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Hogan, William J.

https://orcid.org/0000-0002-5841-4105

Mayo Clinic

Mayo Clinic

Citations 441

Allogeneic stem cell transplantation in chronic myelomonocytic leukemia: analysis of post-transplant survival and risk factors in 138 Mayo Clinic patients
Tefferi, Ayalew , Alsugair, Ali, Gauto‐Mariotti, Estefania , Alhousani, Mohammad , Fathima, Saubia , Yousuf, Muhammad , Bolarinwa, Abiola , Foran, James M. , Mangaonkar, Abhishek A. , Litzow, Mark R. , Sproat, Lisa , Palmer, Jeanne , Matin, Aasiya , Ayala, Ernesto , Slack, James L., Porrata, Luis F. , Khera, Nandita , Punwani, Nathan , Gangat, Naseema , Patnaik, Mrinal M. , Fathima, Saubia , Bolarinwa, Abiola B , Mariotti, Estefania Gauto , Murthy, Hemant S. , Sproat, Lisa, Iqbal, Madiha , Kenderian, Saad S. , Chhabra, Saurabh , Hogan, William J. , Shah, Meera , Alkhateeb, Hassan B.

No container title available | June 9, 2025 | Volume: No volume available | Issue: No issue available | Pages: No page available

10.21203/rs.3.rs-6753879/v1 Get It

Abstract Allogeneic stem cell transplant (ASCT) remains the only curative option in chronic myelomonocytic leukemia (CMML). We retrospectively analyzed 138 CMML patients who underwent ASCT at the Mayo Clinic. Patients who transitioned to ASCT while in chronic phase (Group A) displayed superior post-transplant survival (PTS), compared to those in whom ASCT was performed after blast transformation (BT; Group B) (median 95 vs. 16 months; p=0.01). In Group A, PTS was superior in patients with <5% bone marrow (BM) blasts at time of ASCT (median 164 vs. 13.5 months; p=0.01). Other predictors of superior PTS included day-100 BM blast <5% or normal cytogenetics (median 164 vs 18 months; p=0.01) or presence of chronic graft-versus-host-disease (GVHD; median 164 vs. 26 months; p=0.01). Pre-ASCT hypomethylating agent exposure (HR=2.03; p=0.03), and receiving more than one line of pre-ASCT chemotherapy (p=0.01) predicted inferior PTS. In multivariable analysis, predictors of superior GVHD-free and relapse-free survival (GRFS) included the use myeloablative conditioning and the absence of morphologically or cytogenetically apparent disease at day-100. The use of post-transplant cyclophosphamide (PTCy) was associated with higher cumulative incidence of relapse (p=0.02) and numerically inferior PTS (p=0.1). Group B patients also appeared to benefit from achieving BM blast <5% at time of ASCT (p=0.4) as well as at day-100 (p=0.01), in terms of PTS, while full chimerism and normal cytogenetics at day-100 were associated with superior GRFS. These observations support the value of ASCT in CMML, especially if performed prior to BT and in the presence of <5% BM blasts at time of ASCT. Additionally, the observed detrimental impact of PTCy requires additional studies to confirm and investigate the underlying mechanisms.
Predictors of post-transplant survival in patients with newly diagnosed acute myeloid leukemia receiving frontline venetoclax and hypomethylating agents.
Johnson, Isla McKerrow , Elbeih, Azeem, Ghosoun, Nour, Al‐Kali, Aref , Begna, Kebede, Elliott, Michelle A. , Mangaonkar, Abhishek A. , Matin, Aasiya , Patnaik, Mrinal M. , Pardanani, Animesh , Litzow, Mark R. , Tefferi, Ayalew, Gangat, Naseema , McCullough, Kristen , Alkhateeb, Hassan B. , Saliba, Antoine N. , Hefazi, Mehrdad , Hogan, William J. , Shah, Meera , Tefferi, Ayalew

Journal of Clinical Oncology | May 28, 2025 | Volume: 43 | Issue: 16_suppl | Pages: No page available

