Petersen, Ronald

Abstract Background Alzheimer’s Disease (AD) progression is conceptualized as a cascade of sigmoidal (S‐shaped) curves, with biomarkers shifting sequentially from normal to abnormal states. Estimating these curves requires sophisticated modeling, with challenges including (1) selecting appropriate sigmoidal‐type functions, (2) achieving algorithmic convergence, and (3) producing clinically useful parameters. We compare commonly used sigmoidal‐functions and effects on novel estimates of early and late AD‐biomarker progression ages. Method Using 3,999 Amyloid PET (PiB SUVR) measurements from 1,367 Mayo Clinic Study of Aging participants, we compared model fits (AIC, BIC) between logistic and hyperbolic functions using Non‐Linear Mixed Effect (NLME) models with subject‐specific age‐shifts. We defined novel “initial” and “maximum” acceleration points (IAP and MAP) to compare clinically “earlier” and “later” AD‐progression ages between sigmoidal‐curves. The MAP uses the maximum second‐derivative point, reflecting the age of fastest acceleration in biomarker accumulation. The IAP is defined as the first point where the second derivative of the sigmoidal‐curve exceeds a clinical threshold (here, 5% velocity increase per year), indicating onset age of early accelerated biomarker accumulation. Estimates for C 2 N plasma p ‐tau217 were also attempted (1,306 measurements on 457 participants). Models adjusted for sex and APOE4‐positivity. Result In the larger PET sample, the hyperbola had lower AIC/BIC (better fit), but showed a decreasing early PiB‐SUVR trend (Table 1A, Figure 1). Ages of late MAP were comparable, as were sex and APOE4+ related PiB‐SUVR‐curve shifts. Age of early AD‐onset was estimated 1.5 years earlier for logistic (IAP=63.6) versus hyperbola (IAP=65.1) functions. The logistic function always converged, while the hyperbolic function did not converge for p ‐tau217 in the smaller C 2 N sample. Early‐onset and late‐progression ages were 7‐8 years later for p ‐tau217 versus PiB‐SUVR using logistic‐curves. Conclusion Late AD‐progression and covariate‐related shifts in progression were comparable across models, suggesting robustness to sigmoid choice. In contrast, estimates of early AD‐onset may be more dependent on functional form. While logistic‐sigmoids inherently increase monotonically, hyperbolas do not, here estimating a decline in initial amyloid trend. Future work may explore adding biologically informed constraints to flexible sigmoidal‐functions, and alternative Bayesian approaches, to optimize both model fit and estimation of early AD‐onset age.

Abstract Background Most existing biomarkers for Alzheimer’s disease (AD) inform on core AD pathologies in the central nervous system, namely amyloid, tau and neurodegeneration (ATN). However, molecular disease mechanisms underlying AD are complex and heterogeneous, highlighting the need for cost‐effective blood‐based biomarkers that reflect brain molecular changes in AD beyond ATN. Method Using peripheral blood transcriptome data from the Mayo Clinic Study of Aging(MCSA) and the Alzheimer's Disease Neuroimaging Initiative, we identified genes associated with AD or mild cognitive impairment (MCI) diagnosis, cognitive, and harmonized neuroimaging measures in two cohorts, followed by meta‐analysis. We identified consensus gene co‐expression modules in MCSA and ADNI using WGCNA and assessed the association between module eigengenes and aforementioned measures. Using seven bulk brain RNAseq cohorts, we confirmed the preservation of coexpression modules across blood and brain. Enrichment analyses of Gene Ontology (GO) terms and cell‐types were performed using significant and/or hub genes. The MCSA transcriptome was further deconvoluted to obtain cell‐type proportions and cell‐type specific expression. Result Blood transcriptome modules M5 and M8 are upregulated in AD/MCI and associate with worse cognition, whereas M1, M10, M13, M16, and M21 are downregulated in AD/MCI and associate with better cognition. M17 associates with more microhemorrhages. Cell‐type enrichment analysis revealed that M5 is enriched in basophils, monocytes, and neutrophils; M8 in monocytes and neutrophils; M13 in natural kills cells; M17 in megakaryocytes; M21 in B cells. GO analysis shows broad consistency with the cell‐type enrichment analysis. M1, 5, and 8 are preserved in the brain network modules. From these modules, we prioritized transcripts significantly associated with at least one AD‐related phenotype in both blood and brain. Cell‐type deconvolution analysis shows that prioritized transcripts in M1 associate with better cognition and higher metabolic activity in B cells. Conclusion We identified blood transcripts and modules associated with AD/MCI, cognition, or neuroimaging, with three preserved in brain networks. These three modules represent centrally linked peripheral molecular signatures that can reveal perturbed brain pathways and cell level transcriptional changes in AD/MCI. We aim to further investigate the prioritized transcripts in additional datasets to establish them as potential novel biomarkers and therapeutic targets.

Abstract Background Plasma neurofilament light chains (NfL) and glial fibrillary acidic protein (GFAP) are blood‐based biomarkers of axonal injury and astrocytic activation, respectively, that are elevated in those with Alzheimer’s disease (AD) and mild cognitive impairment (MCI) relative to cognitively unimpaired (CU) individuals. Neurite orientation dispersion and density imaging (NODDI) is a multishell diffusion MRI method capable of evaluating tissue microstructure at the axonal and dendritic level. We evaluated associations between temporal cortex orientation dispersion index (ODI), neurite density index (NDI) and isotropic volume fraction (ISOVF) and plasma NfL and GFAP concentrations. Method We included Mayo Clinic Study of Aging (MCSA) participants (ages 60‐95 years) with diagnoses or CU ( n = 356) or MCI ( n = 60), and Alzheimer’s Dementia Research Center (ADRC) participants with dementia ( n = 51). NODDI imaging was obtained on a 3T Siemens Prisma scanner with 2 mm isotropic resolution. NfL and GFAP were measured using the Simoa® Neurology 4‐Plex E Advantage kit. We fit separate linear regression models within each MCALT_ADIR122 cortical ROI with regional NODDI as the primary predictor and log‐transformed plasma concentration as the outcome. Models were adjusted for age, sex, BMI, cortical thickness (or hippocampal & amygdalar volume) and total intracranial volume. Result The Table displays demographic data. Figures 1 & 2 show the relationship of NDI and ISOVF measures to plasma NfL concentrations across participants in individual ROIs (similar findings were noted with GFAP). A significant inverse relationship between NfL concentrations and NDI was observed in hippocampus, amygdala, entorhinal cortex, parahippocampal gyrus as well as all temporal neocortical regions except the superior temporal gyrus ( p <0.001) (Figure 1), whereas higher NfL concentrations were associated with higher ISOVF in all regions ( p <0.001) (Figure 2). Fewer significant associations were also seen with ODI. After adjusting for age, cortical thickness/volume and other confounds, significant associations with NDI remain, particularly in hippocampal and amygdalar regions. Conclusion NODDI‐derived measures (NDI and ISOVF) within the temporal lobe cortical regions demonstrate significant associations with plasma biomarkers of axonal and astrocytic dysfunction that are elevated during cognitive decline. This association provides preliminary validation of the utility of NODDI in assessing cortical microstructural changes associated with cognitive decline.