Pieri, Lisa

Abstract Philadelphia-negative Myeloproliferative Neoplasms (MPN), including Polycythemia Vera (PV), Essential Thrombocythemia (ET), Myelofibrosis (Primary [PMF] and secondary to PV and ET [PPV-, PET-MF] and unclassified MPN (U-MPN), are associated with an increased risk of venous thrombosis in unusual sites, such as splanchnic vessels (SVT). SVT can lead to complications such as portal hypertension, esophageal and gastric varices, ascites,hepatic failure and biliopathy. According to a meta-analysis MPN is the underlying cause of portal vein thrombosis (PVT) in 31.5% and Budd Chiari syndrome (BCS) in 40.9% of cases (Smalberg, 2012); a more in-depth analysis of clinical characteristics and evolution of MPN-associated SVT has been hampered by heterogeneity of cohorts comprising small number of cases. We conducted a retrospective multicenter study in patients (pts) with SVT associated with WHO2008-diagnosed MPN, with the aim to describe patient characteristics, disease course and prognostic factors with potential implications for clinical practice. Data were collected from 16 international hematologic centers in the framework of the Italian AGIMM and the IWG-MRT groups. We collected 519 cases of pts with PVT, splenic or mesenteric vein thrombosis (75.1%) and BCS (24.9%) associated with MPN. We used as comparator a cohort of 1686 controls (Ctr) represented by MPN without (w/o) SVT: 741 ET (43.9%), 684 PV (39.7%), 261 PMF (15.5%). Frequency of MPN associated with SVT was 37.8% ET (n=196), 36.8% PV (n=191), 15.4% MF (n=80), 10% U-MPN (n=52). Median follow-up was 89.9 months (mo) (range 0.5-430). For SVT vs Ctr group females were 54.5% vs 44.4% in PV (P=0.001), 68.4 vs 63.5% (p=0.13) in ET, 63.7% vs 29.1% in PMF (p<0.0001); median age at MPN diagnosis (dg) was 43.5 yr (range 12-90) vs 60.6 yr (range 12-93) (p<0.0001). Age at SVT dg was 44 yr (range 15-85). In 240 cases (46.7%) MPN and SVT dg were coincident, in 121 (23.6%) SVT occurred before MPN dg (median 26 mo, range 4-307) and in 153 (29.8%) during MPN follow up (median 68 mo, range 4-362). JAK2V617F mutation was found in 94% PV vs 94% in Ctr, 84% vs 61% ET (p<0.0001), 88.1% vs 68% PMF (p=0.006) and in 93% U-MPN. Erythropoietin-independent colonies (EEC) were evaluated in 111 SVT pts and found in 80 (72%), accounting for 38/48 PV (79%), 31/44 ET (70.5%), 9/12 PMF (75%) and 2/7 U-MPN (28.6%). At dg, SVT PV pts had lower hemoglobin levels than Ctr: median was 17.4 g/dL vs 18.5 g/dL (p<0.0001) in male, 16.9 g/dL vs 17.7 g/dL (p=0.0006) in female. A co-existing thrombophilic status was found in 38.5% SVT vs 11.8% of Ctr (p<0.0001). Recurrent SVT occurred in 12.2% of pts with a rate of 1.6% person/year (CI 1.2-2.1); risk of venous thrombosis other than SVT was increased in SVT group vs Ctr (p=0.02), with no difference for arterial thrombosis. Hemorrhage was more frequent in SVT group (32%) vs Ctr (7.2%)(p<0.0001), mainly related to esophageal varices, which were present in 66.9% of SVT pts. There was no difference in evolution to MF and acute leukemia (AL) for PV and ET pts with and w/o SVT, while risk of AL was lower in MF with SVT (p<0.00001). Overall survival was shorter in ET pts with SVT vs Ctr (p<0.0001). In PMF survival was better in SVT group (p<0.00001) and was associated with a higher proportion of SVT pts in lowest risk categories: IPSS low 65%, intermediate-1 20%, intermediate-2 10% and high 5% compared with 15%, 34%, 25% and 26% in Ctr group. At last FU, 79/519 pts (15.2%) had died; causes of death were evolution to AL (15.4%), other cancers (13.8%), disease progression without AL (10.8%), SVT (10.8%), hepatic failure and venous thrombosis other than SVT (7.7% each), heart failure and arterial thrombosis (6.2% each), hemorrhage (5.5%), renal failure and infection (4.6% each). Therapy after SVT included anticoagulation in 77%, antiaggregant in 21.2% and combination in 1.8%; 70% received cytotoxic drugs; 12.4% were treated with transjugular porto-systemic shunt. Beta blocker therapy was used in 48.5% of pts and correlated with improved survival (p=0.041) MPN associated with SVT correlated with younger age and female sex and might antedate the clinical phenotype in a quarter of the patients. MPN-associated SVT equally affected PV and ET, was more likely to occur in the presence of JAK2V617F or underlying thrombophilia and predicted recurrent venous but not arterial thrombosis. The apparent association of SVT with better or worse prognosis in PMF and ET, respectively, requires further investigation. Disclosures No relevant conflicts of interest to declare.

