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Davidson, Nancy E.

https://orcid.org/0000-0003-1520-6442

Mayo Clinic

University of Washington

Citations 53

Long-Term Follow-Up of the E1199 Phase III Trial Evaluating the Role of Taxane and Schedule in Operable Breast Cancer
Sparano, Joseph A. , Martino, Silvana, Ligibel, Jennifer A. , Perez, Edith A. , Saphner, Tom, Wolff, Antonio C. , Wood, William C., Davidson, Nancy E. , Zhao, Fengmin , Sledge, George W. , Wolff, Antonio C , Sparano, Joseph A

Journal of Clinical Oncology | June 16, 2015 | Volume: 33 | Issue: 21 | Pages: 2353-2360

10.1200/jco.2015.60.9271 Get It

Purpose To determine long-term outcomes in a clinical trial evaluating the role of taxane type and schedule in operable breast cancer and evaluate the impact of obesity and black race on outcome. Patients and Methods A total of 4,954 eligible women with stage II to III breast cancer treated with four cycles of doxorubicin plus cyclophosphamide were randomly assigned to receive paclitaxel or docetaxel every 3 weeks for four doses or weekly for 12 doses using a 2 × 2 factorial design. The primary end point was disease-free survival (DFS). Results are expressed as hazard ratios (HRs) from Cox proportional hazards models. All P values are two sided. Results When compared with the standard every-3-week paclitaxel arm, after a median follow-up of 12.1 years, DFS significantly improved and overall survival (OS) marginally improved only for the weekly paclitaxel (HR, 0.84; P = .011 and HR, 0.87; P = .09, respectively) and every-3-week docetaxel arms (HR, 0.79; P = .001 and HR, 0.86; P = .054, respectively). Weekly paclitaxel improved DFS and OS (HR, 0.69; P = .010 and HR, 0.69; P = .019, respectively) in triple-negative breast cancer. For hormone receptor–positive, human epidermal growth factor receptor 2–nonoverexpressing disease, no experimental arm improved OS, and black race and obesity were associated with increased risk of breast cancer recurrence and death. Conclusion Improved outcomes initially observed for weekly paclitaxel were qualitatively similar but quantitatively less pronounced with longer follow-up, although exploratory analysis suggested substantial benefit in triple-negative disease. Further research is required to understand why obesity and race influence clinical outcome in hormone receptor–positive disease.
Abstract S3-03: Ten year update of E1199: Phase III study of doxorubicin-cyclophosphamide followed by paclitaxel or docetaxel given every 3 weeks or weekly in patients with axillary node-positive or high-risk node-negative breast cancer
Martino, Silvana, Ligibel, Jennifer A. , Saphner, Thomas J. , Perez, Edith A. , Wood, William C., Davidson, Nancy E. , Sparano, Joseph A. , Zhao, Fengmin , Wolff, Antonio C. , Sledge, George W.

Cancer Research | May 4, 2015 | Volume: 75 | Issue: 9_Supplement | Pages: S3-03-S3-03