10.1200/jco.2025.43.16_suppl.e18523 Get It

e18523 Background: Allogeneic hematopoietic stem cell transplant (AHCT) remains the only curative option for genetically high-risk acute myeloid leukemia (AML). Venetoclax plus hypomethylating agents (Ven+HMA) is approved as frontline treatment in elderly patients with AML ( NEJM 2020; 383); however, less is known on the post-transplant outcomes following such therapy. Methods: Newly diagnosed (ND) AML patients who received Ven+HMA and underwent AHCT at Mayo Clinic from 2019 to 2024 were retrospectively recruited. Patients who required salvage therapy following Ven+HMA were excluded. Post-transplant survival (PTS) and relapse incidence were computed. Results: 55 ND-AML patients (60% male, 49% de novo , median age 69 [38-77]) received Ven+HMA (median cycles 3 [2-11]). ELN 2022 cytogenetic risk at time of diagnosis was non-adverse in 67% of patients, while 33% had adverse karyotype. Common mutations at diagnosis included: K/NRAS (88%), TP53 (26%), RUNX1 (23%), ASXL1 (16%), and IDH1/2 (17%). At the time of AHCT, 98% ( n=54 ) were in CR/CRi or MLFS; ELN cytogenetic risk was non-adverse in 91%, and adverse in 5 (9%) patients. Common mutations included: TP53 (16%), TET2 (18%), SRSF2 (15%), ASXL1 (13%), RUNX1 (18%), and DNMT3A (9%). Donor types included HLA-matched unrelated (75%), haplo-identical (11%), matched related (7%), mismatched unrelated (7%). 58% received fludarabine/melphalan conditioning and 54% GVHD prophylaxis with cyclophosphamide. At a median follow up of 25 months (0.7-68 mo), 20 patients (36%) have died, due to relapse in 10 (18%) cases. 3-year cumulative incidence of non-relapse mortality (NRM) was 17%. Median PTS was not reached (1/2/3-year survival 74%/66%/62%). Univariate analysis identified Karnofsky Performance Score <70% (3 vs. 21 months, p<0.01 ), TP53 (14 vs. 21 months p=0.02 ) and TET2 mutation at time of transplant (11 vs. 21 months , p=0.02 ) as risk factors. Multivariable analysis confirmed the prognostic impact of TP53 (HR 2.8) and TET2 mutations (HR 2.9). Age, adverse karyotype at transplant, and donor type did not impact PTS (p>0.1). 13 patients (24%) experienced post-transplant relapse; 1/2/3-year cumulative incidence of relapse was 10%, 21% and 25%, respectively. ELN-defined adverse karyotype at transplant increased risk of relapse (3 year cumulative incidence 80% vs. 17% for non-adverse , p<0.01 ). Overall, 51% of patients developed GVHD; 54%, 39% and 7% were acute, chronic GVHD and both, respectively. GVHD was protective against relapse (3 year incidence 15% vs. 36% in absence of GVHD [p=0.04]). Conclusions: Ven+HMA frontline treatment is associated with favorable post-transplant outcome in elderly ND-AML (3 year PTS 62%/cumulative incidence of relapse 25%/NRM 17%). TP53 mutation and ELN 2022-defined adverse karyotype at the time of transplant independently predicted PTS and relapse incidence, respectively.
Blastic plasmacytoid dendritic cell neoplasm (BPDCN): Prognostic factors and outcomes in 68 Mayo Clinic patients.
Andres, Erica, Al‐Kali, Aref , Porrata, Luis F. , Begna, Kebede H. , Foran, James M. , Litzow, Mark R. , Mangaonkar, Abhishek A. , Matin, Aasiya , Patnaik, Mrinal M. , Yi, Cecilia Ysabel Arana, Tefferi, Ayalew , Gangat, Naseema , Csizmar, Clifford M. , McCullough, Kristen , Alkhateeb, Hassan B. , Hefazi, Mehrdad , Hogan, William J. , Murthy, Hemant S. , Saliba, Antoine N. , Shah, Meera

Journal of Clinical Oncology | May 28, 2025 | Volume: 43 | Issue: 16_suppl | Pages: No page available

