Kim, W. Ray

Abstract Alcohol‐associated liver disease (ALD) is emerging worldwide as the leading cause of liver‐related morbidity, mortality, and indication for liver transplantation. The ALD Special Interest Group and the Clinical Research Committee at the digital American Association for the Study of Liver Diseases meeting in November 2020 held the scientific sessions to identify clinical unmet needs in ALD, and addressing these needs using clinical research methodologies. Of several research methodologies, the sessions were focused on (a) studying disease burden of ALD using large administrative databases, (b) developing biomarkers for noninvasive diagnosis of alcohol‐associated hepatitis (AH) and estimation of disease prognosis, (c) identifying therapeutic targets for ALD and AH, (d) deriving accurate models to predict prognosis or posttransplant alcohol relapse as a basis for developing treatment algorithm and a uniform protocol on patient‐selection criteria for liver transplantation, and (e) examining qualitative research methodologies in studying the barriers to implementation of multidisciplinary integrated care model by hepatology and addiction teams for the management of dual pathology of liver disease and of alcohol use disorder. Prospective multicenter studies are required to address many of these clinical unmet needs. Further, multidisciplinary care models are needed to improve long‐term outcomes in patients with ALD.

Background. Controlled attenuation parameter (CAP) and liver stiffness measurement (LSM) are noninvasive surrogates for hepatic steatosis and fibrosis, respectively, and could help identify extended criteria donors in liver transplantation (LT). We aimed to determine the accuracy of CAP/LSM in deceased donors along with post-LT changes. Methods. Accuracy of preprocurement CAP/LSM to grade/stage steatosis/fibrosis was determined using liver biopsy as reference. Transplant outcomes, including primary nonfunction (PNF) and early allograft dysfunction, were recorded. Recipients underwent CAP/LSM as outpatients. Areas under the receiver operating characteristic curve and regression models were constructed to analyze data. Results. We prospectively evaluated 160 allografts (138 transplanted). Same-probe paired baseline/post-LT CAP was 231 dB/m (181–277)/225 (187–261) (P = 0.61), and LSM 7.6 kPa (6.3–10.8)/5.9 (4.6–8.7) (P = 0.002), respectively. CAP reading was affected by BMI and LSM by ALT, race and bilirubin. Although CAP did not correlate with steatosis from frozen sections (ρ = 0.08, P = 0.47), it correlated with steatosis from permanent sections (ρ = 0.32, P < 0.001) and with oil red O histomorphometry (ρ = 0.35, P = 0.001). CAP identified moderate-to-severe steatosis with an areas under the receiver operating characteristic curve curve of 0.79 (0.66–0.91), for a negative predictive value of 100% at a cutoff value of 230 dB/m. LSM correlated with fibrosis staging (ρ = 0.22, P = 0.007) and it identified discarded allografts with advanced fibrosis/cirrhosis. Patients with no to minimal fibrosis had an LSM of 7.6 (6–10.1) kPa. Conclusions. Our results are proof-of-concept of the utility of CAP/LSM during organ procurement. Establishing the precise role of these noninvasive tools in the organ allocation process mandates confirmatory studies.

Background and Aims Among patients with cirrhosis awaiting liver transplantation, prediction of wait‐list (WL) mortality is adjudicated by the Model for End Stage Liver Disease–Sodium (MELD‐Na) score. Replacing serum creatinine (SCr) with estimated glomerular filtration rate (eGFR) in the MELD‐Na score may improve prediction of WL mortality, especially for women and highest disease severity. Approach and Results We developed (2014) and validated (2015) a model incorporating eGFR using national data (n = 17,095) to predict WL mortality. Glomerular filtration rate (GFR) was estimated using the GFR assessment in liver disease (GRAIL) developed among patients with cirrhosis. Multivariate Cox proportional hazard analysis models were used to compare the predicted 90‐day WL mortality between MELD‐GRAIL‐Na (re‐estimated bilirubin, international normalized ratio [INR], sodium, and GRAIL) versus MELD‐Na. Within 3 months, 27.8% were transplanted, 4.3% died on the WL, and 4.7% were delisted for other reasons. GFR as estimated by GRAIL (hazard ratio [HR] 0.382, 95% confidence interval [CI] 0.344‐0.424) and the re‐estimated model MELD‐GRAIL‐Na (HR 1.212, 95% CI 1.199‐1.224) were significant predictors of mortality or being delisted on the WL within 3 months. MELD‐GRAIL‐Na was a better predictor of observed mortality at highest deciles of disease severity (≥ 27‐40). For a score of 32 or higher (observed mortality 0.68), predicted mortality was 0.67 (MELD‐GRAIL‐Na) and 0.51 (MELD‐Na). For women, a score of 32 or higher (observed mortality 0.67), the predicted mortality was 0.69 (MELD‐GRAIL‐Na) and 0.55 (MELD‐Na). In 2015, use of MELD‐GRAIL‐Na as compared with MELD‐Na resulted in reclassification of 16.7% (n = 672) of patients on the WL. Conclusion Incorporation of eGFR likely captures true GFR better than SCr, especially among women. Incorporation of MELD‐GRAIL‐Na instead of MELD‐Na may affect outcomes for 12%‐17% awaiting transplant and affect organ allocation.

