Tefferi, Ayalew

Abstract Background Myeloproliferative neoplasms (MPNs) can progress from chronic phase to accelerated or blast phase (MPN-AP/BP), a transition with poor prognosis and limited treatment options. While some abnormalities have been described, the genomic and clonal drivers of transformation remain poorly defined. We characterized mutational and structural alterations in MPN-AP/BP, leveraging paired samples to trace clonal evolution. Methods We profiled 186 samples from 160 individuals, including 159 MPN-AP/BP and 27 chronic-phase MPN samples (26 MF, 1 PV), using targeted sequencing of a 588 gene panel (mean depth: 709x). Paired pre- and post-transformation samples were available for 26 patients (n= 52). A consensus pipeline was used to detect somatic mutations, copy number variations (CNVs), and copy-neutral loss of heterozygosity (cnLOH). Clinical cytogenetic data were integrated when available. Single-cell validation is ongoing. Results Genomic complexity was widespread: 99% of patients harbored ≥1 oncogenic mutation (median 4; range 1–10). In total, 859 mutations were identified, most commonly in JAK2 (68%), ASXL1 (28%), TET2 (26%), SRSF2 (24%), TP53 (22%), and RUNX1 (22%). 684 structural alterations were identified in 86% of patients (median 3; range 1-20), including arm-level (22.5%), segmental (>5 Mb; 60%), and focal (<2 Mb; 9%) alterations. Recurrent events included 9p cnLOH (16%), del(5q) (13%), del(17p) (10%), and focal deletion of 21q22.12 involving RUNX1 (10%). Complex karyotypes (≥3 abnormalities) were observed in 55% of patients. Biallelic mutations accounted for 21% (183/859) of mutations, affecting 58% of patients across 21 genes, most frequently JAK2 V617F (28%), TP53 (17%) and TET2 (14%). Patients with biallelic mutations in these genes had significantly higher blast percentages compared to those with monoallelic mutations (p<0.05), highlighting an association with aggressive disease. In 26 patients with longitudinal samples (chronic phase MPN and MPN-AP/BP), 87% (125/144) of mutations were already detectable during the chronic phase, on average more than 7 years prior to transformation. Only 11% (16/144) of mutations were newly acquired, including additional RUNX1 and TP53 hits, or structural changes that converted pre-existing JAK2 V617F and TP53 R248Q mutations from monoallelic to biallelic via 9p cnLOH or 17p loss, respectively. These findings suggest transformation is often driven by outgrowth of pre-existing high-risk clones, indicating that these clones likely have a competitive advantage and that the mutations within these clones have a cooperative biological interaction which underlies this competitive advantage. To investigate this hypothesis, we examined whether patterns of recurrent co-mutations were identifiable in this cohort. We identified recurrent co-occurring mutations in SRSF2-IDH2, ASXL1-SRSF2, and ASXL1-EZH2, which were enriched at transformation (p < 0.05; Fisher exact test). Importantly, presence of these co-mutations was consistently associated with a higher transformation risk in two independent cohorts of MF patients from Mayo Clinic (n= 405) and University of Florence (n= 518). Clonal architecture analysis revealed that these co-mutations frequently arose within the same malignant clone: 100% for SRSF2-IDH2, 80% for ASXL1-SRSF2, and 85% for ASXL1-EZH2, and are often within the dominant clone. Prior studies have demonstrated mechanistic interplay between SRSF2 and IDH2 (Yoshimi et al.), as well as ASXL1 and SRSF2 (Sui et al.) mutations in myeloid malignancies. We assessed functional synergy of ASXL1-EZH2 using a murine model and identified that dual deletion caused a rapidly fatal myeloid neoplasm with shorter survival than single-gene loss. These results reinforce that functional synergy emerges within a shared cellular context, supporting clonal co-dependence as a driver of progression. Single-cell RNA sequencing of ASXL1-EZH2 mutant cases is ongoing and will be presented. Conclusions Transformation to MPN-AP/BP is driven by gradual clonal remodeling and expansion of pre-existing high-risk abnormalities. Biallelic and multi-hit alterations in TP53, JAK2, TET2, and RUNX1 promote clonal dominance and blast progression. Recurrent co-mutations such as IDH2-SRSF2 and ASXL1-EZH2 arise within the same clone, exhibit functional synergy, and are linked to poor outcomes. These findings support the clinical utility of early clonal and co-mutational profiling to guide risk-adapted intervention.

