INTRODUCTION: Alcohol-associated hepatitis (AH) is a severe condition with high short-term mortality. Identifying key predictors of poor outcomes is critical for guiding therapeutic strategies. Mean arterial pressure (MAP), a key determinant of tissue perfusion and systemic hemodynamics, may play a pivotal role in prognosis. METHODS: We analyzed a multicenter, prospective cohort of 323 patients hospitalized with AH, with validation in an independent cohort of 290 patients. Survival was evaluated using Kaplan-Meier curves and compared with the log-rank (Mantel-Cox) test. Cox proportional hazards models were used to estimate hazard ratios for mortality, adjusted for Model for end stage liver disease score. Mechanistic insights were explored through assessment of cardiovascular biomarkers. RESULTS: A baseline MAP <80 mm Hg was associated with significantly higher mortality at both 28 days (27.3% vs 8.0%) and 90 days (40.3% vs 15.6%; P < 0.001 for both). This association persisted after adjusting for Model for end stage liver disease score, age, and baseline hepatic encephalopathy. The incidence of infections during follow-up was similar across MAP groups (27.6% vs 22.8%), but acute kidney injury occurred more frequently in the MAP <80 mm Hg group (62% vs 38%, P < 0.001). In the validation cohort, patients with MAP <80 mm Hg also demonstrated significantly lower 28-day transplant-free survival. Although B-type natriuretic peptide and plasma renin levels were altered in patients with AH, they did not correlate with MAP values. DISCUSSION: A baseline MAP <80 mm Hg is an independent predictor of short-term and mid-term mortality in patients with AH. Strategies aimed at restoring hemodynamic stability may improve outcomes in this high-risk population.
Assessment of early return to drinking in surviving patients with alcohol‐associated hepatitis
Abstract Background Recurrent alcohol use is a major determinant of liver‐related outcomes in patients recovering from alcohol‐associated hepatitis (AH). However, the timing and predictors of return to drinking (RTD) are not well‐studied. Methods We analyzed alcohol use among patients with AH enrolled in two AlcHepNet multicenter studies: a Phase 2b randomized controlled trial and a prospective observational study. TimeLine FollowBack (TLFB) assessed drinking at each visit. RTD was defined as any alcohol use since the previous visit. The cumulative incidence of RTD was evaluated using the Fine–Gray method, with death as a competing risk. Factors associated with RTD were evaluated using univariate and multivariate Cox regression. Results Among 518 patients alive at Day 28, RTD occurred in 7.7%, 21.7%, and 30.8% at 30, 90, and 180 days, respectively. Patients with moderate AH (mAH, MELD 11–19, n = 103) had a higher RTD incidence at 180 days than those with severe AH (sAH, MELD ≥20, n = 415) (44.3% vs. 27.5%; p = 0.01). RTD was associated with higher AUDIT scores, family history of alcohol use disorder (AUD), lower education, greater alcohol use at baseline, lower MELD scores, and less ascites (all p ≤ 0.01). In multivariable analysis, >20 drinking days in the prior month was associated with increased risk of RTD (HR: 3.46, 95% CI: 2.21–5.39), whereas college education or higher was protective (HR: 0.53, 95% CI: 0.32–0.88). Conclusion RTD occurred in 22% of AH patients within 90 days postrecovery, highlighting the need for early AUD interventions. Frequent drinking days at baseline and lower education were strongly linked to early RTD.
Natural history and development of a novel composite endpoint in patients with alcohol-associated hepatitis: Data from a prospective multicenter study
Background & Aims: The clinical course and outcomes of alcohol-associated hepatitis (AH) remain poorly understood. Major adverse liver outcomes do not capture the added risk of return to drinking. We examined the natural history of AH and developed a composite endpoint using a contemporary observational cohort of AH. Approach & Results: A cohort of 1127 participants: 712 AH patients, 256 heavy drinking controls without clinically evident liver disease, and 159 healthy controls, were prospectively followed for 6 months at 8 United States centers as part of the Alcoholic Hepatitis Network (AlcHepNet) consortium. Outcomes included mortality and a composite endpoint (AlcHepNet composite index) that included death, liver transplantation, hepatic decompensation (new onset/worsening ascites, HE, variceal bleeding), liver-related hospital admission, MELD increase ≥5, and return to drinking. Of 712 AH patients (age 45±10.7 y; 59.1% male), 558 (79.0%) had severe and 148 (21.0%) had moderate AH, 232 (32.5%) died, and 86 (12.1%) underwent liver transplantation. Mortality rates in moderate AH and severe AH were 0.7% versus 17.2% (30 d), 3.4% versus 26.5% (90 d), and 8.8% versus 30.5% (180 d), respectively (all p <0.001). Composite liver/alcohol use events were noted in 459 (64.5%) AH patients. Higher MELD score, lower mean arterial pressure, and baseline leukocytosis were associated with higher 90-day mortality in AH (all p <0.05). College education and higher ALP were associated with lower mortality. Heavy drinking controls had low mortality (n=3; 1.2%). Conclusions: This large observational study showed a high incidence of composite liver and alcohol-use events within 6 months, reiterating the need for early interventions.
