Lennon, Ryan J.

ABSTRACT Ischemic events after contemporary percutaneous coronary intervention (PCI) are uncommon but carry high morbidity/mortality. Identifying patients at highest risk is critical to guide dual antiplatelet therapy (DAPT) intensity while minimizing bleeding. Current machine learning (ML) model‐developed risk scores do not incorporate pharmacogenetic data. To develop and externally validate ML models that integrate clinical, demographic, and CYP2C19 genetic information to predict 1‐year ischemic outcomes post‐PCI to refine clinical decision making. We analyzed 8317 patients from TAILOR‐PCI trial ( n = 4572) and the Precision PCI registry ( n = 3745). The outcome was a composite of cardiovascular death, myocardial infarction, stroke, and stent thrombosis at 1 year. Boruta feature selection identified 11 predictors. Multiple ML algorithms were trained in TAILOR‐PCI and validated in Precision PCI using cross‐validation and synthetic minority oversampling (SMOTE). Model performance was assessed by area under the receiver operating characteristic curve (AUC), sensitivity, and specificity. The best external performance was achieved with a support vector machine (SVM, polynomial kernel) (AUC 0.667; sensitivity 0.871; specificity 0.282), while XGBoost provided a more balanced profile (AUC 0.619; sensitivity 0.442; specificity 0.688). Variable importance for the SVM polynomial model demonstrated that all 11 included Boruta feature selected predictors had relatively high importance (> 75). ML models trained on large clinical trial and real‐world registry datasets can help identify the small subset of patients at high ischemic risk after PCI. This distinction is of relevance because ischemic events are rare, and most patients may safely de‐escalate DAPT to reduce bleeding risk while maintaining ischemic protection through a multimodal approach to risk stratification. Trial Registration: TAILOR‐PCI URL: https://clinicaltrials.gov/ct2/show/NCT01742117

Background/Objective: Dietary, supplement, and activity exposures have only been studied in spondyloarthritis (SpA) with retrospective studies. We aimed to determine the association of diet, supplements, and physical activity with incident SpA. Patients and Methods: We performed a case-control study in the Mayo Clinic Biobank from 2009 through 2015, matching criteria-confirmed incident SpA cases to controls 1:5 on age, sex, recruitment year, and location. Questionnaires assessed 16 dietary, 29 supplement, and leisure-time/work activity exposures. Logistic regression models calculated adjusted odds ratios (aOR) with 95% CIs of SpA for each exposure, adjusting for covariates. Sensitivity analyses were conducted within HLA-B27-positive patients, and those with baseline questionnaires completed 5+ years before index. Results: We identified 73 cases of incident SpA matched with 365 controls (mean age: 60, 70% females). No dietary or activity exposures were associated with SpA overall. However, among HLA-B27-positive individuals, non-diet soft drink consumption was associated with increased risk of SpA (aOR: 4.82, 95% CI: 1.29-18.1), whereas caffeinated coffee was associated with decreased risk (aOR: 0.20, 95% CI: 0.04-0.89). Zinc was associated with increased risk of SpA (aOR: 4.16, 95% CI: 1.19-14.6), as were B vitamins in the HLA-B27-positive subgroup (aOR: 4.21, 95% CI: 1.04-17.1). In the 5-year sensitivity analysis, low leisure-time physical activity plus high work physical activity was associated with increased risk of SpA (relative excess risk due to interaction: 0.50, 95% CI: 0.03-0.98). Conclusions: Due to small sample size and multiple comparisons, the risk factors we identified (non-diet soft drinks, B vitamins, and zinc) should be considered hypothesis-generating and warrant further investigation.

ABSTRACT Background Functional lumen imaging probe (FLIP) utility is established in treatment‐naïve achalasia but less clear following lower esophageal sphincter (LES) directed therapy. Methods Achalasia patients with LES directed therapy across three tertiary care centers between 2017 and 2024 with post‐treatment FLIP and timed barium esophagram (TBE) were retrospectively identified. Reduced esophagogastric junction (EGJ) opening was defined by distensibility index (DI) < 2 mm 2 /mmHg and diameter < 12 mm. Abnormal emptying on TBE was defined as column height ≥ 5 cm at 5 min and/or retained tablet. Eckardt scores ≤ 3 defined clinical response. Key Results The study included 222 patients (46% peroral endoscopic myotomy, 46% laparoscopic Heller myotomy, 8% pneumatic dilation) with a median of 1.4 years to post‐treatment TBE/FLIP. Abnormal emptying on TBE was associated with a narrower median EGJ diameter (13.2 vs. 14.8 mm, p = 0.008), a greater frequency of EGJ diameter < 12 mm (36% vs. 21%, p = 0.012), and a smaller change in EGJ diameter (+4.6 vs. +8.6 mm, p = 0.002). Abnormal emptying on TBE occurred more frequently in patients with EGJ DI < 2 mm 2 /mmHg (8.5% vs. 2.6%, p = 0.052), but was not associated with median EGJ DI (4.5 vs. 5.1 mm 2 /mmHg, p = 0.29) nor median change in EGJ DI (+2.9 vs. +3.9 mm 2 /mmHg, p = 0.25). Patients with reduced EGJ DI or EGJ diameter more often had abnormal TBE (37% vs. 22%, p = 0.012). Only the change in DI (+3.8 vs. +1.5 mm 2 /mmHg, p = 0.012) and diameter (+8.2 vs. +1.6 mm, p = 0.002) on FLIP was associated with a clinical response based on Eckardt ≤ 3. Conclusions and Inferences FLIP following achalasia therapy generally correlates with TBE, although discrepant findings are not uncommon. In particular, FLIP EGJ‐diameter has a strong association with esophageal emptying on TBE. Both TBE and FLIP have limited association with clinical response based on Eckardt, with change in DI and diameter on FLIP most strongly associated. Consequently, FLIP as part of multimodal assessment appears useful in the longitudinal follow‐up of treated achalasia.