10.1200/jco.2025.43.16_suppl.e18508 Get It

e18508 Background: BPDCN is a rare and aggressive hematologic malignancy. Despite the advent of targeted therapies, median overall survival (mOS) remains <1 year (y) in the absence of stem cell transplant (SCT). This study evaluates clinical and molecular predictors of outcomes in a large cohort of BPDCN patients at a tertiary center. Methods: BPDCN patients seen at Mayo Clinic (AZ, FL, MN) between 2000-2024 were identified retrospectively. Analyses considered parameters at diagnosis. Next generation sequencing (NGS) was performed using a 47-gene assay. Standard statistical methods were used; calculations used R. Results: Among 69 patients, the median age was 70y (range 19-94) with male predominance (83%). At presentation, skin (80%), bone marrow (73%), lymph nodes (52%), spleen (27%), and CNS (12%) were involved; 26% had a concurrent hematologic malignancy. Among 20 cases with NGS, the median number of mutations was 3 (range 0-5), most frequently TET2 (n=16), ASXL1 (n=13), SRSF2 (n=7), and NRAS (n=5). Frontline therapy (Table) yielded a complete response (CR) rate of 63% and overall response rate of 76%. CR rates were similar among regimens, but patients who received an ALL (hyper-CVAD based) regimen (8/13) or tagraxofusp (6/9) were more likely to be bridged to SCT (6/29, p<0.01). After median follow up of 38 months (mo), mOS for all was 15 (95% CI 12-21) mo; 44 (64%) were deceased at last follow up. Among 62 evaluable patients, 20 (32%, median age 60 vs 74y, p<0.01) underwent SCT which improved survival (mOS 51 vs 10 mo, 3y OS 52% vs 5%, p<0.01); mOS was not different between allogeneic (n=17) and autologous (n=3) SCT (54 vs 38 mo, p=0.45). When censored for SCT, the 1y OS for patients receiving an ALL regimen, tagraxofusp, or other regimen was 82%, 67%, and 47%, respectively (p=0.15). In univariate analysis, age ≥50y, lymph node involvement, bone marrow involvement, hemoglobin <10 g/dL, leukocytes (WBC) >11 x10 9 /L, abnormal karyotype, and HCT were significantly associated with OS. In multivariate analysis, WBC >11 x10 9 /L (HR 3.7, p<0.03), abnormal karyotype (HR 5.4, p<0.01), and SCT (HR 0.23, p<0.01) remained significant. Separately, SRSF2 mutation was associated with inferior OS (15 vs 51 mo, p=0.02), but significance was lost when adjusted for age, abnormal karyotype, and SCT. Conclusions: Newly-diagnosed BPDCN patients treated with an ALL regimen or tagraxofusp followed by SCT had longer OS compared to those treated with all other regimens. WBC >11 x10 9 /L and abnormal karyotype were independent predictors of inferior survival whereas SCT was beneficial. Regimen N Age (y) ANNOVA CR Chi Sq HCT Chi Sq 1y OS mOS (mo) Log-rank Tagraxofusp 9 68 (40-70) <0.001 7 (78%) 0.548 6 (67%) 0.018 88% 20.8 0.121 ALL 13 43 (20-72) 8 (67%) 8 (62%) 74% 50.7 Hyper-CVAD 11 43 (20-72) 6 (60%) 6 (60%) 67% 35.8 AML 18 70 (48-80) 13 (76%) 5 (28%) 58% 14.2 Intensive 8 66 (48-77) 7 (88%) 3 (38%) 57% 12.4 HMA+Venetoclax 8 69 (65-80) 6 (75%) 2 (25%) 50% 14.0 Lymphoma 8 74 (49-85) 3 (43%) 1 (13%) 50% 14.0 CHOP 6 74 (49-85) 3 (50%) 1 (17%) 50% 17.7 Other 3 66 (63-73) 1 (33%) 0 (0%) 33% 12.0
Assessing the effects of financial toxicity on quality of life among hematopoietic stem cell transplantation recipients.
Hanvey, Grace Ann , Kirsch, Janae L. , Hashmi, Shahrukh K. , Ehlers, Shawna L. , Morrison, Eleshia J. P. , Patten, Christi A. , Cerhan, James R. , Brockman, Tabetha A. , Hogan, William J.