10.1158/1538-7445.sabcs14-s3-03 Get It

Abstract Background: We had previously reported after a median followup of 5.3 years that disease free survival (DFS) was improved with either adjuvant weekly paclitaxel (hazard ratio [HR] 0.73, p=0.0006) or every 3 week docetaxel (HR 0.77, p=0.02) compared with every 3 week paclitaxel (N Eng J Med 2008; 358; 1663), and that obesity and black race were independently associated with inferior outcomes in estrogen receptor (ER)-positive disease after a longer followup (Cancer 2012: 118: 5937 & JNCI 2012; 104: 406). We now report updated results after a median followup of 12.1 years. Methods: Eligibility included axillary lymph node positive or high-risk (tumor at least 2 cm) node-negative breast cancer. All patients received 4 cycles of AC (doxorubicin 60 mg/m2 and cyclophosphamide 600 mg/m2) every 3 weeks, followed by either: (1) paclitaxel 175 mg/m2 every 3 weeks x 4 (P3), (2) paclitaxel 80 mg/m2 weekly x 12 (P1), (3) docetaxel 100 mg/m2 every 3 weeks x 4 (D3), or (4) docetaxel 35 mg/m2 weekly x 12 (D1). Patients with ER-positive breast cancer also received endocrine therapy for at least 5 years, including either tamoxifen and/or an aromatase inhibitor. The primary comparisons included taxane (P vs. D) and schedule (every 3 weeks vs. weekly), and the primary endpoint was DFS, defined as local, regional, and/or distant relapse, second primary breast cancer, or death without recurrence. Results: A total of 4954 eligible patients were accrued between October 1999 and January 2002. At the time of this analysis, 90% of surviving patients were followed for at least 10 years, and there were substantially more DFS events (1639 vs. 1048) and deaths (1283 vs. 686) than the original report. For the primary comparison, there remains no significant difference in DFS by taxane (p=0.33) or schedule (p=0.88), although there was a significant interaction between taxane and schedule (p<0.007). When comparing the standard arm (P3) to the other arms (with a hazard ratio [HR] < 1 favoring the experimental arms using a stratified Cox model), the HRs for DFS were 0.84 (p = 0.011) for arm P1 and 0.79 (p=0.001) for arm D3 arm, and for overall survival (OS) were 0.87 (p=0.09) and 0.86 (p=0.054), respectively. When evaluated by subtypes in exploratory analyses, the P1 arm (but not the D3 arm) was associated with improved DFS (HR 0.69, p=0.01) and OS (HR 0.69, p=0.019) in the 1025 patients with triple negative breast cancer (TNBC), and the D3 arm (but not P1 arm) was associated with improved DFS (HR 0.76, p=0.004) but not OS (HR 0.87, p=0.20) in the 2785 patients with ER-positive, HER2-negative/unknown breast cancer (ERBC). In ERBC but not other subtypes, black race (HR 1.60, p=0.002) and obesity (HR 1.23, p=0.009) were associated with inferior OS, and obesity was associated with a higher recurrence risk between 3-8 years after diagnosis. Conclusions: Improvements in DFS observed at 10 years for the P1 and D3 arms compared with the P3 arm are qualitatively similar but quantitatively less than at 5 years, and the effects on OS are marginal in the overall population. The relative effectiveness of weekly paclitaxel and every 3 week docetaxel may vary by subtype. Citation Format: Joseph A Sparano, Fengmin Zhao, Silvana Martino, Jennifer Ligibel, Thomas Saphner, Antonio C Wolff, George W Sledge Jr, Edith A Perez, William C Wood, Nancy E Davidson. Ten year update of E1199: Phase III study of doxorubicin-cyclophosphamide followed by paclitaxel or docetaxel given every 3 weeks or weekly in patients with axillary node-positive or high-risk node-negative breast cancer [abstract]. In: Proceedings of the Thirty-Seventh Annual CTRC-AACR San Antonio Breast Cancer Symposium: 2014 Dec 9-13; San Antonio, TX. Philadelphia (PA): AACR; Cancer Res 2015;75(9 Suppl):Abstract nr S3-03.
Abstract P6-13-01: Local excision without radiation for ductal carcinoma in situ: 12-year results from the ECOG E5194 study
Solin, Lawrence J., Gray, Robert P., Hughes, Lorie L., Wood, William C., Lowen, Mary Ann, Baehner, Frederick L. , Perez, Edith A. , Recht, Abram , Davidson, Nancy E. , Badve, Sunil , Ingle, James N. , Sparano, Joseph A. , Miller, Kathy D.

Cancer Research | May 4, 2015 | Volume: 75 | Issue: 9_Supplement | Pages: P6-13-01-P6-13-01

