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Khawar, Muneeb

0009-0005-7051-7413

Mayo Clinic

Services Institute of Medical Sciences

Citations 36

Regional disability-adjusted life years (DALYs) and mortality rates in gastric cancer among elderly (70+ years) from 1990-2021: A global burden of disease study.
Komel, Aqsa, Ahmad, Husnain , Munir, Syeda Umbreen, Kakakhel, Mian Zahid Jan , Mannan, Muhammad Shaheer, Sadiq, Muhammad Shehryar Ali, Khawar, Muneeb , Qadeer, Abdul , Jawad, Hamna , Ikram, Jibran, Ahmed, Faizan , Khan, Abdul basit, Ikram, Jibran , Ikram, Jibran , Munir, Syeda Umbreen, Sadiq, Muhammad Shehryar Ali, Khan, Abdul basit, Kirchoff, Robert W.

Journal of Clinical Oncology | May 28, 2025 | Volume: 43 | Issue: 16_suppl | Pages: No page available

10.1200/jco.2025.43.16_suppl.e16076 Get It

e16076 Background: Gastric cancer is the fourth leading cause of global cancer deaths. Despite declining incidence and mortality, it remains a significant contributor to the global disease burden. This study analyzes regional gastric cancer DALYs and mortality trends from 1990-2021 using the GBD database. Methods: The regional DALYs and mortality rates per 100,000 individuals aged 70+ from GBD 2021 were analyzed, with trends from 1990 to 2021 evaluated using AAPC, and statistical significance assessed by p-values. Results: In 2021, the greatest Age-standardized DALYs rates were recorded in Andean Latin America, with 3068.04 per 100,000; the lowest was found in High-income North America with 386.08 per 100,000. The most significant increase of DALYs rate from 1990 to 2021 was in Southern Sub-Saharan Africa, (AAPC = -0.3068%; 95% CI: -0.3852 to -0.2234; p < 0.000001), while in Western Europe, the largest decline was noted (AAPC = -2.9999%; 95% CI: -3.0164 to -2.9841; p < 0.000001). Andean Latin America was the region with the highest Age-standardized mortality rates (ASMRs) in 2021, at 207.58 per 100,000 while High-income North America had the lowest at 27.18 per 100,000. In Western Sub-Saharan Africa, the ASMRs were rising with an AAPC of -0.2601% (95% CI: -0.2872 to -0.2368; p < 0.000001), while Western Europe had the highest decline with an AAPC of -2.7658% (95% CI: -2.7895 to -2.7471; p < 0.000001). Conclusions: The global burden of diseases from 1990 to 2021 is regional in nature. In 2021, DALYs and mortality were predominantly high in Andean Latin America and East Asia and notably low in High-income North America. DALYs have risen across Southern Sub-Saharan Africa over three decades, and mortality increased over Western Sub-Saharan Africa, while both declined sharply in Western Europe. These trends underscore the importance of regionalized health solutions. DALY per 100,000. Metric Region 1990 2021 AAPC (1990-2021) HIGHEST DISABILITY-ADJUSTED LIFE YEARS (DALYS) PER 100,000 Andean Latin America 4469.23 3068.04 -1.14 East Asia 5507.72 2958.98 -1.99 High Income Asia Pacific 4849.23 2130.43 -2.71 LOWEST DISABILITY-ADJUSTED LIFE YEARS (DALYS) PER 100,000 High Income North America 758.59 386.09 -2.22 Australasia 1116.91 567.32 -2.16 South Asia 794.81 680.50 -0.46 HIGHEST MORTALITY RATE PER 100,000 Andean Latin America 293.65 207.58 -1.04 East Asia 324.60 188.92 -1.72 High Income Asia Pacific 316.44 161.94 -2.22 LOWEST MORTALITY RATE PER 100,000 High Income North America 51.24 27.19 -2.02 Australasia 74.36 41.81 -1.85 South Asia 47.50 41.95 -0.39
National trends in mortality of gastric cancer among older adults (70+) from 1990 to 2021 across 204 nations: A global burden of disease study.
Mannan, Muhammad Shaheer, Ahmad, Husnain , Kakakhel, Mian Zahid Jan , Ali, Muhammad Faizan , Khan, Iqra , Jawad, Hamna , Rizwan, Daniah, Qadeer, Abdul , Khawar, Muneeb , Khan, Abdul basit, Ali, Muhammad Faizan , Khan, Abdul basit, Kirchoff, Robert W.

