Background: Causative Classification of Stroke (CCS) system is a novel, web-based, and fully-computerized algorithm that integrates clinical, diagnostic, and etiologic stroke characteristics in an evidence-based manner (available at http://ccs.mgh.harvard.edu ) and provides in a given patient both phenotypic subtypes where abnormal evaluation findings are simply organized in major etiologic categories and causative subtypes where abnormal evaluation findings are filtered through a decision making process to identify the most likely cause of stroke. In this study, we sought to identify the concordance between phenotypic and causative CCS subtypes in the NINDS Stroke Genetics Network (SiGN). Methods: A total of 24 adjudicators from 15 US and European sites certified in CCS retrospectively determined CCS subtypes through chart review in 7134 patients. The CCS software provided causative subtypes in 3 confidence levels as “evident”, “probable” or “possible” based on the weight of causal evidence. We estimated how often CCS classified a given major abnormal evaluation finding as the causative stroke mechanism. Results: CCS assigned 55% of patients with the phenotype of moderate-to-severe atherosclerotic stenosis into the causative category of “evident large artery atherosclerosis”. Likewise, 50% of patients with a major cardiac source (such as atrial fibrillation) were classified into “evident cardio-aortic embolism”, and 74% of those with imaging evidence of a typical lacunar infarct into “evident small artery occlusion”. In 20% to 30% of patients, phenotypic and causative categories were the same but the causative subtype was assigned with a lower level of confidence. Six to 20% of patients with a given phenotypic feature were classified into a different causative category. Failure to investigate for other subtypes in the presence of a positive test finding and the presence of multiple competing etiologies were key contributors to the observed disconcordance between phenotypic and causative subtypes. Conclusions: Our findings show that the presence of a major abnormality in stroke evaluation does not necessarily mean that it is always the cause. The ability of CCS system to discriminate between phenotypic and causative characteristics of stroke etiology provides the opportunity to refine stroke phenotypes for use in research studies.
Abstract TMP49: Yield of Diagnostic Evaluation in Major Stroke Phenoytypes
Background: Considerable disagreement exists among experts regarding the appropriate extent of diagnostic testing after ischemic stroke (IS). Evidence-based data guiding stroke evaluation for individual patients according to the underlying phenotype are unknown. We sought to determine the yield of cardiac and arterial evaluations for identifying an alternative major stroke etiology in patients with a given phenotype in the NINDS Stroke Genetics Network (SiGN). Methods: SiGN is a consortium of IS studies at 22 US and European sites aiming to identify stroke susceptibility genes. Adjudicators certified in Causative Classification of Stroke (CCS) system determined major etiologic stroke phenotypes based on chart review. All diagnostic data entered into the CCS software were stored in a confidential database. We determined the probability of identifying an alternative major abnormality based on cardiac (history, EKG, echocardiography) and arterial [intracranial (IC), extracranial (EC)] evaluations in 3 stroke phenotypes: lacunar infarct (LI), large artery atherosclerosis (LAA), and cardiac embolism (CE). Proportions of alternative major etiologies were calculated in patients with complete evaluations in each phenotype. Results: The analyses included 15720 patients. Among these, 2299 had phenotypic subtype of LI (1660 with cardiac and 1691 with arterial evaluations); 4228 had CE (2451 with arterial evaluation); and 2613 had LAA (2047 with cardiac evaluation). Cardiac evaluation revealed a major cardiac source of embolism in 12.3% of patients with LI and 20.3% with LAA. Echocardiography demonstrated an additional major structural cardiac source not seen by history/examination/EKG in 1.9% and 1.6% in LI and LAA respectively. Arterial evaluation led to the identification of ≥50%ipsilateral stenosis in 13.5% (IC: 8.9%, EC: 5.8%) of patients with LI and 17% (IC: 8.1%, EC: 11.3%) of those with CE. In LI patients with complete cardiac and vascular evaluations, 24.1% had an alternative major stroke etiology. Conclusions: A considerable proportion of IS patients with LI, LAA, and CE harbor an alternative major etiology. In the future, these results can be used to generate evidence-based and cost-effective evaluation and management strategies.
Abstract 3884: Stroke Subtypes in Hispanic Patients in the NINDS Stroke Genetics Network (SiGN): A Comparison of Two Classification Systems
Objectives: Identification of gene variants of stroke subtypes is important for the development of tailored ischemic stroke therapies among various ethnic groups. Valid and reliable determination of ischemic stroke subtype is essential for achieving this goal and to standardize a classification scheme across multi-center studies and different populations. Causative Classification System for Ischemic Stroke (CCS) is a novel computerized subclassification tool developed to improve reliability and accuracy of classifying stroke types. The CCS algorithm relies on both phenotypic and causative stroke variables. A Hispanic subset of the SiGN, an important and distinct target population with greater risk of certain stroke subtypes, was evaluated with Trial of Org 10172 in Acute Stroke Treatment (TOAST) and CCS and the agreement between the two classification systems was analyzed. Methods: Over 6000 subjects at 15 sites across US and Europe were enrolled, with TOAST and CCS locally adjudicated. Blood collection and central data quality control (10% central readjudication) were performed on all participants. A subset of Hispanics was analyzed for the purpose of this study and the agreement between the TOAST and CCS were assessed by kappa statistic. Findings: Hispanics (n=595, 10.9%) compared to non-Hispanics (n=5457) were more likely to be younger (63.7 vs. 64.0), male (55% vs. 46%) and have fewer of the traditional stroke risk factors HTN (54% vs. 64%), Afib (11% vs. 14%), DM(23% vs. 25%), CAD(16% vs. 20%) and smoking(19% vs. 22%). While the TOAST showed no differences between stroke subtypes for Hispanic vs. non-Hispanics, in CCS, Hispanics were classified with more of large vessel (22% vs. 20%), cardioembolic (37% vs. 30%) and small vessel strokes (13% vs. 9%) and fewer with undetermined etiology (28% vs. 40%) as compared to non-Hispanics. TOAST and CCS offered moderate correlation across all stroke types in Hispanics: kappa of 0.66 for large artery atherosclerosis, 0.58 for cardioembolic, and 0.58 for small artery occlusion. Conclusion: CCS offers a more sensitive and accurate system for subphenotyping of strokes in Hispanics who tended to have relatively fewer risk factors and unclassified strokes. Further studies correlating the two classification systems and their relation to genotyping data are warranted.
