Mellors, Patrick W

AbstractThromboses are prevalent in POEMS syndrome, but few risk factors for POEMS‐associated thrombosis have been identified. The objective of this study is to identify novel risk factors for POEMS‐associated thrombosis. In this retrospective cohort of 230 POEMS patients, 27% developed thrombosis. Arterial events were slightly more common than venous. Stroke accounted for 26% of all thromboses and 53% of arterial events. There were differences in baseline features between the thrombosis group and the no thrombosis group, and these were driven by patients with arterial thrombosis. Risk factors for arterial thrombosis included thrombocytosis, elevated hemoglobin/hematocrit, extravascular volume overload, and splenomegaly. Hyperprolactinemia appeared to be a risk factor for venous thrombosis. The risk of thrombosis was most striking among men with elevated hemoglobin (32% vs. 5%, p < .001) and hematocrit (42% vs. 5%, p < .001) compared to men without. Most thromboses occurred prior to POEMS directed therapy, and most that occurred during therapy happened within 3 months of diagnosis. Twenty‐one percent of patients with thrombosis had recurrence. In recognition of high overall rates of thrombosis in this population, all patients with POEMS syndrome should receive prophylactic antiplatelet therapy, and clinicians should consider anticoagulation in patients with risk factors for POEMS‐associated thrombosis.

AbstractMetaphase cytogenetic abnormalities, plasma cell proliferation index (PCPro), and gain 1q by fluorescence in situ hybridization (FISH) are associated with inferior survival in newly diagnosed multiple myeloma (MM) treated with novel agents; however, their role in risk stratification is unclear in the era of the revised International Staging System (R-ISS). The objective of this study was to determine if these predictors improve risk stratification in newly diagnosed MM when accounting for R-ISS and age. We studied a retrospective cohort of 483 patients with newly diagnosed MM treated with proteasome inhibitors and/or immunomodulators. On multivariable analysis, R-ISS, age, metaphase cytogenetic abnormalities (both in aggregate and for specific abnormalities), PCPro, and FISH gain 1q were associated with inferior progression-free (PFS) and overall survival (OS). We devised a risk scoring system based on hazard ratios from multivariable analyses and assigned patients to low-, intermediate-, and high-risk groups based on their cumulative scores. The addition of metaphase cytogenetic abnormalities, PCPro, and FISH gain 1q to a risk scoring system accounting for R-ISS and age did not improve risk discrimination of Kaplan-Meier estimates for PFS or OS. Moreover, they did not improve prognostic performance when evaluated by Uno’s censoring-adjusted C-statistic. Lastly, we performed a paired analysis of metaphase cytogenetic and interphase FISH abnormalities, which revealed the former to be insensitive for the detection of prognostic chromosomal abnormalities. Ultimately, metaphase cytogenetics lack sensitivity for important chromosomal aberrations and, along with PCPro and FISH gain 1q, do not improve risk stratification in MM when accounting for R-ISS and age.

AbstractResponse rates in newly diagnosed multiple myeloma have improved dramatically with the introduction of highly effective novel therapies. However, survival in patients achieving optimal responses to initial treatment can vary significantly, and new prognostic indicators are required to improve risk stratification. We investigated the relationship between time to plateau (TPlat) and survival in 1099 newly diagnosed patients treated with novel agents at our institution from 2005 to 2015.TPlatwas defined as time from initiation of first‐line therapy to best response to first‐line therapy. The medianTPlatwas 4.9 months (0.7‐58.6) and plateau duration was 1.8 years (0.2‐11.0). Patients who required > 120 days to achieve a plateau had longer modified overall survival (mOS) and progression free survival (mPFS) calculated from a landmark of best response (P < .001 for both comparisons). Statistically significant improvement in mOS was retained in subgroup analysis based on age and whether patients received upfront autologous hematopoietic stem cell transplantation (ASCT) (P < .001 for all comparisons). Our results suggest that patients who respond more gradually to initial therapy (TPlat > 120 days) experience longer survival compared to more rapid responders. Patients with a prolongedTPlatcould represent an “ongoing responder” phenotype that portends a survival advantage independent of treatment with upfront ASCT, depth of response, and biologic markers such as ISS stage and cytogenetic risk.