10.1158/1538-7445.sabcs14-p6-13-01 Get It

Abstract Background: The ECOG E5194 study was a prospective trial designed to evaluate surgical excision (lumpectomy) without radiation for selected women with ductal carcinoma in situ (DCIS) of the breast with low risk clinical and pathologic features. Methods: Eligible patients were enrolled on two study cohorts (not randomized): (1) low or intermediate grade DCIS, tumor size < 2.5 cm; or (2) high grade DCIS, tumor size < 1.0 cm. Cohort assignment was based on pathology assessment from the treating institution. Protocol specifications included surgical excision of the DCIS tumor with a minimum negative margin width of at least 3 mm or no tumor on re-excision. Radiation treatment was not allowed. From April 1997 to October 2002, 665 evaluable patients were enrolled through ECOG or NCCTG (561 in Cohort 1; 104 in Cohort 2). Tamoxifen was optional (not randomized) beginning in May 2000, and was given to 30% of the patients. The primary study endpoint was the rate of developing an ipsilateral breast event (IBE), defined as local recurrence of DCIS or invasive carcinoma in the treated breast. The median follow-up was 12.3 years. We have previously reported 7-year results (L. Hughes, J Clin Oncol 27:5319, 2009; median follow-up 6.3 years; 66 IBE’s), and we herein provide 12-year results. Results: Median patient age was 60 years and 58 years for Cohort 1 and Cohort 2, respectively. Tumor size was < 10 mm for 79% and 80% of patients, respectively. The minimum negative margin width was > 5 mm for 64% and 69% of patients, respectively. There were 99 IBE’s, of which 51 (52%) were an invasive IBE. The IBE and invasive IBE rates increased over time in both cohorts (see Table). The 12-year rates of an IBE were 14.4% for Cohort 1 and 24.6% for Cohort 2 (p = 0.003), and for an invasive IBE, 7.5% and 13.4%, respectively (p = 0.08). No difference was seen for the 12-year rates of overall survival (84.0% vs 82.8%; p = .96) or contralateral breast events (6.7% vs 12.0%; p = 0.16). On multivariate analysis, study cohort (hazard ratio = 1.81; p = 0.01) and tumor size (p = 0.01) were statistically significant for an IBE, and study cohort was borderline statistically significant for an invasive IBE (p = 0.08). On central pathology review (75% of cases), neither grade nor comedo necrosis was associated with the risk of an IBE or invasive IBE (all p > 0.15). Salvage treatment at the time of an IBE included mastectomy for 42% (31/74) and 64% (16/25) of the patients, respectively. Conclusions: For these selected patients with favorable DCIS based on clinical and pathologic characteristics treated with surgical excision without radiation, the rates of an IBE and an invasive IBE continued to increase through at least 12 years of follow-up. IBE Rates According To Study Cohort. Cohort 1 (Low or Intermediate Grade)Cohort 2 (High Grade)TimeIBEInvasive IBEIBEInvasive IBEAt 5 years6.0% (4.0%, 8.1%)2.7% (1.3%, 4.1%)15.0% (7.7%, 21.7%)5.3% (0.8%, 9.7%)At 7 years9.5% (7.0%, 12.0%)4.8% (2.9%, 6.6%)18.2% (10.6%, 25.8%)7.6% (2.2%, 13.0%)At 10 years12.5% (9.5%, 15.4%)6.4% (4.2%, 8.6%)24.6% (15.7%, 33.4%)13.4% (5.9%, 20.9%)At 12 years14.4% (11.2%, 17.6%)7.5% (5.1%, 10.0%)24.6% (15.7%, 33.4%)13.4% (5.9%, 20.9%) Citation Format: Lawrence J Solin, Robert Gray, Lorie L Hughes, William C Wood, Mary Ann Lowen, Sunil Badve, Frederick L Baehner, James N Ingle, Edith A Perez, Abram Recht, Joseph Sparano, Kathy Miller, Nancy E Davidson. Local excision without radiation for ductal carcinoma in situ: 12-year results from the ECOG E5194 study [abstract]. In: Proceedings of the Thirty-Seventh Annual CTRC-AACR San Antonio Breast Cancer Symposium: 2014 Dec 9-13; San Antonio, TX. Philadelphia (PA): AACR; Cancer Res 2015;75(9 Suppl):Abstract nr P6-13-01.
Trastuzumab Plus Adjuvant Chemotherapy for Human Epidermal Growth Factor Receptor 2–Positive Breast Cancer: Planned Joint Analysis of Overall Survival From NSABP B-31 and NCCTG N9831
Perez, Edith A. , Romond, Edward H., Jeong, Jong‐Hyeon , Martino, Silvana, Rastogi, Priya , Swain, Sandra M. , Colón‐Otero, Gerardo , Davidson, Nancy E. , Mamounas, E., Zujewski, Jo Anne , Sledge, George, Geyer, Charles E. , Gralow, Julie, Mamounas, Eleftherios, Wolmark, Norman , Suman, Vera J. , Sledge, George W. , Gralow, Julie R. , Winer, Eric P. , Zujewski, Jo Anne , Swain, Sandra M

Journal of Clinical Oncology | October 21, 2014 | Volume: 32 | Issue: 33 | Pages: 3744-3752

