Citations

SummaryBackgroundRefractory coeliac disease is a severe complication of coeliac disease with heterogeneous outcome.AimTo create a prognostic model to estimate survival of patients with refractory coeliac disease.MethodsWe evaluated predictors of 5‐year mortality using Cox proportional hazards regression on subjects from a multinational registry. Bootstrap resampling was used to internally validate the individual factors and overall model performance. The mean of the estimated regression coefficients from 400 bootstrap models was used to derive a risk score for 5‐year mortality.ResultsThe multinational cohort was composed of 232 patients diagnosed with refractory coeliac disease across seven centres (range of 11–63 cases per centre). The median age was 53 years and 150 (64%) were women. A total of 51 subjects died during a 5‐year follow‐up (cumulative 5‐year all‐cause mortality = 30%). From a multiple variable Cox proportional hazards model, the following variables were significantly associated with 5‐year mortality: age at refractory coeliac disease diagnosis (per 20 year increase, hazard ratio = 2.21; 95% confidence interval, CI: 1.38–3.55), abnormal intraepithelial lymphocytes (hazard ratio = 2.85; 95% CI: 1.22–6.62), and albumin (per 0.5 unit increase, hazard ratio = 0.72; 95% CI: 0.61–0.85). A simple weighted three‐factor risk score was created to estimate 5‐year survival.ConclusionsUsing data from a multinational registry and previously reported risk factors, we create a prognostic model to predict 5‐year mortality among patients with refractory coeliac disease. This new model may help clinicians to guide treatment and follow‐up.

Abstract Background Patients with mild autosomal dominant polycystic kidney disease (ADPKD) are less likely to be informative in randomized clinical trials (RCTs). We previously developed an imaging classification of ADPKD (typical diffuse cyst distribution Class 1A–E and atypical cyst distribution Class 2) for prognostic enrichment design in RCTs. We investigated whether using this classification would have increased the power to detect a beneficial treatment effect of rigorous blood pressure (BP) control on HALT-PKD participants with early disease (Study A). Methods Post hoc analysis of the early disease HALT-PKD study, an RCT that studied the effect of rigorous versus standard BP control on rates of total kidney volume (TKV) increase and estimated glomerular filtration rate (eGFR) decline in ADPKD patients with eGFR >60 mL/min/1.73 m2. Results Five hundred and fifty-one patients were classified by two observers (98.2% agreement) into Class 1A (6.2%), 1B (20.3%), 1C (34.1%), 1D (22.1%), 1E (11.8%) and 2 (5.4%). The TKV increase and eGFR decline became steeper from Class 1A through 1E. Rigorous BP control had been shown to be associated with slower TKV increase, without a significant overall effect on the rate of eGFR decline (faster in the first 4 months and marginally slower thereafter). Merging Classes 1A and 2 (lowest severity), 1B and 1C (intermediate severity) and 1D and 1E (highest severity) detected stronger beneficial effects on TKV increase and eGFR decline in Class 1D and E with a smaller number of patients. Conclusions Strategies for prognostic enrichment, such as image classification, should be used in the design of RCTs for ADPKD to increase their power and reduce their cost.

Background Since 1972, patients with large nasal perforations, who were symptomatic, and who were not candidates for surgery, had the option of custom prosthetic closure at Mayo Clinic. Although septal prostheses have helped many patients, 27% of pre-1982 patients chose not to keep the prosthesis in place. Two-dimensional computed tomography (CT) sizing resulted in more of the patients choosing to retain the prosthesis. The introduction of three-dimensional (3-D) printing to the sizing process offered the potential of further improved retention by refinement in prosthesis fit. Objective To describe the fabrication of nasal septal prostheses by using 3-D printing for sizing and to compare the retention rate of 3-D-sized prostheses with those that used previous sizing methods. Methods Twenty-one consecutive patients who had placement of septal prostheses sized by using 3-D printed templates were studied. CT image data were used to print 3-D templates of the exact shape of the patient's septal perforation, and medical-grade silastic prostheses were fabricated to fit. In four cases, the 3-D printed template allowed preoperative surgical simulation. Metrics collected included prosthesis retention; symptoms, including intranasal crusting and epistaxis; and previous prosthetic closure failures. Results Twenty of the twenty-one patients had improvement in symptoms. The mean diameter of the perforations was 2.4 cm; the mean closure time by the end of the study period was 2.2 years. All but two patients chose to keep their prosthesis in place, for a retention rate of 90%. Seven patients with successful closure had failed previously with prior prosthesis sized without the current 3-D printing methodology. This 90% retention rate exceeded the previous rates before the introduction of 3-D sizing. Conclusion Sizing done by 3-D printing for prosthetic closure of nasal septal perforations resulted in a higher retention rate in helping patients with these most-challenging nasal septal perforations.

