Importance Contemporary guidelines recommend sentinel lymph node biopsy (SLNB) for patients with melanoma with predicted risk of SLN metastasis greater than 10% and consideration of SLNB when the risk is 5% to 10%. A gene expression profile (GEP)–based test that can accurately identify patients with a low risk of SLN metastasis would refine selection for SLNB. Objective To establish the predictive capability of the combined clinicopathological factors and GEP (CP-GEP) test to identify patients with primary cutaneous melanoma who can safely forgo SLNB and to investigate the prognostic value of CP-GEP regarding the outcome in patients with cutaneous melanoma after a negative SLNB (not reported herein). Design, Setting, and Participants This prognostic study was conducted from September 2021 to June 2024 at 9 academic medical centers with experienced melanoma surgeons. Included were patients with biopsy-proven invasive cutaneous melanoma with T1 to T3 tumors and clinically negative regional LNs. All patients were deemed candidates for SLNB using standard clinical criteria. GEP was performed on formalin-fixed, paraffin-embedded tissue from the primary melanoma biopsy. Analyses were performed from December 2024 to August 2025. Intervention CP-GEP testing to determine risk of having a positive SLNB in patients with T1 to T3 cutaneous melanoma who were considered appropriate candidates for the procedure based on standard clinical parameters. Main Outcomes and Measures CP-GEP results were reported as low risk or high risk; the primary outcome measure was negative predictive value (NPV) in low-risk cases. Analyses included NPV assessment by tumor (T) subcategory, primary site, and age. Results A total of 1761 patients (median [IQR] age, 64 [53-72] years; 997 male [56.6%]) underwent SLNB (310 [17.6%] SLN positive) and had a successful CP-GEP test; GEP was successful in 97.7% of samples. A total of 651 patients (37.0%) were considered low risk by CP-GEP. Among low-risk cases, 46 (7.1%) were SLN positive, and NPV was 92.9% (95% CI, 90.7%-94.8%). High-risk cases had a 23.8% (264 of 1110) SLN-positive rate. The percentage of cases with low-risk CP-GEP declined with increasing T category (T1 = 346 of 507 [68.2%]; T2 = 295 of 897 [32.9%]; T3 = 10 of 357 [2.8%]). CP-GEP results were consistent in discriminating SLN-positive rates across primary sites, histologic subtypes, and mitotic count categories. In 2 large subsets, clinical stage IB (n = 1187) and patients 65 years and older (n = 832), 6.5% (95% CI, 4.6%-8.8%) of low-risk clinical stage IB cases and 6.6% (95% CI, 4.2%-9.7%) of all low-risk cases in patients 65 years and older were SLN positive vs 18.3% (95% CI, 15.3%-21.6%) and 20.3% (95% CI, 16.8%-24.2%) for high-risk cases, respectively. Conclusions and Relevance In this multicenter, prospective, blinded, prognostic study, the CP-GEP test reliably identified patients with melanoma with less than 10% SLN metastasis risk. SLN metastasis rates were approximately 3-fold greater for high-risk vs low-risk CP-GEP cases. In appropriately selected patients, the CP-GEP test may add value for shared patient-surgeon decision-making.
First analysis of an international pediatric melanoma and atypical melanocytic neoplasm database
9013 Background: Pediatric melanoma (PM) care has been extrapolated from adult melanoma data. PM and atypical melanocytic neoplasms (AMNs) appear to have different biology. An international database (DB) was developed to clarify their behavior. Methods: IRB approval was obtained at 12 institutions. An SQL-DB was developed for web entry of de-identified demographic and pathologic data for PM and AMN patients (pts) < 21yr through an honest broker system at the University of Pittsburgh. Institutions retained a key of pts entered with assigned numbers for quality assurance and updates. Statistical analysis used Kaplan-Meier survival curves, univariate linear trends and log rank tests. In situ melanoma was excluded from PM survival analysis. Results: 828 pts were registered as of 31 Oct 2008 (ages 11mo-23; median 15yr). 34 pts 21–23yr entered were left in the DB for statistical comparison. Diagnosis years ranged from 1936–2008. 455 pts had complete follow-up. Too few AMN pts had complete follow-up for analysis (18/208). After excluding 32 in situ and 40 with other incomplete data, 365 PM out of 415 total PM were evaluable for OS and 351 for DFS (Stage IV removed). Mean/median age for evaluable PM pts was 16.44/17-yrs (range 1–21yr). 591 pts were age 10–20 while 203 were < 10. Sentinel lymph node (SLN) biopsy showed spread in 30.1 % PM pts (compared to 50% [4/8] of AMN SLN pts). 10-yr PM OS was 80.6%, and pts 0–10 yr had 100% 10-yr OS compared to 69.6% for pts age 10–15 and 79.49% for age 15–20 (p= 0.1473). OS did not differ significantly by gender. Stage predicted OS (p<0.0001). 10-yr OS was 94.13% for Stage I (n=174), 79.62% for stage II (n=67) & 77.14% for stage III (n=75). Thickness affected 10-yr OS: 0–1mm=97% (n=147), 1.1–2mm 70% (n=84), 2.01–4mm 78% (n=71) & >4mm 81% (n=25), p= 0.0099. Survival was similar for pts with PM > 1mm of the several T stage groupings. Ulceration adversely affected OS (p=0.022). Mitosis, defined as present/absent did not alter survival. Nodal metastasis correlated with worse OS (p= 0.170). Conclusions: Stage, thickness, ulceration, and nodal status are significant predictors of OS for PM. Further study will focus on multivariable analysis of PM and AMNs after updating pts, increasing accrual, and cleaning data. No significant financial relationships to disclose.
Pediatric melanoma: Analysis of an international registry