Sharrett, A. Richey

ImportanceMidlife vascular risk factors are associated with an elevated risk of dementia. However, the total contribution of vascular risk factors in midlife and late life with incident dementia is uncertain.ObjectiveTo quantify the proportion of incident dementia attributable to modifiable vascular risk factors measured in midlife and late life and to examine differences by apolipoprotein ε4 genotype, self-reported race, and sex.Design, Setting, and ParticipantsThis was a prospective cohort analysis of the Atherosclerosis Risk in Communities (ARIC) study using 33 years of follow-up (1987-2020). The setting included ARIC field centers (Jackson, Mississippi; Forsyth County, North Carolina; Minneapolis suburbs, Minnesota; Washington County, Maryland). Study baseline in Black and White participants with complete exposure and covariate data was set by age at risk factor measurement (45-54 years, 55-64 years, and 65-74 years). Data were analyzed from August 2023 to December 2024.ExposuresHypertension (systolic blood pressure [BP] ≥130 mm Hg, diastolic BP ≥80 mm Hg, or use of medication for BP), diabetes (fasting glucose ≥126 mg/dL, nonfasting glucose ≥200 mg/dL, self-reported physician’s diagnosis, or use of any diabetes medication), and current smoking (self-reported).Main Outcomes and MeasuresIncident dementia. Population attributable fractions were estimated by age 80 years, and separately after 80 years, from having at least 1 vascular risk factor by age at risk factor measurement.ResultsA total of 7731 participants were included in analysis of risk factors measured at age 45 to 54 years (4494 female [58%]; 2207 Black [29%]; 5524 White [71%]), 12 274 contributed to analysis of risk factors measured at age 55 to 64 years (6698 female [55%]; 2886 Black [24%]; 9388 White [76%]), and 6787 contributed to analysis of risk factors measured at age 65 to 74 years (3764 female [56%], 1375 Black [20%]; 5412 White [80%]). There were 801, 995, and 422 dementia cases by 80 years, respectively. The fraction of dementia by 80 years attributable to at least 1 vascular factor at age 45 to 54 years was 21.8% (95% CI, 14.3%-29.3%), at 55 to 64 years was 26.4% (95% CI, 19.1%-33.6%), and at 65 to 74 years was 44.0% (95% CI, 30.9%-57.2%). Attributable fractions for these factors were higher in apolipoprotein ε4 noncarriers at age 55 years and older (range, 33.3%-61.4%), Black individuals at age 45 years and older (range, 25.5%-52.9%), and female individuals at age 55 years and older (range, 29.2%-51.3%). Only 2% to 8% of dementia cases after 80 years were attributable to these factors.Conclusions and RelevanceResults of this cohort study suggest that between 22% and 44% of incident dementia cases by 80 years in the ARIC study were attributed to midlife and late-life vascular risk factors. Assuming causal relationships, maintaining optimal vascular health across the life course could mitigate a sizeable proportion of dementia risk by 80 years.

Introduction: Physical activity (PA) has been identified as a protective factor for dementia, but the mechanisms linking PA to brain health are unclear. To elucidate potential pathways linking PA to brain health, we tested the hypothesis that higher levels of late-life PA are associated with a lower burden of Alzheimer’s disease (AD) pathology, cerebrovascular disease, and neurodegeneration measured through brain imaging and plasma biomarkers. Methods: ARIC-NCS participants without dementia in 2011-13 and with measures of PA, 3T brain magnetic resonance imaging (MRI), and stored plasma samples were examined (n=1,771; mean age: 76.5 years; 40.5% male; 27.6% Black). Participants were classified as meeting or not meeting 2018 aerobic PA guidelines based on a standardized interviewer-administered questionnaire. MRI biomarkers included white matter hyperintensity (WMH) volume (cm 3 ), total brain volume (TBV) (cm 3 ), and cortical thickness (CT) (mm). Plasma biomarkers of the ratio of amyloid beta 42 to 40 (Aβ42/Aβ40), phosphorylated Tau-181 (p-Tau181), neurofilament light chain (NfL), and glial fibrillary acidic protein (GFAP) were measured using Quanterix Simoa immunoassays. All biomarkers were standardized to measures in 2011-13 to facilitate comparisons. Covariate-adjusted linear regression models estimated cross-sectional associations of PA with MRI or plasma biomarkers. Covariate-adjusted linear mixed effects models quantified associations of PA with the 5-year rate of change in a subset of participants with MRI (n=669) or plasma (n=651) biomarkers at both baseline and follow-up from 2011-19 (median follow-up: 5.4 years). Results: Meeting versus not meeting aerobic PA guidelines was cross-sectionally associated with lower volumes of WMH (β = -0.16, 95% CI: -0.25, -0.07), higher TBV (β = 0.09; 95% CI: 0.05, 0.13), and lower plasma NfL (β = -0.102, 95% CI: -0.184, -0.021) ( Figure ). Late-life PA was not associated with 5-year rates of change in MRI or plasma biomarkers. Conclusions: Late-life PA was cross-sectionally associated with less neurodegeneration and cerebrovascular disease. Associations with 5-year changes in imaging and plasma biomarkers of AD pathology, cerebrovascular disease, or neurodegeneration were not statistically supported. Longitudinal biomarker studies with wearable devices that quantify other daily intensity-based movement metrics (e.g., light PA) and larger sample sizes are needed to further examine mechanisms linking PA to brain health.