Journal of Clinical Oncology | May 28, 2025 | Volume: 43 | Issue: 16_suppl | Pages: No page available

10.1200/jco.2025.43.16_suppl.e16074 Get It

e16074 Background: Gastric cancer is a malignant disease characterized by the uncontrolled growth of cells in the stomach lining. It is a global health concern with regional variation in incidence and prevalence. This study examines the national mortality trends in adults aged 70 years and older from 1990 to 2021. Methods: GBD data was analysed to assess the mortality rates of Gastric cancer in individuals aged ≥ 70 years. The Estimated Annual Percentage Change (EAPC) was used to evaluate trends from 1990 to 2021, with p-values determining statistical significance. Results: From 1990 to 2021, the global prevalence of Gastric cancer increased, peaking in 2021. Japan recorded the highest prevalence (621.7379, UI: 525.93, 675.74), followed by the Republic of Korea and China.In 2021, Bolivia (Plurinational State of) had the highest mortality rate (309.7, CI: 400.9, 240.6), slightly lower than its 1990 rate (445.35, CI: 539.58, 362.14), which was the highest that year. Mongolia (303.15, CI: 378.8, 226.2) and Cabo Verde (265.1, CI: 322.6, 206.8) followed. The lowest mortality rates were observed in Morocco (20.9, CI: 25.9, 15.0), Namibia (20.93, CI: 25.93, 16.4), and Nigeria (23.27, CI: 32.3, 19.2).Countries with the largest EAPC increases included Egypt (0.98, CI: 1.84, -0.22), Honduras (0.31, CI: 0.7, -0.01), and Lesotho (0.16, CI: 0.597, -0.16). The greatest declines were seen in Austria (-0.72, CI: -0.68, -0.74), Czechia (-0.69, CI: -0.64, -0.74), and Hungary (-0.67, CI: -0.607, -0.72). Conclusions: Mortality rates associated with Gastric Cancer among individuals aged 70 and older increased globally from 1990 to 2021, notably in Egypt, Honduras and Lesotho, emphasizing the need for improved prevention, management, and research on underlying disparities. Mortality percent changes. Metric Region 1990 2021 EAPC with 95% CI (1990-2021) HIGHEST MORTALITY PERCENT CHANGE Egypt 30.43 60.44 0.98 (1.84, -0.22) Honduras 140.76 184.48 0.31 (0.7, -0.01) Lesotho 77.18 90.26 0.16 (0.59, -0.16) LOWEST MORTALITY PERCENT CHANGE Austria 177.25 49.48 -0.72 (-0.68, -0.74) Czechia 168.73 51.51 -0.69 (-0.64, -0.74) Hungary 184.88 60.55 -0.67 (0.607, -0.72)
Trends in gastric cancer mortality in the US: A population-based analysis, 1999-2023.
Qadeer, Abdul , Khan, Saba , Khawar, Muneeb , Waqas, Muhammad , Shahid, Hafsa , Saif, I., Rehan, Aiman, Haider, Mobeen Z. , Laghari, Aamir, Zafar, Maha , Fatima, Noor E , Saif, Ikramah, Kirchoff, Robert W.

Journal of Clinical Oncology | May 28, 2025 | Volume: 43 | Issue: 16_suppl | Pages: No page available

