Snider, J.

Abstract Background: Intrinsic breast cancer subtypes determined by the PAM50 assay are reported to be prognostic independent of standard clinicopathological variables. The CALGB (Alliance) 9741 adjuvant trial randomized treatment in a 2×2 factorial design to (i) 2-wk (dose dense; DD) vs 3-wk therapy and (ii) sequential vs concurrent doxorubicin, cyclophosphamide, paclitaxel (A>T>C vs AC>T). DD therapy improved disease-free survival and overall survival (OS) (Citron et al. JCO 2003.). A significant interaction between intrinsic breast cancer subtypes and the use of DD therapy was hypothesized. Methods: C9741 was conducted in collaboration with ECOG, NCCTG, and SWOG. Biospecimens were collected from 1652 of 2005 subjects. Multiplexed gene expression profiling (NanoString Technologies, Inc) generated PAM50 subtype calls (luminal A, luminal B, HER2-enriched, basal-like), risk of relapse (ROR) score, and proliferation score for 1321 cases (80%). Excluded samples were due to insufficient tumor (n = 181) or RNA (n = 150). The primary endpoint was relapse-free survival (RFS). The primary analysis to determine if the clinical benefit of DD therapy is dependent on intrinsic subtype was conducted as a test of interaction in a Cox proportional hazards model (3 degrees of freedom, df; alpha=0.05). Similar analyses were performed for ROR score and proliferation score as continuous measures of risk (1 df). PAM50 subtype, ROR score, and proliferation score were evaluated in separate multivariate models adjusting for number of positive nodes, menopausal status, dose density, and sequence of therapy. Results: Improved outcomes for DD therapy in the evaluable subset mirrored results from the complete dataset (HR = 1.20; 95%CI 0.99–1.44) with a median follow-up of 12.3 yrs. Subtype analysis identified 32% luminal A (n = 417), 26% luminal B (n = 341), 20% HER2-enriched (n = 267), and 22% basal-like (n = 296). Intrinsic subtypes were prognostic of RFS (p < 0.0001) irrespective of treatment assignment with HRs relative to the luminal A subgroup of 1.50 (luminal B), 1.70 (HER2-enriched) and 1.66 (basal-like). No subtype specific treatment effect on RFS was identified (p = 0.44). ROR scores (range 0–100, median 60) were also prognostic of RFS (HR = 1.12 for a 10-unit change; 95% CI 1.07–1.18; p < 0.0001), but no association with DD therapy benefit was seen (p = 0.58). Similar results were obtained for the proliferation score, for OS as a secondary endpoint, and from multivariate models with clinical covariates. Conclusion: The prognostic value of PAM50 subtype, ROR score, and proliferation score remains highly significant in patients treated with contemporary adjuvant anthracycline and taxane based chemotherapy. Intrinsic subtype did not predict for improved survival with the 2-wk DD vs 3-wk treatment schedule; we hypothesize that this is because the prognostic differences by subtype outweighed the modest but significant clinical benefit of DD chemotherapy administration for the overall population. Planned clinical validation studies will assess the ability of PAM50 and other gene signatures to stratify patients and individualize systemic therapy regimens based on the expected risk of distant recurrence. Citation Information: Cancer Res 2012;72(24 Suppl):Abstract nr P2-10-01.

