Norrving, Bo

Background: Most strokes and cardiovascular diseases (CVDs) are potentially preventable if their risk factors are identified and well controlled. Digital platforms, such as the PreventS-MD web app (PreventS-MD) may aid health care professionals (HCPs) in assessing and managing risk factors and promoting lifestyle changes for their patients. Methods: This is a mixed-methods cross-sectional two-phase survey using a largely positivist (quantitative and qualitative) framework. During Phase 1, a prototype of PreventS-MD was tested internationally by 59 of 69 consenting HCPs of different backgrounds, age, sex, working experience, and specialties using hypothetical data. Collected comments/suggestions from the study HCPs in Phase 1 were reviewed and implemented. In Phase 2, a near-final version of PreventS-MD was developed and tested by 58 of 72 consenting HCPs using both hypothetical and real patient (n = 10) data. Qualitative semi-structured interviews with real patients (n = 10) were conducted, and 1 month adherence to the preventive recommendations was assessed by self-reporting. The four System Usability Scale (SUS) groups of scores (0–50 unacceptable; 51–68 poor; 68–80.3 good; >80.3 excellent) were used to determine usability of PreventS-MD. Findings: Ninety-nine HCPs from 27 countries (45% from low- to middle-income countries) participated in the study, and out of them, 10 HCPs were involved in the development of PreventS before the study, and therefore were not involved in the survey. Of the remaining 89 HCPs, 69 consented to the first phase of the survey, and 59 of them completed the first phase of the survey (response rate 86%), and 58 completed the second phase of the survey (response rate 84%). The SUS scores supported good usability of the prototype (mean score = 80.2; 95% CI [77.0–84.0]) and excellent usability of the final version of PreventS-MD (mean score = 81.7; 95% CI [79.1–84.3]) in the field. Scores were not affected by the age, sex, working experience, or specialty of the HCPs. One-month follow-up of the patients confirmed the high level of satisfaction/acceptability of PreventS-MD and (100%) adherence to the recommendations. Interpretation: The PreventS-MD web app has a high level of usability, feasibility, and satisfaction by HCPs and individuals at risk of stroke/CVD. Individuals at risk of stroke/CVD demonstrated a high level of confidence and motivation in following and adhering to preventive recommendations generated by PreventS-MD.

Background: Intracerebral hemorrhage (ICH) is the stroke subtype with the worst prognosis and has no established acute treatment. ICH is classified as lobar and non-lobar based on the location of the hemorrhage, with genetic variation contributing to risk of both subtypes. We report the first genome wide association study (GWAS) of this condition. Methods: The discovery phase included GWAS data (Illumina 610 or Affymetrix 6.0) from 6 ICH studies that enrolled subjects of European ancestry in the US and Europe. Cases were classified as lobar or non-lobar ICH based on head CT. ICH-free controls were selected from ambulatory clinics or by random digit dialing. Standard quality controls filters were applied and principal component analysis was used to account for population structure. Unobserved genotypes were inferred by imputation to 1000 genomes references panels. Association testing was carried out using logistic regression, assuming additive effects, and including age, gender and principal components in the model. Meta-analyses were completed using the inverse normal method, weighting by sample size. Replication of signals with p<1x10E-6 was pursued in an independent multi-ethnic study utilizing direct genotyping. Results: The discovery phase included 1545 cases (664 lobar and 881 non-lobar) and 1481 controls, and tested 5,358,103 SNPs. Two loci were identified: for lobar ICH, an intergenic region located on chromosome 12q21.1 (rs11179580: minor allele frequency [MAF] 0.22, OR 1.54, 95% CI 1.33 - 1.84; p = 6.7x10E-8); and for non-lobar ICH, a region on chromosome 1q22 encompassing the PMF1 and SLC25A44 genes (rs2984613: MAF 0.31, OR 1.45, 95% CI 1.2 - 1.64; p = 8.9x10E-9). Replication included 1256 cases (329 whites, 506 blacks and 421 Hispanics) and 760 controls (237 whites, 346 blacks and 177 Hispanics) and confirmed both loci: 12q21.1 (p = 0.037, meta-analysis p = 2.3x10E-8) and 1q22 (p = 3.0x10E-4, meta-analysis p = 2.2x10E-11). Conclusions: Two new susceptibility loci for ICH were identified, both showing location-specificity. These results confirm the presence of biological heterogeneity across ICH subtypes and highlight that different genetic risk factors may contribute to the small vessel diseases that underlie each ICH subtype.

