Srivastava, Geetika

3640 Background: Prior economic analysis of a 12-gene assay (Oncotype DX), compared with patterns of care reported in the NCCN database of patients with stage II, T3, DNA mismatch repair proficient (MMR-P) colon cancer, predicted that the assay would save medical costs and improve patient well-being (Hornberger et al. Value Health 2012). This study assessed the validity of those findings with actual adjuvant chemotherapy (aCT) recommendations. Methods: Outcomes and costs were estimated for patients with stage II, T3, MMR-P colon cancer using a Markov model. A study of 141 patients from 17 sites in the Mayo Clinic Cancer Research Consortium collected data on aCT recommended before and after knowledge of the 12-gene assay results (Srivastava et al. abstract). Quality-adjusted life years (QALY) and medical resource use after recurrence were computed using guideline-validated state-transition probability estimation methods. Risk of progression and incidence of adverse events with different aCT regimens were based on published literature. Drug and administration costs for aCT were obtained from 2012 Medicare fee schedules. One-way sensitivity analyses were conducted to evaluate parameter influence on economic impact. Results: After receiving the 12-gene assay results, physician recommendations in favor of aCT decreased 22% (95% CI 11%-32%; McNemar test p<0.001) from 73 (52%) to 42 (30%) patients. Oxaliplatin aCT and 5-FU monotherapy recommendations each declined 11%. Average aCT costs decreased $3,228 for drugs, $750 for administration, and $3,168 for adverse events management. Overall, average total direct medical costs decreased $1,683. The net effect on average patient well-being was a gain of 0.102 QALYs. Total change in medical costs is most influenced by the cost of death due to colon cancer, time-preference discount rate, and the change in aCT recommendations. Savings are expected to persist even if the cost of oxaliplatin dropped by >75% due to generic substitution. Conclusions: The 12-gene assayhas been shown to alter aCT recommendations for patients with stage II, T3, MMR-P colon cancer. This study provides real-world confirmation that these aCT changes reduce direct medical costs and improve patient well-being.

8096 Background: The combination of lenalidomide and dexamethasone (Len-Dex) is a commonly used initial therapy for newly diagnosed multiple myeloma. While the short-term outcomes with respect to response and toxicity is well-known, long-term outcome with this combination as initial therapy is not well described. Methods: We studied 286 consecutive patients with newly diagnosed MM seen at our institution, who received initial therapy with Len-Dex, and who had complete follow up records. Data regarding the clinical course was obtained from medical records. Results: The median (range) age at diagnosis was 63 (28-92) yrs; 166 (58% were ≤ 65 yrs and175 (61%) were male. The median estimated follow-up was 3.9 yrs (95% CI, 3.4, 4.2) and 203 (71%) pts were alive at the time of last follow up. The median estimated duration on Len-Dex was 5.3 mos (95% CI, 4.6, 6.4). The best overall response (≥PR) was 72%, including 26% with VGPR or better and 14 (5%) not being evaluable for a response. At last follow up, 41 (14%) patients were continuing on therapy. There were 93 pts (32%) who stayed on therapy for 12 months or more. Among these patients, the ORR was 86%, including 45% with VGPR or better. The median overall survival (OS) for the entire cohort from diagnosis was 7.4 yrs (95% CI; 5.8, NR) and the estimated 5-yr survival was 67%. There were 16 (5.5%) pts who died within a year of diagnosis. The median time to first disease progression, irrespective of transplant status, was 30.2 mos (95% CI, 25, 42). Overall, 143 (50%) of the patients have gone to stem cell transplant. Censoring those patients who proceeded to SCT prior to relapse at the time of BMT, the median TTP was 25.5 mos (95% CI, 22, 29). The median OS was 7.4 yrs for those ≤65 yrs, compared with 6.2 yrs for the older patients (P=0.01). The 5-yr OS estimate for patients in ISS stage 1, 2 and 3 were 82, 65, and 44 months respectively. Conclusions: The current study provides long-term estimates of responses and survival in a series of patients treated initially with lenalidomide and dexamethasone. The median survival of nearly 8 years reflects the efficacy of the novel agents both at diagnosis and at relapse and confirms the survival improvements seen in MM in the last decade.