10.1200/jco.2025.43.16_suppl.e16072 Get It

e16072 Background: Gastric cancer is a leading cause of mortality worldwide, with pronounced variations in outcomes across populations. This study investigates U.S. trends in age-adjusted mortality rates (AAMRs) for gastric cancer from 1999 to 2023, examining differences by gender, race, region, and urbanization to uncover critical patterns and inequities. Methods: Data were extracted from the CDC WONDER database using ICD-10 code C16 to identify gastric cancer-related deaths in adults aged 25 and older. AAMRs per 1,000,000 population were calculated and stratified by year, gender, race/ethnicity, geographic region, and urban-rural classification. Trends were analyzed using Joinpoint regression to determine annual percentage changes (APC) and 95% confidence intervals (CI). Statistical significance was set at p < 0.05. Results: From 1999 to 2023, there were 312,300 gastric cancer deaths (185,391 men, 126,909 women). Overall, AAMRs declined consistently, with APCs of -3.4 for the period 1999 to 2007, -2.2 for 2007 to 2018, and -1.2 for 2018 to 2023. Men showed a more pronounced decline, with APCs of -3.6 for 1999 to 2009 and -2.2 for 2009 to 2023, compared to women, who had APCs of -3.1 for 1999 to 2008, -1.9 for 2008 to 2018, and -0.8 for 2018 to 2023. Non-Hispanic Black populations experienced a decline in AAMR with an APC of -3.3 for 1999 to 2020, while Hispanic/Latino and Asian/Pacific Islander populations showed declines with APCs of -2.8 for 1999 to 2011 and -3.8 for 1999 to 2020, respectively. Metropolitan areas saw AAMR reductions with APCs of -3.3 for 1999 to 2008 and -2.2 for 2008 to 2020, while non-metropolitan areas had larger initial declines with an APC of -3.6 for 1999 to 2006 but slower decreases with an APC of -2.0 for 2006 to 2020. Geographically, the Northeast had the highest AAMR (62.9), followed by the West (61.7), South (57.4), and Midwest (50.9). Hawaii recorded the highest state-level AAMR (96.5), while Wyoming had the lowest (36.6). States in the top 90th percentile included Alaska, California, and New York, whereas Utah, Idaho, and Iowa were among the lowest. Conclusions: Gastric cancer mortality in the U.S. has declined over the past two decades, but the pace of reduction has slowed in recent years. Significant disparities persist across gender, racial, and geographic groups, underscoring the need for targeted interventions to address these inequities and improve outcomes in vulnerable populations.
Comparison of intensity-modulated radiotherapy and 3D conformal radiotherapy in the treatment of esophageal carcinoma: A systematic review and meta-analysis.
Khawar, Muneeb , Rath, Shree , Saeed, Maythem , Aisha, Azka, Qadeer, Abdul , Hasnain, Haider, Rath, Shree , Zafar, Maha , Saeed, Muhammad Ramish, Mehmood, Qasim , Mareddy, Naga Sai Rasagna , Kirchoff, Robert W.

Journal of Clinical Oncology | May 28, 2025 | Volume: 43 | Issue: 16_suppl | Pages: No page available

10.1200/jco.2025.43.16_suppl.e16001 Get It

e16001 Background: Esophageal carcinoma ranks among the top 10 malignancies in the world, contributing to high morbidity and mortality. With radiotherapy being one of the most administered treatment options, different variations of administration have evolved. Two such variations include intensity-modulated radiotherapy and 3D conformational radiotherapy. These modalities have been investigated for their efficacy and rate of adverse events. However, conclusions from the trials conducted have been variable. In this systematic review and meta-analysis, we aim to collate these findings to assess the exposure of cancerous cells and rates of adverse events following IMRT or 3D-CRT. Methods: A comprehensive literature search was conducted across three databases for all articles published from inception till September 2024. All primary studies evaluating the comparative efficacy of IMRT vs 3D-CRT were included. Outcomes assessed include dose volume histograms (DVHs) at heart and lung, Dmax at the spinal cord, and irradiation toxicity. Data analysis was conducted in RevMan 5.4 using a random-effects model. Results: A total of twenty records were included in the study, with a sample size of 3090 patients. Radiation dosage, estimated as DVHs, was equal across both regimens at heart (MD: 2.67; 95%CI: –0.15 to 5.48; P = 0.06), except at 40 Gy of radiation, where a lower DVH was noted among patients being administered IMRT (MD: 6.64; 95%CI: 0.25 to 13.03; P = 0.04). At the lung, a higher DVH was noted, especially for doses of 20 Gy or above, on using IMRT. Similarly, a lower dosage in the spinal cord was noted in the IMRT group (MD: 2.87; 95%CI: 1.04 to 4.70; P = .002). Consequently, a lower risk of esophagitis was noted among the IMRT group (OR: 1.54; 95%CI: 1.14 to 2.07; p = 0.009]). While considering patient outcomes, the odds of survival were higher in the IMRT group at 3 years post-treatment (OR: 0.53; 95%CI: 0.31 to 0.92; P = 0.02). Conclusions: IMRT was superior to 3D-CRT in terms of volume of tissue irradiated and lower spinal toxicity. A higher chance of survival was noted in the IMRT group. Further trials are needed to strengthen these findings. Outcome Mean Difference (MD) 95% confidence interval (CI) P value Mean dosage at lung 1.14 0.6, 1.68 <0.0001 Mean dosage at heart 2.67 -0.15, 5.48 0.06 Radiation esophagitis Odds ratio, OR: 1.38 1.09, 1.76 0.009 Radiation pneumonitis OR:1.37 0.62, 3.01 0.43 3-year OS OR: 0.69 0.56, 0.84 0.0003 5-year OS OR: 0.53 0.31, 0.92 0.02 Maximum dosage at spinal cord 2.87 1.04, 4.7 0.0002
Trends and disparities in liver cell carcinoma and hepatic failure–related mortality in the US: A retrospective analysis.
Warraich, Kainat , Qadeer, Abdul , Khan, Saba , Khawar, Muneeb , Waqas, Muhammad , Fatima, Ayesha , Bungish, Musa Khan, Khan, Muhammad Haris , Jajja, Salman Ayub, Haider, Mobeen Z. , Laghari, Aamir, Waqas, Muhammad , Kirchoff, Robert W. , Fatima, Ayesha