Abstract Background: Neoadjuvant endocrine therapy (NET) trials serve to inform design and selection of agents for larger adjuvant endocrine trials. The neoadjuvant aromatase inhibitor (AI) trial ACOSOG Z1031 randomized the treatment of postmenopausal women with ER rich (Allred 6-8) clinical stage 2/3 breast cancer to either EXE, ANA and LET. The results are therefore of interest in the context of new data that compares these AIs in the adjuvant setting. The opportunity to develop predictive biomarker tests for NET sensitivity was also a key study objective in order guide future selection of patients for inclusion in studies that compare NET versus neoadjuvant chemotherapy (NCT). The value of a baseline PAM50 intrinsic subtype test for NET patient selection was therefore an embedded objective of the study. Methods: Of the 374 women who began study treatment on Z1031, pretreatment biopsy specimen for central IHC testing for ER and Ki67 was available on 304 patients. The PAM50 intrinsic subtype test (PMCID: 2667820) could be conducted on 170 baseline samples. The Preoperative Endocrine Prognostic Index (PEPI) an approach to predicting long term outcomes based on pathological stage and surgical specimen ER and Ki67 status was also conducted because patients with a PEPI of zero (T1/2 N0, ER+, Ki67<=2.7%) have been found to have an excellent long term prognosis and therefore unlikely to benefit from chemotherapy (PMCID: 255670). Results: The degree of Ki67 suppression, the absolute level of Ki67 in the surgical specimen and the PEPI results were not significantly different by treatment arm (Kruskal-Wallis tests p >0.05). Thirty Percent (95%CI: 19.6-42.9%) of women with pre-AI LumA subtype and 12% (95%CI: 6.4-20.0%) of women with pre-AI LumB subtype had a PEPI of zero predicting excellent prognosis. Multivariate logistic modeling found that the likelihood of a PEPI score of zero is 3.2 fold higher (95%CI: 1.43 7.12) among 66 women with a pre-AI LumA subtype compared to 100 women with a pre-AI LumB subtype. Additional baseline variables (clinical T and N stage, HER2 status, pre-AI Ki-67 level (< = 10% vs. >10%) were not found to modify the chance of a PEPI of zero. Baseline PAM50 Subtype versus PEPI Conclusion: The results of Z1031 show no differences in clinical or biologic response between LET, EXE, and ANA in the neoadjuvant setting; predicting that no difference in efficacy will be seen between these agents in adjuvant studies. Pre-AI LumA versus LumB status, defined by the PAM50 subtype, identifies patients who are more likely to be in the most favorable PEPI score following neoadjuvant AI therapy. Patients with pretreatment LumA status may, therefore, not be suitable for a randomized trial of NET versus NCT since approximately one third of these patients may be able to avoid chemotherapy altogether. Citation Information: Cancer Res 2010;70(24 Suppl):Abstract nr S1-2.

Abstract Background: The Preoperative Endocrine Prognostic Index (PEPI) scores the independent prognostic effects of tumor pathologic staging and expression levels of ER and the “proliferation” marker Ki67 in the surgical sample to predict long term outcomes after completion of neoadjuvant endocrine treatment (Ellis et al JNCI 100:1380, 2008). A limitation of the PEPI is that the prognostic information becomes available only after 4 months of treatment. We therefore evaluated the value of an early assessment of the Ki67 level in a tumor biopsy sample taken two to four weeks after initiating treatment in two neoadjuvant endocrine therapy trials for the purposes of the early identification of non- respondersMethods: A Ki67 cut point of greater than 10% for poor outcome in ER+ breast cancer was derived by comparing the PAM50 intrinsic subtype profile using a qRT-PCR assay with Ki67 data in a 700+ sample data set. A baseline level of 10% or less correlated most closely with a PAM50-based definition of LumA breast cancer and above 10% LumB breast cancer. We subsequently applied the 10% cut point to the baseline and early on-treatment Ki67 data in two trials, POL (Olson et al JACS 208:906, 2009) and IMPACT (Smith et al JCO: 23, 5108, 2005).Results: At baseline the dichotomized Ki67 definition was not significantly predictive for surgical Ki67 level, PEPI score or RFS in this modest size sample set. In contrast, in a result that emphasizes the enhaced prognostic properties of the on-treatment Ki67 approach, the one month POL sample Ki67 values (62 patients) predicted a higher level of Ki67 in the surgical samples at four months after treatment initiation (P=.01), a poorer PEPI score (P=0.01), a smaller number of patients in the PEPI risk point zero group (P=0.08) and worse relapse free survival (P=0.003). The IMPACT data (153 patients) confirmed that a two week Ki67 >10% predicted higher Ki67 in the surgical specimen (P=0.001), a poorer PEPI score (P=0.001), smaller numbers of patients in the PEPI 0 risk point group (P= 0.004) and worse relapse free survival (P=0.008).Ki67 and OutcomePOL 4W Ki67% PEPI 0RFS (events)10%>1/19 (5%)5/21 (23%)10%≤10/36 (28%)1/41 (2.4%)P ValueP=0.08 (Fisher)P=0.003 (log rank)IMPACT 2W Ki67% PEPI 0RFS (events)10%>0/32 (0%)9/35 (26%)10%≤21/101 (21%)13/118 (11%)P ValueP=0.004 (Fisher)P=0.008 (log rank) Conclusions: A tumor Ki67 assessment taken a short time (2 to 4 week window) after the initiation of neoadjuvant AI identifies patients with poor outcome ER+ disease. Amendment 6 of the neoadjuvant endocrine therapy protocol ACOSOG Z1031 will triage patients with an “on treatment” Ki67 value above 10% to chemotherapy in order to assess the pathological response rate to cytotoxic therapy in this important tumor subset.Supported by R01 CA095614, Avon PFP award 3P50 CA68438-07S2, U01 CA114722, ACOSOG U10 CA 76001, Breakthrough Cancer UK and AstraZenica (IMPACT trial). Citation Information: Cancer Res 2009;69(24 Suppl):Abstract nr 78.