Gibbons, Christopher

Abstract Background The Movement Disorder Society (MDS) research criteria for possible prodromal multiple system atrophy (PP‐MSA) have not been prospectively validated. Objective To evaluate the diagnostic performance of the PP‐MSA criteria in a longitudinal cohort of patients with pure autonomic failure (PAF) and to assess whether additional clinical features improve their predictive value. Methods Seventy‐six patients with PAF enrolled across eight centers in the Natural History Study of the Synucleinopathies were followed for ≥6 years or until phenoconversion. Participants were classified according to MDS PP‐MSA criteria and followed for development of MSA, Parkinson's disease, or dementia with Lewy bodies. Diagnostic performance was assessed longitudinally. Analyses were repeated using a stricter olfactory threshold (University of Pennsylvania Smell Identification Test [UPSIT]≤28) as an exclusion criterion. Results Thirty‐eight participants met PP‐MSA criteria, of whom 12 phenoconverted to MSA within 6 years. Sensitivity was 100% at year 1 and 92% at year 6, whereas specificity ranged from 56% to 67%. Positive predictive value (PPV) ranged from 21% to 34%. Applying a stricter olfactory threshold improved specificity (90%–97%) and PPV (53%–83%), with a modest reduction in sensitivity (to 83%). Participants who phenoconverted to MSA were younger, had more severe urinary dysfunction, and greater orthostatic heart rate responses. Conclusions The PP‐MSA criteria demonstrate high sensitivity but limited specificity in patients with PAF. A stricter olfactory threshold improves diagnostic performance and may enhance cohort enrichment for clinical trials. © 2026 International Parkinson and Movement Disorder Society. This article has been contributed to by U.S. Government employees and their work is in the public domain in the USA.

ABSTRACT Objective To determine the test performance of cutaneous phosphorylated alpha‐synuclein (P‐SYN) in dementia with Lewy bodies (DLB), individuals with reduced Montreal Cognitive Assessment (MoCA) and healthy controls. Methods This is the first subgroup analysis of the Synuclein‐One study, a prospective, blinded study evaluating P‐SYN detection from skin biopsies in 218 subjects with a referral diagnosis of control ( N = 151) and DLB ( N = 67). All subjects completed detailed examinations, questionnaires, and had skin biopsies for detection of P‐SYN. DLB patients were included if meeting the 4th DLB consensus probable criteria. Control subjects, aged 40–99, had no history, examination findings, or symptoms suggestive of a synucleinopathy or neurodegenerative disease. An expert review panel, blinded to pathological data, determined the final diagnosis. Controls with reduced MoCA (MoCA < 26, N = 26) at screening were analyzed separately. Results After expert panel review, only 50/67 patients met consensus criteria for DLB, 26/151 controls had a reduced MoCA, and 120/151 controls had a normal MoCA. The proportions of subjects with cutaneous P‐SYN detected by skin biopsy were 96.0% (48 of 50) of the DLB group, 31% (8 of 26) of the controls with reduced MoCA, and 3.3% (4 of 120) of the controls with normal MoCA. Interpretation In this prospective, blinded, cross‐sectional study, a high proportion of subjects meeting clinical consensus criteria for DLB had P‐SYN detected in skin biopsies. Almost 1/3 of subjects with reduced MoCA testing also had P‐SYN detected. These results support a role for skin biopsy detection of P‐SYN in patients with DLB. Trial Registration NCT04700722