Guthridge, Joel M.

Abstract Individuals who have serum elevations of anti-cyclic citrullinated protein (anti-CCP) antibodies are at risk for developing rheumatoid arthritis (RA), yet immunologic factors that lead to a transition from pre- to clinical RA remain unclear. Here, we used materials from anti-CCP antibody-positive individuals enrolled in a clinical trial that evaluated the efficacy of hydroxychloroquine to prevent clinical RA, and performed multi-modal single-cell profiling (transcriptome, surface proteins, T/B-cell receptor sequencing, and chromatin accessibility) on samples obtained at baseline and at RA onset in those who developed clinical RA (Converters) or follow-up point in matched Nonconverters. At both baseline and follow-up, Converters had expansions of peripheral helper T (Tph) cells and CD8 + T cells expressing GZMK and GZMB , along with elevated potentially autoreactive T-cell receptors in CD4 + T cells compared to Nonconverters. Induction of age-associated B cell signatures was observed in B cells of Converters prior to RA onset. Epigenetic profiling further identified chromatin accessibility changes in Converters over time, particularly within myeloid and NK cells. Lastly, predictive modeling using baseline immune features, including Tph cells, GZMK + XCL1 + CD8 + , and GZMB + CD57 + CD8 + T cells, together with clinical features such as anti-CCP3 levels, RF-positivity, and HLA shared epitope status, stratified RA risk and predicted time to onset. These findings define immune endotypes in pre-RA that could serve as targets for future preventive interventions and be used to stratify the risk of developing clinical RA in anti-CCP antibody-positive individuals.

Objective Individuals with serum elevations of anti–cyclic citrullinated peptide (anti‐CCP) antibodies are at increased risk for future rheumatoid arthritis (RA). No pharmacologic interventions have been approved for the prevention of RA in such at‐risk individuals. However, hydroxychloroquine (HCQ) is used without supporting clinical trial evidence. Methods In this phase 2 randomized trial, individuals at risk for RA with anti‐CCP3 ≥2 times the upper limit of normal (ULN) were assigned to receive HCQ or placebo for 12 months, with up to 24 months of postdrug follow‐up. The primary outcome was the development of clinical RA, as defined in the protocol, at 36 months. Secondary outcomes included safety, development of inflammatory arthritis (IA), and participant‐reported joint symptoms. Results Of 144 randomized participants, 71 were assigned to HCQ and 73 to placebo. In the modified intent‐to‐treat population, clinical RA occurred in 21 of 69 (30.4%) participants in the HCQ group and 24 of 73 (32.9%) in the placebo group. The risk of clinical RA at 36 months was 0.336 with HCQ and 0.394 with placebo (difference −0.058; 95% confidence interval −0.336 to 0.220; P = 0.52). Results for IA were similar. The occurrence and severity of joint symptoms were not observed to differ between groups. Adverse event incidence was similar between groups. Conclusion In this trial involving individuals with anti‐CCP3 levels ≥2 times the ULN, 12 months of HCQ did not prevent the development of clinical RA at 36 months. image

ObjectiveSystemic lupus erythematosus (SLE) is marked by immune dysregulation linked to varied clinical disease activity. Using a unique longitudinal cohort of SLE patients, this study sought to identify optimal immune mediators informing an empirically refined flare risk index (FRI) reflecting altered immunity prior to clinical disease flare.MethodsThirty‐seven SLE‐associated plasma mediators were evaluated by microfluidic immunoassay in 46 samples obtained in SLE patients with an imminent clinical disease flare (preflare) and 53 samples obtained in SLE patients without a flare over a corresponding period (pre‐nonflare). SLE patients were selected from a unique longitudinal cohort of 106 patients with classified SLE (meeting the American College of Rheumatology 1997 revised criteria for SLE or the Systemic Lupus International Collaborating Clinics 2012 revised criteria for SLE). Autoantibody specificities, hybrid SLE Disease Activity Index (hSLEDAI) scores, clinical features, and medication usage were also compared at preflare (mean ± SD 111 ± 47 days prior to flare) versus pre‐nonflare (99 ± 21 days prior to nonflare) time points. Variable importance was determined by random forest analysis with logistic regression subsequently applied to determine the optimal number and type of analytes informing a refined FRI.ResultsPreflare versus pre‐nonflare differences were not associated with demographics, autoantibody specificities, hSLEDAI scores, clinical features, nor medication usage. Forward selection and backward elimination of mediators ranked by variable importance resulted in 17 plasma mediator candidates differentiating preflare from pre‐nonflare visits. A final combination of 11 mediators best informed a newly refined FRI, which achieved a maximum sensitivity of 97% and maximum specificity of 98% after applying decision curve analysis to define low, medium, and high FRI scores.ConclusionWe verified altered immune mediators associated with imminent disease flare, and a subset of these mediators improved the FRI to identify SLE patients at risk of imminent flare. This molecularly informed, proactive management approach could be critical in prospective clinical trials and the clinical management of lupus.

ObjectiveSystemic lupus erythematosus (SLE) and other autoimmune diseases cause significant morbidity. Identifying populations at risk of developing SLE is essential for curtailing irreversible inflammatory damage. The aim of this study was to identify factors associated with transition to classified disease that would inform our understanding of the risk of SLE.MethodsPreviously identified blood relatives of patients with SLE, who had <4 American College of Rheumatology (ACR) classification criteria for SLE at baseline, were enrolled in this follow‐up study (n = 409 unaffected relatives). Participants provided detailed family, demographic, and clinical information, including the SLE‐specific portion of the Connective Tissue Disease Screening Questionnaire (SLE‐CSQ). Serum and plasma samples were tested for the presence of lupus‐associated autoantibodies and 52 soluble mediators. Generalized estimating equations (GEEs) were applied to identify factors predictive of disease transition.ResultsOf the 409 unaffected relatives of SLE patients, 45 (11%) had transitioned to classified SLE at follow‐up (mean time to follow‐up 6.4 years). Relatives who transitioned to SLE displayed more lupus‐associated autoantibody specificities and higher SLE‐CSQ scores (P < 0.0001) at baseline than did relatives who did not transition. Importantly, those who had developed SLE during the follow‐up period also had elevated baseline plasma levels of inflammatory mediators, including B lymphocyte stimulator, stem cell factor (SCF), and interferon‐associated chemokines (P ≤ 0.02), with concurrent decreases in the levels of regulatory mediators, transforming growth factor β (TGFβ), and interleukin‐10 (P ≤ 0.03). GEE analyses revealed that baseline SLE‐CSQ scores or ACR scores (number of ACR criteria satisfied) and plasma levels of SCF and TGFβ, but not autoantibodies, were significant and independent predictors of SLE transition (P ≤ 0.03).ConclusionPreclinical alterations in levels of soluble mediators may predict transition to classified disease in relatives of SLE patients. Thus, immune perturbations precede SLE classification and can help identify high‐risk relatives for rheumatology referral and potential enrollment in prevention trials.