Objectives: Decreased urine output and/or increased serum creatinine may herald the development of acute kidney injury or reflect normal physiology. In this secondary analysis of the Sapphire study, we examined biomarkers of cell cycle arrest in the settings of oliguria and/or azotemia to improve risk assessment when used with conventional indices in predicting severe acute kidney injury (Kidney Disease: Improving Global Outcomes 3 defined by the need for renal replacement therapy or changes in urine output, serum creatinine or both) or death. Design: Prospective, international, Sapphire study. Setting: Academic Medical Center. Patients: Patients without acute kidney injury Kidney Disease: Improving Global Outcomes stage 2 or 3. Interventions: None. Measurements and Main Results: The primary endpoint being development of severe acute kidney injury or death within 1 week. Secondary analysis examined the relationship between tissue inhibitor of metalloproteinases-2 ([TIMP-2]) and insulin growth factor binding protein 7 ([IGFBP7]) and 9-month death or dialysis conditioned on progression to stage 2–3 acute kidney injury within 1 week. Seventy-nine patients reached the primary endpoint and were more likely to be surgical, with higher nonrenal Acute Physiology and Chronic Health Evaluation III scores and more chronic kidney disease. Stage 1 urine output, serum creatinine, and urinary [TIMP-2]•[IGFBP7] greater than 2.0 were all predictive of progression to the primary endpoint independent from nonrenal Acute Physiology and Chronic Health Evaluation III score. Combinations of predictors increased the hazard ratios considerably (from 2.17 to 4.14 to 10.05, respectively). In the presence of acute kidney injury (stage 1), [TIMP-2]•[IGFBP7] greater than 2.0 leads to an increased risk of death or dialysis at 9 months even in the absence of progression of acute kidney injury (stage 2–3) within 7 days. Conclusions: Cell cycle arrest biomarkers, TIMP-2 and IGFBP7, improve risk stratification for severe outcomes in patients with stage 1 acute kidney injury by urine output, serum creatinine or both, with risk increasing with each acute kidney injury indicator. Longer term outcomes demonstrate that the associated risks of a [TIMP-2]•[IGFBP7] greater than 2.0 is equivalent to acute kidney injury progression even where no progression from stage 1 acute kidney injury is observed.
AKI is a global concern with a high incidence among patients across acute care settings. AKI is associated with significant clinical consequences and increased health care costs. Preventive measures, as well as rapid identification of AKI, have been shown to improve outcomes in small studies. Providing high-quality care for patients with AKI or those at risk of AKI occurs across a continuum that starts at the community level and continues in the emergency department, hospital setting, and after discharge from inpatient care. Improving the quality of care provided to these patients, plausibly mitigating the cost of care and improving short- and long-term outcomes, are goals that have not been universally achieved. Therefore, understanding how the management of AKI may be amenable to quality improvement programs is needed. Recognizing this gap in knowledge, the 22nd Acute Disease Quality Initiative meeting was convened to discuss the evidence, provide recommendations, and highlight future directions for AKI-related quality measures and care processes. Using a modified Delphi process, an international group of experts including physicians, a nurse practitioner, and pharmacists provided a framework for current and future quality improvement projects in the area of AKI. Where possible, best practices in the prevention, identification, and care of the patient with AKI were identified and highlighted. This article provides a summary of the key messages and recommendations of the group, with an aim to equip and encourage health care providers to establish quality care delivery for patients with AKI and to measure key quality indicators.