Journal of Clinical Oncology | May 28, 2025 | Volume: 43 | Issue: 16_suppl | Pages: 1593-1593

10.1200/jco.2025.43.16_suppl.1593 Get It

1593 Background: “Financial toxicity” refers to the financial burden imposed by treatment costs on individuals with cancer, constituting a major barrier to achieving equitable cancer outcomes. Recent literature increasingly demonstrates the detrimental impacts of financial toxicity on quality of life (QOL) among individuals with cancer, including individuals who have undergone hematopoietic stem cell transplantation (HSCT). This study evaluates associations among treatment cost burden and various aspects of QOL following HSCT. Methods: Seven hundred one HSCT recipients completed a survey examining their biopsychosocial health one year following transplant. The survey included the Functional Assessment of Cancer Therapy – Bone Marrow Transplantation (FACT-BMT), a multifactorial measure of QOL specific to this population. Treatment cost burden endorsement was measured on a 5-item Likert scale. Hierarchical regression models were developed to assess the incremental effects of demographic characteristics (i.e., Block 1), clinical predictors (Block 2), and cost burden (Block 3) on physical, emotional, social, functional, BMT-specific, general, and composite QOL outcomes. Results: Significant model improvement was observed with the addition of clinical factors ( ΔF(2,650) = 20.28, p < .001), and subsequently, treatment cost burden ( ΔF(1,649) = 110.29, p < .001). In the final model, higher cost burden was associated with poorer physical (β = -0.323, p < .001), emotional (β = -0.301, p < .001), social (β = -0.250, p < .001), functional (β = -0.317, p < .001), BMT-specific (β = -0.341, p < .001), general (β = -0.377, p < .001), and composite QOL (β = -0.381, p < .001). Poorer performance score was associated with each QOL indicator ( p < .001), with allogeneic transplant type associated with poorer functional (β = -0.001, p = .002), but higher emotional (β = 0.118, p = .002), wellbeing. Older age (β = 0.113, p = .003) and female sex predicted higher (β = 0.183, p < .001), while Hispanic ethnicity predicted poorer (β = -0.095, p = .010), social wellbeing. Female sex was associated with poorer QOL specific to BMT concerns (β = -0.118, p = .001). Conclusions: Higher treatment cost burden is associated with poorer overall QOL and its physical, emotional, social, functional, and BMT-specific components one year following HSCT, after controlling for demographic and clinical characteristics. This reflects a critical barrier to equitable cancer care, suggesting that financial toxicity may perpetuate preexisting inequities in QOL, treatment, disease, and survival outcomes that disproportionately impact the underserved. Future research should prioritize 1) better understanding relationships among complex indicators of financial toxicity, QOL, and their underpinning mechanisms and 2) developing solutions to mitigate financial toxicity of HSCT and overall cancer care.
Allogeneic stem cell transplantation in chronic myelomonocytic leukemia: Analysis of post-transplant survival and risk factors in 138 Mayo Clinic patients.
Alsugair, Ali, Mariotti, E, Alhousani, Mohammad M., Fathima, Saubia, Foran, James M. , Mangaonkar, Abhishek A. , Litzow, Mark R. , Sproat, Lisa , Palmer, Jeanne , Gangat, Naseema , Patnaik, Mrinal M. , Tefferi, Ayalew , Alhousani, Mohammad , Fathima, Saubia , Bolarinwa, Abiola , Murthy, Hemant S. , Hogan, William J. , Shah, Meera , Alkhateeb, Hassan B.