AbstractMyeloproliferative Neoplasms (MPN) course can be complicated by thrombosis involving unusual sites as the splanchnic veins (SVT). Their management is challenging, given their composite vascular risk. We performed a retrospective, cohort study in the framework of the International Working Group for MPN Research and Treatment (IWG‐MRT), and AIRC‐Gruppo Italiano Malattie Mieloproliferative (AGIMM). A total of 518 MPN‐SVT cases were collected and compared with 1628 unselected, control MPN population, matched for disease subtype. Those with MPN‐SVT were younger (median 44 years) and enriched in females compared to controls; PV (37.1%) and ET (34.4%) were the most frequent diagnoses. JAK2V617F mutation was highly prevalent (90.2%), and 38.6% of cases had an additional hypercoagulable disorder. SVT recurrence rate was 1.6 per 100 patient‐years. Vitamin K‐antagonists (VKA) halved the incidence of recurrence (OR 0.48), unlike cytoreduction (OR 0.96), and were not associated with overall or gastrointestinal bleeding in multivariable analysis. Esophageal varices were the only independent predictor for major bleeding (OR 17.4). Among MPN‐SVT, risk of subsequent vascular events was skewed towards venous thromboses compared to controls. However, MPN‐SVT clinical course was overall benign: SVT were enriched in PMF with lower IPSS, resulting in significantly longer survival than controls; survival was not affected in PV and slightly reduced in ET. MPN‐U with SVT (n = 55) showed a particularly indolent phenotype, with no signs of disease evolution. In the to‐date largest, contemporary cohort of MPN‐SVT, VKA were confirmed effective in preventing recurrence, unlike cytoreduction, and safe; the major risk factor for bleeding was esophageal varices that therefore represent a major therapeutic target.

Abstract Abstract 277 Background: Current information on the natural history of polycythemia vera (PV) is mostly derived from early studies based on the PV Study Group diagnostic criteria. The World Health Organization (WHO) diagnostic approach to PV is currently the gold standard. The main objective of the current study was to describe survival, disease complication rates and risk factors in WHO-defined PV. Methods: Under the auspices of an International Working Group, seven international centers of excellence for myeloproliferative neoplasms submitted a total of 1,430 patients, locally diagnosed with “WHO-defined PV”. The two principle investigators (AT and TB) reviewed all the cases and selected 1,263 patients who were age 18 years or older, diagnosed after 1970, and whose submitted data included diagnostically essential information. Results I: Presenting Features: Median age was 60 years (range, 18–95; 51% females). The number of patients diagnosed between 1970–1990, 1991–2000, and 2001–2011 were 136 (11%), 337 (27%) and 790 (62%), respectively. Arterial/venous thrombosis history before or at diagnosis was documented in 142/73 and 80/42 patients, respectively. Other features at diagnosis included pruritus (37%), microvascular disturbances (29%), palpable splenomegaly (37%), abnormal karyotype (13%), and leukoerythroblastosis (6%). History of hypertension (45%), hyperlipidemia (17%), diabetes (9%), and tobacco use (15%) was also obtained. Results II: Clinical Course: To date, 228 (18%) deaths, 42 (3%) leukemic progressions, and 101 (8%) fibrotic transformations have been recorded. Post-diagnosis arterial or venous thrombosis occurred in 139 (11%) and 85 (7%) patients, respectively. Cytoreductive therapy had not been used in 342 (27%) patients whereas 154 (12%) patients were exposed to two or more cytoreductive drugs. Results III: Risk Factors: Multivariable analysis identified advanced