karow, Jordan C., Havyer, Rachel D.

Palliative Medicine Reports | June 19, 2026 | Volume: 7 | Issue: No issue available | Pages: No page available

10.1177/26892820261460679 | PMID 42539303 Get It

Context: Early palliative care can improve end-of-life outcomes, but referrals to palliative care specialists can be delayed in the primary care setting. Objective: This pilot study assessed the effect of a machine-learning algorithm on time to palliative care in a primary care population. Methods: Patients (aged ≥18 years) were eligible if they were empaneled with a primary care provider (PCP) from July 20, 2020, through May 30, 2021. The algorithm evaluated their health records and presented patients who were predicted to have the greatest need for palliative care. Records were then reviewed by palliative care specialists, and patients were randomized in a stepped-wedge fashion to have a referral notification sent to their PCPs if unmet palliative care needs were verified. Time-to-event outcomes were evaluated with Poisson regression models. Results: Of the 127,080 patients evaluated, 934 had their health records presented for review. Some patients were repeatedly presented by the algorithm (total presentations: 1592). In the intervention arm, PCPs were prompted to order a palliative care consultation for 142 patients. The time to 0.1% of the population receiving a palliative care consultation was 60.9 days for the intervention arm versus 71.8 days for the control arm (probability of a shorter time with the intervention, 0.88). Conclusion: A machine-learning algorithm to identify palliative care needs was successfully integrated into a primary care practice. More work is needed to improve the workflow.
Variation in Chronic Automated Red Cell Exchange Practices for Sickle Cell Disease: Insights Into Isovolemic Hemodilution Use
Jones, Jennifer M. , Aldarweesh, Fatima , Aqui, Nicole, Bobr, Aleh , Brunker, Patricia A. R. , Covington, Mischa L. , Guarente, Juliana , Hagar, Robert, Karafin, Matthew, Lamba, Divjot Singh , Lee, Grace M. , Mack, Ethan A. , Muthur, Gagan, Nazli, Saadiya, Olaniyan, H S, Raval, Jay S., Setya, Divya , Tanhehco, Yvette C. , Thant, Mamie, Wu, Yanyun , Wong, Edward C.C. , Zheng, Yan , Brunker, Patricia A R , Lee, Grace , Lu, Wen , Mack, Ethan A , Onyenekwu, Chinelo P , Setya, Divya , Tanhehco, Yvette C , Vivero, Angelica , Yurtsever, Nalan , Zheng, Yan , Shi, Patricia A , Webb, Jennifer , Aldarweesh, Fatima , Aqui, Nicole A., Hagar, Robert Ward, Lu, Wen , Nazli, Saadiya , Yurtsever, Nalan , Shi, Patricia A.

Journal of Clinical Apheresis | June 19, 2026 | Volume: 41 | Issue: 3 | Pages: No page available

10.1002/jca.70146 | PMID 42316838 Get It

ABSTRACT Prior surveys of chronic automated red blood cell exchange (RCE) for patients with sickle cell disease (SCD) have identified considerable procedural variability, especially with the use of isovolemic hemodilution red blood cell exchange (IHD‐RCE). We conducted a survey of chronic RCE practices among American Society for Apheresis (ASFA) members to identify opportunities for practice harmonization and future studies. The ASFA SCD Research Subcommittee developed a 72‐item survey of chronic RCE practices, with a focus on IHD‐RCE. The survey was validated internally and distributed by email to all ASFA members from September 2024 to February 2025. One survey response from each institution was retained for data analysis. Descriptive statistics were performed. Sixty‐two survey responses, including three from international institutions, were retained for analysis. Sixty‐one percent of respondents (38/62) reported using at least one fixed RCE target, with end hematocrit being the most common fixed parameter (40%, 25/62), followed by fraction of cells remaining (31%, 19/62) and hemoglobin S% (27%, 17/62). Most respondents (60%, 37/61) performed IHD‐RCE at their institution, though other details such as the minimum hematocrit, exclusion criteria, and response to adverse effects were variable. Consistent pre‐ and post‐RCE laboratory monitoring practices were reported. Consistent with earlier surveys, procedural variability in chronic RCE practices for patients with SCD is observed. This highlights opportunities to compare outcomes where practice variability exists. Consensus guidelines based on institutional practices with optimal outcomes should be developed.
DHDDS-related juvenile parkinsonism is caused by impaired lipid metabolism, glycosylation, and mitochondrial dysfunction, which can be rescued by NAD⁺ treatment
Muffels, Irena , Kantautas, Kristin A , MacDonald, Georgia, Garapati, Kishore , Pasupuleti, Raghavendra R., Tinker, Rory J, Shah, Rameen , Thevandavakkam, Mathura A., Donnelly, Justin , Hrtska, Ron, Smith, Douglas, Klinken, Jan B. van , Pandey, Akhilesh, Perlstein, Ethan, Kantautas, Kristin A. , Tinker, Rory J. , Muffels, I J J , Garapati, Kishore , Tinker, R J , Vaz, F , Pandey, A , Perlstein, Ethan O , Kozicz, Tamas , Morava, Eva , Pasupuleti, Raghavendra Rao, Perlstein, Ethan , Kozicz, Tamás , Morava, Éva