Journal of Clinical Oncology | May 28, 2025 | Volume: 43 | Issue: 16_suppl | Pages: 6558-6558

10.1200/jco.2025.43.16_suppl.6558 Get It

6558 Background: Allogeneic stem cell transplantation (ASCT) is currently the only curative therapy in chronic myelomonocytic leukemia (CMML). Methods: A Mayo Clinic enterprise-wide database search identified 138 CMML cases who underwent ASCT. Conventional statistical methods were used for analyses. Results: 138 CMML patients (transplanted between 1995-2024) were included (median age 63 years; males 62%);104 (group A) received ASCT before and 34 (group B) after blast transformation (BT). At initial diagnosis, CMML-1/CMML-2 and dysplastic/proliferative representations were 78%/22% and 54%/46%; 31% displayed abnormal karyotype and most frequent mutations were ASXL1 (56%), TET2 (44%) and SRSF2 (38%). At time of initial diagnosis, CPSS-Mol risk categories were low (17%), intermediate-1 (11%), intermediate-2 (40%), and high (32%). Median time from diagnosis to ASCT was 11 months (range 0-201). Median overall survival (OS) from the time of initial diagnosis was 67 months (range 4-239) and from the time of ASCT 54 (range 0-212) months. Occurrence of BT before ASCT was associated lower post-transplant survival (PTS; 16 vs 95 months, P=0.01, HR 1.9, 95%CI 1.2-3.2). Bone marrow (BM) blasts, at the time of ASCT, <5%, 5-9%, and 10-19% correlated with median OS of 171, 81, and 18 months in group A (p=0.01) and 50, 25, and 13 months in group B (P=0.07), respectively. Pre-ASCT hypomethylating agent exposure was associated with lower PTS in group A (P=0.02). PTS was also adversely affected by DNMT3A and SETBP1 mutations. In group A, PTS was the longest with myeloablative busulfan-based (median not reached) and the shortest (median 22 months) with Cy-TBI-based conditioning (p=0.1). Donor type did not impact PTS: matched unrelated (63%), matched sibling (23%), mismatched unrelated (7%), or haplo-identical (7%). Post-transplant cyclophosphamide was associated with a numerically lower median PTS (22 months), compared to other forms of GVHD prophylaxis (107 months; p=0.1) and significantly higher non-relapse mortality (p=0.02). Documentation of morphologic CR at day 100 was associated with significantly longer PTS in both groups A (92%,164 vs. 18 months; p=0.01) and B (84%, 42 vs. 11 months; p=0.01). The presence of abnormal karyotype at day 100 was associated with shorter PTS in group A (p=0.01). Grade ≥3 acute and moderate to severe chronic GVHD occurred in 20% and 34%, respectively, in group A patients and in 26% and 44% in group B. GRFS at 1/3 years were 42/21% in group A and 31/16% in group B. At last follow up, 44% in group A and 65% in group B were dead. Causes of death were relapse/non-relapse related in 36/64% in group A and 39/61% in group B. Conclusions: ASCT is effective in securing long-term survival in CMML, especially when the procedure is performed prior to BT and in the setting of <5% BM blasts/promonocytes. Response assessment at day 100 was highly informative of outcome.
Modifiable Risk Factors in Transplant: Lifestyle Advice and Adherence in a Prospective Cohort Study
Ehlers, Shawna L. , Hughes, Christine A. , Decker, Paul A. , Kirsch, Janae L. , Kacel, Elizabeth L. , Ansell, Stephen M., Ebbert, Jon O. , Gastineau, Dennis A., Patten, Christi A. , Cerhan, James R. , Brockman, Tabetha A. , Decker, Paul A. , Hogan, William J. , Dispenzieri, Angela , Ansell, Stephen M. , Gastineau, Dennis A.

American Journal of Health Behavior | May 16, 2025 | Volume: 49 | Issue: 2 | Pages: 66-77

