Chaiteerakij, Roongruedee

Abstract Background: Epidemiologic studies have suggested that metformin use is associated with cancer death reduction. The results for pancreatic ductal adenocarcinoma (PDAC) are inconsistent. Retrospective studies of cancer survival may potentially have unintended biases; due to complexities of diabetes management, metformin use exposure is commonly categorized as simply “yes/no.” Nevertheless, in part based on epidemiologic studies, there are at least 20 open cancer clinical trials that include metformin in a treatment arm. We aimed to study metformin use and survival of patients with PDAC, addressing potential inherent biases. Methods: A retrospective cohort study for the years 2000-2011 was conducted using the patient database of the Mayo Clinic Specialized Programs of Research Excellence (SPORE) in Pancreatic Cancer. 1,360 PDAC patients (59% male; mean age 67) with diabetes were studied; overall survival was the primary outcome. Initiation and duration of metformin use was carefully abstracted from medical records. Patients were categorized into 5 groups based on metformin initiation: (A) Never used, n = 908 (reference group); (B) Metformin started >1 year prior to PDAC diagnosis, n = 84; (C) Metformin started within 1 year prior to PDAC diagnosis, n = 212; (D) Metformin started <30 days post-PDAC diagnosis, n = 104; (E) Metformin started >30 days post PDAC diagnosis, n = 34. Hazard ratios (HR) and 95% confidence intervals (C.I.) for survival differences between groups were computed using Cox proportional hazards models, adjusting for age, sex, disease stage, body mass index, and diagnosis year group. Results: Median survival of patients in Groups B-E was 292 days compared to 308 for Group A; this was not significantly different. However, among 413 resectable patients, metformin users appeared to survive longer than non-users (782 vs. 612 days, p = 0.07). Survival in each group was 308, 245, 249, 243 and 818 days, respectively. Because Group E had already survived >30 days, a bias existed. With Group E excluded, there was no survival difference among the other 4 groups (p = 0.18). Compared to Group A, HR and 95% C.I. for metformin use were 1.08 (0.85-1.37), 0.99 (0.85-1.17), 1.04 (0.83-1.31) and 0.49 (0.33-0.74), for Group B-E, respectively. Conclusions: Our thorough analysis suggests that metformin use does not improve survival of patients with PDAC. The benefit of metformin was observed only in patients who started metformin post-PDAC diagnosis; however, there is an inherent survival bias in this group of patients. Studies of medication exposure and cancer survival warrant very careful and detailed data collection. Researchers should exercise caution when initiating clinical trials based on retrospective epidemiologic studies. Citation Format: Roongruedee Chaiteerakij, David B. Zhen, Patrick A. Burch, Kari G. Chaffee, William R. Bamlet, Ann L. Oberg, Lewis R. Roberts, Gloria M. Petersen. Metformin use does not increase survival of pancreatic cancer patients: A cautionary lesson. [abstract]. In: Proceedings of the 106th Annual Meeting of the American Association for Cancer Research; 2015 Apr 18-22; Philadelphia, PA. Philadelphia (PA): AACR; Cancer Res 2015;75(15 Suppl):Abstract nr LB-183. doi:10.1158/1538-7445.AM2015-LB-183

Circulating tumor cells (CTCs) in blood are associated with poor survival of patients with breast, prostate, or colon cancer. We hypothesized that CTCs are associated with poor survival of patients with cholangiocarcinoma (CCA). Eighty‐eight patients with CCA were prospectively enrolled at Mayo Clinic Rochester between June 2010 and September 2014. The CellSearch system by Veridex was used for detection of CTCs in peripheral blood. Associations between CTC, patient and tumor characteristics, and survival were examined using the Cox's proportional hazards model. Fifteen patients (17%) were positive for CTC ≥2 and 8 patients (9%) for CTC ≥5. CTCs were associated with tumor extent. CTC ≥2 (hazard ratio [HR]: 2.5; 95% confidence interval [CI]: 1.1‐5.4; P = 0.02) and CTC ≥5 (HR, 4.1; 95% CI: 1.4‐10.8; P = 0.01) were both independent predictors of survival. In subgroup analyses, CTC ≥2 (HR, 8.2; 95% CI: 1.8‐57.5; P < 0.01) and CTC ≥5 (HR, 7.7; 95% CI: 1.4‐42.9; P = 0.02) were both associated with shorter survival among patients with metastasis. There was a trend toward association of CTC ≥5 with shorter survival in patients with nonmetastatic CCA (HR, 4.3; 95% CI: 1.0‐13.8; P = 0.06). CTC ≥2 (HR, 10.5; 95% CI: 2.2‐40.1; P < 0.01) and CTC ≥5 (HR, 10.2; 95% CI: 1.5‐42.3; P = 0.02) were both associated with shorter survival among patients with perihilar/distal CCA. CTC ≥5 was associated with shorter survival of patients with intrahepatic CCA (HR, 4.2; 95% CI: 1.1‐14.1; P = 0.04). Conclusion: CTCs were associated with more‐aggressive tumor characteristics and independently associated with survival in patients with CCA. Assessment of CTCs may be useful for identifying CCA patients at risk of early mortality. (Hepatology 2016;63:148–158)

Growing evidence suggests that pretransplant alpha‐fetoprotein (AFP) predicts outcomes of hepatocellular carcinoma (HCC) patients treated with liver transplantation. We aimed to determine whether pretransplant AFP, Lens culinaris agglutinin‐reactive alpha‐fetoprotein (AFP‐L3), and des‐gamma‐carboxyprothrombin (DCP) predicted HCC recurrence after transplantation. A retrospective cohort study of 313 HCC patients undergoing transplantation between 2000 and 2008 was conducted, and 48 (15.3%) developed recurrence during a median follow‐up of 90.8 months. The 127 patients with available serum drawn before transplantation were included; they included 86 without recurrence and 41 with recurrence. Serum was tested for AFP, AFP‐L3%, and DCP in a blinded fashion with the μTASWako i30 immunoanalyzer. All biomarkers were significantly associated with HCC recurrence. The hazard ratios (HRs) were 3.5 [95% confidence interval (CI), 1.9‐6.7; P < 0.0001] for DCP ≥ 7.5 ng/mL and 2.8 (95% CI, 1.4‐5.4; P = 0.002) for AFP ≥ 250 ng/mL. The HR increased to 5.2 (95% CI, 2.3‐12.0; P < 0.0001) when AFP ≥ 250 ng/mL and DCP ≥7.5 ng/mL were considered together. When they were combined with the Milan criteria, the HR increased from 2.6 (95% CI, 1.4‐4.7; P = 0.003) for outside the Milan criteria to 8.6 (95% CI, 3.0‐24.6; P < 0.0001) for outside the Milan criteria and AFP ≥ 250 ng/mL and to 7.2 (95% CI, 2.8‐18.1; P < 0.0001) for outside the Milan criteria and DCP ≥7.5 ng/mL. Our findings suggest that biomarkers are useful for predicting the risk of HCC recurrence after transplantation. Using both biomarkers and the Milan criteria may be better than using the Milan criteria alone in optimizing the decision of liver transplantation eligibility. Liver Transpl 21:599–606, 2015. © 2015 AASLD.