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Abstract Background Aortic valve calcification (AVC), as measured by gold-standard computed tomography (CT) Agatston score, provides an anatomic assessment of aortic stenosis (AS) severity and is a key predictor of AS progression and need for valve replacement. AVC detection and quantification from transthoracic echocardiography (TTE) could expand AS early diagnosis and risk stratification, currently limited by CT availability and radiation exposure. Methods A multi-view video-based deep learning framework was developed using 1166 TTE aortic valve videos from 187 TTE studies acquired in 110 patients with available AVC score by CT. EchoAVC architecture includes a feature extraction model followed by a quality-aware model that aggregates video-level information to obtain patient-level predictions for AVC detection and quantification (score). The framework was validated internally with 173 TTE studies from 86 patients across seven centres, and externally using 430 TTE studies from 280 patients across four different centres. The associations between EchoAVC estimations and AS severity, progression, and need for aortic valve replacement were examined. Results EchoAVC demonstrated excellent performance in AVC detection (AUROC 0.98, accuracy 94.4%), and quantification (R = 0.64) in the external multi-centre testing set. EchoAVC score was correlated with echocardiographic AS severity descriptors, including aortic valve mean pressure gradient (ρ = 0.749) and peak velocity (ρ = 0.757), and predicted future increase in mean pressure gradient (ρ = 0.382), peak velocity (ρ = 0.433) and calcium score by CT (ρ = 0.650). In 361 patients followed for a median of 3.8 years, 139 underwent aortic valve replacement. Baseline presence and extent of AVC as predicted by EchoAVC showed strong risk-stratification power for aortic valve replacement, remarkably in line with those obtained by CT, and incremental over TTE AS descriptors. EchoAVC was further tested in routine clinical practice images, confirming strong associations with AS severity and progression, including stratification for incident AS in previously unaffected individuals (p<0.001). Conclusions EchoAVC enables accurate and non-invasive detection and quantification of AVC, offering substantial diagnostic and prognostic value for aortic stenosis progression and need for valve replacement. This technique holds promise as a scalable tool for early detection and clinical management of aortic valve stenosis. Clinical Perspective What Is New? * Aortic valve calcification can be detected and quantified on standard, two-dimensional transthoracic echocardiography * EchoAVC score is associated with echocardiographic metrics of aortic stenosis severity * EchoAVC predicts progressive increase in aortic stenosis severity and need for aortic valve replacement What Are the Clinical Implications? * This openly available deep learning framework can be used to estimate aortic valve calcium in patients at risk of or presenting aortic stenosis to predict aortic stenosis progression * EchoAVC may help identify patients likely to have high aortic valve calcium and prioritize them for confirmatory CT assessment, thereby supporting earlier identification of calcific aortic valve disease in clinical pathways.

BACKGROUND: Chronic aortic regurgitation (AR) is associated with significant cardiac remodeling, but the prevalence and prognostic impact of extravalvular cardiac damage remain unexplored. METHODS: Adults with moderate or greater chronic AR identified on echocardiogram between January 2008 and July 2024 were included. Exclusion criteria were acute AR, hypertrophic and infiltrative cardiomyopathies, prior cardiac surgery, and valve stenosis. Cardiac damage was classified into hierarchical stages: no cardiac damage (stage 0), left ventricular damage (stage 1), moderate or greater mitral regurgitation or left atrial enlargement or atrial fibrillation (stage 2), pulmonary hypertension or moderate or greater tricuspid regurgitation (stage 3), and significant right ventricular dysfunction (stage 4). The primary outcome was the association between cardiac damage stages and all-cause mortality under medical surveillance. RESULTS: Of 4026 patients (median age, 72 [61–80] years), 78% had moderate AR, 11% had moderate-severe, and 11% had severe AR. Cardiac damage was present in 87% of patients: 14% in stage 1, 53% in stage 2, 18% in stage 3, and 2% in stage 4. In a multivariable model, including age, sex, AR severity, and Charlson Comorbidity Index, cardiac damage stages were associated with mortality. Adjusted hazard ratios were 1.42 (95% CI, 1.04–1.96) for stage 1, 1.58 (95% CI, 1.21–2.06) for stage 2, 2.78 (95% CI, 2.10–3.67) for stage 3, and 5.34 (95% CI, 3.67–7.76) for stage 4. Adding cardiac damage staging to multivariable models improved predictive accuracy for mortality, increasing the concordance statistics from 0.73 (95% CI, 0.71–0.75) to 0.76 (95% CI, 0.74–0.77). CONCLUSIONS: Cardiac damage is present in nearly 90% of patients with moderate or greater AR and is associated with increased mortality, highlighting the need for a more comprehensive evaluation of cardiac structure and function beyond the aortic valve and left ventricle.