Objective We aimed to assess the occurrence of carpal tunnel syndrome (CTS) before and after rheumatoid arthritis (RA) incidence and by serologic status. Methods This population‐based study included residents of a geographically defined area meeting the 1987 American College of Rheumatology classification criteria for RA in 1980 to 2019 matched 1:1 with individuals without RA. At least two diagnosis codes ≥30 days apart were used to identify CTS. Cumulative incidence of CTS adjusting for competing risk of death was assessed. Logistic regression and Cox proportional hazard models were used, adjusting for age, sex, calendar year, smoking, obesity, diabetes mellitus, and hypothyroidism. Results We included 1,335 patients with RA and 1,331 individuals without RA. The overall prevalence of CTS before or on RA incidence or index was 179 patients with RA (13%) and 85 individuals without RA (6%), respectively (odds ratio [OR] 2.23; 95% confidence interval [CI] 1.69–2.94). Most previous incidences of CTS occurred ≥2 years before the index date (112 events in patients with RA and 75 events in individuals without RA, respectively). Following RA incidence or index, individuals with RA (vs those without RA) had ~80%‐higher risk of CTS (hazard ratio [HR] 1.78; 95% CI 1.38–2.30). The risk estimates of CTS in patients with seronegative (vs seropositive) RA were OR 1.33 (95% CI 0.96–1.84) before RA incidence and HR 1.37 (95% CI 0.99–1.88) after RA incidence. In RA, obesity (HR 1.42, 95% CI 1.02–1.99) and seronegative cyclic citrullinated peptide antibody status (HR 1.79, 95% CI 1.07–2.99), but not other risk factors, were associated with increased CTS risk. Conclusion We found a more than two‐fold increase in risk of CTS in the years preceding RA and a 1.8‐fold increased risk of incident CTS following RA onset. image

Abstract Background and Aims Patients with inflammatory bowel disease (IBD) face increased risk of colorectal cancer (CRC). While the natural history of conventional dysplastic precursor lesions has been well-studied, the neoplastic potential of recently described nonconventional (NC) IBD-associated colonic mucosal lesions is unclear. We aimed to assess the incidence of antecedent NC lesions in patients with IBD who developed CRC. Methods A case-cohort study was performed to include patients with a diagnosis of IBD with or without CRC who underwent at least 2 surveillance endoscopic procedures at our institution between 1/1/2007 and 5/31/2023. NC lesions included serrated change and indefinite for dysplasia. Detection rates pre- and post-introduction of high-definition (HD) surveillance colonoscopy were compared. Results In total, 87 patients with IBD and CRC and 200 patients with IBD without CRC were identified. Of the cases, a majority had ulcerative colitis (n = 52, 60%), most commonly with extensive involvement (n = 46, 89%). Conventional (hazard ratio [HR] 2.18, 95% confidence interval [CI] 1.34-3.52) and NC (HR 2.28, 95% CI 1.59-3.26) lesions were associated with increased risk of CRC. Conventional lesions in the post-HD era appeared to have a stronger association with CRC (HR 2.79, 95% CI 1.62-4.77) than NC lesions (HR 1.62, 95% CI 0.86-3.06). Conclusions Both conventional and NC lesions seem to be associated with increased risk of CRC. Conventional lesions are more strongly associated with CRC than NC lesions in the post-HD era, but misclassifications in the pre-HD era may have resulted in a biased increased risk estimate for NC lesions.