Journal of Clinical Oncology | May 28, 2025 | Volume: 43 | Issue: 16_suppl | Pages: No page available

10.1200/jco.2025.43.16_suppl.e23101 Get It

e23101 Background: Liver cell carcinoma (LCC) and hepatic failure (HF) are major contributors to global adult mortality. Identifying trends and disparities in LCC and HF-related deaths is critical for addressing public health challenges and guiding prevention strategies. This study examines national trends in LCC and HF-related mortality from 1999 to 2023, with an emphasis on demographic, geographic, and temporal disparities in age-adjusted mortality rates (AAMRs). Methods: Using the CDC WONDER database (1999–2023), this descriptive study identified deaths attributed to LCC (ICD-10 code C22.0) and HF (ICD-10 code K72.9) among adults aged 25 and older. Mortality data were stratified by gender, race/ethnicity, census region, urban-rural classification, and state. Age-adjusted mortality rates (AAMRs) per 1,000,000 individuals were calculated, and trends were analyzed using Joinpoint regression to determine annual percent changes (APCs) with 95% confidence intervals (CIs). Statistical significance was set at p < 0.05, and the study followed STROBE guidelines. Results: From 1999 to 2023, there were 22,963 deaths attributed to LCC and HF (Men: 17,822; Women: 5,141). Overall, AAMRs declined from 1999 to 2007 (APC: -2.4), stabilized between 2007 and 2017 (APC: 0.2), and declined again from 2017 to 2023 (APC: -3.5). Men experienced a steady AAMR decline from 1999 to 2010 (APC: -2.1), followed by stabilization (2010–2017, APC: 0.7), and further decline (2017–2023, APC: -4.4). Women showed a sharp AAMR decrease from 1999 to 2006 (APC: -3.8) and a relatively stable trend thereafter (APC: -0.1). Non-Hispanic Blacks people experienced an overall AAMR decline from 1999 to 2020 (APC: -0.9). Among Non-Hispanic Whites people, AAMRs decreased initially (1999–2006, APC: -2.6), rose slightly (2006–2018, APC: 0.5), and declined further (2018–2020, APC: -7.3). Regional AAMRs varied, with the West having the highest overall AAMR (5.6; 95% CI: 5.4–5.7) and the Midwest the lowest (3.2; 95% CI: 3.1–3.3). Hawaii reported the highest state AAMR (10.3; 95% CI: 8.9–11.6), while Arkansas had the lowest (2.4; 95% CI: 2.0–2.9). Urban-rural disparities revealed a sharper AAMR decline in metropolitan areas (1999–2005, APC: -3.9) and the non-metropolitan areas showed a slight increase (1999–2020, APC: 1.3). Conclusions: LCC and HF-related mortality rates have shown significant declines over the past two decades, with variations across gender, race, and geographic locations. Men and urban populations experienced steeper reductions in AAMRs, while rural populations exhibited slower improvements or slight increases in mortality. These findings highlight the need for targeted public health interventions to address disparities and further reduce LCC and HF-related mortality in vulnerable populations.
Trends and disparities in alcohol use and liver cell carcinoma–related mortality in the US: A 24-year retrospective study.
Aisha, Azka, Qadeer, Abdul , Khan, Saba , Khawar, Muneeb , Waqas, Muhammad , Komel, Aqsa, Khadim, Shaista , Naseer, Faisal, Asif, Hamza, Haider, Mobeen Z. , Kakakhel, Mian Zahid Jan , Laghari, Aamir, Haider, Ali , Kirchoff, Robert W.