Background The natural history of asymptomatic moderate or severe aortic regurgitation (AR) remains uncertain, with conflicting reports about its progression and surgical timing. We aimed to quantify adverse outcomes under conservative management and evaluate the association of aortic valve replacement/repair (AVR) with mortality. Methods Systematic searches (inception–July 2025) identified cohort studies of asymptomatic moderate/severe AR. Random-effects models estimated pooled incidence rates of adverse events; fixed-effects models were used for hazard ratios (HRs) of AVR vs conservative management. Results Twenty-seven studies (4720 patients; mean age 49 years; mean follow-up 3.9 years) were included. Pooled incidence rates per 100 person-years were 1.75 (95% CI 1.27 to 2.41) for all-cause mortality, 1.29 for cardiac death, 0.29 for sudden death, 4.30 for new symptoms and 7.01 for AVR. Asymptomatic low left ventricular ejection fraction occurred in only 0.9 per 100 person-years. Mortality rates were more than double those of the general population across age groups—2.45 (1.90 to 3.18) per 100 person-years for cohorts with mean age ≥50 years versus 0.59 (0.29 to 1.21) for younger cohorts. Early AVR was associated with lower mortality (pooled HR 0.33; 95% CI 0.30 to 0.37). Conclusion Asymptomatic moderate/severe AR carries significant excess mortality irrespective of age, contradicting its historically benign reputation. Given the rarity of asymptomatic LV dysfunction, earlier intervention guided by more sensitive markers of LV damage may improve outcomes, although heterogeneity and study quality warrant cautious interpretation. PROSPERO registration number CRD42024522683.

Background: Calcific aortic valve stenosis (CAVS) is characterized by the progressive accrual of aortic valvular calcium (AVC), resulting in impaired valvular compliance and mechanics and impaired cardiac function leading to heart failure (HF). In a phase 2 trial of 23 patients with moderate CAVS, ataciguat (ATA), a soluble guanylate cyclase activator, relative to placebo slowed the deposition of AVC, decreases in aortic valve area (AVA; by continuity equation), and increases in diastolic dysfunction and left ventricular (LV) mass. ATA may have other favorable effects on ventricular, valvular, and/or vascular pathophysiology relevant to patients with CAVS. Hypothesis: We hypothesized that slowing the rate of AVC deposition is associated with improvements in valvular compliance and in measures of cardiac structure and function. Methods: A phase 2 study randomized patients with moderate CAVS 1:1 to receive ATA 200 mg/day or placebo for up to 12 months (NCT02481258). The primary endpoint was change in AVC assessed by cardiac CT, and measures of aortic valve function and cardiac structure and function were also assessed. AVA was calculated by the Modified Gorlin (Hakki) equation to additionally assess valvular compliance. Correlations between AVC, AVA, and other measures of cardiac structure and function were assessed by exploratory linear mixed models. Results: Changes in AVC from baseline were negatively correlated with changes in AVA (slope = −0.0002 [95% CI −0.0004, 0.0001]; Figure 1), such that patients with the least AVC deposition had minimal changes in AVA. Reciprocally, changes from baseline in AVA were positively correlated with changes in cardiac output (CO; slope = 0.16 [95% CI 0.13, 0.18]; Figure 2). Treatment with ATA, compared with placebo, was associated with improvements in systolic function. Changes in AVC deposition correlated with changes in CO (slope = −0.0007 [95% CI −0.0021, 0.0008]; Figure 3), and measured improvements in CO were generally more observed in patients with less of an increase in AVC, which were more frequently observed in those treated with ATA compared with placebo. Conclusions: These data suggest that slowing the rate of AVC deposition with ATA may result in improvements in CO through improved myocardial function and valvular compliance. Larger controlled trials are needed to assess such favorable myocardial/valvular effects that may help to preserve functional capacity and slow progression to HF.