AbstractBackground & AimsNonalcoholic fatty liver disease (NAFLD) has become the most common liver disease in Western countries. Smoking and diabetes mellitus (DM) have been shown to increase mortality; however, whether NAFLD adds to the detrimental effect of smoking in DM and non‐DM patients is unknown. We evaluated the possible interactive effect of NAFLD and smoking on mortality risk in a US population‐based sample.MethodsCross‐sectional data from 11 205 participants in the third National Health and Nutrition Examination Survey were analysed. NAFLD was defined as ultrasonographic hepatic steatosis without evidence of other liver diseases. Proportional hazards regression modelling was used to test for the multiplicative interaction of NAFLD and smoking on overall mortality, controlling for DM.Results36.5% of the participants had NAFLD of whom 21.1% were current smokers, while among non‐NAFLD subjects, 26.2% reported current smoking. Smoking was associated with a hazard ratio (HR) of 2.23 (95% confidence interval (CI): 1.87‐2.65) among non‐NAFLD subjects, and 2.31 (95% CI: 1.33‐2.92, P < 0.01) among NAFLD patients. In contrast, the HR for NAFLD was 1.01 (95% CI: 0.78‐1.31, P = 0.96) among smokers and 0.98 (95% CI: 0.87‐1.10, P = 0.73) among non‐smokers. There was no evidence of interaction between NAFLD and smoking (HR = 1.01, 95% CI: 0.74‐1.38, P = 0.94) in the combined model.ConclusionWe found that smoking increased mortality by two‐fold among the US population. Although the magnitude of the increase in mortality did not differ from that in non‐NAFLD subjects, smoking represents a modifiable determinant of long‐term outcomes in NAFLD patients.

Background Sex-based disparities in liver transplantation (LT) are incompletely understood. We assessed the role of height, Model for End-Stage Liver Disease (MELD), MELD-Na, and exception points in the disparate access to LT. Methods Adults waitlisted for LT at Organ Procurement and Transplantation Network between 2002 and 2013 were included. Covariates associated with likelihood of LT were analyzed by Cox proportional model. In a separate cohort of waitlisted adults with glomerular filtration rate measurement by iothalamate clearance (n = 611), we determined the number of creatinine-derived MELD points in men versus women, across all ranges of glomerular filtration rate. The impact of correcting the MELD score deficit in women on LT was modeled. Results Among 90 720 Organ Procurement and Transplantation Network registrants, women had higher mortality than men (4 years after listing: 22% vs 18%, P < 0.0001), and lower likelihood of LT (49% vs 58%, P < 0.0001); women were 20% less likely to be transplanted (hazard ratio, 0.80; 95% confidence interval, 0.78-0.81). Differences in height and MELD exception scores accounted for most of the LT deficit in women (hazard ratio, 0.91; 95% confidence interval, 0.89-0.94). Women received between 1 and 2.4 fewer creatinine-derived MELD points than men with similar renal dysfunction. MELD-Na worsened the gender disparity. Addition of 1 or 2 MELD points to women significantly impacted LT access. Conclusions Differences in height and MELD exception points explained most of the sex-based disparity in LT. Additionally, MELD score underestimated disease severity in women by up to 2.4 points and MELD Na exacerbated this disparity. The degree of underestimation based on MELD had significant impact on allocation.

Primary biliary cholangitis (PBC) is a rare chronic cholestatic liver disease that may progress to biliary cirrhosis if left untreated. The first‐line therapy for PBC is ursodeoxycholic acid (UDCA). Unfortunately, 1 of 3 patients does not respond to UDCA. These patients are at risk for developing clinical events, including cirrhosis, complications of portal hypertension, hepatocellular carcinoma, liver transplant, or death. Recently, the U.S. Food and Drug Administration approved obeticholic acid to be used in certain patients with PBC. Off‐label therapies are also used, and several other therapies are currently under evaluation. Real‐world effectiveness of newly approved and off‐label therapies remains unknown. TARGET‐PBC is a 5‐year, longitudinal, observational study of patients with PBC that will evaluate the effectiveness of clinical practice interventions and provide practical information unobtainable in registration trials. Enrollment will take place at both academic and community sites. In addition to consenting to medical records review, participants will be asked to provide an annual blood sample and complete patient reported outcome surveys at predetermined intervals. Any available liver biopsies will be digitally preserved. Conclusion: Key study outcomes will be the evaluation of the safety and effectiveness of PBC interventions and the assessment of disease progression under real‐world conditions. (Hepatology Communications 2018;2:484‐491)