Abstract Introduction Lenalidomide is an immunomodulatory drug that is active in newly diagnosed as well as relapsed multiple myeloma (MM). The goal of this study is to describe patients with newly diagnosed MM remaining on lenalidomide for more than 3 years (long term responders) as well as patients that after discontinuing lenalidomide were able to maintain disease control while only on observation (LenO group). Methods We retrospectively reviewed 283 patients with newly diagnosed MM that were treated with lenalidomide between January 2003 and January 2011. We excluded patients that underwent early autologous stem cell transplant (n=102) or had less than 3 years of follow-up (n=6), leaving 175 patients for the current analysis. Results Long term responders Thirty-three patients (19%) received lenalidomide for more than 3 years. When compared to patients receiving lenalidomide for less than 3 years, at baseline, long term responders were more likely to have standard risk disease (64% versus 44%, p=0.03) and less likely to have high risk disease (18% versus 4%, p=0.04). They were more likely to have achieved a deeper response (VGPR versus PR, p<0.001) and had a longer median time to best response (6 versus 4 months, p<0.001). When considering the 12 patients who received lenalidomide for more than 5 years, this group was more likely to have achieved a deeper response (CR versus PR, p<0.0001) and had a longer median time to achieving best response (9 versus 4 months, p<0.0001) than those 163 patients who remained on lenalidomide for fewer than 5 years. Observation group Thirty-three patients (19%) discontinued lenalidomide for reasons other than progression and were observed without receiving further treatment (LenO group). Prior to moving to observation, five patients had received lenalidomide for more than three years. Indications for stopping in the LenO group included: prolonged disease stability (n= 20); and toxicity (n=13). The only differences in baseline characteristics between the LenO group and patients that were not observed off any treatment was depth of response, with 61% (n=20) of LenO in VGPR or better versus 23% (n=23) in the remainder, p=0.0003. Median PFS from the time of discontinuing lenalidomide was significantly longer in those patients who took lenalidomide for more than 1 year (n=24) when compared to patients taking it for less than one year (n=9) (median PFS off therapy was 38.5 months versus, 14.9 months log rank 0.08; Wilcoxon p<0.05), figure 1a; PFS for those treated for 1-2 years (n=11) as compared to 2 years or greater (n= 13) were comparable to each other (data not shown). Among those taking lenalidomide for at least a year, PFS from time of discontinuing lenalidomide was superior in patients who had achieved a VGPR/CR (n=20) as compared to those who achieved only a PR (n=13) (Median 48.4 months versus 14.8 months, log-rank p<0.05; Wilcoxon p=0.01), figure 1b. Conclusion Approximately one out of five patients with newly diagnosed MM can achieve responses lasting more than three years while on treatment with lenalidomide. Patients with standard risk FISH and those achieving at least VGPR are more likely be long-term responders. Furthermore, long-term responders were more likely to be slow responders. We also demonstrate that suspension of lenalidomide therapy after 1 year among those patients achieving a VGPR or better can result in long-term disease control and can be considered as a therapeutic strategy. Disclosures: Kumar: Celgene: Consultancy, Research Funding; Millennium: Consultancy, Research Funding; Onyx: Consultancy, Research Funding. Gertz:Celgene: Honoraria. Lacy:Celgene: Honoraria. Dispenzieri:Celgene: Research dollars Other.