Abstract Background and Significance: Polycythemia vera (PV) is a myeloproliferative neoplasm associated with pathologic erythrocytosis, most often driven by somatic mutations in the JAK2 gene. A key treatment goal is maintaining hematocrit (HCT) below 45% to reduce thromboembolic complications. Current standard of care for patients diagnosed with PV, including phlebotomy (PHL) and cytoreductive therapies (CRT), can be burdensome, may lead to intolerable adverse effects, and often are associated with symptoms of iron deficiency. DISC-3405 is an investigational, novel, humanized immunoglobulin (Ig)G1 monoclonal antibody that targets transmembrane serine protease 6 (TMPRSS6, also known as matriptase 2) to stimulate endogenous production of hepcidin, a peptide hormone secreted by hepatocytes and the key regulator of iron homeostasis. In a randomized, placebo-controlled study in healthy volunteers (DISC-3405-101), DISC-3405 administered subcutaneously at doses between 37.5-300 mg was well-tolerated, resulted in dose-dependent pharmacokinetic (PK) profiles, significantly increased hepcidin production with corresponding reductions in serum iron levels, and reduced HCT (Liu et al, EHA 2025, PS2207). DISC-3405 is being developed as a potential treatment for patients with PV requiring HCT reduction, regardless of baseline risk or concurrent CRT. Study Design and Methods: This is a multi-center, open-label, 52-week Phase 2 study enrolling up to 20 patients with PV in the United States to assess the safety, tolerability, PK, pharmacodynamics (PD), and therapeutic effect of DISC-3405 on PV disease control as evidenced by HCT reduction and PHL requirements. After an observation period of 4-12 weeks, participants will be treated and followed for 52 weeks and dosed up to 300 mg every 2 weeks. After 52 weeks, participants can continue in an optional 2-year continuation phase where long-term safety and efficacy will continue to be assessed. The main efficacy endpoints of the study include the proportion of participants achieving therapeutic response, defined as absence of PHL eligibility; number of PHLs during the treatment period; and proportion of participants with HCT values <45% throughout the study. PHL eligibility is defined as (1) HCT ≥45% and ≥3% (absolute change) of pre-treatment values or (2) HCT >48%. Eligible participants include adults 18 or older who meet the 2022 World Health Organization diagnostic criteria for PV. Clinically acceptable laboratory values include HCT <45% prior to Day 1 (dosing) or HCT <48% if followed by a PHL within 2 weeks prior to first dose of study drug, white blood cells 4000/μL to 20,000/μL (inclusive), and platelets 100,000/μL to 1,000,000/μL (inclusive). Participants should have at least 3 PHL in 26 weeks or 5 PHL in the 52 weeks prior to screening, and at least 1 PHL within 12 weeks prior to screening. Participants receiving CRT must have been on the therapy for at least 6 months and on a stable PV treatment regimen, including hydroxyurea, interferon, or ruxolitinib, for at least 2 months. Participants treated with only PHL must have stopped CRT 6 months before screening. Key exclusion criteria include participants that require PHL at HCT levels <45%, clinically significant thrombosis within 2 months prior to study treatment, active or chronic bleeding, estimated glomerular filtration rate of <30 mL/min/1.73 m2, and history of invasive malignancies within the last 5 years, except localized cured prostate cancer and cervical cancer, or other malignancies deemed acceptable in discussion with the Sponsor. The study will enroll participants from approximately 15-20 sites in the United States. Additional details can be found at https://clinicaltrials.gov/study/NCT06985147.

Abstract Introduction Chronic myelomonocytic leukemia (CMML) is a myeloid neoplasm with overlapping features of myelodysplastic syndromes (MDS) and myeloproliferative neoplasms (MPN). Blast transformation (BT) is a frequent complication of CMML with a 3-year risk of approximately 31%. MPN driver mutations (i.e., JAK2, CALR, MPL) are known to occur in CMML but their impact on overall survival (OS) or BT remains uncertain. Methods The current study was conducted under institutional review board approved minimum risk protocols that allowed retrospective collection and analysis of patient data. Diagnostic criteria were according to the International Consensus Classification (Blood 2022; 140:1200). For survival analysis, patients were censored at the time of allogeneic stem cell transplant (ASCT). All statistical analyses were conducted using JMP Pro 17.0.0 software (SAS Institute, Cary, NC, USA) and Bluesky Statistics Software (Worldwide Headquarters, Chicago, IL, USA). Results A total of 612 CMML patients were considered (median age 71 years; 68% males). MPN driver mutations (MPNMUT) were detected in 56 (9%) patients, including 43 (77%) with JAK2, 10 (18%) MPL, and 3 (5%) CALR. The median variant allele frequencies were 44% for JAK2 (range, 0.3–100%), 49% for MPL (range, 0.3–97%), and 50% for CALR (range, 20–80%). Age and sex distributions and CMML-1 vs. CMML-2 representation were similar between CMML patients with and without MPNMUT. On the other hand, CMML patients with MPNMUT were more likely to display higher hemoglobin level (p <0.01), platelet count (p <0.01), absolute neutrophil count (p = 0.02) and leukocytosis (≥13 ×109/L; p <0.01); they were also less likely to be red blood transfusion dependent (p <0.01), display platelet counts of <100 ×109/L (p <0.01) or abnormal karyotype (p= 0.03), present with severe anemia (p= 0.03) or harbor NRAS mutation (p = 0.02). Higher Mutational frequencies of SRSF2 (median 53% vs. 41%; p = 0.01), TP53 (median 8% vs. 2%; p = 0.02) and IDH2 (median 13% vs. 4%; p = 0.01) were noted in CMML patients with MPNMUT. During a median follow-up of 23 months (inter-quantile range 11-51 months) for all 612 CMML patients, 402 (67%) deaths, 118 (19%) BT and 108 (18%) ASCT were documented. Of these, 36 (9%) deaths, 18 (15%) BT and 13 (12%) ASCT occurred in patients with MPNMUT. Median OS for the entire group (N=612) was 32 months with 1-, 2- and 3-year OS rates of 78%, 58% and 47%, respectively. There was no significant difference in OS between CMML patients with or without MPNMUT (median 41 vs 31 months; p = 0.27). Thrombotic events were reported in 53 (9%) patients after diagnosis of CMML, including 48 venous and 5 arterial events. There was no significant difference in arterial (p = 0.10) or venous (p = 0.76) thrombosis-free survival between CMML patients with or without MPNMUT. Among all 612 patients with CMML, followed for a median of 18 months for living patients, 118 (19%) experienced BT, with 1-, 3-, and 5-year BT rates of 10.8%, 23.1%, and 31%, respectively. Cumulative incidence analysis function (CIF) was calculated in order to assess the BT-free survival while accounting for death as a competing risk; 3-year CIF was 30% for CMML patients with vs. 18% for those without MPNMUT (Gray's test; p = 0.01). This observation was confirmed in univariate analysis of time to BT (HR 1.7; p=0.03) as well as the corresponding multivariable analysis involving other mutations and clinical risk factors: MPNMUT (HR 1.8; 0.036), ASXL1MUT (HR 2.3; p<0.01), DNMT3AMUT (HR 2.6; p<0.01), CMML-2 vs. CMML-1 (HR 3.4; p<0.01), and leukocyte count ≥13 ×109/L (HR 2.0; p<0.01). SRSF2, IDH2, and TP53 mutations did not impact BT. Notably, the aforementioned risk factors for BT, including ASXL1MUT and DNMT3AMUT, were no longer significant when analysis was restricted to patients with MPNMUT. Conclusions The current study suggests a higher risk of BT in CMML patients with MPNMUT, independent of other molecular or clinical risk factors for BT. On the other hand, overall and thrombosis-free survival did not appear to be similarly influenced. The differential impact of previously recognized risk factors for BT in CMML (e.g., ASXL1MUT, DNMT3AMUT, CMML-2, CMML-MP), in the presence (lost significance) vs. absence (remained significant) of MPNMUT was intriguingly noted.

