Serial Measurement of Cell-Cycle Arrest Biomarkers [TIMP-2] · [IGFBP7] and Risk for Progression to Death, Dialysis, or Severe Acute Kidney Injury in Patients with Septic Shock
Abstract Rationale Urinary TIMP-2 (tissue inhibitor of metalloproteinases-2) and IGFBP7 (insulin-like growth factor–binding protein 7) can predict acute kidney injury (AKI) in patients with sepsis. Objectives To address critical questions about whether biomarkers can inform the response to treatment and whether they might be used to guide therapy, as most sepsis patients present with AKI. Methods We measured [TIMP-2] · [IGFBP7] before and after a 6-hour resuscitation in 688 patients with septic shock enrolled in the ProCESS (Protocol-based Care for Early Septic Shock) trial. Our primary endpoint was stage 3 AKI, renal replacement therapy, or death within 7 days. Measurements and Main Results: The endpoint was reached in 113 patients (16.4%). In patients with negative [TIMP-2] · [IGFBP7] at baseline, those who became positive (>0.3 U) after resuscitation had three-times higher risk compared with those who remained negative (21.8% vs. 8.5%; P = 0.01; odds ratio [OR], 3.0; 95% confidence interval [CI], 1.31–6.87). Conversely, compared with patients with a positive biomarker at baseline that were still positive at Hour 6, risk was reduced for patients who became negative (23.8% vs. 9.8%; P = 0.01; OR, 2.15; 95% CI, 1.17–3.95). A positive [TIMP-2] · [IGFBP7] after resuscitation was associated with worse outcomes in both patients with and without AKI at that time point. The clinical response to resuscitation, as judged by the Acute Physiology and Chronic Health Evaluation II score, was weakly predictive of the endpoint (area under the curve, 0.68; 95% CI, 0.62–0.73) and improved with addition of [TIMP-2] · [IGFBP7] (0.72; 95% CI, 0.66–0.77; P = 0.03). Different resuscitation protocols did not alter biomarker trajectories, nor did they alter outcomes in biomarker-positive or biomarker-negative patients. However, biomarker trajectories were associated with outcomes. Conclusions Changes in urinary [TIMP-2] · [IGFBP7] after initial fluid resuscitation identify patients with sepsis who have differing risk for progression of AKI. Clinical trial registered with www.clinicaltrials.gov (NCT 00510835).
AKI is a global concern with a high incidence among patients across acute care settings. AKI is associated with significant clinical consequences and increased health care costs. Preventive measures, as well as rapid identification of AKI, have been shown to improve outcomes in small studies. Providing high-quality care for patients with AKI or those at risk of AKI occurs across a continuum that starts at the community level and continues in the emergency department, hospital setting, and after discharge from inpatient care. Improving the quality of care provided to these patients, plausibly mitigating the cost of care and improving short- and long-term outcomes, are goals that have not been universally achieved. Therefore, understanding how the management of AKI may be amenable to quality improvement programs is needed. Recognizing this gap in knowledge, the 22nd Acute Disease Quality Initiative meeting was convened to discuss the evidence, provide recommendations, and highlight future directions for AKI-related quality measures and care processes. Using a modified Delphi process, an international group of experts including physicians, a nurse practitioner, and pharmacists provided a framework for current and future quality improvement projects in the area of AKI. Where possible, best practices in the prevention, identification, and care of the patient with AKI were identified and highlighted. This article provides a summary of the key messages and recommendations of the group, with an aim to equip and encourage health care providers to establish quality care delivery for patients with AKI and to measure key quality indicators.