Abstract Abstract 3981 Background: Patients with multiple myeloma (MM) can present with life threatening complications including lethal infections during the disease course. The mortality is high during the early period following diagnosis, mostly as a result of complications of the disease or treatment. It is not clear if we can identify patients at the highest risk of early death based on the presenting clinical and laboratory features. Methods: From among 1545 patients seen at our institution between Jan 1999 and Dec 2008, we identified 265 patients who died within 12 months of diagnosis. For each of these patients we identified two “controls” who had at least 12 months of follow up, were alive at the time of last follow up and were closest to the ‘case' patient in terms of time of diagnosis. We performed logistic regression using the clinical and laboratory features, to identify parameters that predict for 12-month mortality and to determine the best cutoffs. Results: This study included 265 patients as cases and 530 controls. The gender distribution was similar in the two groups. We examined the impact of age, performance status (PS), hemoglobin, platelets, serum creatinine, calcium, LDH, albumin, B2M, free light chain difference, plasma cell labeling index, ISS stage, risk category and exposure to novel agents upfront. Based on the results of univariate and then multivariate analysis – age> 72, ECOG PS>2, Calcium >11.3 and ISS stage 3 were found to be significant. We developed the risk score using 1 point for each adverse factor, Age> 72, PS > 2, ISS 3, and Calcium > 11.3. The odds ratio of patients dying in the first year was 2.7, 9.2 and 37 in the presence of one, two and three or more risk factors compared to none of the risk factors. We then looked at the impact of the initial therapy on outcome. 279 patients (35%) received one of the novel agents (thalidomide, lenalidomide or bortezomib) as initial therapy. The odds ratio for dying in the first year was 0.35 for patients receiving a novel agent compared to the rest. The impact of the novel agent was independent of the risk score, with the risk score predicting outcome in both groups. Conclusions: In newly diagnosed MM advanced age, poor performance status, ISS stage and high calcium were associated with early mortality. If eligible all patients should get the benefit of use of novel agent upfront. Identifying these patients at the time of diagnosis is important and should help develop better risk-adapted strategies. Disclosures: No relevant conflicts of interest to declare.

453 Background: A 12-gene assay (Oncotype DX Colon Cancer) has been clinically validated as a predictor of recurrence risk in stage 2 colon cancer patients following surgery. We conducted the first prospective study to characterize the impact of Recurrence Score results on medical oncologists’ recommendations regarding adjuvant chemotherapy in T3, Mismatch Repair-proficient (MMR-P) stage 2 colon cancer patients. Methods: Consecutive patients with resected stage 2A colon cancer who were candidates for adjuvant chemotherapy were consented and enrolled by 105 medical oncologists from 17 sites in the Mayo Clinic Cancer Research Consortium. Each patient’s tumor specimen was assessed by the Recurrence Score test (quantitative RT-PCR) and MMR (IHC). Prior to and after receiving these results, physicians completed surveys indicating their planned treatments given hypothetical or known MMR results, recorded as Observation (Obs), 5FU-based chemotherapy (5FU), or 5FU + Oxaliplatin (Oxal). Change in treatment recommendation intensity from baseline to follow-up was defined as: increased if change from Obs to 5FU +/- Oxal or from 5FU to 5FU+Oxal, decreased if change from 5FU + Oxal to 5FU or Obs, or from 5FU to Obs, or no change. Results: 187 of 221 patients enrolled were evaluable including 141 who were MMR-P (avg age 63, 65% ECOG PS 0, med tumor size 5 cm, 11% high grade, 91% with 12+ nodes examined). In the primary analysis treatment recommendations changed for 63 (45%) of 141 MMR-P patients, with intensity decreasing for 47 (33%) and increasing for 16 (11%). Recommendations for chemotherapy (5-FU +/- Oxal) decreased from 73 (52%) patients pre-assay to 42 (30%) post-assay. Increased treatment intensity was more likely at higher Recurrence Score values and decreased intensity at lower Recurrence Score values (p=0.011), and any change was more likely when MMR status was unknown at baseline (p = 0.041). Conclusions: In this prospective study, quantitative recurrence risk information provided by the Recurrence Score test was associated with treatment recommendation changes for 45% of T3 MMR-P stage II colon cancer patients. Use of the 12-gene assay may lead to overall reductions in chemotherapy.