Introduction: In observational studies, higher plasma high-density lipoprotein cholesterol (HDL-C) has been associated with increased risk of spontaneous intracerebral hemorrhage (ICH). Common DNA sequence variants within the cholesteryl ester transfer protein ( CETP ) gene decrease CETP protein activity and increase plasma HDL-C; as such, medicines that inhibit CETP and raise HDL-C are in clinical development to combat coronary artery disease. Hypothesis: Common CETP DNA sequence variants associated with higher HDL-C also increase risk for ICH. Methods: We performed a two-stage case-control genetic association study in Caucasians. The discovery phase utilized data on 12 independent loci within CETP (+/- 50 kilobases) from 3 genome-wide association studies of ICH. Replication involved direct genotyping in 5 additional studies. We also constructed a genetic risk score with 7 independent CETP variants and tested it for association with HDL-C and ICH risk. We used principal component analysis to account for population structure and a Bonferroni-adjusted p<0.004 (12 tests) to declare statistical significance. Results: The discovery phase included 1149 ICH cases (43% lobar hemorrhages) and 1238 controls. Twelve variants were nominally associated (p<0.05) with ICH, with the strongest association at the rs173539 locus (Figure 1: OR 1.25, 95%CI 1.11-1.41; p=6.0x10 -4 ) and no heterogeneity across studies (I 2 =0%). This association was replicated in 1625 cases (43% lobar hemorrhages) and 1845 controls (OR 1.12, 95%CI 1.02-1.24; p=0.03). A genetic score of independent CETP variants known to increase HDL-C by ~2.85 mg/dL was strongly associated with ICH risk (OR 1.86, 95%CI 1.44-2.40; p=1.4x10 -6 ). Conclusion: Genetic variants in CETP associated with increased HDL-C raise the risk of ICH. Given ongoing therapeutic development in CETP inhibition and other HDL-raising strategies, further exploration of potential adverse cerebrovascular outcomes is warranted.

Background and Purpose— Hematoma volume is an important determinant of clinical outcome in spontaneous intracerebral hemorrhage (ICH). We performed a genome-wide association study (GWAS) of hematoma volume with the aim of identifying novel biological pathways involved in the pathophysiology of primary brain injury in ICH. Methods— We conducted a 2-stage (discovery and replication) case-only genome-wide association study in patients with ICH of European ancestry. We utilized the admission head computed tomography to calculate hematoma volume via semiautomated computer-assisted technique. After quality control and imputation, 7 million genetic variants were available for association testing with ICH volume, which was performed separately in lobar and nonlobar ICH cases using linear regression. Signals with P <5×10 − 8 were pursued in replication and tested for association with admission Glasgow coma scale and 3-month post-ICH dichotomized (0–2 versus 3–6) modified Rankin Scale using ordinal and logistic regression, respectively. Results— The discovery phase included 394 ICH cases (228 lobar and 166 nonlobar) and identified 2 susceptibility loci: a genomic region on 22q13 encompassing PARVB (top single-nucleotide polymorphism rs9614326: β, 1.84; SE, 0.32; P =4.4×10 −8 ) for lobar ICH volume and an intergenic region overlying numerous copy number variants on 17p12 (top single-nucleotide polymorphism rs11655160: β, 0.95; SE, 0.17; P =4.3×10 −8 ) for nonlobar ICH volume. The replication included 240 ICH cases (71 lobar and 169 nonlobar) and corroborated the association for 17p12 ( P =0.04; meta-analysis P =2.5×10 −9 ; heterogeneity, P =0.16) but not for 22q13 ( P =0.49). In multivariable analysis, rs11655160 was also associated with lower admission Glasgow coma scale (odds ratio, 0.17; P =0.004) and increased risk of poor 3-month modified Rankin Scale (odds ratio, 1.94; P =0.045). Conclusions— We identified 17p12 as a novel susceptibility risk locus for hematoma volume, clinical severity, and functional outcome in nonlobar ICH. Replication in other ethnicities and follow-up translational studies are needed to elucidate the mechanism mediating the observed association.