No container title available | June 5, 2026 | Volume: No volume available | Issue: No issue available | Pages: No page available

10.64898/2026.05.28.26354198 | PMID 42282162 Get It

Abstract Background Mono-allelic Dehydrodolichyl Diphosphate Synthase ( DHDDS) variants are associated with juvenile Parkinsonism, developmental delay and seizures. Symptoms are progressive, and various mechanisms, such as defective glycosylation, lysosomal dysfunction and cholesterol accumulation have been hypothesized to underlie disease symptoms. There is no treatment for DHDDS-related disease. Methods Patient-derived cortical forebrain organoids were created to elucidate disease mechanisms and evaluate potential treatments. In these neuronal models, glycosylation, lipidomics, proteomics, cholesterol/ganglioside accumulation, mitochondrial function and electrophysiological activity were assessed. Finally, we investigated the effects of nicotinamide mononucleotide (NMN), identified through a yeast-based drug screen, in neuronal cell models and in six patients in an off-label, N-of-1, observational series. Results DHDDS-patient derived organoids showed visual signs of degeneration after four months of culturing. This was accompanied by significant cholesterol accumulation in astrocytes, decreased mitochondrial respiration and loss of deep-layer neurons. In addition, we identified glycosylation abnormalities, showing for the first time that glycosylation in human tissue is affected by monoallelic DHDDS variants. Proteomic analysis revealed altered protein expression of proteins involved in lipid metabolism, cytoskeletal organization and neuronal development. We found that oral Nicotinamide Mononucleotide supplementation led to significant improvement in mitochondrial respiration and electrophysiological parameters in organoids, concurring with clinical improvements in all of the treated patients, particularly regarding their ataxia and tremor. Conclusion Our findings reveal a progressive phenotype in DHDDS-patient-derived brain organoids, with mitochondrial dysfunction and astrocyte-specific metabolic alterations contributing to disease pathology. Notably, NMN treatment led to clinical improvements in patients with heterozygous DHDDS variants, highlighting its potential as a therapeutic strategy.
TRIPLETE But Incomplete? Accounting for Postprogression Therapy When Interpreting Overall Survival
Meimoun, Noah S. , Sherry, Alexander D. , Ludmir, Ethan B. , Lin, Timothy A. , Sherry, Alexander D , Ludmir, Ethan B , Lin, Timothy A

Journal of Clinical Oncology | June 4, 2026 | Volume: 44 | Issue: 23 | Pages: 2254-2255

10.1200/jco-26-00267 | PMID 42241666 Get It

Glucagon-like peptide 1 receptor agonist use and risk of arthroplasty for knee osteoarthritis: retrospective database analysis
Carter, Victoria , Desverreaux, Ethan , Amin, Idris, Fogarty, Alexandra E. , Hussain, Nasir , D’Souza, Ryan S. , Karri, Jay , D'Souza, Ryan S , Karri, Jay

Regional Anesthesia & Pain Medicine | June 3, 2026 | Volume: No volume available | Issue: No issue available | Pages: rapm-2026-107658

