King, Katherine

Abstract Background Data on respiratory syncytial virus (RSV) acute respiratory infection (ARI) among community-dwelling U.S. adults aged 18 to 64 years, particularly those with high-risk conditions (HRC), remain limited. This study estimated incidence and attack rates of RSV-ARI and RSV lower respiratory tract disease (LRTD) in adults with and without HRCs. Methods A multistate, community-based prospective cohort of adults aged 18 to 64 years with and without HRCs was followed from October 2022 to September 2024. Incidence rates and annual attack rates of RSV-ARI and RSV-LRTD were calculated by HRC presence and age group. Results Of 3375 adults with at least 1 HRC, the RSV-ARI incidence rate was 17.9 per 1000 person-years (attack rates: year 1, 1.87%; year 2, 1.56%), compared with 14.8 per 1000 person-years (year 1, 1.33%; year 2, 1.50%) among adults without HRCs. RSV-LRTD incidence was 10.0 per 1000 person-years in adults with HRCs versus 5.7 per 1000 person-years in those without. Asthma, congenital immunodeficiency, and immunosuppressive medication use were associated with increased incidence of RSV-ARI and RSV-LRTD; whereas adults with solid organ transplant and chronic kidney disease had a significantly higher incidence rate of RSV-LRTD compared to those without these conditions. Adults aged 18 to 49 years with HRCs had significantly higher RSV-LRTD incidence (9.6 vs 4.3 per 1000 person-years). After adjustment for age and sex, having ≥1 HRC was associated with a 62% increased RSV-LRTD risk, rising to 117% among adults aged 18 to 49 years. Conclusions Adults with HRCs—particularly asthma, congenital immunodeficiency, chronic kidney disease, immunosuppressive medication use, and solid organ transplant—experienced higher RSV-ARI and RSV-LRTD incidence. The elevated RSV-LRTD burden was most pronounced in adults aged 18 to 49 years with HRCs.

Abstract Background The incidence of respiratory syncytial virus (RSV)–acute respiratory infection (ARI) in community-dwelling adults after the Omicron variant of the COVID-19 pandemic is unknown. Our aim was to assess the incidence of RSV-ARI in adults aged 18 to 64 years over 2 consecutive RSV seasons (October–April 2022–2024) in 4 US states. Methods This community-based prospective cohort study comprised 7501 participants in Minnesota, Wisconsin, Florida, and Arizona. We calculated RSV-ARI and RSV–lower respiratory tract disease (LRTD) incidence and attack rates. We reported unadjusted incidence by age group, gender, race and ethnicity, Charlson Comorbidity Index, socioeconomic status, residential state, and rural/urban setting. Results Seasons 1 and 2 had 2250 and 2377 ARI episodes, respectively, with an RSV-ARI positivity rate of 5.5% for season 1 and 5.8% for season 2 among those tested. In season 1, the overall incidence of RSV-ARI was 27.71 (95% CI, 22.82–33.34) per 1000 person-years (1.49% attack rate). Almost half (49.0%) had RSV-LRTD, with an incidence of 13.53 (95% CI, 10.19–17.61) per 1000 person-years (0.73% attack rate). In season 2, the RSV-ARI and RSV-LRTD incidence rates were 26.39 (95% CI, 21.73–31.75) per 1000 person-years (1.51% attack rate) and 12.43 (95% CI, 9.31–16.26) per 1000 person-years (0.72% attack rate). RSV-ARI incidence peaked in November 2022 and December 2023. Conclusions Our observations suggest that RSV-ARI incidence and seasonal pattern are shifting to prepandemic RSV epidemiology.

