Petr, Ondra

BACKGROUND AND OBJECTIVES: Preventive treatment of unruptured intracranial aneurysms (UIAs) requires assessment of treatment risks vs expected benefit. Although established scores exist to estimate rupture and growth risk, currently, no externally validated tools exist to estimate the risks of microsurgical treatment of UIAs. Clinical prediction models based on machine learning enable generation of personalized risk estimates for each individual patient based on their specific patient and aneurysm characteristics. METHODS: Using data from 20 international centers from the prediction of adverse events after microsurgery for intracranial unruptured aneurysms study on patients treated microsurgically for UIAs, we developed and externally validated clinical prediction models for 3 outcomes measured at hospital discharge: poor neurological outcome (modified Rankin Score ≥3), new sensorimotor neurological deficits, and all-cause adverse events (Clavien-Dindo Grade ≥1). RESULTS: A total of 3705 patients were included. Data from 13 centers (2881, 78%) were used for model development. Fully trained models were evaluated on 824 patients (22%) from 7 additional centers. Average age was 56 ± 12 years, and 1049 (28%) were male. At discharge, poor neurological outcome was seen in 514 patients (14%). New sensorimotor deficits were observed in 534 patients (14%), and 894 patients (24%) experienced adverse events until discharge. At external validation, prediction of poor neurological outcome was achieved with good calibration and an area under the curve (AUC) = 0.70 (95% CI: 0.63-0.75). Similarly, new neurological deficits were predicted with good calibration and with an AUC = 0.69 (95% CI: 0.63-0.74). Prediction of all-cause adverse events only achieved an AUC = 0.59 (95% CI: 0.55-0.64) with fair calibration. The prediction model was integrated into a web application accessible at https://neurosurgery.shinyapps.io/PRAEMIUM/. CONCLUSION: The developed models for prediction of poor neurological outcome and new sensorimotor neurological deficits at discharge exhibit good calibration and fair discrimination based on a multinational external validation, indicating that the predicted probabilities correspond well to real-world risks and may thus be clinically useful in more objectively estimating the risk of microsurgical treatment.

OBJECTIVE Objective values on procedural risk are essential to facilitate informed consent and optimize clinical decision-making in patients with unruptured intracranial aneurysms (UIAs). While robust heuristics, such as the PHASES (population, hypertension, age, size of aneurysm, earlier subarachnoid hemorrhage, and site of aneurysm) score, are established for predicting rupture risk, contemporary and granular benchmarks for procedural safety remain scarce. The multinational Prediction of Adverse Events After Microsurgery for Intracranial Unruptured Aneurysms (PRAEMIUM) study aims to comprehensively characterize contemporary adverse event rates following microsurgical treatment at high-volume expert centers, stratified by aneurysm location, morphology, and complexity factors to better inform individual risk/benefit analyses. METHODS A cohort study among 20 participating expert centers from 9 countries was established. Patients treated microsurgically for UIAs were included. The authors describe the epidemiology of treated patients and UIAs and a comprehensive adverse event profile using 3 outcomes measured at hospital discharge: 1) poor neurological outcome (modified Rankin Scale score ≥ 3), 2) new sensorimotor neurological deficits, and 3) all-cause adverse events (Clavien-Dindo grade ≥ 1). Subgroup reports were given for aneurysm location, morphology, and complexity factors (prior aneurysm treatment, calcifications, complex angioanatomy involving critical branch vessels or perforators, and thrombosis). The authors purposely chose discharge as the time point to capture early postoperative risks and complications in patients with asymptomatic UIAs, for whom preserving neurological function is paramount. RESULTS The cohort included 3705 patients (mean age 56 [SD 12] years, 28% male). Overall, at discharge 13.9% of patients (95% CI 12.8%–15.0%) had poor neurological functional outcomes, 14.4% (95% CI 13.3%–15.5%) had new sensorimotor deficits, and 24.1% (95% CI 22.8%–25.5%) experienced all-cause adverse events. Poor neurological outcomes ranged from 8.5% (M1 aneurysms) to 37.4% (posterior circulation aneurysms), neurological deficits from 9.3% (distal anterior cerebral artery [ACA] aneurysms) to 34.2% (posterior circulation aneurysms), and all-cause adverse events from 21.2% (distal ACA aneurysms) to 31.3% (posterior circulation aneurysms). Dissecting and fusiform aneurysms showed notably high rates of poor neurological outcomes (22.0%–33.3%), new deficits (25.4%–26.7%), and adverse events (26.7%–37.0%). Complexity factors significantly influenced outcomes, with prior treatment (22.9%, 19.7%, and 30.1%), calcification (16.3%, 18.1%, and 30.5%), complex angioanatomy (13.1%, 15.9%, and 26.9%), and thrombosis (19.6%, 23.9%, and 39.6%) notably increasing the risks for poor neurological outcomes, deficits, and adverse events, respectively. CONCLUSIONS This large international cohort provides contemporary benchmarks for microsurgical treatment of UIAs, emphasizing variability in outcomes based on aneurysm location, morphology, and complexity. The presented granular and quotable adverse event rates support informed patient counseling and individualized risk/benefit assessments in comparable high-volume centers.