10.1136/rapm-2026-107658 | PMID 42229941 Get It

Background Knee osteoarthritis (OA) is a leading cause of chronic pain and disability, with limited disease modifying therapies. While glucagon-like peptide 1 receptor agonists (GLP-1 RAs) have established cardiometabolic benefits and have been associated with reductions in knee OA related pain, it is unclear whether they can reduce progression to total knee arthroplasty (TKA). Methods We conducted a retrospective cohort study using the TriNetX Global Research Network, identifying adults with knee OA diagnosed between January 1, 2010, and December 31, 2024. Patients were stratified by GLP-1 RA exposure class (any GLP-1 RA or new generation agents, semaglutide or tirzepatide) and treatment duration (1 or 3 years), and then compared with propensity score matched non-exposed cohorts balanced for age, sex, race, musculoskeletal diagnoses, obesity related conditions, body mass index, and proxies for healthcare access. The primary outcome was cumulative incidence of TKA at 1, 3, 5, and 8 years. Hazard ratios (HRs) were estimated by Cox proportional hazards models and absolute risk differences from Kaplan–Meier curves, expressed as exposed minus non-exposed. Results After propensity score matching, cohort sizes ranged from 13 351 (new generation GLP-1 RA, 3 year exposure) to 42 062 patients (any GLP-1 RA, 1 year exposure). GLP-1 RA use was associated with significantly lower cumulative TKA incidence across all exposure classes, durations, and follow-up intervals (all p<0.001). With 1 year exposure to any GLP-1 RA, the absolute risk difference at 8 years was −2.80 percentage points (HR 0.90, 95% CI 0.83 to 0.98). Risk reductions were greater with new generation agents and longer duration: 3 year exposure to semaglutide or tirzepatide gave an absolute risk difference of −4.71 percentage points at 8 years (HR 0.72, 95% CI 0.67 to 0.78). Conclusions In this large, multicenter, real world cohort study, GLP-1 RA use was associated with a significantly reduced long term risk of TKA in patients with knee OA, with effects that were greater with longer treatment duration and newer generation agents. These duration and agent dependent associations are consistent with potential disease modifying activity beyond weight loss alone, although prospective trials are needed to establish causality and define optimal treatment targets.
ETHAN: A phase II study comparing different endocrine therapies for male breast cancer.
Jose Pablo Leone, Kathryn Jean Ruddy, Naim Rashid, Jasmine S. Sukumar, Sharon H. Giordano, Gaorav P. Gupta, Susan G. Hilsenbeck, Elaine M. Walsh, Igor Makhlin, Tamara Ortiz-Perez, Yara Abdou, Jessica Mezzanotte Sharpe, Priscilla F. McAuliffe, Ben Ho Park, Liza M. Quintana, Stuart J. Schnitt, Philip Merle Spanheimer, Antonio C. Wolff, Ian E. Krop, Alastair Mark Thompson

Journal of Clinical Oncology | May 28, 2026 | Volume: 44 | Issue: 16_suppl | Pages: No page available