Background Mitral valve prolapse (MVP) can be associated with ventricular arrhythmias (VA), but little is known about the relationship between VA and exercise in these patients. The aim of this study was to assess the occurrence and severity of VA during exercise tests in patients with MVP, and to explore the association between VA during exercise and the occurrence of arrhythmic events during follow-up. Methods In this multicentre study, 375 patients with MVP (58 (48–69) years, 53% male) who underwent a clinically indicated exercise test were included. Severity of VA during exercise was defined as: (1) no VA, (2) minor VA (premature ventricular contractions ≥5% or non-sustained ventricular tachycardia (nsVT) <120 beats per minute) and (3) major VA (nsVTs ≥120 beats per minute). Results During exercise test, 242 (65%) patients showed no VA, 88 (24%) minor VA and 45 (12%) major VA. Patients with minor and major VAs showed more often bileaflet prolapse and mitral annular disjunction (MAD) than patients with no VA (p<0.001). Over a median follow-up of 101 months (IQR 58–138 months), 35 patients (9%) developed a severe arrhythmic event, defined as sustained VA or ventricular fibrillation, implantation of an implantable cardioverter-defibrillator and VA ablation. At the Kaplan-Meier curve analysis, patients with major VA showed the worst arrhythmic event-free survival (log-rank p<0.001). On multivariable analysis, left ventricular end-systolic diameter, MAD and VA severity during exercise were independently associated with this outcome. Conclusions In patients with MVP, the occurrence of VA during exercise is associated with more advanced mitral valve abnormalities, including MAD, and with higher rates of severe arrhythmic events during follow-up. Performing an exercise test, combined with the clinical and echocardiographic assessments, may therefore offer important complementary information useful for patient management.

Background Left ventricular (LV) end‐systolic enlargement in severe degenerative mitral‐regurgitation (MR) is a class I surgical trigger. Whether it occurs disproportionately to less‐than‐severe MR due to mitral valve prolapse and is associated with mortality are unknown. We aimed to analyze prevalence and association with survival of disproportionate LV enlargement in less‐than‐severe MR. Methods A multicenter cohort international study enrolled 2848 consecutive patients (52% women, 69±16 years) with degenerative MR prospectively quantified and graded mild or moderate. Primary end point was survival under medical management. Secondary outcome was survival throughout follow‐up stratified by performance of early mitral surgery within 3 months postdiagnosis. Results Among LV remodeling parameters (abnormal end‐diastolic diameter, LV end‐systolic diameter [LVESD] absolute and indexed), LVESD ≥40 mm (present in 12.4%) was the sole independent associate of reduced survival (5‐year 70±3 versus 76±9%; P =0.009). LVESD ≥40 mm was independently linked to larger body surface area, effective regurgitant orifice, and left atrium, and to male sex and diabetes. With multivariable comprehensive adjustment, LVESD ≥40 mm (adjusted hazard ratio [aHR], 1.25 [95% CI, 1.005–1.53]; P =0.04) remained associated with excess mortality under medical management, even after adjustment for lowered ejection fraction (aHR, 1.49 [95% CI, 1.13–1.95]; P =0.004) and in all patient subsets. Among patients with moderate degenerative MR and LVESD ≥40 mm, 22% underwent mitral surgery within 3 months, which was associated with superior survival, even after comprehensive adjustment (aHR, 0.11 [95% CI, 0.005–0.51]; P =0.002). Conclusions Disproportionate LV enlargement in patients with less‐than‐severe degenerative MR is common, particularly with larger bodies, regurgitation, and overall cardiac remodeling. LVESD ≥40 mm is associated with worse survival independent of all baseline characteristics, even lowered ejection fraction, and represents a marker for risk stratification of patients who are generally not yet considered for medical or surgical/interventional treatment.