age, leukocytosis, venous thrombosis history and abnormal karyotype as significant (p<0.01) risk factors for overall survival (OS). Receiver operating characteristic (ROC) plots delineated ages 69 (AUC 0.83) and 59 (AUC 0.61) years and leukocyte count 13 × 109/L (AUC=0.61) as the best discriminant levels in this regard; HR (95% CI) were 11.4 (7.7–16.9) for age ≥70 years, 3.8 (2.6–5.7) for age 60–69 years, and 2.0 (1.5–2.6) for leukocyte count ≥15 × 109/L. Results IV: Risk Stratification: HR-based risk scores were assigned to age ≥70 years (3 points), age 60–69 years (2 points) and leukocyte count ≥15 × 109/L (one point), in order to create four risk groups: low (zero points; n=492; median survival 322 months), intermediate-1 (one or 2 points; n=353; median survival 208 months; HR 3.8, 95% CI 2.5–5.8), intermediate-2 (3 points; n=286; median survival 132 months; HR 10.7, 95% CI 6.9–16.5), and high (4 points; n=56; median survival 90 months; HR 22.7, 95% CI 13.9–37.1) (Figure 1). Similar results were obtained when analysis was restricted to the 1,011 JAK2 mutation-positive patients (Figure 2). The particular risk model was equally robust in predicting leukemia-free survival (p=0.001). Conclusions: Age and leukocyte count matter the most in predicting survival in PV. The current study suggests additional prognostic value from karyotype and venous thrombosis history. Disclosures: Vannucchi: Novartis: Honoraria. Gisslinger:Novartis: Speakers Bureau; Celgene Austria: Speakers Bureau; AOP-Orphan: Speakers Bureau.

Abstract Abstract 4105 Background: JAK2 mutations are found in approximately 99% of patients with polycythemia vera (PV) and 60% of those with essential thrombocythemia (ET) or primary myelofibrosis (PMF). It is currently assumed that other mutations relevant to JAK signaling contribute to the pathogenesis of JAK2 mutation-negative myeloproliferative neoplasms (MPN). The same might hold true for some cases of “idiopathic erythrocytosis” associated with subnormal serum erythropoietin level (sEpo). LNK is a plasma membrane-bound adaptor protein whose function includes inhibition of wild-type and mutant JAK2 phosphorylation. LNK exon 2 mutations were recently described in two patients with JAK2V617F-negative ET or PMF. Both mutations involved the LNK pleckstrin homology (PH) domain; one was a 5 base-pair deletion and missense mutation leading to a premature stop codon (603_607delGCGCT; 613C>G) and the other a missense mutation (622G>C; glutamic acid to glutamine substitution; E208Q). Objectives: i) To estimate the prevalence of LNK mutations in chronic and blast phase MPN ii) To determine if LNK mutations are mutually exclusive of other MPN-associated mutations iii) To test the hypothesis that LNK mutations might contribute to the pathogenesis of JAK2 mutation-negative PV or otherwise unexplained erythrocytosis Methods: LNK mutation analysis was performed on bone marrow or blood cells using modified primers for amplifying the SH2 and PH domains, using previously published methods (Oh et al. Blood First Edition Paper, prepublished online April 19, 2010; DOI 10.1182/blood-2010-02-270108). Results: LNK mutation studies were performed in 172 patients; paired chronic-blast phase samples were analyzed in 26 cases. Diagnoses in the 172 study patients were as follows: 78 chronic-phase MPN (39 JAK2V617F-positive PV, 25 PMF and 14 ET) enriched for TET2, IDH, JAK2V617F, or MPL mutations, 61 blast-phase MPN (41 blast-phase PMF, 11 blast-phase PV and 9 blast-phase ET), 25 JAK2V617F-negative PV and 8 “unexplained erythrocytosis” associated with subnormal sEpo and negative for Epo receptor (EPOR) mutations. Ten novel heterozygous LNK mutations, all but one affecting exon 2 in the PH domain, were identified: 6 missense