Abstract Background: Paroxysmal nocturnal hemoglobinuria (PNH) is a clonal hematopoietic stem cell disorder caused by PIGA mutations, resulting in complement-mediated hemolysis. Myeloproliferative neoplasms (MPNs) are also clonal hematopoietic stem cell disorders driven by mutations in JAK2, CALR, or MPL, and include polycythemia vera (PV), essential thrombocythemia (ET), and primary myelofibrosis (PMF). Although the coexistence of PNH and and MPN is rare, both entities are associated with anemia and an increased risk of thrombosis. The main objectives of the current study were to characterize the clinical phenotype, and evaluate treatment outcomes, including response to complement inhibition in patients with treatment-requiring PNH and MPN. Methods A Mayo Clinic database search was conducted following Institutional Review Board approval to identify patients with PNH and MPN. Between January 2000 and June 2025, 11 patients had a pathologic diagnosis of MPN per the International Consensus Classification, and PNH requiring therapy. Clinical features, including hemolysis and/or thrombosis, and therapeutic interventions were recorded. Results The study cohort included 11 patients (median age 63 years; 73% male) with MPN (6 with PMF, 3 ET, 1 post-ET MF, 1 post-PV MF) in whom PNH was diagnosed concurrently (n=5), or at a median of 9 years (range: 2-15) after MPN diagnosis (n=6). In 9 of 11 patients (82%), PNH workup was initiated due to hemolytic anemia, while in 2 patients (18%), it was prompted by splanchnic vein thrombosis. Transfusion-dependent anemia was present in 6 patients (54%). PNH clone size [median (range)] was 0.58% (0–10.96%) in red blood cells, 18.82% (0–91.2%) in granulocytes, and 23.27% (0–98.8%) in monocytes. MPN driver mutations were evaluated in 8 cases and identified mutations in JAK2 (n=3), CALR (n=4), and MPL (n=1); two additional cases were negative for JAK2 mutations. Next-generation sequencing (NGS) was performed in 6 patients and identified ASXL1, ZRSR2, and SF3B1 mutations in one case each. Cytogenetic analysis (n =10) demonstrated an abnormal karyotype in 3 patients (30%), all of which were categorized as favorable risk. First-line treatment for PNH included complement inhibitors in 9 patients (82%), with eculizumab (n=8), or ravulizumab (n=1). Hemolysis was controlled in only 2 of 9 (22%) patients; one patient treated with eculizumab achieved durable anemia response for five years, while another patient achieved transfusion-independence within three months of eculizumab initiation. 3 patients underwent allogeneic stem cell transplant (ASCT); 2 achieved remission with follow up exceeding 5 years, while the third patient experienced PNH recurrence five months after transplant. The latter received donor lymphocyte infusions and eculizumab was re-initiated resulting in eradication of the PNH clone. Among patients treated with complement inhibitor and not transplanted, 4 of 6 (67%) were transfusion-dependent at last follow-up. Notably, one patient with PNH clone size of 91.19 % in granulocytes, had ongoing hemolysis despite dual complement blockade with ravulizumab and danicopan. Treatment for MPN included hydroxyurea (n=5), ruxolitinib (n=4), pacritinib (n=1), and erythropoiesis stimulating agents (n=4). Additionally, two patients each received antiplatelet therapy alone, anticoagulation alone, or a combination of antiplatelet and anticoagulation. During a median follow-up of 8.4 years (range, 0.6-19), 2 patients (18%) experienced venous thrombosis, and 1 patient (9%) had progression to myelodysplastic syndrome. 5 patients (45.5%) died, with sepsis as the cause of death in 3 cases. The incidence rate of thrombosis was 22 events per 1,000 person-years. Recurrent thrombosis was observed in a 68-year-old male with CALR-mutated MF and PNH clone size of 14.65% in granulocytes, with history of portal vein thrombosis. Despite treatment with eculizumab and low-molecular weight heparin, he developed thrombosis involving the inferior vena cava, common iliac, and hepatic veins. The second event occurred in a patient who developed deep venous thrombosis, while in remission and not on anticoagulation. Conclusion The current study represents the largest series of patients with treatment-requiring PNH and MPN. It reveals a predominance of MF patients, particularly among those harboring CALRmutations, and underlines suboptimal efficacy of complement inhibitor therapy in this patient population.