Background Atrial fibrillation (AF) impacts management decisions in valvular heart disease but its significance in patients with chronic aortic regurgitation (AR) is not well established. Objectives To evaluate the prevalence and prognostic role of AF in patients with chronic, haemodynamically significant AR. Methods Adults with chronic ≥moderate-to-severe AR, from March 2004 to April 2019, were retrospectively identified. Those with acute AR, moderate or worse other valve disease or prior valve surgery were excluded. Patients with AF were identified based on 12-lead ECGs, 1-lead ECGs (showing AF for ≥30 s), or episodes recorded by implanted cardiac devices. Primary outcome was all-cause mortality. Cox regression models were used to assess associations with mortality: model 1 adjusted for age, symptoms (New York Heart Association class II–IV), Charlson Comorbidity Index, left ventricle (LV) end-systolic volume index and AF; model 2 added left atrial volume index and model 3 further added systolic pulmonary artery pressure. Results Of the 1006 included patients (age 59±18 years; 822 (82%) men), 446 (46%) had hypertension and 364 (36%) had a bicuspid aortic valve. AF was present in 161 (16%) patients at the time of ≥moderate-to-severe AR diagnosis. During a median follow-up of 1.6 years (IQR 0.2–6.2), AF was associated with an increased mortality risk in univariate and in all three multivariable models (HR 1.61 (95% CI 1.07 to 2.43), HR 2.21 (95% CI 1.31 to 3.72) and HR 2.06 (95% CI 1.21 to 3.52), respectively), including after propensity matching (HR 1.58 (95% CI 1.01 to 2.48)). Conclusions AF is present in one in six patients with chronic≥moderate-to-severe AR and is associated with an increased risk of mortality even after adjusting for measures of LV systolic and diastolic function. There is a need for future prospective studies to validate these findings and evaluate AF as a potential trigger for early surgery.

ABSTRACT Background Incident atrial functional mitral regurgitation (AFMR) is associated with mortality. Transcatheter edge‐to‐edge repair (TEER) has shown effectiveness in improving MR and symptoms in AFMR, but previous studies lacked comparison to conservative management. We aimed to study the association of AFMR severity and mitral TEER with symptoms, heart failure hospitalizations (HFH) and all‐cause mortality in moderate/severe AFMR. Methods Consecutive adults with moderate/severe AFMR managed conservatively or with TEER 2010−2023 were identified retrospectively. To ensure similar technique in evaluation in the two groups, variables were obtained from the closest transthoracic echocardiogram before TEER in the TEER group. In addition to multivariable analysis, the association of TEER (vs. conservative management) with HFH and mortality was assessed using propensity‐score matched analyses; the propensity score was based on age, sex, EuroSCORE II, effective regurgitant orifice area, integrative MR severity, and NYHA class III/IV (vs. I/II). Results Among 230 patients with moderate/severe AFMR [mean age 77; 56% females], 46 were managed with TEER. Severe (vs. moderate) AFMR was independently associated with baseline NYHA class III/IV (multivariable OR 2.18 [95% CI 1.13−4.26]) and HFH [multivariable HR 2.75 (95% CI 1.25−6.03)] but not mortality ( p = 0.26). TEER improved MR to ≤ moderate in 93% but was not associated with lower HFH or death rates versus conservative management on multivariable or matched analysis. However, 1‐year NYHA improved more with TEER versus conservative management in patients with baseline NYHA class III/IV (62% vs. 27%, p = 0.03). Rhythm control was associated with improved survival (HR 0.38 [0.15−0.98]). Conclusions AFMR severity was associated with symptoms and HFH but not mortality. MR severity and NYHA class improved with TEER, but the association of TEER with HF hospitalizations or death remains unproven. Randomized studies are needed to evaluate the potential role of TEER and rhythm control on outcomes in AFMR.