Introduction: Physical activity (PA) has been identified as a modifiable factor inversely associated with cognitive decline and dementia risk. However, most longitudinal studies to date have short follow-up and report inconsistent results on the benefit of PA to support brain health among older adults. In this study, we hypothesized that higher levels of PA measured in late life would be associated with slower rates of global and domain-specific cognitive decline and a lower risk of dementia over ~10 years in late life. Methods: Dementia-free participants (n=5,982; mean age: 76 years; 42% male, 23% Black) who completed the interviewer-administered Modified Baecke PA Questionnaire at ARIC visit 5 (2011-2013) were included. Using the PA component of the American Heart Association’s Life’s Simple 7, participants’ PA levels were categorized as ideal, intermediate, or poor. Cognitive tests were administered at ARIC visits 5 (2011-13), 6 (2016-17), 7 (2018-19), 8 (2020), and 9 (2021-22), and were used to calculate factor scores for global cognitive function and the domains of memory, language, and executive function. Linear mixed models estimated the association of PA with change in cognitive function. Dementia cases were defined by adjudicated review, telephone interviews, informant interviews, hospitalization records, and death certificates. Dementia risk was estimated using Cox proportional hazards regression models. All models adjusted for age, sex, race-center, education, APOE-ε4 allele, smoking, hypertension, body mass index, and diabetes. Results: Participants with ideal or intermediate PA, compared to poor PA, had slower rates of decline in global cognition, but no significant differences in rates of decline across individual cognitive domains. Over a median follow-up of 7.8 years, participants with ideal (adjusted hazard ratio [HR] = 0.62, 95% CI: 0.60, 0.67) or intermediate (adjusted HR = 0.87, 95% CI: 0.80, 0.91) PA had a reduced risk of dementia compared to participants with poor PA. Conclusions: Higher PA levels in late life demonstrated a protective association with long-term global cognitive decline and incident dementia. Although further research with more frequent and objective measures of PA is needed to determine the duration, frequency, and intensity of PA recommended to promote brain health in older adults, our findings suggest that promoting PA among aging populations offers a non-invasive and accessible approach to support brain health.

Introduction: Vascular risk factors of hypertension, diabetes, and smoking in midlife (45-64 years) and possibly early late-life (65-74 years) are associated with increased risk of dementia. Current estimates of population attributable risk for dementia assume vascular factors are independent and do not interact to increase risk of dementia, which may underestimate the combined impact of vascular risk reduction on dementia incidence. In this study, we evaluated the joint association and interaction of vascular risk factors on risk of dementia. Methods: We performed a prospective cohort analysis using the Atherosclerosis Risk in Communities Neurocognitive Study using up to 33 years of follow-up (1987-2020). We used age as baseline (45-54 years, n=7,731; 55-64 years, n=12,273; and 65-74 years, n=6,660). We defined hypertension as systolic blood pressure ≥130 mm Hg, diastolic blood pressure ≥80 mm Hg, or anti-hypertension medication use. We defined diabetes as fasting glucose level ≥126 mg/dL, non-fasting glucose ≥200 mg/dL, self-reported physician diagnosis, or use of any diabetes medication. Current smoking was self-reported. We investigated additive and multiplicative interactions for combinations of vascular risk factors on incident (adjudicated) dementia by age 80 using joint effect variables in Cox regression models stratified by age of risk factor measurement (45-54 years, 55-64 years, or 65-74 years). For interaction analyses, parameter values >1 indicate positive interaction (synergy) and values <1 indicate negative interaction (antagonism). Results: In participants with risk factors measured in these baseline age strata, there were 801 (10%), 995 (8%), and 422 (6%) cases of incident dementia by age 80, respectively. Hypertension and diabetes exhibited positive interactions on the additive and multiplicative scales in midlife (Figure 1). Diabetes and smoking in midlife had positive additive interaction (value >1, Figure 2). All vascular risk factor combinations in late-life had negative interactions on the multiplicative scale (values <1, Figures 1-3). Conclusions: Hypertension with diabetes and diabetes with smoking, all measured in midlife, interact to increase risk of dementia by age 80. The overall impact of reducing midlife vascular risk factors on incident dementia could be sizeable. These findings highlight the importance of multifactor interventions addressing combinations of vascular risk factors for dementia prevention strategies.