10.5993/ajhb.49.2.7 Get It

Objectives: Modifiable lifestyle factors are associated with morbidity and mortality in hematopoietic stem cell transplant (HSCT) survivors. The aims of the study were to examine: (a) receipt of provider advice to change behaviors, (b) health behavior change, and (c) how modifiable lifestyle factors might cluster together. Methods: Patients within a large HSCT program completed a survey (N =870) of lifestyle factors at pre-HSCT evaluation. The survey assessed self-reported adherence to American Cancer Society and HSCT guidelines for cancer survivorship in the year prior to a pre-HSCT evaluation. Lifestyle factors of interest were physical activity, fruit and vegetable consumption, tobacco use, alcohol use, and height/weight to calculate Body Mass Index (BMI). Results: Among patients not meeting all five guidelines (98%), 31% received provider advice to change. Between 10% and 42% reported healthy behavior change since diagnosis. Physical activity, fruit and vegetable consumption, and BMI were the most commonly clustered lifestyle behaviors. Conclusions: A considerable proportion of patients did not meet national guidelines for lifestyle factors. Results highlight an immediate opportunity to improve health care delivery and transplant outcomes via pre-HSCT lifestyle screening and implementation of effective health behavior change interventions.
Clinical Outcome and Molecular Profile in Patients with DDX41 Mutation Hot-Spots
Toumeh, Nadia , Jabban, Yazan, Nanaa, Ahmad , He, Rong , Viswanatha, David S., Foran, James M. , Yi, Cecilia Y. Arana , Saliba, Antoine N. , Shah, Meera , Mangaonkar, Abhishek A. , Patnaik, Mrinal M. , Alkhateeb, Hassan B. , Al‐Kali, Aref , Saliba, Antoine N. , Viswanatha, David, Arana Yi, Cecilia Y , Saliba, Antoine N , Hefazi Torghabeh, Mehrdad, Hogan, William J , Shah, Mithun V , Alkhateeb, Hassan B , Al-Kali, Aref , Saliba, Antoine N , Jevremović, Dragan , Yi, Cecilia Arana , Hefazi, Mehrdad , Hogan, William J.

Hematology Reports | May 8, 2025 | Volume: 17 | Issue: 3 | Pages: 26

10.3390/hematolrep17030026 Get It

Background/Objectives: DDX41, DEAD-box RNA helicase 41 gene located on chromosome 5q25.3, is one of the most mutated genes in patients with germline predisposition to myeloid neoplasms. Germline and somatic mutations often have different locations and patterns of mutation, with some hotspots displaying diversity based on ethnicity. We aimed to explore clinical outcomes in patients with various DDX41 hot-spot mutations. Methods: This was a retrospective study of patients at Mayo Clinic with DDX41 mutation identified through Next Generation Sequencing (NGS) between 2018 and 2024. We completed unadjusted comparisons using continuous or categorical variables, and survival rates were assessed using the Kaplan–Meier method and cox regression analysis. Results: Overall survival appears to be higher in those with p.M1| when compared to p.Asp140GlyFs*2 and p.Arg525His, with comparable survival between p.Arg525His and p.Asp140GlyFs*2. Among males with p.M1| who underwent bone marrow transplant, those who underwent bone marrow transplant appeared to have lower survival rates, although not statistically significant. Our study was limited by a small sample size, therefore limiting our ability to reach significance. Conclusions: Our findings suggest potential implications for clinical outcomes based on DDX41 mutation hot-spots.
Predictors of Transplant Regret: A Case–Control Study Nested Within a Prospective Cohort of HSCT Recipients
Kirsch, Janae L. , Edwards, Hannah, Hughes, Christine A. , Ansell, Stephen M. , Gastineau, Dennis A., Ehlers, Shawna L. , Edwards, Holly C, Patten, Christi A. , Brockman, Tabetha, Hughes, Christine, Cerhan, James R. , Hogan, William J. , Brockman, Tabetha A. , Dispenzieri, Angela , Gastineau, Dennis A.

Cancer Medicine | April 2, 2025 | Volume: 14 | Issue: 7 | Pages: No page available