Journal of Clinical Oncology | May 28, 2025 | Volume: 43 | Issue: 16_suppl | Pages: No page available

10.1200/jco.2025.43.16_suppl.e16237 Get It

e16237 Background: Alcohol use (AU) and Liver cell carcinoma (LCC) are significant contributors to adult mortality worldwide. Examining trends and disparities in AU and LCC-related deaths is essential for understanding public health challenges and formulating targeted interventions. This study investigates national mortality patterns related to AU and LCC in the United States from 1999 to 2023, emphasizing demographic, geographic, and temporal disparities. Methods: This descriptive analysis used the CDC WONDER database (1999–2023) to identify AU-related deaths (ICD-10 codes E24.4, F10, G32.2, G62.1, G72.1, I42.6, K70, K85.2, K86.0, R78.0, T51, X65, Y15) and LCC (ICD-10 code C22.0) in adults aged 25 and older. Age-adjusted mortality rates (AAMRs) per 1,000,000 individuals were calculated, stratified by gender, race/ethnicity, census region, urban-rural classification, and state. Trends were analyzed using Joinpoint regression to compute annual percent changes (APCs) and 95% confidence intervals (CIs). Statistical significance was set at p < 0.05, and analyses adhered to STROBE guidelines. Results: From 1999 to 2023, a total of 21,007 deaths were attributed to LCC and AU (Men: 18,836 Women: 2,171). AAMRs showed a stable trend from 1999 to 2003 (APC: 0.0; 95% CI: -8.7 to 4.9) but increased significantly from 2003 to 2019 (APC: 6.1; 95% CI: 5.7 to 7.4), stabilizing from 2019 to 2023 (APC: -0.6; 95% CI: -3.2 to 1.3). Men's AAMRs decreased from 1999 to 2003 (APC: -1.1; 95% CI: -10.4 to 3.4), then rose sharply from 2003 to 2019 (APC: 6.1; 95% CI: 5.6 to 7.1). For women, AAMRs increased significantly, particularly between 2013 and 2017 (APC: 12.4; 95% CI: -9.5 to 25.1). Non-Hispanic Black and White populations experienced notable increases in AAMRs, while Hispanic people showed an initial decline followed by an increase post-2004 (APC: 4.7; 95% CI: 3.7 to 7.9). The West had the highest regional AAMR (5.3; 95% CI: 5.2 to 5.5), while the Northeast recorded the lowest (2.1; 95% CI: 2.0 to 2.2). New Mexico had the highest state AAMR (8.4; 95% CI: 7.4 to 9.4), and Mississippi the lowest (1.2; 95% CI: 0.9 to 1.5). AAMRs rose more sharply in non-metropolitan areas from 1999-2020 (APC: 6.6; 95% CI: 5.9 to 7.8) compared to metropolitan regions from 2004 to 2020 (APC: 5.4; 95% CI: 4.9 to 6.5). Conclusions: AU and LCC-related mortality rates have increased significantly since 2003, with distinct gender, racial, and geographic disparities. Men and rural populations faced higher mortality increases, with notable variations across states and regions. These findings underscore the need for focused public health efforts to mitigate these disparities and address the growing burden of LCC and AU-related mortality.
National trends in disability-adjusted life years (DALYs) of gastric cancer among elderly (70+ years) from 1990-2021: A global burden of disease study.
Khan, Abdul basit, Kakakhel, Mian Zahid Jan , Ahmad, Husnain , Khawar, Muneeb , Nisar, Muhammad Shahid , Ali, Muhammad Faizan , Jawad, Hamna , Zaied, Mohammad A. , Ikram, Jibran, Ahmed, Faizan , Mannan, Muhammad Shaheer, Ikram, Jibran , Ikram, Jibran , Khan, Abdul basit, Nisar, Mudasar, Ali, Muhammad Faizan , Qadeer, Abdul, Kirchoff, Robert W.