mutations involving codons 215, 220, 223, 229 and 234, one nonsense mutation involving codon 208 (622G>T leading to glutamic acid to a stop codon substitution; E208X), one synonymous mutation involving codon 208, and 2 deletion mutations involving exon 2 (685-691_delGGCCCCG) or exon 5 (955_delA). LNK mutations were most frequent in blast-phase MPN, occurring in 6 (9.8%) of the 61 informative patients; chronic-phase sample analysis in 4 of these revealed the same mutation in only one case. Mutant LNK was detected in chronic-phase samples only in 2 additional patients with blast-phase MPN. Among the 8 LNK-mutated blast-phase MPN cases, 7 had blast-phase PMF. The clinical phenotype in the remaining 2 LNK-mutated patients was that of an isolated erythrocytosis without overt features of PV. JAK2V617F was documented in 3 and IDHR140Q in 1 LNK-mutated patients. Conclusions: LNK mutations i) target an exon 2 ‘hot spot' in the PH domain spanning residues E208-D234, ii) might be most prevalent in blast-phase PMF iii) are not mutually exclusive of JAK2 or IDH mutations and iv) might be part of the “missing link” in the pathogenesis of JAK2 mutation-negative “idiopathic” erythrocytosis. Disclosures: No relevant conflicts of interest to declare.

Abstract Philadelphia-negative Myeloproliferative Neoplasms (MPN) include Polycythemia Vera (PV), Essential Thrombocythemia (ET) and Myelofibrosis Primary (PMF) and secondary to PV and ET (PPV-, PET-MF); included are also some less characterized entities defined as unclassified MPN (U-MPN). Risk of arterial and venous thrombosis is increased in MPN patients, and thrombosis is one of most important causes of mortality and morbidity. The risk of venous thrombosis in unusual sites, such as splanchnic vessels (SVT), is particularly associated with MPN; SVT can lead to complications such as portal hypertension, esophageal and gastric varices, ascites and hepatic failure. A recent meta-analysis reported that a MPN is the underlying cause of portal vein thrombosis in 31.5% and of Budd Chiari syndrome in 40.9% of cases (Smalberg, 2012). A significant association of SVT with JAK2V617F mutated MPN was reported (Dentali, 2009) but study of other correlations has been hampered by heterogeneity of available patient cohorts comprising relatively small number of cases. We conducted a retrospective multicenter study collecting clinical and biological data of patients (pts) with SVT associated with MPN diagnosed according to WHO2008 criteria, aiming to describe patients’ characteristics, trends and prognostic factors, and their potential implications for clinical practice. Data were collected from 15 international hematology centers in the framework of IWG-MRT. We collected 475 cases of pts with portal, splenic or mesenteric vein thrombosis (75.2%) or Budd Chiari syndrome (24.8%) associated with MPN. In 32% of cases, simultaneous involvement of portal (69.1% of total thrombosis), splenic (30.5%) and mesenteric (25.3%) veins occurred, and in 1.7% they were associated with Budd Chiari syndrome. Frequency of MPN subtype: 38.1% ET (n=181), 34.9% PV (n=166), 16.2% MF (n=77), 10.8% U-MPN (n=51). Median follow-up 87.9 mo (range 0.5-430); female 61.3% (n=292; P<0.0001 vs male); median age at MPN diagnosis (dg) 44.4 y (range 12-90), at SVT dg 44.9 y (range 17-85). In 229 cases (48%) MPN and SVT dg were coincident, while in 104 (22%) SVT occurred before MPN dg (median 40 mo, range 5-335) and in 129 (27%) during MPN follow up (median 79 mo, range 5-394). JAK2V617F mutational status is available for 361 pts: 99% PV, 84.7% ET, 88.1% PMF and 92.9% U-MPN pts were JAK2V617F positive, with a mean allele burden of 56±27.4%, 33.1±25.5%, 39.3±19.4% and 23.8±11.9%, respectively. Erythropoietin-independent