Westra, William H.

Background Despite advances in cancer care and detection, >65% of patients with squamous cell cancer of the head and neck (HNSCC) will develop recurrent and/or metastatic disease. The prognosis for these patients is poor with a 5-year overall survival of 39%. Recent treatment advances in immunotherapy, including immune checkpoint inhibitors like pembrolizumab and nivolumab, have resulted in clinical benefit in a subset of patients. There is a critical clinical need to identify patients who benefit from these antiprogrammed cell death protein 1 (anti-PD-1) immune checkpoint inhibitors. Methods Here, we report findings from a multicenter observational study, PREDicting immunotherapy efficacy from Analysis of Pre-treatment Tumor biopsies (PREDAPT), conducted across 17 US healthcare systems. PREDAPT aimed to validate OncoPrism-HNSCC, a clinical biomarker assay predictive of disease control in patients with recurrent or metastatic HNSCC treated with anti-PD-1 immune checkpoint inhibitors as a single agent (monotherapy) and in combination with chemotherapy (chemo-immunotherapy). The test used RNA-sequencing data and machine learning models to score each patient and place them into groups of low, medium, or high. Results The OncoPrism-HNSCC prediction significantly correlated with disease control in both the monotherapy cohort (n=62, p=0.004) and the chemo-immunotherapy cohort (n=50, p=0.01). OncoPrism-HNSCC also significantly predicted progression-free survival in both cohorts (p=0.015 and p=0.037, respectively). OncoPrism-HNSCC had more than threefold higher specificity than programmed death-ligand 1 combined positive score and nearly fourfold higher sensitivity than tumor mutational burden for predicting disease control. Conclusions Here, we demonstrate the clinical validity of the OncoPrism-HNSCC assay in identifying patients with disease control in response to anti-PD-1 immune checkpoint inhibitors. Trial registration number NCT04510129.

Objectives/HypothesisHuman papillomavirus (HPV)‐positive and HPV‐negative oropharyngeal squamous cell carcinoma (OPSCC) are distinct disease entities. Prognostic factors specific to each entity have not been adequately explored. Goals for this study were: 1) to determine whether HPV‐positive and HPV‐negative OPSCCs have distinct prognostic factors, and 2) to explore the prognostic significance of sex and race in OPSCC after HPV stratificationStudy DesignRetrospective case series.MethodsA retrospective review of 239 incident OPSCC patients from 1995 to 2012, treated at Johns Hopkins and University of California–San Francisco was conducted. Women and nonwhite races were oversampled. All analyses were stratified by tumor HPV in situ hybridization status. The effects of sex and race on survival were considered in Kaplan‐Meier and unadjusted and adjusted Cox regression models.ResultsOne hundred thirty‐four (56.1%) OPSCC patients were HPV positive. On univariate analysis, women had better overall survival than men among HPV‐positive (hazard ratio [HR]: 0.47, 95% confidence interval [CI]: 0.20‐1.07; P = .06) but not HPV‐negative (HR: 0.73, 95% CI: 0.43‐1.24; P = .24) OPSCCs. On multivariate analysis, women with HPV‐positive OPSCCs remained at lower risk of death (adjusted hazard ratio [aHR]: 0.34, 95% CI: 0.12‐0.96; P = .04). Survival did not vary significantly by race among HPV‐positive patients. Among HPV‐negative patients, Hispanic patients had significantly better survival in unadjusted (HR: 0.27, 95% CI: 0.08‐0.91; P = .04) but not adjusted (aHR: 0.93, 95% CI: 0.11‐7.36; P = .94) analysis.ConclusionsWomen with HPV‐positive OPSCC may have improved overall survival compared to men. Sex does not play a prognostic role in HPV‐negative OPSCC. There are no differences in prognosis by race among HPV‐positive or HPV‐negative patients.Level of Evidence4 Laryngoscope, E288–E296, 2018

Abstract Purpose: Patients with a preoperative cytologic diagnosis of a suspicious thyroid nodule present a therapeutic dilemma because surgery differs for benign and malignant lesions. To address this issue, several molecular markers, including human telomerase reverse transcriptase (TERT), have been tested as markers of thyroid cancer. Because most studies select cases falling into well-defined categories to test new markers, they may overestimate their discriminatory power when applied to samples that are difficult to classify. Fine-needle aspirates (FNAs) of the thyroid with indeterminate cytology are an example of such cases. Experimental Design: We examined whether assessing TERT mRNA by reverse transcription-PCR could have improved the surgical management in a cohort of 100 patients undergoing thyroidectomy for indeterminate FNA results. Results: Ninety percent of 48 cancers were TERT positive, as were 35% of 52 benign lesions. When 10 cases with concomitant lymphocytic thyroiditis were excluded, the overall sensitivity of TERT was 91% (95% confidence interval, 80–98%) and specificity was 79% (64–90%). No clinical or tumor variable contributed to the predictive ability of TERT except for tumor size, which added only marginally. Basing the surgical approach on the TERT assay alone would have reduced lobectomies performed for malignant disease from 11 to 4 cases and reduced total thyroidectomies for benign lesions from to 15 to 9, an overall 50% reduction in suboptimal treatment. Conclusions: The overall performance of preoperative differential diagnosis for thyroid tumors with indeterminate FNA results can be substantially improved by the inclusion of molecular markers such as TERT.