Journal of Clinical Oncology | May 28, 2025 | Volume: 43 | Issue: 16_suppl | Pages: No page available

10.1200/jco.2025.43.16_suppl.e16456 Get It

e16456 Background: Gastric cancer is one of the significant contributors of mortality and morbidity, especially in older patients. Analyzing national trends in the Disability adjust life years (DALY) helps identify the evolving burden of this disease among patients older than 70 years and highlights the regions requiring particular interventions. Methods: Using Global burden of disease data from 2021, national DALY rates per 100,000 people aged 70 and over with gastric cancer were assessed. The Estimated Annual Percentage Change (EAPCs) with p value taken as a statistical measure of significance, was used to evaluate trends from 1990 to 2021. Results: The analysis displays considerable contrasts in the trends of gastric cancer burden across nations. From 1990 to 2021, a rising trend in DALY EAPC was seen in Egypt (1.01883; 95% CI: -0.1931- 1.958) followed by Honduras (0.3262; 95% CI: 0.0177- 0.7456) and Lesotho (0.2253; 95% CI:-0.1326- 0.6995). Conversely, Austria (-0.7368; 95% CI: -0.7646 to -0.7087), Republic of Korea (-0.7095; 95% CI: -0.7620 to -0.6442) and Singapore (-0.6923; 95% CI: -0.7286 to -0.6553) reported a prominent decline in DALY EAPCs, reflecting significant progress in reducing burden. The DALY rates in 2021 also varied dramatically among nations. Highest DALY rate was observed in Bolivia (4882.7; 95% CI:3782.9- 6349.7) underscoring highest impact on healthcare system. Conversely, Morocco (329.69; 95% CI: 234.64- 410.12) recorded lowest DALY rate indicating comparatively better disease control or lower incidence. Conclusions: While some nations demonstrate remarkable progress in mitigating the burden of gastric cancer, others still face significant challenges. Highest increase in EAPC in Egypt, Honduras and Lesotho whereas significant decline in Austria, Korea, and Singapore indicates areas of target public health efforts. Future research should focus on understanding the causes of these disparities and evaluating the impact of interventions across it. DALY and EPAC. Country 2021 DALY rate EAPC(1990-2021) EAPC, 95% CI Egypt 1272.146 1.018834(highest) -0.193 to 1.959 Honduras 2880.563 0.32617 0.018 to 0.746 Lesotho 1555.79 0.225384 -0.133 to 0.699 Singapore 806.6098 -0.692396 -0.729 to -0.655 Republic of Korea 1961.151 -0.709502 -0.762 to -0.644 Austria 662.5105 -0.736826(lowest) -0.765 to -0.709 Morocco 410.1227(lowest) -0.17817 -0.387 to 0.097 Bolivia 4882.718(highest) -0.32185 -0.473 to -0.103
Gender-specific trends in disability-adjusted life years (DALYs) and mortality rates of pancreatic cancer in adults aged 70 and older: A Global Burden of Disease analysis (1990-2021).
Iqbal, Rabia , Ahmad, Husnain , Kakakhel, Mian Zahid Jan , Ali, Muhammad Faizan , Qadeer, Abdul , Khawar, Muneeb , Zafar, Maha , Kirchoff, Robert W.

Journal of Clinical Oncology | May 28, 2025 | Volume: 43 | Issue: 16_suppl | Pages: No page available