Abstract Background Blast transformation (BT) occurs in approximately 15-30% of patients with chronic myelomonocytic leukemia (CMML) and remains a leading cause of death. Allogeneic stem cell transplantation (ASCT) is currently the only treatment modality with the potential to cure the disease or prolong survival. Optimal timing of ASCT is critical for maximizing benefit while minimizing risks. To that end, contemporary risk models have focused on the prognostic relevance of individual, as opposed to concurrent mutations. In the current study, we looked into the possibility of prognostic prominence from concurrent mutations in predicting BT in CMML. Methods CMML diagnostic criteria were according to the International Consensus Classification (Arber et al. Blood 2022; 140:1200). A machine-learning hierarchical clustering algorithm was developed and tailored for patient stratification using survival outcomes and co-expression of genomic alterations. To reduce complexity and improve interpretability, we generalized each cluster using existing rule induction algorithms, including the in Trees framework and JRip. The final output was a set of mutation-based cluster definitions, each representing a distinct patient subgroup with similar survival trajectories. Competing risk analysis and cumulative incidence functions were used in downstream evaluation to validate the clinical distinctiveness of the clusters. For all survival analysis, patients were censored at the time of ASCT. Time-to-BT was calculated from the date of diagnosis to the date of BT or ASCT or last contact. BT-free-survival was calculated from the date of diagnosis to the date of BT, ASCT, death, or last contact. Results The core study cohort included 605 patients from the Mayo Clinic, USA, and the external validation cohort 501 patients from Humanitas Cancer Center, Milan, Italy. Using the patient cohort from the Mayo Clinic, machine-learning algorithms identified five molecular clusters with 3-year blast transformation (BT) rates ranging from 0% to 100% (AUC at 3 years 0.78): the order of molecular signature assignment (probability of BT/death from another cause) was i) PHF6MUT/ASXL1WT (0%/17% at 3 years; N=32), ii) NPM1MUT OR BCORMUT/ASXL1MUT OR SETBP1MUT/NRASMUT (48%/30% at 1 year; N=24), iii) RUNX1MUT/ASXL1MUT OR SRSF2MUT/NRASMUT OR EZH2MUT/ASXL1MUT OR SETBP1MUT OR BCORMUT (31%/55% at 3 years; N=132), iv) ASXL1MUT/TET2MUT OR DNMT3AMUT OR JAK2MUT (24%/28% at 3 years; N=123), and v) all other permutations (10%/40% at 3 years; N=294) [Figure 1]. Additional analysis confirmed significant differences in survival between RUNX1MUT/ASXL1MUT vs. RUNX1MUT/ASXL1WT (p<0.01) OR RUNX1WT/ASXL1WT (p<0.01) OR RUNX1WT/ASXL1MUT (p=0.038) [Figure 2]. Similar patterns of differences in survival were also documented for NRAS/SETBP1, ASXL1/EZH2, and NRAS/SRSF2 mutation combinations (Figure 2). A subsequent Cox regression analysis confirmed independent prognostic contributions from “PHF6MUT/ASXL1WT” (HR 5.43e-10; p<0.01), NPM1MUT (HR 26.7; p<0.01), “SETBP1MUT/NRASMUT” (HR 12.7; p<0.01), BCORMUT(HR 5.8; p<0.01), “RUNX1MUT/ASXL1MUT” (HR 2.3, p<0.01), JAK2MUT (HR 2.1; p<0.01), and “ASXL1MUT/TET2MUT” (HR 1.7; p=0.02). The prognostic relevance of “SETBP1MUT/NRASMUT”, “RUNX1MUT/ASXL1MUT”, NPM1MUT, and BCORMUT was validated in the external cohort from Italy (N=501). In the Mayo Clinic cohort, presence of any of the latter mutations was associated with 1-, 3-, and 5-year BT (death from other cause) rates of 27% (21%), 44% (49%), and 44% (51%), respectively (Figure 3). The corresponding values in the absence of high risk mutations were 7% (15%), 15% (37%), and 18% (52%) [Gray's p value <0.01 for both BT and death from another cause; Figure 3]. Similarly, the 1-, 3-, and 5-year BT (death from another cause) rates in the Italian cohort were 21% (19%), 37% (47%), and 42% (54%) in the presence and 8% (14%), 20% (35%), and 24% (45%) in the absence of high-risk mutations (Gray's p value <0.01 for BT and 0.18 for death from another cause; Figure 4). Conclusions In the current study, machine-learning algorithms enabled the discovery of concurrent mutations in CMML that were shown to be prognostically more significant than their individual constituents. Such prognostic interaction might have contributed to some of the discrepancies noted in current literature regarding the prognostic relevance of certain mutations in CMML and should be accounted for in the development of future risk models.