Background Mild cognitive impairment (MCI) represents a stage between cognitively normal and Alzheimer's disease. Despite much published research on MCI, there continues to be a knowledge gap of volumetric brain changes in MCI versus cognitively normal (CN) in racially diverse, community-based samples. Objective The study aimed to understand differences in volume of selected brain regions in individuals with MCI versus those who are cognitively normal. Methods This was a cross-sectional study with 1835 participants, which sampled all cognitively impaired participants (n = 667) and a subsample of cognitively normal participants from the ARIC neurocognitive study (ARIC-NCS). All individuals underwent a brain MRI. Two models (5 versus 22 regions of interest [ROI]) were built to analyze differences in brain volume between cognitively normal and MCI, and among 3 cognitive domains (memory, language, executive function). Using previous visits data, we estimated the standard deviations of 20-year cognitive decline equivalent to the difference in brain volume between MCI and CN. Results Every lobe was significantly smaller in individuals with MCI, with the largest difference observed in the temporal lobe. Moreover, there was a significant difference between MCI and CN in every subregion within the temporal lobe. The difference in volume between CN and MCI was equivalent to the total brain volume difference associated with a 1.24 standard deviation greater long-term cognitive decline. Conclusions Loss of volume in all cortical lobes, but particularly in the temporal lobe, was associated with MCI. Additionally, significant volume differences were observed in the temporal lobe in all three cognitive domains.

AbstractBackgroundBlood‐based biomarkers show promise as a noninvasive, inexpensive method for measuring Alzheimer’s disease pathology throughout the lifecourse. However, the predictive and classification accuracy of these biomarkers at different stages of the lifecourse and among diverse, community‐dwelling populations requires further investigation.MethodBetween 2014 and 2015, 329 dementia‐free participants from the Atherosclerosis Risk in Communities Study underwent brain magnetic resonance imaging (MRI) and florbetapir positron emission tomography (PET). Amyloid positivity was defined as a global cortex standardized uptake value ratio greater than 1.2. Stored plasma samples collected in midlife (1993‐95, mean age 58.5 years) and late‐life (2011‐13, mean age 76.2 years) from a subsample of 259 participants were assayed in 2022 using Quanterix SiMoA. The assay quantified amyloid‐β (Aβ)42/40, phosphorylated tau at threonine 181 (p‐Tau181), neurofilament light (NfL), and glial fibrillary acidic protein (GFAP). Unadjusted and covariate‐adjusted logistic regression models estimated the association between plasma biomarkers from midlife and late‐life and amyloid positivity in late‐life. Unadjusted receiver operating characteristic curves documented the classification accuracy of the plasma biomarkers separately and collectively.ResultThe sample (Table 1) included 151 women (58.1%), 105 Black participants (40.4%), and 136 (52.3%) participants with amyloid positivity. In models adjusted for demographics, lifestyle factors, cardiovascular factors, and the presence of APOE ε4 alleles, assays measured in midlife were not associated with amyloid positivity in late‐life (Table 2). However, late‐life measurements of Aβ42/40, p‐Tau181, and GFAP and change per decade from midlife to late‐life in p‐Tau181 and GFAP were associated with greater odds of amyloid positivity. The greatest classification accuracy (Figure 1) was achieved by using all assays measured in midlife and late‐life (AUC = 0.754), although the accuracy when using only late‐life measures was comparable (AUC = 0.737).ConclusionLate‐life plasma biomarkers of Alzheimer's disease neuropathology and astrogliosis were associated with late‐life amyloid positivity, but midlife plasma biomarkers obtained 16 to 20 years earlier did not exhibit a statistically significant association. Additional longitudinal research is needed to determine whether changes in plasma biomarkers measured before an individual is classified as amyloid positive can be used to identify individuals at risk of developing Alzheimer's disease.