colonies (EEC) were present at diagnosis in 80/110 evaluated cases (72.7%), 38/47 PV (84.4%), 32/45 ET (71.1%), 8/11 PMF (72.7%) and 2/7 U-MPN (28.6%). A concurrent thrombophilic state was found in 38.9% of cases. A 12.3% of pts experienced a recurrence of SVT after a median of 29 mo (range 1-378.3) and 35.8% developed thrombosis in other sites (17.7% arterial, 19.3% venous). Esophageal varices were found in 70.6% from which 31.9% bled. MF transformation occurred in 32/166 PV (19%) and in 23/181 ET (13%) pts, with median time to progression of 122.3 mo (range 5.4-377.3) and 125.1 mo (range 39.3-255.3), respectively. Evolution to acute leukemia (AL) occurred in 12 pts (2.7%), of which 2 PMF, 6 PV and 4 ET. In 3 PV and 1 ET pts a PPV and PET-MF transformation occurred before AL. After SVT, 77% of pts received anticoagulation, 23.5% antiaggregant therapy and 1.5% both; 68.8% received cytotoxic drugs, 11.4% of pts were treated with trans jugular porto-systemic shunt. No differences in survival were noted with these approaches. Beta blocker therapy was used in 48.5% of pts and correlated with improved survival (p=0.041) At last follow up 70/473 pts (14.8%) died; causes of death are evolution to AL (16.4%), other cancers (14.5%), disease progression without AL (12.7%), SVT (10.9%), hepatic failure and venous thrombosis other than SVT (9.1% each), heart failure and arterial thrombosis (7.3% each), hemorrhage (5.5%), renal failure and infection (3.6% each). After 10 y follow up 8/166 PV (5%), 14/181 ET (8%), 14/77 PMF (18%) and 1/51 U-MPN (1.96%) pts died (p<0.01). Survival was significantly affected by occurrence of thrombosis other than SVT (p<0.0001) but not recurrence in splanchnic vessels (p=0.068). This large study confirms the strong association between JAK2V617F-mutated MPN and SVT and identifies the category of U-MPN as the prognostically more favorable; thrombosis at sites outside the splanchnic vasculature remains the leading cause of death. Disclosures: No relevant conflicts of interest to declare.

Abstract Introduction Patients with masked polycythemia vera (mPV) present with hemoglobin (HB) values borderline inferior to those required by the World Health Organization (WHO) diagnostic criteria (HB >16.5g% and >18.5 g% in female and male respectively) but are suspected to have PV for presenting clinico-hematological features. The diagnostic HB values required by the WHO guidelines have been considered surrogate of increased red cell mass (RCM). However, in both males and females HB values are not always equal to an absolute erythrocytosis and conversely a HB concentration below the required cut off level could be associated with an increased red cell mass. We believe that bone marrow (BM) morphology may play an important role in differentiating PV from other MPN entities and reactive changes. In this study we investigated JAK2V617/Exon12-positive patients showing BM features characteristic for PV and classified as mPV or overt PV according to their hemoglobin levels and evaluated their respective outcomes including thrombosis, progression to myelofibrosis (MF), acute leukemia (AL) and overall survival with the purpose to support the diagnosis of PV also in patients presenting with lower HB levels than required by WHO criteria. Materials and Methods A clinicopathological database of patients who were diagnosed and treated for PV was created by clinicians and hematopathologists from seven international centers of excellence for MPNs. Eligibility criteria for entry included the presence of JAK2V617F (or Exon12) mutation, EPO measurement, no evidence of subnormal ferritin levels and the availability of representative, treatment-naive BM biopsies (hematoxylin-eosin staining