Abstract Recent updates to the monocyte count thresholds for diagnosing chronic myelomonocytic leukemia (CMML) have recognized oligomonocytic CMML (OM-CMML) as an early stage within the CMML spectrum. However, the clinical validity of these revised criteria remains uncertain without considering biological factors and might misclassify myelodysplastic syndromes (MDS) with mild monocytosis as CMML. To characterize the genomic landscape of OM-CMML, we evaluated OM-CMML (n=249), MDS (n=304) and myelodysplastic CMML (MD-CMML, n=358) patients (pts) treated at three academic institutions. Targeted next-generation sequencing was performed on bone marrow (BM) at initial diagnosis or first referral. OM-CMML was characterized by lower frequencies of biallelic TET2 (biTET2) and RAS pathway (RASp) gene mutations (BRAF, CBL, KRAS, NF1, NRAS and PTPN11) compared to MD-CMML (p<0.001) but higher frequencies than MDS (p<0.001). BM monocyte frequencies, assessed morphologically, were higher in OM-CMML than in MDS (p<0.001) but lower than in MD-CMML (p<0.001), indicating that OM-CMML is a heterogenous group including true CMML and distinct MDS subsets. Unsupervised hierarchical clustering based on genomic alterations across all cases (n=911) identified three distinct clusters: 1) TP53 alterations (predominantly multihit TP53) and complex karyotype (TP53-complex); 2) biTET2 or TET2-SRSF2 co-mutation (biTET2/SRSF2); 3) a heterogenous group lacking these features (not otherwise specifiable [NOS]). Among OM-CMML pts, 11%, 34% and 55% belonged to these clusters, respectively. Model-based unsupervised clustering further identified 9 unique clusters that could be consolidated into 6 groups: 1) TP53-complex; 2) biTET2/SRSF2; 3) SF3B1 (without biTET2 or SRSF2); 4) SRSF2 without TET2 and frequent IDH2 mutations (SRSF2-IDH2); 5) ASXL1 and U2AF1 mutations and copy number alterations (CNA-ASXL1/U2AF1); 6) no somatic mutations (No mutation). biTET2/SRSF2 group exhibited monocytic bias with higher AMC, PB and BM monocyte % even among OM-CMML cases. This bias was not attributed to higher RAS pathway mutation frequencies, as biTET2/SRSF2 cases had similar RASp mutation frequencies but lower median variant allele frequencies for RASp mutations compared to NOS cases (9% vs. 21%, p=0.029). PB monocyte partitioning using flow cytometry (FC) in a subset of OM-CMML pts (n=50) demonstrated higher frequency of classical monocytosis (>94% CD14+/CD16- monocytes) in biTET2/SRSF2 vs other OM-CMML. To further determine if biTET2/SRSF2 genotype defines a distinct biological subgroup, we performed RNA-sequencing of BM CD34+ cells from healthy donors (n=15) and pts with OM-CMML (n=12), MD-CMML (n=14) and MDS (n=55). Unsupervised clustering based on gene expression profiles revealed that biTET2/SRSF2 clustered irrespective of their diagnostic group with greater dispersion being observed based on diagnosis. MDS and CMML with biTET2/SRSF2 had less differentially expressed genes compared to MDS and CMML with biTET2/SRSF2 relative to other MDS and CMML genotypes. Among 138 OM-CMML pts in whom progression to overt CMML was evaluable, 37 (27%) progressed to overt CMML of which 26 (70%) belonged to the biTET2/SRSF2 group. Competing risk analysis confirmed higher cumulative incidence and shorter time to CMML progression among biTET2/SRSF2 OM-CMML. Using ElasticNet regression we identified BM monocytosis and 14 genomic variables (including biTET2 and TET2-SRSF2) as predictors of overt CMML progression among OM-CMML. We developed a score-based model able to predict progression with high reliability (AUC 0.805, sensitivity 0.70, specificity 0.76). Model accuracy was confirmed by optimism-corrected bootstrap internal validation (AUC 0.668). Monocytic bias, BM classical monocytosis (>94% CD16- monocytes) and higher overt CMML progression in biTET2/SRSF2 was confirmed in a validation cohort (28, 66 and 22 pts with OM-CMML, MDS and MD-CMML, respectively). BM monocytosis of biTET2/SRSF2 was confirmed in this cohort with morphologic and FC monocyte frequency quantification having high concordance (r=0.737, p<0.001). Genomic subgroup analysis discriminated survival outcomes more reliably than diagnostic categories alone. Our findings suggest that the presence of biTET2 or TET2-SRSF2 co-mutations, combined with BM monocytosis, can more reliably identify true CMML cases within the OM-CMML spectrum. Integrating genomic determinants into the CMML diagnostic framework enhances diagnostic accuracy.