10.1200/jco.2014.55.5730 Get It

Purpose Positive interim analysis findings from four large adjuvant trials evaluating trastuzumab in patients with early-stage human epidermal growth factor receptor 2 (HER2) –positive breast cancer were first reported in 2005. One of these reports, the joint analysis of North Central Cancer Treatment Group NCCTG N9831 (Combination Chemotherapy With or Without Trastuzumab in Treating Women With HER2-Overexpressing Breast Cancer) and the National Surgical Adjuvant Breast and Bowel Project NSABP B-31 (Doxorubicin and Cyclophosphamide Plus Paclitaxel With or Without Trastuzumab in Treating Women With Node-Positive Breast Cancer That Overexpresses HER2), was updated in 2011. We now report the planned definitive overall survival (OS) results from this joint analysis along with updates on the disease-free survival (DFS) end point. Methods In all, 4,046 patients with HER2-positive operable breast cancer were enrolled to receive doxorubicin and cyclophosphamide followed by paclitaxel with or without trastuzumab in both trials. The required number of events for the definitive statistical analysis for OS (710 events) was reached in September 2012. Updated analyses of overall DFS and related subgroups were also performed. Results Median time on study was 8.4 years. Adding trastuzumab to chemotherapy led to a 37% relative improvement in OS (hazard ratio [HR], 0.63; 95% CI, 0.54 to 0.73; P < .001) and an increase in 10-year OS rate from 75.2% to 84%. These results were accompanied by an improvement in DFS of 40% (HR, 0.60; 95% CI, 0.53 to 0.68; P < .001) and increase in 10-year DFS rate from 62.2% to 73.7%. All patient subgroups benefited from addition of this targeted anti-HER2 agent. Conclusion The addition of trastuzumab to paclitaxel after doxorubicin and cyclophosphamide in early-stage HER2-positive breast cancer results in a substantial and durable improvement in survival as a result of a sustained marked reduction in cancer recurrence.
Abstract S5-5: Trastuzumab plus adjuvant chemotherapy for HER2-positive breast cancer: Final planned joint analysis of overall survival (OS) from NSABP B-31 and NCCTG N9831
Romond, Edward H., Suman, VJ, Jeong, J-H, Sledge, GW, Geyer, CE, Martino, Silvana, Rastogi, Priya , Swain, SM, Colón‐Otero, Gerardo , Hudis, Clifford A. , Davidson, Nancy E. , Mamounas, EP, Zujewski, JA, Pérez, E. González, Gralow, Julie R. , Winer, Eric P. , Paik, Soonmyung , Wolmark, Norman

Cancer Research | August 14, 2014 | Volume: 72 | Issue: 24_Supplement | Pages: S5-5-S5-5

10.1158/0008-5472.sabcs12-s5-5 Get It

Abstract Background: Preplanned combined analysis of the National Surgical Adjuvant Breast and Bowel Project (NSABP) B-31 trial and North Central Cancer Treatment Group (NCCTG) (Alliance) N9831 Trial compared adjuvant chemotherapy with or without trastuzumab in women with HER2-positive breast cancer. The initial results were reported in 2005 and updated in early 2011 Methods: 4045 patients with HER2-positive operable breast cancer were enrolled to receive doxorubicin plus cyclophosphamide followed by paclitaxel with or without trastuzumab in both trials. The definitive analysis for OS will occur when 710 events have been reported. Results: Median time on study is 8 years. The required number of events have occurred for the definitive analysis for OS to be conducted by the end of September 2012. Updated analyses of disease free survival and related subgroups will also be presented. Supported by NCI grants U10-CA-12027, -69651, -37377, -69974, -44066, U24-CA-114732, CA25224; Breast Cancer Research Foundation; Genentech 35–03 Citation Information: Cancer Res 2012;72(24 Suppl):Abstract nr S5-5.
Prognostic Value of Tumor-Infiltrating Lymphocytes in Triple-Negative Breast Cancers From Two Phase III Randomized Adjuvant Breast Cancer Trials: ECOG 2197 and ECOG 1199
Adams, Sylvia , Demaria, Sandra , Goldstein, Lori J. , Perez, Edith A. , Martino, Silvana, Jones, Vicky, Saphner, Thomas J. , Wolff, Antonio C. , Wood, William C., Davidson, Nancy E. , Sparano, Joseph A. , Gray, Robert J. , Shulman, Lawrence N. , Wang, Molin , Sledge, George W. , Badve, Sunil , Wolff, Antonio C , Sparano, Joseph A

Journal of Clinical Oncology | July 28, 2014 | Volume: 32 | Issue: 27 | Pages: 2959-2966