and silver impregnation after Gomori or Gordon-Sweet). All BM biopsies were centrally re-reviewed by one of the authors (J.T.) who was completely blinded to outcome data. In both mPV and overt PV patients, phlebotomy and cytoreductive therapy were used with the same frequency (p=0.101). Results and Discussion Among 397 mutated patients, with PV BM morphology as defined by WHO, 257 (65%) met the full WHO-2008 criteria. The remaining 140 patients (35%) were classified as mPV for levels of HB at diagnosis, ranging from 16.5 to 18.5 g/dL in men and from 15.0 to 16.5 g/dL in women, and frequent presence of subnormal EPO levels (65%). At baseline, mPV patients were more males, had more previous arterial thrombosis and presented more frequently with platelet counts exceeding the required level of WHO-defined ET (450 x 109/L), often mimicking clinically this entity at onset. After a median follow-up of 3.8 (0-29.8) and 4.5 (0-21.1) years in mPV and overt PV, respectively, time to the first thrombotic event was superimposable in the two groups while time to progression to MF and AL was significantly different .These combined events were recorded in 10% of mPV and 5.8% of overt PV, corresponding to an annual rate of 1.60 % pts/year in mPV and 0.97 % pts/year in overt PV, respectively (p=0.010). In addition, an inferior overall survival was documented in mPV patients in comparison with overt PV (p=0.011). The annual rate of death in mPV was almost twice that of overt PV, mainly due to an excess of hematological transformation (overt MF and AL). Multivariable analysis identified age older than 65 years (hazard ratio (HR) 6.63, P<.0001), WBC >10 x109/L (HR 2.99, P=.005) and diagnosis of mPV (HR 2.38, P=.036) as independent risk factors for survival in these patients. These results show that in JAK2 mutated patients with borderline HB levels, BM features may be a valid support to confirm the suspicion of PV diagnosis. Of interest, recent data demonstrated that all patients with increased RCM also had BM morphology typical of PV. It is tempting to speculate that the clinico-hematologic phenotype of mPV may represent an early stage of a JAK2 mutated MPN, presenting as a variant of PV, with a more rapid progression to MF and AL. The recognition of these early PV patients has an important clinical impact since, in spite of not meeting the full WHO criteria, mPV share the same vascular risk as overt PV. In conclusion, these data suggest that mPV is not necessarily only an early form of classical PV but a distinct entity with disease outcomes akin to primary myelofibrosis. Disclosures: No relevant conflicts of interest to declare.

Abstract Abstract 2849 Background We have previously reported on the natural history of polycythemia vera (PV), focusing primarily on overall and leukemia-free survival (ASH Annual Meeting Abstracts. 2011;118(21):277-). In the current study, we present, on behalf of the International Working Group for Myeloproliferative neoplasms Resarch and Treatment (IWG-MRT), our analysis regarding risk factors for thrombosis. Methods Under the auspices of IWG-MRT, seven international centers of excellence for myeloproliferative neoplasms participated in the current study. The two principle investigators (AT and TB) reviewed all the cases and selected 1,545 patients who met the 2008 WHO criteria for PV, were age 18 years or older, diagnosed after 1970, and whose submitted data included diagnostically essential information. Results I: Presenting Features Median age was 61 years (range, 18–95; 51% females). Arterial and venous thrombosis history before or at diagnosis was documented in 246 (16%) patients and 114 (7.4%) patients, respectively. Major hemorrhage hemorrhage before or at diagnosis was