ObjectiveIn observational epidemiologic studies, higher plasma high‐density lipoprotein cholesterol (HDL‐C) has been associated with increased risk of intracerebral hemorrhage (ICH). DNA sequence variants that decrease cholesteryl ester transfer protein (CETP) gene activity increase plasma HDL‐C; as such, medicines that inhibit CETP and raise HDL‐C are in clinical development. Here, we test the hypothesis that CETP DNA sequence variants associated with higher HDL‐C also increase risk for ICH.MethodsWe performed 2 candidate‐gene analyses of CETP. First, we tested individual CETP variants in a discovery cohort of 1,149 ICH cases and 1,238 controls from 3 studies, followed by replication in 1,625 cases and 1,845 controls from 5 studies. Second, we constructed a genetic risk score comprised of 7 independent variants at the CETP locus and tested this score for association with HDL‐C as well as ICH risk.ResultsTwelve variants within CETP demonstrated nominal association with ICH, with the strongest association at the rs173539 locus (odds ratio [OR] = 1.25, standard error [SE] = 0.06, p = 6.0 × 10−4) with no heterogeneity across studies (I2 = 0%). This association was replicated in patients of European ancestry (p = 0.03). A genetic score of CETP variants found to increase HDL‐C by ∼2.85mg/dl in the Global Lipids Genetics Consortium was strongly associated with ICH risk (OR = 1.86, SE = 0.13, p = 1.39 × 10−6).InterpretationGenetic variants in CETP associated with increased HDL‐C raise the risk of ICH. Given ongoing therapeutic development in CETP inhibition and other HDL‐raising strategies, further exploration of potential adverse cerebrovascular outcomes may be warranted. Ann Neurol 2016;80:730–740

Background The greatest potential to reduce the burden of stroke is by primary prevention of first-ever stroke, which constitutes three quarters of all stroke. In addition to population-wide prevention strategies (the ‘mass’ approach), the ‘high risk’ approach aims to identify individuals at risk of stroke and to modify their risk factors, and risk, accordingly. Current methods of assessing and modifying stroke risk are difficult to access and implement by the general population, amongst whom most future strokes will arise. To help reduce the burden of stroke on individuals and the population a new app, the Stroke Riskometer™, has been developed. We aim to explore the validity of the app for predicting the risk of stroke compared with current best methods. Methods 752 stroke outcomes from a sample of 9501 individuals across three countries (New Zealand, Russia and the Netherlands) were utilized to investigate the performance of a novel stroke risk prediction tool algorithm (Stroke Riskometer™) compared with two established stroke risk score prediction algorithms (Framingham Stroke Risk Score [FSRS] and QStroke). We calculated the receiver operating characteristics (ROC) curves and area under the ROC curve (AUROC) with 95% confidence intervals, Harrels C-statistic and D-statistics for measure of discrimination, R2 statistics to indicate level of variability accounted for by each prediction algorithm, the Hosmer-Lemeshow statistic for calibration, and the sensitivity and specificity of each algorithm. Results The Stroke Riskometer™ performed well against the FSRS five-year AUROC for both males (FSRS = 75·0% (95% CI 72·3%–77·6%), Stroke Riskometer™ = 74·0(95% CI 71·3%–76·7%) and females [FSRS = 70·3% (95% CI 67·9%–72·8%, Stroke Riskometer™ = 71·5% (95% CI 69·0%–73·9%)], and better than QStroke [males–59·7% (95% CI 57·3%–62·0%) and comparable to females = 71·1% (95% CI 69·0%–73·1%)]. Discriminative ability of all algorithms was low (C-statistic ranging from 0·51–0·56, D-statistic ranging from 0·01–0·12). Hosmer-Lemeshow illustrated that all of the predicted risk scores were not well calibrated with the observed event data ( P < 0·006). Conclusions The Stroke Riskometer™ is comparable in performance for stroke prediction with FSRS and QStroke. All three algorithms performed equally poorly in predicting stroke events. The Stroke Riskometer™ will be continually developed and validated to address the need to improve the current stroke risk scoring systems to more accurately predict stroke, particularly by identifying robust ethnic/race ethnicity group and country specific risk factors.