10.1002/cam4.70828 Get It

ABSTRACTObjectiveTo explore pre–hematopoietic stem cell transplant (HSCT) demographic, disease, and psychological factors predictive of future transplant regret and to determine post‐HSCT variables associated with regret.Patients and MethodsHSCT candidates participated in a prospective cohort study (June 2008–October 2013) examining health behaviors and HSCT outcomes, including completion of standardized surveys at pre‐HSCT (baseline) and 1‐year post‐HSCT. Cases were participants that endorsed regret at 1‐year post‐HSCT follow‐up, and controls were participants without regret at 1 year, matched on age, sex, and transplant type. For cases and controls, pre‐HSCT psychosocial evaluations were abstracted from the electronic health record and coded to determine the Psychosocial Assessment of Candidates for Transplantation score, psychosocial stressors, and mental health diagnoses. The association of selected factors with regret was estimated with odds ratios and 95% confidence intervals from conditional logistic regression models.ResultsAt post‐HSCT, 49 participants of 638 endorsed transplant regret (8%) and formed the case group; 98 controls were matched from remaining participants. Cases and controls were well matched on age (56.6 vs. 57.2 years), sex (both groups 34.7% female), and transplant type (both groups 81.6% autologous). After controlling for the number of hospitalizations and active treatment status, conditional logistic regression revealed that patients who endorsed regret were 3.7 times (95% CI = 1.37–9.69, p = 0.008) more likely to not be in remission compared to controls at 1‐year post‐HSCT.ConclusionMatched case–control analyses revealed that no pre‐HSCT variables collected during the pre‐HSCT evaluation period were predictive of transplant regret, while poorer outcomes at 1‐year after transplant were associated with regret.
Novel composite health assessment risk model for older allogeneic transplant recipients: BMT-CTN 1704
Sorror, Mohamed L. , Saber, Wael , Logan, Brent R. , Geller, Nancy L. , Bellach, Anna , Kou, Jianqun, McCarty, John M. , Knight, Thomas G. , Runaas, Lyndsey, Johnston, Laura, Nakamura, Ryotaro , Jarrett, Lori, Mishra, Asmita , Uberti, Joseph P., Morris, Lawrence E. , Nadiminti, Kalyan , Olin, Rebecca L. , Sobecks, Ronald , Wall, Sarah , Mattila, Deborah, Protz, Bailey, Horowitz, Mary M. , Geller, Nancy , Knight, Thomas G , Nakamura, Ryotaro , Dahi, Parastoo B , Saultz, Jennifer N , Imus, Philip H , Hogan, William J , Bhatt, Vijaya Raj , Artz, Andrew S , Sorror, Mohamed , Wood, William A. , Walston, Jeremy D , Jarrett, Lori, McCurdy, Shannon , Hogan, William J. , Bhatt, Vijaya Raj , Maakaron, Joseph E. , Devine, Steven M. , Artz, Andrew

Blood Advances | March 18, 2025 | Volume: 9 | Issue: 13 | Pages: 3268-3280

10.1182/bloodadvances.2025015793 Get It

Abstract Allogeneic hematopoietic cell transplantation (allo-HCT) is potentially curative for older adults with hematologic malignancies. Concerns on nonrelapse mortality (NRM) in older adults limit allo-HCT utilization. We executed a prospective, observational study BMT-CTN 1704 (Blood and Marrow Transplant Clinical Trials Network) enrolling allo-HCT recipients aged ≥60 years from 49 centers in the United States. We analyzed associations between 13 measurements of older adult health and NRM within 1 year to construct a comprehensive health assessment risk model (primary-CHARM) using multivariate Fine-Gray model and grouped penalized variable selection. Two machine learning (ML) models (Cox and pseudo-value boosting) were also explored. Models’ performances were compared using area under the curve (AUC), with bootstrap and cross-validation sampling to correct for optimism, decision curve analysis (DCA), calibration, and Brier scores. Among 1105 patients with median age of 67 (range, 60-82) years who received allo-HCT, NRM was 14.4% and overall survival (OS) 71.7% at 1 year. Factors statistically selected for inclusion in primary-CHARM were higher comorbidity burden, lower albumin, higher C-reactive protein, older age, higher weight-loss percentage, lower patient-reported performance score, and cognitive impairment. Primary-CHARM scores were independently associated with higher NRM (hazard ratio [HR], 2.72; P &lt; .0001) and worse OS (HR, 2.09; P &lt; .0001). Bootstrap bias–corrected AUC for primary-CHARM was 0.591. Comparing primary-CHARM with HCT-comorbidity index and 2 ML-CHARM models, calibration, Brier score, and DCA analysis favored primary-CHARM. Primary-CHARM, with mostly simple and readily available parameters, risk stratifies older adults for allo-HCT. Adopting primary-CHARM in practice may promote broader use of HCT by quantifying risk and enhance the design of strategies to improve outcomes. This trial was registered at www.ClinicalTrials.gov as #NCT03992352.