Parental liver disease mortality is associated with unfavorable outcomes in patients with alcohol-associated hepatitis
Background: How parental alcohol use disorder and liver disease-related mortality influence the risk and the outcomes of alcohol-associated hepatitis (AH) in the offspring is unknown. Methods: We analyzed data from 2 prospective observational studies of AH cases and heavy drinking controls (HDCs). Family history of parental alcohol use disorder and liver disease mortality was assessed at the study entry. Logistic regression and Cox proportional hazard models were used to assess the influences of family history on AH development and outcome. Results: Data from 1356 participants in two prospective cohorts (926 AH cases and 430 HDC) were combined and analyzed. Parental alcohol use disorder was found in 56.9% of AH cases and 61.1% of HDC; parental death due to liver disease was reported in 7.5% of AH cases and 5.7% of HDC. Multivariable logistic regression showed that parental liver disease-related mortality was associated with more than a doubled risk of AH development in the offspring after controlling for their demographic characteristics and drinking behavior (OR=2.26, 95% CI: [1.22, 4.20]). Moreover, among the AH cases, having a parent die of liver disease significantly increased the 90-day mortality of study participants after adjusting for the effects of other risk factors (HR=2.26, 95% CI: [1.05, 4.86]). Conclusions: The study highlights the influences of parental death due to liver disease on AH development and mortality. Identifying patients at risk of AH through family history might help facilitate discussions on reducing alcohol consumption.
Acute kidney injury in severe alcohol-associated hepatitis treated with anakinra plus zinc or prednisone
Background and Aims: In a recent trial, patients with severe alcohol-associated hepatitis treated with anakinra plus zinc (A+Z) had lower survival and higher acute kidney injury (AKI) rates versus prednisone (PRED). We characterize the clinical factors and potential mechanisms associated with AKI development in that trial. Approach and Results: Data from 147 participants in a multicenter randomized clinical trial (74 A+Z, 73 PRED) were analyzed. AKI, AKI phenotypes, and kidney injury biomarkers were compared between participants who did/did not develop AKI in the 2 treatment arms. Multivariable competing risk analyses were performed to identify baseline risk factors for incident AKI, with death treated as a competing event. Risk factors considered were age, sex, mean arterial pressure, white blood cell count, albumin, MELD, ascites, HE, and treatment arm. At baseline, no participants had AKI; 33% (n=49) developed AKI during follow-up. AKI incidence was higher in A+Z than in PRED (45% [n=33] versus 22% [n=16], p=0.001). AKI phenotypes were similar between the 2 treatment arms (p=0.361), but peak AKI severity was greater in A+Z than PRED (stage 3 n=21 [63.6%] vs. n=8 [50.0%], p=0.035). At baseline, urine-neutrophil-gelatinase–associated lipocalin levels were similar between participants who developed AKI in both treatment arms (p=0.319). However, day 7 and 14 urine-neutrophil-gelatinase–associated lipocalin levels were significantly elevated in participants treated with A+Z who developed AKI versus participants treated with PRED who developed AKI (p=0.002 and 0.032, respectively). On multivariable competing risk analysis, only A+Z was independently associated with incident AKI (subdistribution hazard ratio 2.35, p=0.005). Conclusions: AKI occurred more frequently and was more severe in participants treated with A+Z. A+Z–treated participants with AKI had higher urine-neutrophil-gelatinase–associated lipocalin, suggesting that A+Z maybe nephrotoxic in patients with severe alcohol-associated hepatitis.