Madamba, Egbert

ABSTRACT Background Metabolic dysfunction‐associated steatotic liver disease (MASLD) exhibits marked heterogeneity in fibrosis progression and liver‐related outcomes. Liver biopsy is not feasible for longitudinal risk stratification at scale, creating a need for validated non‐invasive biomarkers, particularly imaging biomarkers, that can predict clinically meaningful disease progression and liver‐related outcomes. Aims To describe the design and rationale of the GOLDMINE study, established to determine whether non‐invasive imaging biomarkers predict MASLD progression and liver‐related clinical outcomes. Methods GOLDMINE is an investigator‐initiated, multi‐centre, international longitudinal cohort enrolling up to 1000 adults with either biopsy‐proven MASLD or MASLD cirrhosis across the full fibrosis spectrum. Participants are recruited from 15 sites in the US and 4 international sites (Japan, Singapore and France). At baseline, participants undergo clinical phenotyping, vibration‐controlled transient elastography, and advanced magnetic resonance imaging (MRI), including proton‐density‐fat‐fraction and magnetic resonance elastography (MRE). MRI (and biospecimen banking) is repeated at 2‐year intervals (years 2 and 4), with annual follow‐up visits for up to 10 years. Baseline liver histology is centrally processed, digitized and reviewed by a single expert hepatopathologist; all MRI/MREs are centrally interpreted. Results The prespecified clinical outcomes include progression to cirrhosis, clinically significant portal hypertension, major adverse liver‐related outcomes (ascites, hepatic encephalopathy, portal hypertensive bleeding, liver transplantation/qualification), hepatocellular carcinoma, major adverse cardiovascular events, and all‐cause mortality, with independent central adjudication of all events. Conclusions GOLDMINE establishes a rigorously phenotyped MASLD cohort integrating centralized histology, advanced MRI‐based biomarkers, longitudinal biobanking, and adjudicated outcomes, providing a platform to validate imaging and blood‐based prognostic biomarkers in MASLD.

Background: Qualification of non-invasive tests (NITs) and blood biomarkers for fibrosis severity and risk assessment is an unmet need in clinical care for cirrhosis. The paucity of reproducibility data for imaging and blood biomarkers in cirrhosis hinders their application for longitudinal monitoring. The aim of this study was to evaluate the reproducibility of imaging and blood biomarkers in a prospective cohort of adults with cirrhosis. Methods: We prospectively enrolled adults with cirrhosis in an observational, longitudinal cohort study. Participants completed a research visit with vibration-controlled transient elastography (VCTE) with liver stiffness measurement (LSM) and controlled attenuation parameter (CAP) and blood testing, including AST, ALT, platelets, alpha-fetoprotein (AFP), and the Fibrosis-4 Index (FIB-4). Biomarkers were repeated a median of 3 months apart without any interim intervention. The primary outcome was the reproducibility of each biomarker as assessed by the reproducibility coefficient (RDC%), within-participant coefficient of variation (wCV), intraclass correlation coefficient (ICC), and Bland–Altman analysis. Results: In total, 40 participants (mean age 62, 60% female, mean BMI 28.6 kg/m 2 ) had VCTE/CAP, 38 AST/ALT, and 26 had AFP at both time points. The RDC% for VCTE-LSM was 54.4, wCV 0.19, and ICC 0.91. VCTE CAP had an RDC% of 56, a wCV of 0.30, and ICC 0.47. AFP had an RDC% of 58, a wCV of 0.21, and an ICC of 0.95. RDC% for AST, ALT, and FIB-4 ranged from 70% to 79%. On Bland–Altman analyses, VCTE-LSM demonstrated the lowest relative bias (0.4%). Conclusions: Prospective assessment of repeat biomarkers in adults with cirrhosis found that VCTE-LSM and CAP provide consistent assessments across individuals but may yield substantial within-individual variation. Blood-based biomarkers had poor reproducibility within individuals but were consistent in detecting between-patient variability. These data can inform ultrasound-based non-invasive testing qualification by defining thresholds that may reflect measurement variability rather than true biologic change over time.

SummaryBackground and AimsMagnetic resonance elastography (MRE) and vibration‐controlled transient elastography (VCTE) have the potential to assess disease progression; however, repeatability data in people with cirrhosis are lacking. We aimed to assess the effect of disease severity on measurement variability and contribute to the evidentiary basis for the qualification of repeating liver stiffness measurements (LSM) in practice and research.MethodsThis prospective study included 49 adult participants (58.3% female) with cirrhosis who underwent same‐day repeat LSM examinations. The primary outcome was the same‐day, same‐operator repeatability coefficient% (RC%) and the within‐case coefficient of variation (wCV) for each modality. Secondary outcomes include the intra‐class correlation coefficient (ICC). The relationship between measurement variability (interquartile for VCTE, standard deviation for MRE) and disease severity (mean liver stiffness) was evaluated by linear regression with the coefficient of determination R2 reported.ResultsSame‐day repeat MRE and VCTE exams were prospectively conducted in 33 and 45 participants, respectively. The RC% appeared 82% higher for VCTE versus MRE (38% vs. 21%), with consistent findings in head‐to‐head analyses. The wCV for VCTE and MRE was 14% and 8% respectively, indicating VCTE has 75% higher within‐subject measurement variation than MRE. ICC was excellent for LSM by VCTE (0.92) and MRE (0.96). Measurement variability increased with mean liver stiffness for VCTE (R2 = 0.78) and MRE (R2 = 0.93).ConclusionBoth VCTE and MRE demonstrated increased measurement variability with disease severity. However, MRE outperformed VCTE in terms of technical repeatability in patients with cirrhosis. These repeatability estimates may improve the qualification of NITs in practice.

SummaryBackgroundProgression to cirrhosis in non‐alcoholic steatohepatitis (NASH) is associated with a decrease in liver fat. However, the prognostic significance of liver fat content in NASH‐related significant fibrosis and cirrhosis is unclear.AimTo investigate the risk of decompensation, hepatocellular carcinoma (HCC) and mortality stratified by liver fat content in NASH‐related significant fibrosis and cirrhosis.MethodsIn this meta‐analysis of individual participant data, 456 patients with both magnetic resonance elastography (MRE) and MRI‐derived protein density fat fraction (MRI‐PDFF) were enrolled, and 296 patients with longitudinal follow‐up were analysed. MRE combined with fibrosis‐4 (MEFIB‐index), and MRI‐PDFF were used to measure liver fibrosis and fat, respectively. MEFIB‐negative, MEFIB‐positive+ MRI‐PDFF ≥5% and MEFIB‐positive+ MRI‐PDFF <5% were defined as no significant liver fibrosis, NASH with significant fibrosis and higher liver fat content, and NASH with significant fibrosis and low liver fat content groups, respectively. The primary outcome was hepatic decompensation, HCC and death.ResultsThe rates of decompensation, HCC and mortality were highest in the NASH with significant fibrosis and low liver fat group (33%, 17% and 17%, respectively), followed by the NASH with significant fibrosis and higher liver fat group (18%, 13% and 13% respectively), and lowest in the no significant fibrosis (MEFIB‐negative) group (0%, 1% and 2% respectively). In multivariable‐adjusted analysis, low liver fat content was strongly associated (HR = 42.2 [95% CI: 7.5–235.5, p < 0.0001]) with HCC, decompensation and death. Sensitivity analyses for patients with cirrhosis (MRE ≥5 kPa) determined consistent findings.ConclusionsLow liver fat content in patients with burnt‐out NASH‐related significant fibrosis and cirrhosis is associated with an increase in hepatic decompensation, HCC and mortality.