10.1200/jco.2026.44.16_suppl.tps656 Get It

TPS656 Background: Male breast cancer is a rare disease, and most cases are hormone receptor-positive (HR+). Due to a lack of clinical trials, male breast cancer has historically been treated based on data extrapolated from women. However, there are substantial knowledge gaps in the comparative efficacy, safety, and patient-reported outcomes of endocrine therapies for men. While tamoxifen is the current standard of care, additional data are warranted for aromatase inhibitors (AI), gonadal suppression, and cyclin-dependent kinase 4/6 (CDK4/6) inhibitors. Methods: This is an open-label, multicenter, randomized, phase II trial designed to evaluate different endocrine therapies in men with HR+ and human epidermal growth factor receptor 2 (HER2)-negative breast cancer. A total of 60 men will be enrolled across 9 sites within the Translational Breast Cancer Research Consortium (TBCRC). Key eligibility criteria include male sex and stage I, II, or III HR+/HER2- breast cancer before surgical resection of the primary tumor and axillary nodes. Key exclusion criteria include prior anti-cancer therapy within the past 12 months, and inflammatory breast cancer. The trial has two phases. The first phase is a window of opportunity in which newly diagnosed men are randomized 1:1:1 to either tamoxifen (Arm A), anastrozole (Arm B), or anastrozole plus degarelix (Arm C) given for 3 weeks. The primary endpoint for the window phase is Ki-67 reduction from the baseline diagnostic biopsy to the research biopsy at the end of the window phase. The second phase consists of neoadjuvant treatment, in which the tamoxifen group is randomized 1:1 to tamoxifen (Arm D) vs tamoxifen plus abemaciclib (Arm E), and the anastrozole alone (Arm B) and anastrozole plus degarelix (Arm C) groups are merged and then randomized 1:1 to anastrozole plus degarelix (Arm F) vs anastrozole plus degarelix plus abemaciclib (Arm G). The duration of the neoadjuvant phase is 4 months, and the primary endpoint of this phase is residual cancer burden (RCB) index at time of surgery. The trial is powered for the RCB endpoint in a 2 x 2 factorial design to detect a 0.6 unit decrease in RCB index with 80% power and alpha = 10%. For the Ki-67 endpoint, we assume an approximately 50% reduction in Arms A and B; Arm C will be of interest if it leads to ≥80% reduction in Ki-67. Secondary endpoints include: change in estradiol and testosterone levels from baseline, preoperative endocrine prognostic index (PEPI) score at surgery, adverse events, and patient-reported outcomes (including quality of life). Tumor tissue will be collected for correlative analyses. The study opened at Dana-Farber in October 2023, and is also open at Mayo Clinic, MD Anderson Cancer Center, Georgetown University, University of North Carolina, University of Pennsylvania, University of Pittsburgh, and Vanderbilt University. One more site will open in 2026. Clinical trial information: NCT05501704 .
Landscape of reversion alterations in homologous recombination genes reveals evolutionary constraints
Decker, Brennan, Sisoudiya, Saumya D. , Thornton, James, Cui, Chenming, Solieva, Shahlo , Shi, Tao, Guintini, Fabio, Fleischmann, Zoe, Hartman, Mark, Bailey, Shannon T., Leibowitz, Jeffrey , Sokol, Ethan S, Schrock, Alexa B. , Couch, Fergus J, Reiss, Kim A, Domchek, Susan M, Sivakumar, Smruthy, Decker, Brennan , Cui, Chenming , Harada, Taku, Madison, Russell W. , Datta, Arindam , Fleischmann, Zoe , Frampton, Garrett M. , Couch, Fergus J. , Reiss, Kim A. , Domchek, Susan M. , Bowman, Gregory R. , Greenberg, Roger A. , Nathanson, Katherine L.

No container title available | May 22, 2026 | Volume: No volume available | Issue: No issue available | Pages: No page available

10.64898/2026.05.19.726319 Get It

ABSTRACT Reversion mutations (REVs) restore homologous recombination repair (HRR) and confer resistance to PARP inhibitors (PARPi) in HR-deficient cancers. Yet, their prevalence, mechanisms, and biological constraints remain undefined. We analyzed genomic profiling of 609,464 tissue and liquid biopsy samples across multiple cancer types to delineate the pan-cancer landscape of REVs. REVs were identified in eight HRR genes, most frequently BRCA2 and BRCA1 and notably never in ATM or CHEK2 . REVs exclusively impacted truncating pathogenic variants, predominantly through large in-frame and exon-level deletions, associated with repetitive sequences. Conserved functional domains are relatively depleted of REVs. Structural modeling and functional studies support that exon-level deletions preserve critical domain architecture and confer PARPi resistance. The study establishes HRR reversion as a structurally permissive, yet evolutionarily constrained, resistance mechanism with implications on response, monitoring, and therapeutic strategy. One Sentence Summary Homologous recombination reversion evolves through structurally tolerated, microhomology-driven alterations that restore DNA repair under therapeutic selection across cancers.
Addition of Metastasis-Directed Therapy to Standard of Care for Oligometastatic Disease: Primary Aggregated Analysis of All Baskets from the Phase II Randomized EXTEND Trial
Sherry, Alexander D. , Haymaker, C, Wang, S, Liu, S, Medina-Rosales, Marina Nayeli , Seo, Aaron, Reddy, Jay P. , Mayo, Lauren L., Pant, Shubham , Kovitz, Craig A., Ha, Chul S., Smith, BD, Gomez, Daniel, Cohen, Lorenzo , Tannir, Nizar, Corn, Paul G., Siddiqui, Bilal A. , Ludmir, Ethan B., Tang, Chad , Haymaker, Cara , Liu, Suyu , Haymaker, Cara , Wang, Shuqi , Liu, Suyu , Bathala, Tharakeswara K , Medina-Rosales, Marina N , Reddy, Jay P , Chun, Stephen G , Walker, Gary , Pant, Shubham , Zhao, Dan , Kovitz, Craig A , Smith, Benjamin D , Gomez, Daniel , Cohen, Lorenzo , Koong, Albert C , Reuben, Alexandre , Tannir, Nizar , Tran, Phuoc T , Siddiqui, Bilal A , Subudhi, Sumit Kumar , Msaouel, Pavlos , Ludmir, Ethan B , Tang, Chad , Sherry, Alexander D , Seo, Aaron , Hara, Kieko , Chun, Stephen G. , Mayo, Lauren L. , Zhao, Dan , Ramirez, David Luis , Ha, Chul S. , Corn, Paul Gettys , Msaouel, Pavlos , Ludmir, Ethan B.

