Feng, Bing

A large number of variants identified through clinical genetic testing in disease susceptibility genes are of uncertain significance (VUS). Following the recommendations of the American College of Medical Genetics and Genomics (ACMG) and Association for Molecular Pathology (AMP), the frequency in case-control datasets (PS4 criterion) can inform their interpretation. We present a novel case-control likelihood ratio-based method that incorporates gene-specific age-related penetrance. We demonstrate the utility of this method in the analysis of simulated and real datasets. In the analysis of simulated data, the likelihood ratio method was more powerful compared to other methods. Likelihood ratios were calculated for a case-control dataset of BRCA1 and BRCA2 variants from the Breast Cancer Association Consortium (BCAC) and compared with logistic regression results. A larger number of variants reached evidence in favor of pathogenicity, and a substantial number of variants had evidence against pathogenicity—findings that would not have been reached using other case-control analysis methods. Our novel method provides greater power to classify rare variants compared with classical case-control methods. As an initiative from the ENIGMA Analytical Working Group, we provide user-friendly scripts and preformatted Excel calculators for implementation of the method for rare variants in BRCA1, BRCA2, and other high-risk genes with known penetrance.

Abstract Approximately 15% of genetic screens for mutations in BRCA1 and BRCA2 identify Variants of Uncertain Significance (VUS). Primarily missense mutations, VUS are often difficult to interpret, leading to either uncertainty in how to properly counsel a patient or an unnecessary prophylactic surgery. Given the paucity of data for which missenses are classified as truly pathogenic, computational deleterious missense prediction (DMP) algorithms are used to predict whether a mutation is likely deleterious or neutral. Accuracy of DMPs can vary considerably and have only been calibrated on a relatively small number of missense mutations of demonstrable effect on protein function. In this study, the performance of 41 different DMPs was compared to functional data from 455 functionally characterized missense variants in BRCA1 and BRCA2. New optimized thresholds for classifying missense mutations as deleterious are presented for several existing models as well as a newly derived naïve voting method (NVM). The areas under the curve estimates for the NVM approach are between 0.889-0.922, much higher than previous methods. We estimate that the overall pathogenic potential of missense variants to be 6.8% for BRCA1 and 3.2% of BRCA2, but can be as high as 50% depending on protein location. Overall these results provide key insights into how to predict deleterious missense mutations in BRCA1 and BRCA2. Citation Format: Hart SN, Hoskin T, Shimelis H, Feng B, Lindor NM, Monteiro A, Iversen E, Goldgar DE, Suman V, Couch FJ. Optimized prediction of deleterious missense mutations in BRCA1 and BRCA2 genes [abstract]. In: Proceedings of the 2016 San Antonio Breast Cancer Symposium; 2016 Dec 6-10; San Antonio, TX. Philadelphia (PA): AACR; Cancer Res 2017;77(4 Suppl):Abstract nr P2-02-03.

Background Clinical classification of rare sequence changes identified in the breast cancer susceptibility genes BRCA1 and BRCA2 is essential for appropriate genetic counselling of individuals carrying these variants. We previously showed that variant BRCA1 c.5096G>A p.Arg1699Gln in the BRCA1 transcriptional transactivation domain demonstrated equivocal results from a series of functional assays, and proposed that this variant may confer low to moderate risk of cancer. Methods Measures of genetic risk (report of family history, segregation) were assessed for 68 BRCA1 c.5096G>A p.Arg1699Gln (R1699Q) families recruited through family cancer clinics, comparing results with 34 families carrying the previously classified pathogenic BRCA1 c.5095C>T p.Arg1699Trp (R1699W) mutation at the same residue, and to 243 breast cancer families with no BRCA1 pathogenic mutation (BRCA-X). Results Comparison of BRCA1 carrier prediction scores of probands using the BOADICEA risk prediction tool revealed that BRCA1 c.5096G>A p.Arg1699Gln variant carriers had family histories that were less ‘ BRCA1 -like’ than BRCA1 c.5095C>T p.Arg1699Trp mutation carriers (p<0.00001), but more ‘ BRCA1 -like’ than BRCA-X families (p=0.0004). Further, modified segregation analysis of the subset of 30 families with additional genotyping showed that BRCA1 c.5096G >A p.Arg1699Gln had reduced penetrance compared with the average truncating BRCA1 mutation penetrance (p=0.0002), with estimated cumulative risks to age 70 of breast or ovarian cancer of 24%. Conclusions Our results provide substantial evidence that the BRCA1 c.5096G>A p.Arg1699Gln (R1699Q) variant, demonstrating ambiguous functional deficiency across multiple assays, is associated with intermediate risk of breast and ovarian cancer, highlighting challenges for risk modelling and clinical management of patients of this and other potential moderate-risk variants.