Abstract OBJECTIVES Low forced expiratory volume in 1 s (FEV1) and elevated N-terminal pro-B-type natriuretic peptide (NT-Pro-BNP) have been individually associated with poor outcomes after transcatheter aortic valve replacement (TAVR). We hypothesized a combination of the 2 would provide prognostic indication after TAVR. METHODS We categorized 871 patients who received TAVR from 2008 to 2018 into 4 groups according to baseline FEV1 (<60% or ≥60% predicted) and NT-Pro-BNP (<1601 or ≥1601 pg/ml): group A (n = 312, high FEV1, low NT-Pro-BNP), group B (n = 275, high FEV1, high NT-Pro-BNP), group C (n = 123 low FEV1, low NT-Pro-BNP) and group D (n = 161, low FEV1, high NT-Pro-BNP). The primary end point was survival at 1 and 5 years. RESULTS Patients in group A had more severe aortic stenosis and achieved the best long-term survival at 1 [93% (95% CI: 90–96)] and 5 [45.3% (95% CI: 35.4–58)] years. Low FEV1 and high NT-Pro-BNP (group D) patients had more severe symptoms, higher Society of Thoracic Surgeons predicted risk of operative mortality, lower ejection fraction and aortic valve gradient at baseline. Patients in group D had the worst survival at 1 [76% (95% CI: 69–83)] and 5 years [13.1% (95% CI: 7–25)], hazard ratio compared to group A: 2.29 (95% CI: 1.6–3.2, P < 0.001) with 25.7% of patients in New York Heart Association class III–IV. Patients in groups B and C had intermediate outcomes. CONCLUSIONS The combination of FEV1 and NT-Pro-BNP stratifies patients into 4 groups with distinct risk profiles and clinical outcomes. Patients with low FEV1 and high NT-Pro-BNP have increased comorbidities, poor functional outcomes and decreased long-term survival after TAVR.

Abstract Objective Artificial intelligence (AI) models may propagate harmful biases in performance and hence negatively affect the underserved. We aimed to assess the degree to which data quality of electronic health records (EHRs) affected by inequities related to low socioeconomic status (SES), results in differential performance of AI models across SES. Materials and Methods This study utilized existing machine learning models for predicting asthma exacerbation in children with asthma. We compared balanced error rate (BER) against different SES levels measured by HOUsing-based SocioEconomic Status measure (HOUSES) index. As a possible mechanism for differential performance, we also compared incompleteness of EHR information relevant to asthma care by SES. Results Asthmatic children with lower SES had larger BER than those with higher SES (eg, ratio = 1.35 for HOUSES Q1 vs Q2–Q4) and had a higher proportion of missing information relevant to asthma care (eg, 41% vs 24% for missing asthma severity and 12% vs 9.8% for undiagnosed asthma despite meeting asthma criteria). Discussion Our study suggests that lower SES is associated with worse predictive model performance. It also highlights the potential role of incomplete EHR data in this differential performance and suggests a way to mitigate this bias. Conclusion The HOUSES index allows AI researchers to assess bias in predictive model performance by SES. Although our case study was based on a small sample size and a single-site study, the study results highlight a potential strategy for identifying bias by using an innovative SES measure.

AbstractOBJECTIVESFunctional tricuspid regurgitation (fTR) has been amenable to tricuspid valve repair (TVr), with fewer patients needing tricuspid valve replacement (TVR). We sought to review our experience of tricuspid valve surgery for fTR.METHODSA retrospective analysis of adult patients (≥18 years) who underwent primary tricuspid valve surgery for fTR (n = 926; mean age 68.6 ± 12.5 years; 67% females) from January 1993 through June 2018 was conducted. There were 767 (83%) patients who underwent TVr (ring annuloplasty, 67%; purse-string annuloplasty, 33%) and 159 (17%) underwent TVR (bioprosthetic valves, 87%; mechanical valves, 13%). The median follow-up was 8.2 years [95% confidence interval (CI) 7.2–8.9 years].RESULTSA greater proportion of patients who underwent TVR had severe right ventricular dysfunction (P < 0.001), severe tricuspid regurgitation (P < 0.001) and congestive heart failure (P = 0.001) while the TVr cohort had a greater proportion with severe mitral valve (MV) regurgitation (P < 0.001) and concomitant cardiac procedures. Early mortality (TVR, 9% vs TVr, 3%; P = 0.004), renal failure (TVR, 10% vs TVr, 5%; P = 0.014) and hospital stay (TVR, 15 ± 15 days vs TVr, 12 ± 11 days; P < 0.001) were greater in TVR patients. The TVR cohort had worse survival [hazard ratio (HR) 1.57; 95% CI 1.23–1.99]. Multivariable analysis identified congestive heart failure (HR 1.37; 95% CI 1.10–1.72), renal failure (HR 1.79; 95% CI 1.14–2.82), previous MV surgery (HR 1.35; 95% CI 1.05–1.72) and TVR (HR 1.36; 95% CI 1.03–1.79) as independent risk factors for late mortality.CONCLUSIONSTricuspid repair for fTR appears to have better early and late outcomes. Since previous MV surgery and TVR are identified as independent risk factors for late mortality, concomitant TVr at the time of index MV surgery may be considered. Early referral before the onset of advanced heart failure may improve outcomes.