Gibson, Todd M.

PURPOSE Radiation-associated cardiac disease is a major cause of morbidity/mortality among childhood cancer survivors. Radiation dose-response relationships for cardiac substructures and cardiac diseases remain unestablished. METHODS Using the 25,481 5-year survivors of childhood cancer treated from 1970 to 1999 in the Childhood Cancer Survivor Study, we evaluated coronary artery disease (CAD), heart failure (HF), valvular disease (VD), and arrhythmia. We reconstructed radiation doses for each survivor to the coronary arteries, chambers, valves, and whole heart. Excess relative rate (ERR) models and piecewise exponential models evaluated dose-response relationships. RESULTS The cumulative incidence 35 years from diagnosis was 3.9% (95% CI, 3.4 to 4.3) for CAD, 3.8% (95% CI, 3.4 to 4.2) for HF, 1.2% (95% CI, 1.0 to 1.5) for VD, and 1.4% (95% CI, 1.1 to 1.6) for arrhythmia. A total of 12,288 survivors (48.2%) were exposed to radiotherapy. Quadratic ERR models improved fit compared with linear ERR models for the dose-response relationship between mean whole heart and CAD, HF, and arrhythmia, suggesting a potential threshold dose; however, such departure from linearity was not observed for most cardiac substructure end point dose-response relationships. Mean doses of 5-9.9 Gy to the whole heart did not increase the risk of any cardiac diseases. Mean doses of 5-9.9 Gy to the right coronary artery (rate ratio [RR], 2.6 [95% CI, 1.6 to 4.1]) and left ventricle (RR, 2.2 [95% CI, 1.3 to 3.7]) increased risk of CAD, and to the tricuspid valve (RR, 5.5 [95% CI, 2.0 to 15.1]) and right ventricle (RR, 8.4 [95% CI, 3.7 to 19.0]) increased risk of VD. CONCLUSION Among children with cancer, there may be no threshold dose below which radiation to the cardiac substructures does not increase the risk of cardiac diseases. This emphasizes their importance in modern treatment planning.

10027 Background: Thoracic radiotherapy (RT) is a risk factor for cardiac disease among survivors of childhood cancer based on studies considering RT doses to the entire heart. Dose to specific cardiac substructures may provide more precise dose-response associations to guide RT planning. We report associations between RT dose to cardiac substructures and risk of specific cardiac outcomes. Methods: We determined the cumulative incidences of CTCAE grade 3 – 5 coronary artery disease (CAD), heart failure (HF), and valvular disease (VD) among 25,481 5-year childhood cancer survivors diagnosed 1970 – 1999 in the CCSS. Median age at diagnosis was 6.1 years (0 – 20 years) and at last follow-up 29.8 years (5.6 – 65.9 years). For the 12,228 individuals receiving RT, fields were reconstructed on an age scaled computational phantom. Mean doses to the entire heart, cardiac chambers, valves, and left main, anterior descending (LAD), circumflex, and right coronary (RCA) arteries were estimated. Adjusted piecewise exponential models (including cumulative anthracycline dose) evaluated associations between mean RT dose to each structure and outcomes. Results: At 30 years from diagnosis, the cumulative incidences of grades 3 – 5 CAD, HF, and VD were 2.3% (95% CI 2.0 – 2.5), 2.6% (95% CI 2.4 – 2.9), and 0.6% (95% CI 0.5 – 0.8) respectively. Low dose RT (mean 5 – 9.9 Gy) to the RCA (relative rate [RR] = 2.6, 95% CI 1.6 – 4.1, p < 0.001), LAD (RR = 1.9, 95% CI 1.1 – 3.3, p = 0.019), and left ventricle (RR = 2.2, 95% CI 1.3 – 3.7, p = 0.002) was associated with increased risk of CAD relative to those not exposed; mean dose of 5 – 9.9 Gy to the entire heart was not (RR = 1.1, 95% CI = 0.8 – 1.6, p = 0.59). Table shows the associated cumulative incidences of CAD for these structures. Mean RT doses of 5 – 9.9 Gy to the aortic valve (RR = 4.6, 95% CI 1.5 – 14.0, p = 0.008) and tricuspid valve (RR = 5.5, 95% CI 2.0 – 15.1, p = 0.001) were associated with risk of VD compared to those with no RT; mean heart dose 5 – 9.9 Gy was not (RR = 0.6, 95% CI = 0.2 – 1.3, p = 0.16). No cardiac structure was significantly associated with an increased risk of HF at a mean dose of 5 – 9.9 Gy. Mean RT doses below 5 Gy were not associated with increased risks of CAD, HF, or VD; doses ≥10 Gy to nearly all substructures and the entire heart were. Conclusions: Low dose RT to the coronary arteries and cardiac valves (5 – 9.9 Gy) from RT is associated with increased risk of CAD and VD, respectively. Sensitivity to low dose RT may vary across the heart and doses to specific structures may be more predictive of late cardiac disease than whole heart dose. These data can guide RT planning to prioritize substructures for avoidance.[Table: see text]

