Ho, Andrew H

Abstract Importance Decline in olfactory function may be used as a predictor of cognitive decline, to enhance early detection models, improve risk stratification, and enable early intervention. Objective To assess the longitudinal association between olfactory decline, cognitive decline, and postmortem neuropathology. Design, setting and participants Retrospective longitudinal analysis with clinicopathological correlations of a prospective population-based cohort study using data from the Arizona Study of Aging and Neurodegenerative Disorders (AZSAND) and its Brain and Body Donation Program. Participants included cognitively unimpaired individuals without parkinsonism that converted to mild cognitive impairment (MCI) and/or dementia or remained cognitively stable. Main Outcomes and Measures longitudinal change in olfaction, neuropsychiatric symptoms, motor function and memory, conversion to MCI/dementia, postmortem neuropathology Results Over a mean follow-up period of 7.7 ± 5.4 years, out of 922 participants who were cognitively unimpaired at the first cognitive conference, 643 remained cognitively unimpaired, 279 converted to MCI, and 82 developed dementia. Of these, 633 individuals had at least 2 olfactory tests. Converters showed reduced olfactory function (t=-12.6, p <0.0001), faster progression in neuropsychiatric symptom burden (t=3.42, p < 0.001), and faster decline in memory (t= -7.33, p <0.0001) prior to conversion while no significant differences were observed in motor scores between converters and non-converters. Using ROC analysis, olfactory decline, increased neuropsychiatric symptom burden, as well as motor and memory decline predicted conversion to MCI with a consistent accuracy of ∼ 70% up to 5 years before conversion, while UPSIT alone had an accuracy of ∼ 60%. Longitudinal decline in olfaction was associated with a higher burden of a-synuclein (t= -8.21, p <0.0005), tau tangle (t= -2.66, p < 0.01) and amyloid plaque burden (t= -2.85, p < 0.005) and a faster decline over time was associated with a higher burden of tau (t=5.66, p<0.0001). Conclusions and Relevance A reduction in olfactory identification ability is observed up to a decade prior to conversion to MCI and is associated with underlying burden of neuropathology markers, underscoring the value of incorporating olfactory testing in cognitively unimpaired individuals to identify those at-risk of future cognitive decline.

Abstract Skin biopsies analyzed with α-synuclein seed amplification assays (SAAs) are a simple way to clinically interrogate the presence of α-synuclein aggregates. We determined the accuracy of skin biopsy SAA in predicting the clinical diagnoses of Parkinson disease (PD), PD with dementia (PDD) and dementia with Lewy bodies (DLB). Blinded SAAs were performed in 3 independent laboratories. Subjects diagnosed with PD, PDD and DLB were analyzed together as group 1, clinically unaffected subjects as group 2 and those with risk factors for LBD as group 3. Punch biopsies were taken from the posterior neck and analyzed by the 3 labs in 6 separate SAAs. Pairwise agreement between labs and assays ranged from excellent (kappa 0.82) to moderate (kappa 0.40-0.68). Sensitivity across assays ranged between 50.0% and 61.3%; specificity ranged between 68.6% and 100%. Comparisons of group 1 vs group 2 produced the greatest specificities, between 77.3% and 100%. In 17 cases that subsequently came to autopsy, 93% of SAAs were positive in those at the neocortical LBD stage but in only &lt;10% of those at lower stages. Skin biopsy α-synuclein SAA may be useful as a diagnostic and progression biomarker in Lewy body dementia clinical trials.