391 Background: Prior economic analysis of a 12-gene assay (Oncotype DX), compared with patterns of care reported in the NCCN database of patients with stage II, T3, DNA mismatch repair proficient (MMR-P) colon cancer, predicted that the assay would save medical costs and improve patient well-being (Hornberger et al., Value Health, 2012). This study assessed the validity of those findings with actual adjuvant chemotherapy (aCT) recommendations. Methods: Outcomes and costs were estimated for patients with stage II, T3, MMR-P colon cancer using a Markov model. A study of 141 patients from 17 sites in the Mayo Clinic Cancer Research Consortium collected data on aCT recommended before and after knowledge of the 12-gene assay results (Srivastava et al. abstract). Quality-adjusted life years (QALY) and medical resource use after recurrence were computed using guideline-validated state-transition probability estimation methods. Risk of progression and incidence of adverse events with different aCT regimens were based on published literature. Drug and administration costs for aCT were obtained from 2012 Medicare fee schedules. One-way sensitivity analyses were conducted to evaluate parameter influence on economic impact. Results: After receiving the 12-gene assay results, physician recommendations in favor of aCT decreased 22% (95% CI 11%-32%; McNemar test p<0.001) from 73 (52%) to 42 (30%) patients. Oxaliplatin aCT and 5-FU monotherapy recommendations each declined 11%. Average aCT costs decreased $5,738 for drugs, $668 for administration, and $3,268 for adverse events management. Overall, average total direct medical costs decreased $4,203. The net effect on average patient well-being was a gain of 0.083 QALYs. Total medical costs are most influenced by change in aCT recommendations, 5-FU monotherapy efficacy, and oxaliplatin drug acquisition cost. Savings are expected to persist even if the cost of oxaliplatin dropped by >75% due to generic substitution. Conclusions: The 12-gene assayhas been shown to alter aCT recommendations for patients with stage II, T3, MMR-P colon cancer. This study provides real-world confirmation that these changes in aCT reduce direct medical costs and improve patient well-being.

Abstract Purpose. The Oncotype DX colon cancer assay is a clinically validated predictor of recurrence risk in stage II colon cancer patients. This prospective study evaluated the impact of recurrence score (RS) results on physician recommendations regarding adjuvant chemotherapy in T3, mismatch repair-proficient (MMR-P) stage II colon cancer patients. Patients and Methods. Stage IIA colon cancer patients were enrolled in 17 centers. Patient tumor specimens were assessed by the RS test (quantitative reverse transcription-polymerase chain reaction) and mismatch repair (immunohistochemistry). For each patient, the physician's recommended postoperative treatment plan of observation, fluoropyrimidine monotherapy, or combination therapy with oxaliplatin was recorded before and after the RS and mismatch repair results were provided. Results. Of 221 enrolled patients, 141 patients had T3 MMR-P tumors and were eligible for the primary analysis. Treatment recommendations changed for 63 (45%; 95% confidence interval: 36%–53%) of these 141 T3 MMR-P patients, with intensity decreasing for 47 (33%) and increasing for 16 (11%). Recommendations for chemotherapy decreased from 73 patients (52%) to 42 (30%), following review of RS results by physician and patient. Increased treatment intensity was more often observed at higher RS values, and decreased intensity was observed at lower values (p = .011). Conclusion. Compared with traditional clinicopathological assessment, incorporation of the RS result into clinical decision making was associated with treatment recommendation changes for 45% of T3 MMR-P stage II colon cancer patients in this prospective multicenter study. Use of the RS assay may lead to overall reduction in adjuvant chemotherapy use in this subgroup of stage II colon cancer patients.

There are no systematic data regarding nonmaintained induction for those patients with multiple myeloma (MM) who do not receive consolidative autologous stem cell transplantation. Of 173 patients with newly diagnosed MM treated with lenalidomide and dexamethasone (LenDex) as primary therapy, 31 patients had their lenalidomide discontinued for reasons other than progression or alternate therapy. Median progression free survival (PFS) from the time of discontinuing lenalidomide was longer in patients who received lenalidomide ≥1 year (39 vs. 13 months, P < 0.05); there was no difference in PFS for those treated for 1–2 years as compared to ≥2 years. Among those taking lenalidomide for ≥1 year PFS was superior in patients who were in very good partial response (VGPR) or better as compared to those with partial response (48.4 versus 14.8 months, P < 0.05). All patients who progressed and were rechallenged with LenDex responded. These analyses illustrate that discontinuation of lenalidomide after 1 year among those patients achieving a ≥VGPR can result in long‐term disease control. Am. J. Hematol. 89:302–305, 2014. © 2013 Wiley Periodicals, Inc.