Nonselective beta‐blockers (NSBBs) have played an important role in the prevention of portal hypertensive bleeding in patients with cirrhosis. However, recent studies have suggested that NSBBs may be harmful in some patients with end‐stage liver disease. The purpose of this article is to evaluate the association between use of NSBB and the incidence of acute kidney injury (AKI). We conducted a nested case‐control study in a cohort of liver transplant wait‐list registrants. Each patient with AKI was matched to a control by the Model for End‐Stage Liver Disease–Na score, age, serum creatinine, and follow‐up duration. Out of a total of 2361 wait‐list registrants, 205 patients developed AKI after a median follow‐up duration of 18.2 months. When compared with matched controls, ascites (79.0% versus 51.7%) and non‐Caucasian race (16.6% versus 7.8%) were more common among the cases. The frequency of NSBB use was higher among the cases than controls, albeit insignificantly (45.9% versus 37.1%; P = 0.08). In multivariate analyses, the impact of nonselective beta blockade on the development of AKI was dependent on the presence of ascites: nonselective beta blockade in patients with ascites significantly increased the risk of AKI (hazard ratio [HR], 3.31; 95% confidence interval [CI], 1.57‐6.95), whereas in patients without ascites, NSBB use reduced it (HR, 0.19; 95% CI, 0.06‐0.60). Potential benefits and harms of a NSBB in terms of AKI depend on the presence of ascites in liver transplant candidates. NSBB therapy in patients with cirrhosis may need to be individualized. Liver Transplantation 23 733–740 2017 AASLD.

Acute on chronic liver failure (ACLF) is associated with multisystem organ failure and poor prognosis in hospitalized patients with cirrhosis. We aimed to determine time trends in the epidemiology, economic burden, and mortality of ACLF in the United States. The National Inpatient Sample database was queried between 2001 and 2011. ACLF was defined as two or more extrahepatic organ failures in patients with cirrhosis. The primary outcomes were trends in hospitalizations, hospital costs, and inpatient mortality. The number of hospitalizations for cirrhosis in the United States nearly doubled from 371,000 in 2001 to 659,000 in 2011. The prevalence of ACLF among those hospitalizations increased from 1.5% (n = 5,400) to 5% (n = 32,300). The inpatient costs increased 2‐fold for cirrhosis ($4.8 billion to $9.8 billion) and 5‐fold ($320 million to $1.7 billion) for ACLF. In 2011, the cost per hospitalization for ACLF was 3.5‐fold higher than that for cirrhosis ($53,570 versus $15,193). The in‐hospital fatality rates decreased from 65% to 50% for ACLF and from 10% to 7% for cirrhosis. The organ failure trends in ACLF showed an increasing proportion of cardiovascular and cerebral and decreasing proportion of respiratory and renal failure. Age, male sex, and the number and types of organ failure were predictors of death in ACLF. Conclusion: Cirrhosis and ACLF represent a substantial and increasing health and economic burden in the United States; these data highlight an urgent need for research on pathophysiological mechanisms and effective therapy as well as for education of health care providers of its importance in the care of patients with cirrhosis. (H epatology 2016;64:2165‐2172).

Hepatitis C is a prevalent infection in North America. However, the natural history of hepatitis C virus (HCV) infection in the general population is not fully understood. Available cohortbased studies suggest that only a relative minority of patients develop significant liver disease, such as cirrhosis and/or hepatocellular carcinoma. Other studies, mostly conducted based on referral patients with established disease, portray much more serious consequences of HCV infection. Although a substantial improvement has been made in the treatment for HCV, the overall impact of antiviral therapy in altering the natural course of HCV infection remains uncertain. Therapeutic trials involve narrow selection criteria that would exclude the majority of hepatitis C patients in the community, and are conducted in ideal settings that may not be generalizable to the average practice setting. Demographic groups that are at high risk of developing severe liver disease include older male patients who consume alcohol. In contrast, antiviral therapy is more effective in young and female patients and those who do not drink alcohol. Thus, patients who appear to be successfully treated may not be those for whom clearance of the virus would be beneficial. Cost-effectiveness studies published to date have not been able to fully address the complex and heterogeneous matrix of the factors that influence the natural history of HCV infection and treatment response.In summary, there is a significant degree of uncertainty about many assumptions that are necessary in creating computer models to estimate the cost-effectiveness of HCV therapy. When interpreting the results of cost effectiveness analyses regarding the treatment of HCV infection, it is important to be aware of the underlying assumptions that are incorporated in the model and the data on which they are based. Given these limitations, vis-à-vis the expense, toxicity and yet limited effectiveness of the currently available antiviral agents, one should not blindly accept a conclusion that treatment for hepatitis C is cost effective.