Background and Purpose— Several angiographic factors of dural arteriovenous fistulas (dAVFs) are associated with aggressive presentation and poor natural history. We examined the association of magnetic resonance imaging T2-weighted-Fluid-Attenuated Inversion Recovery (T2/FLAIR) hyperintensity with aggressive presentation. Methods— A cohort of dAVF patients from 2 centers was retrospectively examined. T2/FLAIR hyperintensity was determined by blinded, de-identified review and compared with angiographic grade and presenting symptoms. Results— T2/FLAIR hyperintensity was only identified in dAVF patients with cortical venous drainage (CVD). Among patients with CVD, those with T2/FLAIR hyperintensity were more likely to present with aggressive symptoms (20/23, 87.0%) than those without (6/21, 28.5%), P <0.001. All cured dAVFs with symptom resolution and available post-treatment imaging had resolution of T2/FLAIR hyperintensity. Conclusions— T2/FLAIR hyperintensity strongly correlates with aggressive presentation and CVD in dAVF patients, and may identify a subset that would benefit from early treatment.

Abstract BACKGROUND Neck remnants are not uncommon after endovascular treatment of cerebral aneurysms. Critics of endovascular treatments for cerebral aneurysms cite neck remnants as evidence in favor of microsurgical clipping. However, studies have failed to evaluate the true clinical significance of aneurysm neck remnants following endovascular therapies. OBJECTIVE To assess the clinical significance of residual aneurysm necks and to determine the rate of subsequent rupture following coiling or stent-assisted coiling of cerebral aneurysms. METHODS We retrospectively reviewed the records of 1292 aneurysm cases that underwent endovascular treatment at 4 institutions. Aneurysms treated by primary coiling or stent-assisted coiling were included in the study; those treated by flow diversion were excluded Aneurysms with residual filling (i.e., Raymond–Roy Occlusion Classification II, neck remnant; or III, residual aneurysm filling) were assessed for their risk of subsequent rupture. RESULTS A total of 626 aneurysms were identified as having residual filling immediately posttreatment. Of these, 13 aneurysms (2.1%) ruptured during the follow-up period (mean 7.3 mo; range 1-84 mo). Eleven of the 13 (84.6%) were ruptured at presentation. Rupture at presentation, the size of the aneurysm, and the increasing age of the patient were predictive of posttreatment rupture. CONCLUSION We found that unruptured aneurysms with residual necks following endovascular treatment posed a very low risk of rupture (0.6%). However, patients presenting with ruptured aneurysms had a higher risk of rerupture from a neck remnant (3.4%). These results highlight the importance of achieving complete angiographic occlusion of ruptured aneurysms.