Abstract Introduction: The 5th edition of the World Health Organization (WHO-5) and the International Consensus Classification (ICC) recognize TP53-mutated myeloid neoplasms (MN) as a distinct disease category, reflecting their uniformly dismal outcomes and the urgent need for novel therapeutic strategies. However, both classifications do not include TP53-non-mutatedcases with 17p (TP53 locus) loss, despite emerging evidence that such lesions may confer biologic and clinical behaviour similar to TP53-mutated disease. Our preliminary work demonstrated that 17p loss without TP53 mutation in therapy-related MN (t-MN) is associated with poor survival, approximating that of TP53-mutated cases (Hiwase et al., Blood 2023). Yet, the true frequency and prognostic impact of 17p loss in TP53-non-mutatedMN remains largely undefined, representing a critical gap in current disease classification and risk stratification. To address this critical knowledge gap, we aim to define the frequency and prognostic impact of 17p loss across the TP53 locus in TP53-non-mutatedMN, including both myelodysplastic syndromes (MDS) and acute myeloid leukemia (AML). Finally, we compared the survival outcomes of this cohort with those of TP53-mutated MN. Method This international collaborative study was designed to evaluate the frequency and prognostic significance of 17p loss in TP53-non-mutatedMN. We included MDS and AML patients who had conventional cytogenetic analysis and did not have TP53-mutation(TP53-non-mutated)by next-generation sequencing (NGS) with sensitivity of ≥2% variant allele frequency (VAF). These cases were systematically reviewed for 17p loss using karyotype data, and where available, fluorescence in situ hybridization (FISH) and SNP array were used to confirm the 17p/TP53 locus deletion. To assess the clinical impact, we compared the overall survival (OS) of TP53-non-mutatedcases with 17p loss against a reference cohort of TP53-mutated MNs with VAF ≥2% (n=603) (South Australian Myeloid Neoplasm Registry (SA-MN) and Mayo Clinic, Rochester, USA). Results We screened 8876 cases of TP53-non-mutatedMN cases across an international cohort comprising the SA-MN (Australia; n=1046), the Düsseldorf MDS Registry (Germany; n=545), Munich Leukaemia Laboratory (Germany; n=5785), and King's College Hospital, (United Kingdom; n=1500). We identified 85 (1%) cases with 17p loss across the TP53 locus, representing the largest international cohort to define the frequency of 17p loss in TP53-non-mutatedMN. Complex karyotype was present in 40% (n=34) of cases, frequently co-occurring with del(5q) and del(7q). Clinically, most cases were MDS (n=69; 81.2%), including MDS-IB1 (n=19), MDS-IB2 (n=15), MDS-LB (n=16), t-MDS (n=8), MDS/MPN overlap (n=3), CCUS (n=1), or unspecified MDS (n=7), while AML accounted for 16 cases (18.8%). Among evaluable cases, the majority were male (78.6%) and had a median age of 66.5 years at diagnosis. The most frequent cytogenetic abnormality causing 17p loss across the TP53 locus was monosomy 17 (39%), followed by i(17q) (29%), add (17p) (14%), derivative chromosome 17 from unbalanced translocations (11%), and del(17p) (7%). The majority represented de-novo MN (60%), with t-MN in 40% of cases. Median OS of evaluable 17p loss in TP53-non-mutatedcases (n=28; 10.2 months) was poor and comparable to TP53-mutated MN (n=603, 8.7 months; P=0.42). Similarly, survival censored for a stem cell transplant was also equally poor (10.4 vs. 8.7 months; P=0.34) in both groups. Complex vs. non-complex karyotype (7.7 vs. 10.7 months; P=0.68) did not significantly influence the OS of 17p loss. Median OS of MDS cases tended to be longer compared to AML (16.7 vs. 9.1 months; P=0.11), although not statistically significant. Conclusion: In this largest international study, 1% of TP53-non-mutatedMNs harbor 17p loss across the TP53 locus, displaying poor survival equivalent to TP53-mutated disease. Exclusive reliance on NGS to identify TP53 mutations misses these high-risk structural TP53 abnormalities, which are readily detectable by conventional karyotyping. These findings provide compelling evidence to include TP53-non-mutatedcases with 17p loss in the next revision of the classifications, enabling accurate prognostication and equitable access to curative and clinical trials of novel therapies.

Abstract Background: TP53-mutated (TP53mut) myeloid neoplasms (MN) are a biologically and clinically distinct subgroup of blood cancers associated with extremely poor outcomes and limited response to conventional therapies. In some patients, MN are preceded by clonal cytopenia of undetermined significance (CCUS). Prior cytotoxic exposure (treatment related, TR) is an independent predictor for survival in CCUS (Li et al, Blood Adv. 2024). As TP53mut CCUS and MN are enriched in TR cases, the interaction between cytotoxic exposure and TP53mut status on the risk of progression and survival remains unclear. Methods: Adult patients with CCUS who were evaluated at the Mayo Clinic or South Australian myelodysplastic syndrome (MDS) Registry (Adelaide, Australia) were included. CCUS and MDS were defined according to the 5th edition of the WHO classification for MN (Khoury et al, 2022), except for the exclusion of cases harboring MDS-defining cytogenetics. Next-generation sequencing was performed using a targeted panel covering genes commonly mutated in MN. In cases with >1 TP53mut, VAFs were summed. Survival outcomes were assessed by Kaplan-Meier with log-rank testing. Univariate and multivariate analyses were estimated using Cox proportional hazards regression. Results: Of 320 CCUS cases, 50 (15.6%) harbored TP53mut (TP53mut CCUS), whereas 270 (84.4%) were wild-type (TP53wt CCUS). Median age at diagnosis was 71 years (range 16-99). TP53mut CCUS had a greater proportion of females (60% vs 33.7%, p<0.001) and TR (66% vs 23%, p<0.001) compared to TP53wt. Hematologic parameters including hemoglobin, red cell distribution width, mean corpuscular volume, white blood count, absolute neutrophil count, platelets, and bone marrow blasts were comparable between the two groups. Almost all TP53mut (n=48, 96%) were located in the DNA-binding domain and the median variant allele frequency (VAF) was 9% (range 2-46%). Five (10%) cases harbored 2 TP53mut. The distribution of TP53mut VAF among patients was as follows: ≤2.5% (n=2), 2.5-5% (n=10), 5-10% (n=19), 10-20% (n=11), and ≥20% (n=7). The proportion of cases with cytogenetic abnormalities was smaller