Guglielmelli, Paola

Summary Survival prediction in essential thrombocythaemia (ET) and polycythaemia vera (PV) is currently based on clinically‐derived variables; we examined the possibility of integrating genetic information for predicting survival. To this end, 906 molecularly‐annotated patients (416 Mayo Clinic; 490 University of Florence, Italy), including 502 ET and 404 PV, were recruited. Multivariable analysis identified spliceosome mutations to adversely affect overall ( SF3B1 , SRSF2 in ET and SRSF2 in PV) and myelofibrosis‐free ( U2AF1 , SF3B1 in ET) survival; TP53 mutations predicted leukaemic transformation in ET; “adverse” mutations occurred in 51 (10%) ET and 8 (2%) PV patients. We confirmed the independent survival effect of adverse mutations [hazard ratio (HR) 2·4, 95% CI 1·6–3·5], age >60 years (6·6, 4·6–9·7), male sex (1·8, 1·3–2·4) and leukocytosis ≥11 × 10 9 /l (1·6, 1·1–2·2), in ET, and adverse mutations (7·8, 3·1–17·0), age >67 years (5·4, 3·6–8·1), leukocytosis ≥15 × 10 9 /l (2·8, 1·8–4·2) and thrombosis history (2·0, 1·4–2·9), in PV. HR‐based risk point allocation allowed development of three‐tiered mutation‐enhanced international prognostic systems (MIPSS) which were validated in both cohorts and performance was shown to be superior to conventional scoring systems. Spliceosome mutations enhance survival prediction in ET and PV and identify patients at risk for fibrotic progression. TP53 mutations predict leukaemic transformation in ET.

AbstractMyeloproliferative Neoplasms (MPN) course can be complicated by thrombosis involving unusual sites as the splanchnic veins (SVT). Their management is challenging, given their composite vascular risk. We performed a retrospective, cohort study in the framework of the International Working Group for MPN Research and Treatment (IWG‐MRT), and AIRC‐Gruppo Italiano Malattie Mieloproliferative (AGIMM). A total of 518 MPN‐SVT cases were collected and compared with 1628 unselected, control MPN population, matched for disease subtype. Those with MPN‐SVT were younger (median 44 years) and enriched in females compared to controls; PV (37.1%) and ET (34.4%) were the most frequent diagnoses. JAK2V617F mutation was highly prevalent (90.2%), and 38.6% of cases had an additional hypercoagulable disorder. SVT recurrence rate was 1.6 per 100 patient‐years. Vitamin K‐antagonists (VKA) halved the incidence of recurrence (OR 0.48), unlike cytoreduction (OR 0.96), and were not associated with overall or gastrointestinal bleeding in multivariable analysis. Esophageal varices were the only independent predictor for major bleeding (OR 17.4). Among MPN‐SVT, risk of subsequent vascular events was skewed towards venous thromboses compared to controls. However, MPN‐SVT clinical course was overall benign: SVT were enriched in PMF with lower IPSS, resulting in significantly longer survival than controls; survival was not affected in PV and slightly reduced in ET. MPN‐U with SVT (n = 55) showed a particularly indolent phenotype, with no signs of disease evolution. In the to‐date largest, contemporary cohort of MPN‐SVT, VKA were confirmed effective in preventing recurrence, unlike cytoreduction, and safe; the major risk factor for bleeding was esophageal varices that therefore represent a major therapeutic target.

Key Points Survival in ET is superior to that of PV, regardless of mutational status, but remains inferior to the sex- and age-matched US population. JAK2/CALR/MPL mutational status is prognostically informative in PMF, regarding overall and leukemia-free survival.

CALR (calreticulin) trails JAK 2 as the second most mutated gene in essential thrombocythemia (ET). Mutant CALR in ET is a result of frameshift mutations, caused by exon 9 deletions or insertions; type‐1, 52‐bp deletion (p.L367fs*46), and type‐2, 5‐bp TTGTC insertion (p.K385fs*47) variants constitute more than 80% of these mutations. The current study includes a total of 1027 patients divided into test ( n = 402) and validation ( n = 625) cohorts. Among the 402 ET patients in the test cohort, 227 (57%) harbored JAK 2, 11 (3%) Myeloproliferative leukemia virus oncogene ( MPL ), and 114 (28%) CALR mutations; 12% were wild‐type for all three mutations (i.e., triple‐negative). Among the 114 patients with CALR mutations, 51 (45%) displayed type‐1 and 44 (39%) type‐2 variants; compared to mutant JAK 2, both variants were associated with higher platelet and lower hemoglobin and leukocyte counts. However, male sex was associated with only type‐1 ( P = 0.005) and younger age with type‐2 ( P = 0.001) variants. Notably, platelet count was significantly higher in type‐2 vs. type‐1 CALR ‐mutated patients ( P = 0.03) and the particular observation was validated in the validation cohort that included 111 CALR ‐mutated ET patients ( P = 0.002). These findings, coupled with the recent demonstration of preferential expression of mutant and wild‐type CALR in megakaryocytes, suggest differential effects of CALR variants on thrombopoiesis. Am. J. Hematol. 89:E121–E124, 2014. © 2014 Wiley Periodicals, Inc.

In patients not meeting the required hematocrit (HCT) or hemoglobin (Hb) thresholds according to BCSH and the WHO diagnostic criteria, the diagnosis of masked polycythemia vera (mPV) has been proposed. A comparison of HCT or Hb values with the expression of JAK2V617F, JAK2 exon 12, and CALR mutations in strictly WHO‐defined 257 overt PV and 140 mPV (59 mPV according to BCSH) and 397 patients with essential thrombocythemia (ET) was performed. Hb and HCT thresholds of mPV patients were significantly higher than JAK2V617F ET (P < 0.0001). The best cut‐off for Hb to discriminate JAK2‐mutated ET from PV was 16.5 g/dL for males and 16.0 g/dL for females. For HCT, this was 49% in males and 48% in females. The proportion of patients correctly classified as ET or PV when regarding Hb or HCT levels was 95% in males and 93% in females and 94% in both males and females, respectively. Am. J. Hematol. 89:588–590, 2014. © 2014 Wiley Periodicals, Inc.

Abstract Age older than 65 years, hemoglobin level lower than 100 g/L (10 g/dL), white blood cell count greater than 25 × 109/L, peripheral blood blasts 1% or higher, and constitutional symptoms have been shown to predict poor survival in primary myelofibrosis (PMF) at diagnosis. To investigate whether the acquisition of these factors during follow-up predicts survival, we studied 525 PMF patients regularly followed. All 5 variables had a significant impact on survival when analyzed as time-dependent covariates in a multivariate Cox proportional hazard model and were included in 2 separate models, 1 for all patients (Dynamic International Prognostic Scoring System [DIPSS]) and 1 for patients younger than 65 years (age-adjusted DIPSS). Risk factors were assigned score values based on hazard ratios (HRs). Risk categories were low, intermediate-1, intermediate-2, and high in both models. Survival was estimated by the HR. When shifting to the next risk category, the HR was 4.13 for low risk, 4.61 for intermediate-1, and 2.54 for intermediate-2 according to DIPSS; 3.97 for low risk, 2.84 for intermediate-1, and 1.81 for intermediate-2 according to the age-adjusted DIPSS. The novelty of these models is the prognostic assessment of patients with PMF anytime during their clinical course, which may be useful for treatment decision-making.