10.1200/jco.2013.55.0491 Get It

Purpose Recent studies suggest that tumor-infiltrating lymphocytes (TILs) are associated with disease-free (DFS) and overall survival (OS) in operable triple-negative breast cancer (TNBC). We seek to validate the prognostic impact of TILs in primary TNBCs in two adjuvant phase III trials conducted by the Eastern Cooperative Oncology Group (ECOG). Patients and Methods Full-face hematoxylin and eosin–stained sections of 506 tumors from ECOG trials E2197 and E1199 were evaluated for density of TILs in intraepithelial (iTILs) and stromal compartments (sTILs). Patient cases of TNBC from E2197 and E1199 were randomly selected based on availability of sections. For the primary end point of DFS, association with TIL scores was determined by fitting proportional hazards models stratified on study. Secondary end points were OS and distant recurrence–free interval (DRFI). Reporting recommendations for tumor marker prognostic studies criteria were followed, and all analyses were prespecified. Results The majority of 481 evaluable cancers had TILs (sTILs, 80%; iTILs, 15%). With a median follow-up of 10.6 years, higher sTIL scores were associated with better prognosis; for every 10% increase in sTILs, a 14% reduction of risk of recurrence or death (P = .02), 18% reduction of risk of distant recurrence (P = .04), and 19% reduction of risk of death (P = .01) were observed. Multivariable analysis confirmed sTILs to be an independent prognostic marker of DFS, DRFI, and OS. Conclusion In two national randomized clinical trials using contemporary adjuvant chemotherapy, we confirm that stromal lymphocytic infiltration constitutes a robust prognostic factor in TNBCs. Studies assessing outcomes and therapeutic efficacies should consider stratification for this parameter.
Recommendations on Disease Management for Patients With Advanced Human Epidermal Growth Factor Receptor 2–Positive Breast Cancer and Brain Metastases: American Society of Clinical Oncology Clinical Practice Guideline
Ramakrishna, Naren , Temin, Sarah , Chandarlapaty, Sarat , Crews, Jennie R. , Davidson, Nancy E. , Esteva, Francisco J. , Giordano, Sharon H. , González-Angulo, Ana M. , Kirshner, Jeffrey J., Krop, Ian E. , Levinson, Jennifer, Modi, Shanu , Patt, Debra A. , Perez, Edith A. , Perlmutter, Jane , Krop, Ian, Winer, Eric P. , Lin, Nancy U. , Modi, Shanu

Journal of Clinical Oncology | May 6, 2014 | Volume: 32 | Issue: 19 | Pages: 2100-2108

10.1200/jco.2013.54.0955 Get It

Purpose To provide formal expert consensus–based recommendations to practicing oncologists and others on the management of brain metastases for patients with human epidermal growth factor receptor 2 (HER2) –positive advanced breast cancer. Methods The American Society of Clinical Oncology (ASCO) convened a panel of medical oncology, radiation oncology, guideline implementation, and advocacy experts and conducted a systematic review of the literature. When that failed to yield sufficiently strong quality evidence, the Expert Panel undertook a formal expert consensus–based process to produce these recommendations. ASCO used a modified Delphi process. The panel members drafted recommendations, and a group of other experts joined them for two rounds of formal ratings of the recommendations. Results No studies or existing guidelines met the systematic review criteria; therefore, ASCO conducted a formal expert consensus–based process. Recommendations Patients with brain metastases should receive appropriate local therapy and systemic therapy, if indicated. Local therapies include surgery, whole-brain radiotherapy, and stereotactic radiosurgery. Treatments depend on factors such as patient prognosis, presence of symptoms, resectability, number and size of metastases, prior therapy, and whether metastases are diffuse. Other options include systemic therapy, best supportive care, enrollment onto a clinical trial, and/or palliative care. Clinicians should not perform routine magnetic resonance imaging (MRI) to screen for brain metastases, but rather should have a low threshold for MRI of the brain because of the high incidence of brain metastases among patients with HER2-positive advanced breast cancer.
Impact of c-MYC Protein Expression on Outcome of Patients with Early-Stage HER2+ Breast Cancer Treated with Adjuvant Trastuzumab NCCTG (Alliance) N9831
Dueck, Amylou C. , Reinholz, Monica M., Geiger, Xochiquetzal J., Tenner, Kathleen , Jenkins, Robert B., Riehle, Darren, Chen, Beiyun, McCullough, Ann E. , Davidson, Nancy E. , Martino, Silvana, Kutteh, Leila A., Harris, Lyndsay N. , Lingle, Wilma L., Perez, Edith A. , Ballman, Karla V. , Sledge, George W. , Kaufman, Peter A. , Gralow, Julie R. , Ingle, James N. , Dueck, A. C.