in TP53mut compared to TP53wt CCUS(12% vs 25.9%, p=0.035). Both cohorts had a comparable median number of mutations: 2 (range 0-7) in TP53mut and 2 (range 0-5) in TP53wt. The most common co-mutations in TP53mut CCUS were TET2 (n=8, 17.8%), PPMD1 (n=7, 15.6%), DNMT3A (n=6, 13.3%), ASXL1 (n=6, 13.3%), and SRSF2 (n=4, 8.9%). At last follow up, the rate of progression was comparable between TP53mut and TP53wt CCUS (12% vs 22%, p=0.13). Median time to MN progression was not reached in TP53mut and 6.25 months in TP53wt CCUS (p=0.5197). A significantly higher proportion of TP53mut cases acquired complex cytogenetics compared to TP53wt cases (33% vs 2%, p=0.024) at MN progression. Of 20 deaths observed in the TP53mut cohort, non-myeloid hematologic malignancies (n=6, 30%), infections (n=5, 25%), and TP53mut MN (n=4, 20%) were the 3 most common causes. With a median follow-up of 4 years (IQR 1.2-4.8), median OS was longer in de novo (dn) cases (8.7 years for dn TP53wt; not reached for dn TP53mut) and shorter in TR cases (3.3 years for TR TP53wt; 4.8 years for TR TP53mut). Notably, TP53mut showed no independent prognostic impact in the entire cohort, or when stratified by TR vs dn CCUS. On multivariate analysis that included TP53mut status, factors independently associated with inferior OS included prior therapy (HR 2.21, 95% CI 1.41-3.45, p<0.001), anemia (HR 4.1, 95% CI 1.88-8.99, p<0.001), and thrombocytopenia (HR 2.38, 95% CI 1.43-3.95, p<0.001). Similarly, TR CCUS (HR 1.6, 95% CI 1.06-2.4, p=0.03) and anemia (HR 2.15, 95% CI 1.25-3.7, p=0.006) were independently associated with inferior progression free survival. Conclusion: TP53 mut in CCUS did not independently predict inferior survival or increase leukemic transformation. While TP53mut CCUS were less likely to harbor cytogenetic abnormalities at diagnosis, significantly more cases harbored genomic instability at leukemic transformation. The poor outcomes attributed to TP53mut CCUS were driven by prior cytotoxic exposure, cytopenia – particularly anemia, and non-leukemic causes of death. These findings suggest risk stratification in CCUS should prioritize clinical context over TP53mut status alone.

Abstract Background Red blood cell distribution width (RDW) is an easily accessible diagnostic test that is underutilized as a prognostic marker, despite substantial supporting evidence in cancer, cardiovascular diseases, and helathy individuals (Pilling et al. PLoS One 2028;13:e0203504). The association between increased RDW and incident acute myeloid leukemia (AML) has long been suggested in healthy volunteers (Abelson et al. Nature 2019;559:400). We looked into a similar phenomenon in patients with polycythemia vera (PV) or essential thrombocythemia (ET) in large discovery and validation cohorts. Methods A machine learning (ML) approach was used to identify baseline clinical and laboratory parameters that were predictive of leukemic transformation (LT) and develop a predictive model in a large discovery cohort of PV and ET, obtained from electronic medical records of the Maccabi Healthcare Services (MHS; Tel-Aviv, Israel). Receiver operating characteristic (ROC) curve analysis was utilized to determine the optimal cutoff points for RDW and other continuous variables. Mayo Clinic databases (Rochester, MN, USA) for patients with PV and ET were utilized as validation cohorts. Identification of study patients in the latter was according to the International Consensus Classification (Arber et al. Blood 2022; 140:1200) while in the discovery cohort was based on presence of ICD-9 codes associated with documentation of disease-specific driver mutations or treatment records that are consistent. Statistical analyses were performed using the R statistical software 4.4.2 (November, 2024) (Foundation for Statistical Computing, Vienna, Austria) or JMP Pro 18.0.0 software (SAS Institute, Cary, NC, USA). Results The discovery cohorts from Israel included 4,592 patients with PV (median age 63 yesrs; 53% males) and 5,968 with ET (median age 61 yesrs; males 40%). The validation cohorts from the Mayo Clinic included 633 PV (median 65 years; 51% males) and 634 ET (median 60 years; females 64%) patients that were informative for RDW. In the discovery cohorts, median follow-up (incident AML) was 6.1 years (N=186; 4.1%) in PV and 6.1 years (N=85; 1.4%) in ET. The corresponding values for the validation cohorts were 6.6 years (N=24; 3.8%) in PV and 7.0 years (N=22; 3.5%) in ET. Discovery cohort analyses Covariate-adjusted Cox regression analysis was utilized to estimate associations between LT and several clinical variables followed by machine learning pipeline to predict LT in a given timeframe. Conversion from continuous to binary variables was accompliched by ROC analysis. Shapley Additive exPlanations (SHAP) application enabled selection of top-ranked features that included RDW >15.5 (HR 3.2, 1.1-9.5; p=0.03), age >60 years (HR 2.9, 1.4-5.9; p<0.01), and LDH >1.5 x UNL (HR 4.0 (1.6-10.0; p<0.01). A similar analysis in ET also identified RDW >15.5 (p<0.01), age >60 years (p=0.01) as well as male sex (p=0.03) as independent risk factors for LT. Subseqent risk models based on these risk factors were externally validated and enabled robust risk stratification with 10-20 year AUCs rangening from 0.75 to 0.81. Validation cohorts analyses The indpendent predictive value of increased RDW observed in the discovery cohort was confirmed in the validation cohorts for both PV and ET and further gender-specified: female/male RDW ≥16.4/15.8 in PV (HR 7.9, 1.9-33.8) and ≥16.1/14.4 in ET (HR 5.1, 2.2-11.9). Also confirmed were the additional prognostic contributions of age ≥60 years (HR 3.8, 1.3-10.9) and LDH >1.5 x UNL (HR 3.9, 1.6-9.4), in PV, while no other clinical risk factor showed RDW-independent prognostic relevance in ET. The prognostic impact of RDW in ET was most apparent in females (p<0.01), as opposed to males (p=0.32) while the effect was equally significant in PV. In multivariable analysis that included previously recognized high risk mutations in PV (SRSF2) and ET (SF3B1), both RDW and mutations sustained significance (p<0.05). Conclusion The current study identifies higher RDW as a key risk factor for LT in both PV and ET, independent of other clinical or genetic risk factors. Possible underlying mechanisms include increased RDW as a marker of long-term pre-leukemic clones with sub-clinical ineffective erythropoiesis or an associated pro-leukemic inflammatory state.