Genome-Wide Association Study Meta-Analysis of Stroke in 22 000 Individuals of African Descent Identifies Novel Associations With Stroke
Background and Purpose: Stroke is a complex disease with multiple genetic and environmental risk factors. Blacks endure a nearly 2-fold greater risk of stroke and are 2× to 3× more likely to die from stroke than European Americans. Methods: The COMPASS (Consortium of Minority Population Genome-Wide Association Studies of Stroke) has conducted a genome-wide association meta-analysis of stroke in >22 000 individuals of African ancestry (3734 cases, 18 317 controls) from 13 cohorts. Results: In meta-analyses, we identified one single nucleotide polymorphism (rs55931441) near the HNF1A gene that reached genome-wide significance ( P =4.62×10 −8 ) and an additional 29 variants with suggestive evidence of association ( P <1×10 −6 ), representing 24 unique loci. For validation, a look-up analysis for a 100 kb region flanking the COMPASS single nucleotide polymorphism was performed in SiGN (Stroke Genetics Network) Europeans, SiGN Hispanics, and METASTROKE (Europeans). Using a stringent Bonferroni correction P value of 2.08×10 −3 (0.05/24 unique loci), we were able to validate associations at the HNF1A locus in both SiGN ( P =8.18×10 −4 ) and METASTROKE ( P =1.72×10 −3 ) European populations. Overall, 16 of 24 loci showed evidence for validation across multiple populations. Previous studies have reported associations between variants in the HNF1A gene and lipids, C-reactive protein, and risk of coronary artery disease and stroke. Suggestive associations with variants in the SFXN4 and TMEM108 genes represent potential novel ischemic stroke loci. Conclusions: These findings represent the most thorough investigation of genetic determinants of stroke in individuals of African descent, to date.
Pathogenic Ischemic Stroke Phenotypes in the NINDS-Stroke Genetics Network
Background and Purpose— NINDS (National Institute of Neurological Disorders and Stroke)-SiGN (Stroke Genetics Network) is an international consortium of ischemic stroke studies that aims to generate high-quality phenotype data to identify the genetic basis of pathogenic stroke subtypes. This analysis characterizes the etiopathogenetic basis of ischemic stroke and reliability of stroke classification in the consortium. Methods— Fifty-two trained and certified adjudicators determined both phenotypic (abnormal test findings categorized in major pathogenic groups without weighting toward the most likely cause) and causative ischemic stroke subtypes in 16 954 subjects with imaging-confirmed ischemic stroke from 12 US studies and 11 studies from 8 European countries using the web-based Causative Classification of Stroke System. Classification reliability was assessed with blinded readjudication of 1509 randomly selected cases. Results— The distribution of pathogenic categories varied by study, age, sex, and race ( P <0.001 for each). Overall, only 40% to 54% of cases with a given major ischemic stroke pathogenesis (phenotypic subtype) were classified into the same final causative category with high confidence. There was good agreement for both causative (κ 0.72; 95% confidence interval, 0.69–0.75) and phenotypic classifications (κ 0.73; 95% confidence interval, 0.70–0.75). Conclusions— This study demonstrates that pathogenic subtypes can be determined with good reliability in studies that include investigators with different expertise and background, institutions with different stroke evaluation protocols and geographic location, and patient populations with different epidemiological characteristics. The discordance between phenotypic and causative stroke subtypes highlights the fact that the presence of an abnormality in a patient with stroke does not necessarily mean that it is the cause of stroke.
Background and Purpose— Meta-analyses of extant genome-wide data illustrate the need to focus on subtypes of ischemic stroke for gene discovery. The National Institute of Neurological Disorders and Stroke SiGN (Stroke Genetics Network) contributes substantially to meta-analyses that focus on specific subtypes of stroke. Methods— The National Institute of Neurological Disorders and Stroke SiGN includes ischemic stroke cases from 24 genetic research centers: 13 from the United States and 11 from Europe. Investigators harmonize ischemic stroke phenotyping using the Web-based causative classification of stroke system, with data entered by trained and certified adjudicators at participating genetic research centers. Through the Center for Inherited Diseases Research, the Network plans to genotype 10 296 carefully phenotyped stroke cases using genome-wide single nucleotide polymorphism arrays and adds to these another 4253 previously genotyped cases, for a total of 14 549 cases. To maximize power for subtype analyses, the study allocates genotyping resources almost exclusively to cases. Publicly available studies provide most of the control genotypes. Center for Inherited Diseases Research–generated genotypes and corresponding phenotypes will be shared with the scientific community through the US National Center for Biotechnology Information database of Genotypes and Phenotypes, and brain MRI studies will be centrally archived. Conclusions— The Stroke Genetics Network, with its emphasis on careful and standardized phenotyping of ischemic stroke and stroke subtypes, provides an unprecedented opportunity to uncover genetic determinants of ischemic stroke.