Clinical Cancer Research | August 22, 2013 | Volume: 19 | Issue: 20 | Pages: 5798-5807

10.1158/1078-0432.ccr-13-0558 Get It

Abstract Purpose: This study investigated the association between tumor MYC protein expression and disease-free survival (DFS) of patients randomized to receive chemotherapy alone (Arm A) or chemotherapy with sequential (Arm B) or concurrent trastuzumab (Arm C) in the N9831 (Alliance) adjuvant HER2+ trastuzumab breast cancer trial. Experimental Design: This analysis included 1,736 patients randomized to Arms A, B, and C on N9831. Nuclear MYC protein expression was determined in tissue microarray sections containing three biopsies per patient or whole tissue sections using standard immunohistochemistry (clone 9E10). A tumor was considered positive for MYC protein overexpression (MYC+) if the nuclear 3+ staining percentage was more than 30%. Results: Five hundred and seventy-four (33%) tumors were MYC+. MYC+ was associated with hormone receptor positivity (χ2, P = 0.006), tumors 2 cm or more (χ2, P = 0.02), and a higher rate of nodal positivity (χ2, P &lt; 0.001). HRs for DFS (median follow-up: 6.1 years) for Arm C versus A were 0.52 (P = 0.006) and 0.65 (P = 0.006) for patients with MYC+ and MYC− tumors, respectively (Pinteraction = 0.40). For Arm B versus A, HRs for patients with MYC+ and MYC− tumors were 0.79 (P = 0.21) and 0.74 (P = 0.04), respectively (Pinteraction = 0.71). For Arm C versus B, HRs for patients with MYC+ and MYC− tumors were 0.56 (P = 0.02) and 0.89 (P = 0.49), respectively (Pinteraction = 0.17). Conclusions: Our data do not support an impact of tumor MYC protein expression on differential benefit from adjuvant trastuzumab. Clin Cancer Res; 19(20); 5798–807. ©2013 AACR.
Soluble human epidermal growth factor receptor 2 (HER2) levels in patients with HER2‐positive breast cancer receiving chemotherapy with or without trastuzumab: Results from North Central Cancer Treatment Group adjuvant trial N9831
Moreno‐Aspitia, Alvaro , Dyar, Stephen, Tenner, Kathleen , Davidson, Nancy E. , Lafky, Jacqueline M., Reinholz, Monica M., Lingle, Wilma L., Kutteh, Leila A., Carney, Walter P., Dueck, Amylou C. , Perez, Edith A. , Hillman, David W. , Gralow, Julie R. , Kaufman, Peter A. , Dueck, A. C.

Cancer | June 6, 2013 | Volume: 119 | Issue: 15 | Pages: 2675-2682

10.1002/cncr.28130 Get It

BACKGROUNDIncreased soluble human epidermal growth factor receptor 2 (sHER2) is an indicator of a poor prognosis in HER2‐positive metastatic breast cancer. In this study, the authors evaluated levels of sHER2 during treatment and at the time of disease recurrence in the adjuvant North Central Cancer Treatment Group N9831 clinical trial.METHODSThe objectives were to describe sHER2 levels during treatment and at the time of recurrence in patients who were randomized to treatment arms A (standard chemotherapy), B (standard chemotherapy with sequential trastuzumab), and C (standard chemotherapy with concurrent trastuzumab). Baseline samples were available from 2318 patients, serial samples were available from 105 patients, and recurrence samples were available from 124 patients. The cutoff sHER2 value for the assay was 15 ng/mL. Statistical methods included repeated measures linear models, Wilcoxon rank‐sum tests, and Cox regression models.RESULTSThere were differences between groups in terms of age, menopausal status, and hormone receptor status. Within treatment arms A, B, and C, patients who had baseline sHER2 levels ≥15 ng/mL had worse disease‐free survival than patients who had baseline sHER2 levels <15 ng/mL (arm A: hazard ratio, 1.81; P = .0014; arm B: hazard ratio, 2.08; P = .0015; arm C: hazard ratio, 1.96; P = .01). Among the 124 patients who experienced disease recurrence, sHER2 levels increased from baseline to the time of recurrence in arms A and B but remained unchanged in arm C. Patients who had recurrence sHER2 levels ≥15 ng/mL had a shorter survival after recurrence with a 3‐year overall survival rate of 51% compared with 77% for those who had recurrence sHER2 levels <15 ng/mL (hazard ratio, 2.36; 95% confidence interval, 1.19‐4.70; P = .01).CONCLUSIONSIn patients with early stage, HER2‐positive breast cancer, a high baseline sHER2 level was identified as a prognostic marker associated with shorter disease‐free survival, and a high sHER2 level at recurrence was predictive of shorter survival. Cancer 2013;119:2675–2682. © 2013 American Cancer Society.