Abstract Background Although myeloproliferative neoplasm-unclassifiable (MPN-U) stands as a distinct entity in the International Consensus Classification (ICC) for myeloproliferative neoplasms, its diagnosis and management remain challenging due to the overlapping clinico-pathological characteristics with other MPNs. In the current study, we describe a well-defined cohort of patients with MPN-U and compare their presentation and outcome with those of a separate cohort with essential thrombocythemia (ET). Methods Diagnostic criteria were according to the ICC (Blood 2022; 140:1200). Non-driver mutations were screened by next-generation sequencing (NGS) and were available for subsets of patients with MPN-U or ET. Conventional statistical methods were employed, using JMP Pro 18.0.0 software SAS Institute, Cary, NC, USA. Results Thirty Mayo Clinic patients who met the ICC criteria for MPN-U (median age 64 years; range 33-94; 60% males) and 658 with ET (median age 60 years; range 18-90; 36% males) were included in the current study. Table 1 outlines a comparative list of presenting characteristics (including mutations), clinical outcomes, and treatment details between patients with MPN-U vs. ET. JAK2 mutations were significantly more prevalent in MPN-U cohort (87% vs. 63% in ET; p<0.01) and CALR mutations less common (3% vs. 25%; p<0.01). Other somatic mutations, including ASXL1, SRSF2, and EZH2 were more frequently observed in the MPN-U group (p<0.05 in all). Abnormal karyotype was reported in 14% of patients with MPN-U vs. 8% with ET (p=0.3). Compared to patients with ET, those with MPN-U were more likely to be males (60% vs. 36%; p<0.01) and, as expected from disease presentation and indications for diagnostic work up of suspected cases, present with venous thrombosis (43% vs. 10%; p<0.01) and palpable splenomegaly (40% vs. 8.5%; p<0.01). Similarly, they were less likely to display thrombocytosis or leukocytosis (p<0.01 for both). Portal, superior mesenteric, and hepatic vein thromboses constituted 77% (vs. 27% in ET; p<0.01) of the venous events in MPN-U; in contrast, the incidences of pre-diagnosis arterial events were similar between the two groups (10% vs. 12%; p=0.7). At a median follow-up of 2.8 years in the MPN-U cohort, 6 (20%) deaths and 1 (3%) leukemic transformation were documented while 3 (10%) patients progressed to meet the diagnostic criteria for polycythemia vera. Four (13%) patients with MPN-U experienced venous thrombo-embolic events (VTEs) including 2 with recurrent VTEs, despite active therapy with systemic anticoagulation and aspirin. The ET cohort was followed for a median of 7.3 years with 161 (24%) deaths, 23 (3%) leukemic transformations, and 66 (10%) VTEs. Among the latter, 27 (41%) had recurrent episodes despite treatment with systemic anticoagulation, aspirin, and/or cytoreductive drugs. Notably, patients with MPN-U were less likely to receive aspirin and cytoreductive therapy during the clinical course (77% vs. 91% and 37% vs. 79%; p<0.01 for both, respectively). Long-term survival rates were similar between MPN-U and ET (15-year survival 70% vs. 65%; p=0.1). Consistent with previous associations seen in ET, patients with JAK2-mutated MPN-U were more likely to be males (58% vs. 30%; p<0.01, Table 2), and display a lower platelet and leukocyte count at the time of diagnosis (p<0.01 for both). These patients were also more likely to present with venous thrombosis (50% vs. 12% in JAK2 wild-type cases; p<0.01) and palpable splenomegaly (46% vs. 9%; p<0.01). Of note, the incidences of pre- and post-diagnosis arterial and post-diagnosis venous events were similar between JAK2-mutated MPN-U vs. JAK2-mutated ET patients (12% vs. 14%; p=0.7, 4% vs. 12.5%; p=0.1, and 15% vs. 12%, p=0.6, respectively). Similarly, long-term outcomes including deaths (15% vs. 26%; p=0.2), leukemic transformations (4% vs. 4%; p=0.9), and 15-year survival rates (78% vs. 60%; p=0.9) were also comparable between the two groups. Conclusion The findings from the current study were not unexpected and underline the ongoing challenges that face formal classification systems in formulating accurate diagnostic criteria for patients with MPN-U whose clinical presentation is biased by disease definitions. Regardless, it is comforting to document a favorable long-term outcome that appeared to be similar to that of ET while venous thrombosis remains a treatment challenge in both groups.