11570 Background: Intergroup Rhabdomyosarcoma Study Group (IRSG) protocols included treatment modifications, which may have ameliorated late health outcomes for rhabdomyosarcoma (RMS) survivors treated in more recent era. Methods: We evaluated chronic health conditions (CHCs) and late mortality ( > 5 years from diagnosis) among survivors treated 1970-1990 (IRSG I-III) and 1991-1999 (IRSG IV), and associations with specific treatments to identify treatment-related factors for adverse outcomes. Associations between treatments and CHCs and mortality were evaluated using Fine and Gray’s proportional hazards method accounting for competing risks. Results: 856 survivors treated 1970-90 (median diagnosis age 5.4 years [0- 20]) and 306 treated 1991-99 (median diagnosis age 5.5 years [0-20]) were included. Significant exposure differences between eras included higher percentage (53% vs. 17%, p < 0.01) receiving ≥ 20gm/m2 cumulative alkylators in 1991-99, but more receiving platinums (13% vs 5%, p < 0.01) and abdomen/ pelvis radiation (29% vs. 23%, p = 0.04) in 1970-90. 20-year cumulative incidence for any (40% vs. 28%, p < 0.01), ≥2 (16% vs. 7%, p < 0.01), and endocrine (8% vs. 2.5%, p < 0.01) grade 3-5 CHCs was higher in 1970-90 compared to 1991-99. The hazard ratio (HR) for any (HR 0.7, 95% Confidence Interval [CI] 0.55-0.9), ≥2 (HR 0.38, 95% CI 0.22-0.66) and endocrine (HR 0.25, 95% CI 0.09-0.67) grade 3-5 CHC was lower for 1991-99 survivors than 1970-90. The effect of era (1991-99 vs 1970-90, HR 0.73; 95% CI 0.59-0.91) on CHC was not attenuated when treatment variables were added to multivariable model. Exposures with increased risk of grade 3-5 CHC included platinums (hearing, HR 2, 95% CI 1.07-3.8), anthracycline ≥250mg/m2 (cardiovascular, HR 2.7, 95% CI 1.2-6) and abdomen/ pelvis radiation (second malignant neoplasms, HR 2.1, 95% CI 1.1-4, gastrointestinal, HR 7.4, 95% CI 3.5-16 and endocrine, HR 2.5, 95% CI 1.4-4.4). Gonadal dysfunction was the most common endocrine CHC. There was no difference in all cause or cause-specific mortality between the two cohorts. Conclusions: RMS survivors from the IRSG IV era are at reduced risk for late onset chronic health conditions compared to previous era.

Abstract Background: With over 13 million cancer survivors in the United States today, second cancers are of rapidly growing importance. However, data on nontreatment risk factors for second cancers are sparse. We explored the feasibility of pooling data from cohort studies of cancer incidence to investigate second cancer etiology. Methods: We combined data from five prospective studies including more than 800,000 individuals. We compared study designs and populations; evaluated availability of and ability to harmonize risk factor data; compared incidence and survival for common first primary malignancies and incidence of second primary malignancies; and estimated sample size requirements. Results: Overall, 96,513 incident, first primary malignancies were diagnosed during 1985 to 2009. Incidence rates and survival following the first primary varied among the cohorts, but most of the heterogeneity could be explained by characteristics of the study populations (age, sex, smoking, and screening rates). A total of 7,890 second primary cancers (excluding original primary site) were identified, yielding sufficient statistical power (≥80%) for detecting modest associations with risk of all second cancers among survivors of common first primary malignancies (e.g., colorectal cancer); however, there were insufficient events for studying survivors of rarer cancers or identifying risk factors for specific second cancers. Conclusions: Pooling data from cohort studies to investigate nontreatment risk factors for second primary cancers seems feasible but there are important methodologic issues—some of which are barriers to specific research questions—that require special attention. Impact: Increased understanding of nontreatment risk factors for second cancers will provide valuable prevention and surveillance information. Cancer Epidemiol Biomarkers Prev; 23(8); 1598–608. ©2014 AACR.