Journal of Clinical Oncology | May 16, 2026 | Volume: No volume available | Issue: No issue available | Pages: No page available

10.1200/jco-25-02856 | PMID 42142259 Get It

PURPOSE We tested the hypothesis that adding metastasis-directed therapy (MDT) to standard-of-care (SOC) systemic therapy improves progression-free survival (PFS) among patients with oligometastatic disease. METHODS EXTEND was a multicenter randomized phase II trial. Patients with 1-5 metastases were randomly assigned to MDT + SOC versus SOC in one of the six baskets (breast, pancreas, kidney, two prostate baskets, and an other basket) with basket-specific stratification and powering. PFS, the primary end point, was prespecified in the per-protocol set within each basket, across all baskets, and across all baskets excluding the prostate baskets. Exploratory end points included circulating tumor DNA (ctDNA) and immune profiling. RESULTS From 2018 through 2023, 521 patients were screened, 350 were randomly assigned, and 334 were analyzed per protocol (MDT + SOC, n = 166; SOC, n = 168). Radiotherapy was used as MDT for 98% of metastases (370/379). Overall, after a median follow-up of 53 months, PFS was improved with MDT + SOC (hazard ratio [HR], 0.54 [95% CI, 0.41 to 0.72], P < .001). Similarly, PFS was improved when excluding the prostate baskets (HR, 0.60 [95% CI, 0.40 to 0.89]). Within each basket, PFS superiority was identified for the pancreas, prostate, and other baskets, whereas the breast and kidney baskets were inconclusive. At enrollment, detectable ctDNA correlated with shorter PFS and survival; by contrast, ctDNA clearance 3 months postenrollment correlated with improved survival. MDT + SOC-induced systemic immune activation was most pronounced among baskets demonstrating PFS superiority. CONCLUSION The phase II EXTEND trial supports the addition of MDT to SOC for oligometastatic disease. Histology-specific efficacy signals were identified for phase III testing. Translational insights suggest the potential for optimizing the definition of oligometastasis using ctDNA and point to systemic immune responses as a possible mechanism of benefit from MDT.
Benefits of Electronic Symptom Monitoring During Cancer Treatment by Age, Sex, Race, and Education (Alliance AFT-39)
Deal, Allison M. , Sampathkumar, Yashasvini , Ginos, Brenda, Schrag, Deborah , Jansen, Jennifer , Stover, Angela M. , Carr, Philip M., Spears, Patricia A. , Jönsson, Mattias , Thanarajasingam, Gita , Rogak, Lauren , Cella, D, Given, Barbara, Zylla, Dylan M. , Weiss, Anna, Wolf, Anna P., Basch, Ethan , Blinder, V. S., Ginos, Brenda F, Mazza, Gina L , Schrag, Deborah , Jansen, Jennifer , Stover, Angela M , Spears, Patricia A , Jonsson, Mattias , Bennett, Antonia V , Thanarajasingam, Gita , Rogak, Lauren J , Reeve, Bryce B. , Snyder, Claire , Cella, David , Given, Barbara , Zylla, Dylan , Dueck, A. C. , Basch, Ethan , Blinder, Victoria S , Carr, Philip, Geoghegan, Cindy , Given, Barbara , Blinder, Victoria

JCO Oncology Practice | May 12, 2026 | Volume: No volume available | Issue: No issue available | Pages: No page available