Introduction: Identifying patients at risk for ischemic events after percutaneous coronary intervention (PCI) relies on traditional analysis of limited clinical and imaging variables. Machine learning (ML) has shown promise in effectively predicting cardiovascular risk in population studies. While existing ML models mainly predict mortality and incorporate clinical variables, there is a lack of tools that have utilized genetic data and that predict ischemic events. Aims: This study aims to develop and validate a ML model incorporating genotyping and clinical data to enhance prediction of ischemic outcomes for PCI patients utilizing large prospectively derived diverse datasets. Methods: Patients from the TAILOR-PCI trial (n=5302) were utilized for model development. 50% of the sample was utilized for Boruta feature selection and 50% for training and testing using cross validation. Features included demographics, medical history, medications, PCI characteristics, and genetic data (specifically, CYP2C19 *2, *3, *17 alleles). The primary endpoint was a composite of cardiovascular death, myocardial infarction, stroke, stent thrombosis, and severe recurrent ischemia at 12 months. Multiple ML classification algorithms, including Support Vector Machine (SVM) polynomial, Random Forest, Light gradient boost, XG Boost, among others, were benchmarked for their prediction performance on rare events. The top performing classifiers were externally validated on an independent dataset from the PRECISION PCI study (n=3,745). Results: Mean participant age of the training set was 64.2 ± 11.0 years, with 75.4% being male. During follow-up of 12 months, among 4,572 patients in the entire cohort 343 (7.5%) met the primary outcome. The SVM polynomial model demonstrated the highest area under the curve (AUC) of 0.67 for predicting the primary outcome with test dataset. The sensitivity, specificity, precision, and recall were 0.87, 0.28, 0.07, and 0.87 respectively (Figure). Peripheral arterial disease, body mass index, and age were among the top variables by feature importance. Conclusion: ML models incorporating both clinical and genetic data are feasible and highly promising in predicting major adverse cardiac events that may help guide use of anti-platelet drug therapy. The AUC values are reasonable given imbalances and misclassifications in datasets, and further model optimization with prospective utilization of the model will be paramount.

The objective of this study was to understand whether exposure to adverse childhood experiences (ACEs) before 18 years of age predicts increased neurobehavioral symptom reporting in adults presenting for treatment secondary to persistent symptoms after mild traumatic brain injury (mTBI). This cross-sectional study identified 78 individuals with mTBI from 2014 to 2018 presenting for treatment to an outpatient multidisciplinary rehabilitation clinic. Neurobehavioral symptom inventory (NSI-22) scores were collected on admission, and ACEs for each patient were abstracted by medical record review. A linear regression model was used to assess if an individual who experienced at least one ACE before age 18 resulted in significantly different neurobehavioral scores compared with those not reporting any history of an ACE before age 18. Participants who reported at least one ACE before age 18 had significantly increased NSI-22 scores on admission to the rehabilitation clinic compared with patients without history of ACEs (mean difference 10.1, p = 0.011), adjusted for age and gender. For individuals presenting for treatment after mTBI, a history of ACEs before age 18 was associated with increased neurobehavioral symptoms.

Abstract Background & Aims: Sarcopenia is common in patients with liver disease and both sarcopenia and short telomeres are associated with mortality, however their relationship in patients with liver disease remains unknown. Methods: A cohort of 16,072 adults from the National Health and Nutrition Examination Survey from 1999-2006 was analyzed. Liver disease was defined by aminotransferases and classified into etiology-based categories. Sarcopenia was defined by dual-energy x-ray absorptiometry. All analyses were conducted separately on each multiple imputation data set and combined via Rubin’s rules. P-values for group comparisons were calculated by testing logistic regression parameter estimates. Cox proportional hazards regression was used for mortality analysis with mortality data available until 2015. Results:Sarcopenia was present in 9.5% of patients with liver disease. Age, race, income, education, physical inactivity, and certain medical comorbidities were associated with sarcopenia. Patients with liver disease and sarcopenia had significantly shorter telomeres than patients with liver disease without sarcopenia when unadjusted for age. The interaction between telomere length and sarcopenia was significantly associated with all-cause mortality. Conclusions: The implications of telomere length on all-cause mortality in patients with liver disease varied by age and sarcopenia status. Shorter telomeres appear to be more highly associated with increased mortality in older patients without sarcopenia.

Background: Remote patient monitoring (RPM) is an emerging focus in health care, and specialized programs may reduce medical costs, supplement in-office visits, and improve patient satisfaction. In this study, we describe the development, feasibility, and early outcomes of an RPM program for patients with decompensated cirrhosis. Methods: Forty-six patients were offered enrollment at the time of hospital discharge in the cirrhosis RPM program (CiRPM), of which 41 completed at least 30 days of monitoring. Participants were mailed remote monitoring equipment and a tablet to be used for patient-reported outcomes. Alerts were continuously monitored by virtual nursing staff who could perform targeted interventions. A cohort of historical controls (n = 74) was created for comparison using inverse probability of treatment weighting. Results: Patients were enrolled in the program for a mean of 83.9 days, with 28 (68%) completing the full 90-day program. Participants uploaded vital signs and responded to symptom-based questionnaires on 93% of the monitored days. On end-of-program surveys, over 75% of patients expressed satisfaction with the program. Gender, age, and MELD-Na were similar between CiRPM and weighted control groups. The 90-day readmission rate was 34% in CiRPM and 47% in weighted controls. In the CiRPM group, 12% of subjects had 2 or more admissions, compared to 37% in the weighted control group. Conclusion: This study demonstrates the feasibility of a cirrhosis-specific RPM program. Overall, patient satisfaction and utilization of the CiRPM was high. Future studies are needed to confirm the impact of RPM on the reduction of hospital readmissions in decompensated cirrhosis.