10.1200/jco.2025.43.16_suppl.e16423 Get It

e16423 Background: Pancreatic cancer (PC) is one of the most aggressive malignancies, disproportionately affecting older adults. Leveraging data from the Global Burden of Disease (GBD), this study investigates gender-specific trends in disability-adjusted life years (DALYs) and mortality rates for PC among adults aged 70 and older from 1990 to 2021. Methods: DALYs and mortality rates associated with PC were extracted for both genders from the GBD-2021 study from 1990 to 2021. The Annual Percentage Change (APC) and the Average Annual Percentage Change (AAPC) were calculated, along with 95% confidence intervals (CI), to assess the statistical significance of the trends using the p-value. Results: In 1990, DALY rates were 837.25 for men and 711.95 for women, increasing to 950.68 and 768.31, respectively, by 2021. Mortality rates followed a similar pattern: men’s rates rose from 52.05 in 1990 to 61.37 in 2021, while women’s increased from 47.31 to 53.40. Men consistently experienced higher burdens than women. The AAPC analysis revealed that men exhibited a steeper rise in both DALYs and mortality rates associated with PC compared to women over the past three decades. Notably, the gender disparity was more evident in DALYs (+0.1929%) than in mortality rates (+0.1358%), with all AAPC values demonstrating statistical significance (p < 0.000001). Following the APC analysis, additional significant trends were identified. Among males, DALY rates demonstrated the most pronounced increase between 1997 and 2021 (APC: 0.5397, 95% CI: 0.5118, 0.5645), whereas in females, the most significant rise occurred from 1990 to 1993 (APC: 0.6593, 95% CI: 0.3608, 1.1016). Conversely, the slowest increase in DALY rates among females was observed between 1993 and 2003 (APC: 0.0925, 95% CI: -0.2053, 0.1641). For mortality rates, the most notable rise in males was observed between 2007 and 2010 (APC: 1.2314, 95% CI: 1.0292, 1.3195), while females experienced their sharpest escalation from 1990 to 1994 (APC: 0.6891, 95% CI: 0.4322, 1.0720). In contrast, the slowest rate of progression in mortality among females occurred between 1993 and 2002 (APC: 0.1736, 95% CI: 0.0180, 0.2368). Conclusions: Over the past three decades, men have experienced a significantly more pronounced rise in DALYs and mortality rates related to PC compared to women.These findings highlight the urgent need for gender-specific interventions to address the growing burden of PC in aging populations. Trends in DALY and mortality rates per 100,000 by gender (1990-2021). Metrics Gender 1990 2021 APC (1990-2021) Daly Rates per 100,000 Male 837.25 950.68 0.4422 Female 711.9 768.31 0.2493 Mortality Rates per 100,000 Male 52.05 61.37 0.5366 Female 47.31 53.40 0.4008
National trends in mortality of pancreatic cancer in adults aged 70 and older across 204 nations: A global burden of disease analysis (1990–2021).
Khan, Abdul basit, Ahmad, Husnain , Kakakhel, Mian Zahid Jan , Ali, Muhammad Faizan , Kamal, Talha, misbah, A.M.EL-mahmoudy Akram Almabrouk, Khawar, Muneeb , Sadiq, Muhammad , Mannan, Muhammad Shaheer, Khan, Abdul basit, Ali, Muhammad Faizan , Kamal, Talha, Ahmed, Faizan , Kirchoff, Robert W.

Journal of Clinical Oncology | May 28, 2025 | Volume: 43 | Issue: 16_suppl | Pages: No page available

10.1200/jco.2025.43.16_suppl.e16420 Get It

e16420 Background: Pancreatic cancer (PC) typically follows an indolent course and is often diagnosed at an advanced stage, contributing to its high mortality rate, particularly among older adults. Its aggressive nature makes it a significant global health burden, causing substantial mortality across nations. This analysis investigates national mortality trends in adults aged 70 years and older from 1990 to 2021, utilizing data from the Global Burden of Disease (GBD) Study. Methods: We utilized data from the GBD-Study 2021 to report the number of cases and age-standardized rates (per 100,000 population) of PC. To assess mortality trends from 1990 to 2021, we calculated the estimated annual percentage change (EAPC) along with corresponding 95%confidence intervals (CI), providing a robust evaluation of temporal patterns. Results: Over the past three decades, deaths attributable to PC have shown a significant increase globally. In 1990, the United States of America (USA) reported the highest number of PC-related deaths, followed by China and Japan. By 2021, however, China surpassed the USA, becoming the leading contributor to PC mortality, with Japan maintaining its position as the third highest.In 2021, the United Arab Emirates reported the highest mortality rate (148.15), which was more than double its 1990 rate (70.71). The Principality of Monaco (140.87) and Uruguay (129.39) held the second and third highest mortality rates, respectively. The lowest mortality rates were recorded in Mozambique (8.18), Malawi (8.98), and Sao Tome and Principe (9.01).Countries with the largest increases in the EAPC included Turkmenistan (EAPC: 15.16, 95% CI: 10.92, 21.02), Republic of Cabo Verde (EAPC: 13.60, 95% CI: 8.56, 19.48), and Mongolia (EAPC: 4.80, 95% CI: 3.11, 7.26). In contrast, the greatest declines were observed in the Republic of San Marino (EAPC: -0.32, 95% CI: -0.52, -0.07), Guam (EAPC: -0.27, 95% CI: -0.41, -0.13), and Greenland (EAPC: -0.24, 95% CI: -0.44, 0.007). Conclusions: Globally, mortality rates associated with PC among individuals aged 70 and older increased from 1990 to 2021, with particularly notable rises in Turkmenistan, Republic of Cabo Verde, and Mongolia. These findings underscore the critical need for enhanced prevention strategies, improved management, and research to address underlying disparities. Mortality percent change. Metric Region 1990 2021 EAPC with 95% CI (1990-2021) Highest mortality percent change Turkmenistan 1.19 19.34 15.16 (10.92, 21.02) Republic of Cabo Verde 6.47 94.55 13.60 (8.56, 19.48) Mongolia 10.21 59.24 4.80 (3.11, 7.26) Lowest mortality percent change Republic of San Marino 89.48 60.47 -0.32 (-0.52, -0.07) Guam 32.46 23.51 -0.27 (-0.41, -0.13) Greenland 169.52 127.96 -0.24 (-0.44, 0.007)
Regional trends in incidence and prevalence of pancreatic cancer among older adults (70+): A 30-year global burden of disease analysis (1990–2021).
Kakakhel, Mian Zahid Jan , Ahmad, Husnain , Mannan, Muhammad Shaheer, Ali, Muhammad Faizan , Ibrahim, Arwa M, Jawad, Hamna , Idrees, Usama , Khan, Iqra , Qadeer, Abdul , Khawar, Muneeb , Ikram, Jibran, KHAN, A. A. , Rashid, Muhammad, Ibrahim, Arwa M, Ahmed, Faizan , Kirchoff, Robert W.