documented in 17 (4.5%) patients. Other features at diagnosis included pruritus (36%), microvascular disturbances (28.5%), palpable splenomegaly (36%), abnormal karyotype (12%), leukoerythroblastosis (6%), increased LDH (50%), thrombocytosis (53%), extreme thrombocytosis (platelets >1 million mm3; 4%) leukocytosis (49%), JAK2 V617F (95%), other JAK2 mutations (3%), subnormal serum erythropoietin (Epo) level (81%), and endogenous erythroid colonies (EEC; 73%). History of hypertension (46%), hyperlipidemia (18.3%), diabetes (8.4%), and tobacco use (16%) was also obtained. Results II: Clinical Course To date, 347 (23%) deaths, 50 (3%) leukemic progressions, and 138 (9%) fibrotic transformations have been recorded. Overall, cytoreductive treatment was not used in 416 (27%) patients and the remaining were exposed to different agents based on physician discretion. Post-diagnosis arterial or venous thrombosis occurred in 184 (12%) and 137 (9%) patients, respectively. Results III: Risk Factors for thrombosis Arterial and venous thrombosis-free survival, from time of diagnosis, were separately analyzed using the occurrence of thrombosis as the endpoint (uncensored variable) and last follow-up or death before thrombosis as the censored variable. In univariate analysis, the following were significantly associated with post-diagnosis arterial thrombosis: advanced age, leukocyte count, presence of a leukoerythroblastic smear (LES), history of hypertension and history of arterial thrombosis before or at diagnosis; multivariable analysis using all these five parameters identified arterial thrombosis history (RR 2.5, 95% CI 1.6–4.0; p<0.0001), LES (RR 2.3, 95% CI 1.3–4.2; p=0.005) and history of hypertension (RR 1.6, 95% CI 1.1–2.4; p=0.02) as independent predictors of post-diagnosis arterial thrombosis. Only two parameters predicted post-diagnosis venous thrombosis, in univariate analysis, and both remained significant during multivariable analysis: abnormal karyotype (RR 3.1, 95% CI 1.7–5.4; p=0.0001) and history of venous thrombosis (RR 2.4, 95% CI 1.2–4.9). Of note, the type of JAK2 mutation or presence of either subnormal Epo or EEC did not influence either arterial or venous thrombosis. Results IV: Risk Stratification for arterial and venous thrombosis The figures below illustrated arterial or venous thrombosis-free survival of patients stratified by the absence of all risk factors or presence of one or ≥2 risk factors. For arterial thrombosis, the presence of ≥2 risk factors clearly delineated a high risk group (RR 3.1, 95% CI 1.9–5.0) whereas the presence of one (RR 2.4, 95% CI 1.4–4.2) or two risk factors (RR 10.1, 95% CI 3.6–28.2) for venous thrombosis delineated an intermediate and high risk group, respectively. Conclusions: History of arterial thrombosis and venous thrombosis are key risk factors, respectively, for recurrent arterial and venous thrombosis in PV. In addition, abnormal karyotype is a strong independent risk factor for venous thrombosis and the presence of leukoerythroblastosis and hypertension, for arterial thrombosis. This information allows for a simple and practical risk stratification and raises interesting pathogenetic implications that require further clarification. Disclosures: Vannucchi: Novartis: Membership on an entity's Board of Directors or advisory committees. Gisslinger:Novartis: Consultancy, Research Funding, Speakers Bureau; Celgene: Consultancy, Research Funding, Speakers Bureau. Passamonti:Novartis: Honoraria, Membership on an entity's Board of Directors or advisory committees; Celgene: Honoraria, Membership on an entity's Board of Directors or advisory committees; Sanofi-Aventis: Honoraria, Membership on an entity's Board of Directors or advisory committees.