10.1200/op-26-00015 | PMID 42119041 Get It

PURPOSE Remote symptom monitoring using patient-reported outcomes (PROs) has been shown to improve symptom control and physical function among patients with advanced cancer. However, it is unclear whether these benefits are similar across demographic groups. This exploratory analysis of the PRO-TECT trial examined whether the effects of electronic symptom monitoring varied by race, age, sex, and educational attainment. METHODS PRO-TECT was a cluster randomized trial conducted across 52 US community oncology practices comparing weekly electronic symptom monitoring with usual care (UC). Adult patients with metastatic solid tumors receiving systemic therapy were enrolled (N = 1,191). Participants in the PRO arm completed weekly symptom surveys including the PRO-CTCAE, triggering alerts to the care team for severe or worsening symptoms. Patients chose whether to complete weekly PROs online or via telephone-based interactive voice response not requiring Internet access. Outcomes were measured using the European Organisation for Research and Treatment of Cancer QLQ-C30 symptom control and physical function scales. Subgroup analyses were performed by race (Black v White), age (<65 v ≥65 years), sex (male v female), and educational attainment (≤high school v >high school). RESULTS From baseline to 3 months, PRO participants showed greater improvements in symptom control (+2.37 v −0.20, P = .002) and physical function (+1.54 v −0.93, P = .02) versus UC. Benefits were most pronounced among younger, female, Black, and less educated participants. Black participants in the PRO arm were more likely to report that symptom reporting made them feel more in control of their care compared with White participants. CONCLUSION Electronic symptom monitoring improved quality-of-life outcomes overall, including among groups who have historically experienced higher symptom burden or barriers to communication. Remote PRO systems may represent an equitable strategy to enhance cancer care delivery.
Interpreting Treatment Effects Using Posterior Probabilities: A Bayesian Reanalysis of 230 Phase III Oncology Trials
Sherry, Alexander D. , Msaouel, Pavlos, Kupferman, Gabrielle S. , Lin, Timothy A. , Jaoude, J. Abi, Kouzy, Ramez, El-Alam, Molly B , Patel, Roshal , Koong, Alex , Lin, Christine , Beck, Esther J., Fuller, Clifton David, Ludmir, Ethan B, Msaouel, Pavlos , Kouzy, Ramez , Jaoude, Joseph Abi , Msaouel, Pavlos , Abi Jaoude, Joseph , Kouzy, Ramez , Passy, Adina H , Miller, Avital M , Beck, Esther J , Fuller, Clifton David , Meirson, Tomer , McCaw, Zachary , Ludmir, Ethan B , Sherry, Alexander D , Lin, Timothy A , Miller, Avital M. , Meirson, Tomer , McCaw, Zachary R. , Ludmir, Ethan B.

JCO Clinical Cancer Informatics | May 1, 2026 | Volume: 10 | Issue: 2 | Pages: No page available

10.1200/cci-25-00303 | PMID 42066235 Get It

PURPOSE Most oncology trials define superiority according to dichotomized P value thresholds, which are frequently misinterpreted. Posterior probability, however, directly estimates the probability of the hypothesis at hand. Here, we reanalyze a large collection of modern phase III trials and benchmark posterior probability versus the standard trial interpretation based on statistical significance. METHODS Outcomes from 194,129 patients were manually reconstructed from the primary end points of 230 phase III, superiority-design oncology trials. Posterior probabilities of treatment effect were then calculated across multiple priors and several effect sizes of clinical relevance, including minimum clinically important difference (MCID) defined as hazard ratio (HR) < 0.8 per ASCO criteria or HR < 0.64 per European Society of Medical Oncology (ESMO) criteria. RESULTS All trials interpreted as superior using P value thresholds had probabilities >90% for achieving at least marginal benefits (HR < 1). However, only 62% of positive trials (74/120) had >90% probabilities of achieving the ASCO MCID (HR < 0.8), even under an enthusiastic prior, including 70% of trials (57/82) leading to regulatory approval. Only 30% of positive trials (36/120) had >90% probability of achieving the ESMO MCID (HR < 0.64). Conversely, 24% of trials (26/110) interpreted as not superior had >90% probability of achieving marginal benefits (HR < 1), even under a skeptical prior. CONCLUSION Bayesian models, although often in agreement with statistical significance thresholds, add considerable unique interpretative value for a subset of phase III oncology trials. Posterior probability may provide a solution for overcoming the discrepancies between refuting the null hypothesis and detecting clinically relevant effects.