AbstractBackgroundWeakened white matter (WM) integrity is highly associated with dementia risk. Still, not everyone with WM changes develops dementia, suggesting the important role modifiable lifestyle factors may have in reducing dementia risk. We investigated how social relationships in mid‐life may modify the association between WM integrity and incident dementia risk within race and sex subgroups.MethodIn 1,679 Atherosclerosis Risk in Community (ARIC) study participants who were dementia‐free in mid‐life, psychosocial health was assessed via self‐reported questionnaires and participants were classified as having strong or poor social relationships in mid‐life (visit 2: 1990‐1992). Through diffusion tensor imaging, WM integrity was evaluated with 3T brain MRI (visit 5: 2011 – 2013); fractional anisotropy (FA) and mean diffusivity (MD) were estimated. Incident dementia cases were identified from visit 5 through December 31, 2019, with ongoing surveillance. Relative contributions of social relationships and WM integrity to incident dementia were evaluated in Cox‐proportional hazard regression models with race and race‐sex as interaction terms, and in stratified models (White Females, Black Females, White Males, Black Males).ResultSignificant three‐way interactions were observed between race, WM integrity, and mid‐life social relationships (p‐interaction<0.01). In Black participants with strong mid‐life social relationships, higher MD (hazard ratio (HR): 0.93, 95% CI: 0.63 – 1.38) and lower FA (HR: 1.25, 95% CI: 0.84 – 1.86) were not associated with the risk of dementia, although in Black participants with poor social relationships, higher MD remained a significant risk factor for dementia. However, across all White participants, higher MD and lower FA were associated with the risk of dementia, regardless of mid‐life social relationships (Table 1; Figure 1). Analysis of three‐way interactions between race‐sex, WM integrity, and mid‐life social relationships suggested that effect modification by mid‐life social relationships was most evident in Black Females, respective to other groups (Table 2; Figure 1).ConclusionThe contribution of WM integrity to dementia risk may be lower in Black participants with strong social relationships in mid‐life, particularly in Black Females. Further understanding of how contextual social factors may influence brain health in diverse populations should be examined in future studies and intervention efforts.

BACKGROUND: Associations between magnetic resonance imaging markers of cerebral small vessel disease (CSVD) and dementia risk in older adults have been established, but it remains unclear how lifestyle factors, including psychosocial health, may modify this association. METHODS: Social support and social isolation were assessed among participants of the community-based ARIC (Atherosclerosis Risk in Communities) Study, via self-reported questionnaires (1990–1992). Following categorization of both factors, participants were classified as having strong or poor mid-life social relationships. At visit 5 (2011–2013), participants underwent 3T brain magnetic resonance imaging quantifying CSVD measures: white matter hyperintensity volume, microbleeds (subcortical), infarcts (lacunar), and white matter integrity (diffusion tensor imaging). Incident dementia cases were identified from the time of imaging through December 31, 2020 with ongoing surveillance. Associations between CSVD magnetic resonance imaging markers and incident dementia were evaluated using Cox proportional-hazard regressions adjusted for demographic and additional risk factors (from visit 2). Effect modification by mid-life social relationships was evaluated. RESULTS: Of the 1977 participants with magnetic resonance imaging, 1617 participants (60.7% women; 26.5% Black participants; mean age at visit 2, 55.4 years) were examined. In this sample, mid-life social relationships significantly modified the association between white matter hyperintensity volume and dementia risk ( P interaction=0.001). Greater white matter hyperintensity volume was significantly associated with risk of dementia in all participants, yet, more substantially in those with poor (hazard ratio, 1.84 [95% CI, 1.49–2.27]) versus strong (hazard ratio, 1.26 [95% CI, 1.08–1.47]) mid-life social relationships. Although not statistically significant, subcortical microbleeds in participants with poor mid-life social relationships were associated with a greater risk of dementia, relative to those with strong social relationships, in whom subcortical microbleeds were no longer associated with elevated dementia risk. CONCLUSIONS: The elevated risk of dementia associated with CSVD may be reduced in participants with strong mid-life social relationships. Future studies evaluating psychosocial health through the life course and the mechanisms by which they modify the relationship between CSVD and dementia are needed.

AbstractINTRODUCTIONThis study aimed to assess whether social relationships in mid‐life reduce the risk of dementia related to amyloid burden.METHODSParticipants in the Atherosclerosis Risk in Communities (ARIC) study were assessed for social support and isolation (visit 2; 1990–1992). A composite measure, “social relationships,” was generated. Brain amyloid was evaluated with florbetapir positron emission tomography (PET); (visit 5; 2012–2014). Incident dementia cases were identified following visit 5 through 2019 using ongoing surveillance. Relative contributions of mid‐life social relationships and elevated brain amyloid to incident dementia were evaluated with Cox regression models.RESULTSAmong 310 participants without dementia, strong mid‐life social relationships were associated independently with lower dementia risk. Elevated late‐life brain amyloid was associated with greater dementia risk.DISCUSSIONAlthough mid‐life social relationships did not moderate the relationship between amyloid burden and dementia, these findings affirm the importance of strong social relationships as a potentially protective factor against dementia.