Journal of Clinical Oncology | May 28, 2025 | Volume: 43 | Issue: 16_suppl | Pages: No page available

10.1200/jco.2025.43.16_suppl.e16419 Get It

e16419 Background: Pancreatic cancer remains one of the most lethal malignancies worldwide. While high-income regions have long faced higher rates, recent trends show that lower-income regions are also beginning to see an increase. This study explores how pancreatic cancer incidence and prevalence have changed over the past 30 years among adults aged 70 and older assessing regional differences. Methods: We analyzed data from the Global Burden of Disease (GBD) spanning three decades (1990–2021) to assess pancreatic cancer incidence and prevalence rates among adults aged 70+. Data focused on different regions worldwide, grouping them by income levels using the Socio-demographic Index (SDI) and annual changes in incidence and prevalence rates were calculated. Results: In 2021, High-income Asia Pacific had the highest incidence rate at 119.52 per 100,000, whereas Low SDI regions had the lowest at 12.01 per 100,000. High-income regions accounted for the majority of cases, with over 140,000 reported, compared to fewer than 3,000 in the lowest-income areas. Andean Latin America experienced significant APC fluctuations, with a sharp rise from 2015 to 2019 followed by a decline, while High-income North America saw a recent decrease in incidence. Overall, most regions exhibit a steady increase in pancreatic cancer prevalence, with higher AAPCs in Sub-Saharan Africa, North Africa, and parts of Asia, while high-income regions show more moderate increases. Trend analysis reveals significant trends in pancreatic cancer incidence and prevalence among individuals aged 70+. Western Sub-Saharan Africa has the highest Average Annual Percent Change (AAPC) at 2.3248%, indicating the most substantial increase in prevalence from 1990 to 2021, followed by North Africa and the Middle East at 1.9906%. Low-middle SDI regions also show a steady rise with an AAPC of 1.718%, while high-income regions like High-income Asia Pacific report a notable AAPC of 1.595%. Conclusions: Our findings show a concerning rise in pancreatic cancer among older adults, with the most dramatic increases in regions like Western Sub-Saharan Africa and North Africa. To tackle this growing challenge, we need focused efforts on prevention, early detection, and accessible care, especially in lower-resource settings. Incidence percent changes. Metric Region 1990 2021 AAPC (1990-2021) Highest incidence percent change Western Sub-Saharan Africa 7.62 15.38 2.31 North Africa and Middle East 20.97 37.23 1.91 Lowest incidence percent change Caribbean 41.51 41.36 -0.016 Southern Latin America 74.05 73.89 0.006 Highest prevalence percent change Western Sub-Saharan Africa 4.54 9.21 2.32 North Africa and Middle East 12.49 22.77 1.99 Lowest prevalence rate percent change Caribbean 25.02 25.38 0.02 Southern Latin America 44.78 45.45 0.06