Abstract Background Current risk stratification in Polycythemia Vera (PV), is designed to estimate the likelihood of thrombotic complications. In ECLAP large prospective study of 1638 PV cases diagnosed by Polycythemia Vera Study Group (PVSG) criteria, risk factors were age over 65 years and prior thrombotic events. After the JAK2V617F discovery, diagnosis has undergone substantial revision by the World Health Organization (WHO). Consequently, current risk factors determination should be described in patients diagnosed by the most recent recommendations and requires a large sample size with reliable and sufficiently long clinical course documentation. Accordingly, the current study includes 1545 patients with strictly WHO-defined PV diagnosed and followed-up in seven centers from Italy, Austria and the United States, belonging to the International Working Group for Myeloproliferative Neoplasm (MPN) Research and Treatment (IWG-MRT). Objective and design 1) Describe the rate of thrombosis in this population; 2) Report the sites and frequency of recurrences after a first arterial or venous event; 3) Identify separately risk factors for arterial versus venous thrombosis and develop practically useful prognostic models. Results 1. Presenting features The characteristics of the cohort recruited reflected well the heterogeneity of epidemiologic and clinical features that are found in the routine clinical practice of PV. Arterial and venous thrombosis history before or at diagnosis was documented in 246 (16%) and 114 (7.4%) patients, respectively. The frequencies of arterial and venous thrombosis were lower than those recorded in the ECLAP4 (27% and 11% respectively) but comparable to those reported in the recent Cyto-PV2 (arterial 17%, venous 12%) studies. The discrepancy might be partly related to earlier diagnosis in the post-ECLAP JAK2mutation era. 2. Thrombotic events after diagnosis Median follow-up was 6.9 years and treatment included aspirin (84%) and cytoreductive agents (73%), in addition to phlebotomy. Post-diagnosis total major thrombosis rate was 2.62% pt/yr, lower than reported in the ECLAP trial (4.4% pt/yr) but comparable to the Cyto-PV study (2.7% pt/yr) where management of cardiovascular risk factors was more intensive than in ECLAP. Arterial or venous thrombosis occurred in 184 (12%, rate: 1.59 % pts/yr) and 137 (9%, rate: 1.05 % pts/yr) patients, respectively. In addition, prior arterial events were associated in 75% of cases with subsequent arterial events and in the remaining 25% with venous thrombosis including splanchnic vein events. Moreover, patients with prior venous events had recurrences in venous district in 61% of cases and in the arterial district in 39%. 3. Risk factors for arterial versus venous thrombosis and prognostic models In multivariable analysis, arterial thrombosis was predicted by previous arterial event (HR 1.7, 95% CI 1.2-2.4), and hypertension (HR 1.6, 95% CI 1.2-2.2) while predictors of venous events were previous venous thrombosis (HR 2.6, 95% CI 1.5-4.4), and age ≥ 65 years (HR 1.7, 95% CI 1.2-2.5). We used the above-mentioned risk factors in order to develop prognostic models allowing to identify patients at different probability to develop arterial or venous thrombosis. For arterial thrombosis, the absence of previous arterial thrombosis and hypertension defined lower-risk (rate 1.27 % pts/yr) while the presence of one or both identified higher-risk patients (rate 2.04 % pts/yr). Previous venous event and/or age ≥ 65 years identified patients at higher risk of venous (rate 1.62 % pts/yr) thrombosis and, if absent, patients at lower risk (rate 0.78 % pts/yr). Conclusion The overall rate of thrombosis was half than in ECLAP and should be considered in future clinical trials. Of note, patients with a prior venous thrombosis had a more frequent subsequent recurrence in the venous district but a proportion of them (40%) had also arterial events; conversely, recurrences after previous arterial event were also registered in the leg and non-leg veins in 30 % of cases, indicating that in PV, venous and arterial thrombosis may share some common pathogenetic mechanisms. These findings may have practical implications and suggests antiplatelet therapy and anticoagulant therapy as the favorite choice to prevent arterial and venous thrombosis, respectively, but also suggests studies of antithrombotic drug combination. Disclosures No relevant conflicts of interest to declare.

Most studies in polycythemia vera (PV) include patients with both remote and most recent diagnostic periods and are therefore vulnerable to inaccurate interpretation of time‐dependent data. We addressed the particular issue by analyzing presenting characteristics and outcome data among 1,545 patients with WHO‐defined PV stratified by a diagnosis period of before or after 2005, which coincides with the first description of JAK2V617F as the molecular marker of PV. Patients diagnosed after 2005 displayed lower hemoglobin values (P < 0.0001) and older age (P = 0.007) at diagnosis; we suggest ease of diagnosis offered by a molecular marker enabled earlier diagnosis and broader application across older age groups that is further enhanced by recent trends in increased attention and health monitoring for the elderly. Post‐2005 diagnosed patients were also more or less likely to receive aspirin and cytoreductive therapy, respectively, and, despite their older age distribution, displayed significantly lower risk of thrombosis in high risk disease. Regardless of the contributing factors to the latter phenomenon, our observations underscore the need to reassess current demographics and frequencies of thrombosis in clinical trial designs including thrombosis prevention in PV. Am. J. Hematol. 90:434–437, 2015. © 2015 Wiley Periodicals, Inc.