Objective S100A8/A9 (calprotectin) has shown promise as a biomarker for predicting relapse in antineutrophil cytoplasmic antibody (ANCA)–associated vasculitis (AAV). This study was undertaken to investigate serum S100A8/A9 level as a biomarker for predicting future relapse in a large cohort of patients with severe AAV. Methods Serum levels of S100A8/A9 were measured at baseline and months 1, 2, and 6 following treatment initiation in 144 patients in the Rituximab in ANCA‐Associated Vasculitis trial (cyclophosphamide/azathioprine versus rituximab [RTX] for induction of remission) in whom complete remission was attained. Results Patients were divided into 4 groups: proteinase 3 (PR3)–ANCA with relapse (n = 37), PR3‐ANCA without relapse (n = 56), myeloperoxidase (MPO)–ANCA with relapse (n = 6), and MPO‐ANCA without relapse (n = 45). Serum S100A8/A9 level decreased in all groups during the first 6 months of treatment. The percentage reduction from baseline to month 2 was significantly different between patients who experienced a relapse and those who did not in the PR3‐ANCA group ( P = 0.046). A significantly higher risk of relapse was associated with an increase in S100A8/A9 level between baseline and month 2 ( P = 0.0043) and baseline and month 6 ( P = 0.0029). Subgroup analysis demonstrated that patients treated with RTX who had increased levels of S100A8/A9 were at greatest risk of future relapse ( P = 0.028). Conclusion An increase in serum S100A8/A9 level by month 2 or 6 compared to baseline identifies a subgroup of PR3‐ANCA patients treated with RTX who are at higher risk of relapse by 18 months. Since RTX is increasingly used for remission induction in PR3‐ANCA–positive patients experiencing a relapse, S100A8/A9 level may assist in identifying those patients requiring more intensive or prolonged treatment.

Background— Congenital long QT syndrome (LQTS) is characterized by QT prolongation. However, the QT interval itself is insufficient for diagnosis, unless the corrected QT interval is repeatedly ≥500 ms without an acquired explanation. Further, the majority of LQTS patients have a corrected QT interval below this threshold, and a significant minority has normal resting corrected QT interval values. Here, we aimed to develop and validate a novel, quantitative T wave morphological analysis program to differentiate LQTS patients from healthy controls. Methods and Results— We analyzed a genotyped cohort of 420 patients (22±16 years, 43% male) with either LQT1 (61%) or LQT2 (39%). ECG analysis was conducted using a novel, proprietary T wave analysis program that quantitates subtle changes in T wave morphology. The top 3 discriminating features in each ECG lead were determined and the lead with the best discrimination selected. Classification was performed using a linear discriminant classifier and validated on an untouched cohort. The top 3 features were Tpeak–Tend interval, T wave left slope, and T wave center of gravity x axis (last 25% of the T wave). Lead V6 had the best discrimination. It could distinguish 86.8% of LQTS patients from healthy controls. Moreover, it distinguished 83.33% of patients with concealed LQTS from controls, despite having essentially identical resting corrected QT interval values. Conclusions— T wave quantitative analysis on the 12-lead surface ECG provides an effective, novel tool to distinguish patients with either LQT1/LQT2 from healthy matched controls. It can provide guidance while mutation-specific genetic testing is in motion for family members.

Abstract Background Therapeutic options for management of diabetic gastroparesis are limited. Failure to maintain upregulation of heme oxygenase ( HO 1) leads to loss of interstitial cells of Cajal and delayed gastric emptying ( GE ) in non‐obese diabetic mice. Our hypothesis was that hemin upregulation of HO 1 would restore normal GE in humans with gastroparesis. Aims To compare effects of hemin and placebo infusions on HO 1 activity and protein, GE , autonomic function, and gastrointestinal symptoms in diabetic gastroparesis. Methods In a single‐center, double‐blind, placebo‐controlled, randomized clinical trial, we compared intravenous hemin, prepared in albumin, or albumin alone (placebo) in 20 patients, aged 41 ± 5 ( SEM ) years with diabetic gastroparesis. After infusions on days 1, 3, and 7, weekly infusions were administered for 7 additional weeks. Assessments included blood tests for HO 1 protein and enzyme activity levels, GE with 13 C‐spirulina breath test, autonomic functions (baseline and end), and gastrointestinal symptoms every 2 weeks. Key Results Nine of 11 patients randomized to hemin completed all study procedures. Compared to placebo, hemin increased HO 1 protein on days 3 ( p = 0.0002) and 7 ( p = 0.008) and HO 1 activity on day 3 ( p = 0.0003) but not after. Gastric emptying, autonomic functions, and symptoms did not differ significantly in the hemin group relative to placebo. Conclusions & Inferences Hemin failed to sustain increased HO 1 levels beyond a week and did not improve GE or symptoms in diabetic gastroparesis. Further studies are necessary to ascertain whether more frequent hemin infusions or other drugs would have a more sustained effect on HO 1 and improve GE .