Lin, Chien‐Chin

ABSTRACT Myelodysplastic syndrome (MDS) and chronic myelomonocytic leukemia (CMML) are clonal myeloid neoplasms shaped by genetic lesions and immune dysregulation, both of which contribute to disease progression and poor outcomes. Existing prognostic systems, such as IPSS‐R and IPSS‐M, do not incorporate immune alterations. We assessed the biological and clinical relevance of an immune dysfunction signature (IDS) across multi‐center MDS and CMML cohorts. IDS scores, derived from bulk transcriptomic data, were significantly associated with inferior leukemia‐free and overall survival. In multivariable analyses, IDS retained independent prognostic value alongside IPSS‐R, IPSS‐M, and bi‐allelic TP53 inactivation. Incorporation of IDS into existing models improved prognostic discrimination and time‐dependent predictive accuracy. Longitudinal analyses revealed that rising IDS scores paralleled disease progression and acute transformation, whereas declining scores were observed in remission. Biologically, IDS‐high cases demonstrated reduced cytotoxic T‐cell activity, expansion of regulatory T cells, enrichment of primitive progenitor signals, and increased expression of checkpoint pathway genes. These findings were validated across multiple independent MDS cohorts and consistently reproduced in CMML, where IDS also stratified risk and tracked disease evolution. Finally, integration with drug response signatures from the BeatAMLv2 cohort suggested potential therapeutic vulnerability of IDS‐high cases to multikinase and NF‐κB pathway inhibitors. These results establish IDS as a robust and dynamic biomarker in MDS and CMML, with applications in refined risk stratification, longitudinal disease monitoring, and guiding personalized therapeutic strategies targeting immune dysfunction. Trial Registration: #201709072RINC, #202109078RINB, #202207050RINB

PURPOSE Chronic myelomonocytic leukemia (CMML) is a rare myeloid neoplasm characterized by clinical heterogeneity and is associated with poor outcomes. To date, limited molecular information has been incorporated into disease classification and risk stratification. We aimed to integrate genomic features into the clinical decision-making process for CMML. PATIENTS AND METHODS We analyzed a retrospective cohort of 3013 patients with CMML (training set) and a prospective population of 516 patients (validation set). Using an innovative framework for multimodal data analysis, we developed molecular-based disease taxonomy and prognostication. RESULTS Unsupervised clustering identified nine entities with distinct genomic features and outcomes ( P < .001), including splicing machinery, transcription factors, signal transduction and tyrosine kinase pathways aberrations, and high-risk molecular signatures. Notably, 15% of patients showed molecular/clinical overlap with other myeloid neoplasms. We integrated molecular and clinical information to build the international CMML Prognostic Scoring System (iCPSS), incorporating mutations in nine genes together with hematologic parameters and cytogenetic abnormalities. The iCPSS identified five groups with distinct probability of overall and leukemia-free survival in both training and validation cohorts ( P < .001), outperforming existing prognostic models. Importantly, 55% of patients were reassigned to higher or lower risk groups by the iCPSS. Decision analysis demonstrated that iCPSS could refine the optimal timing of allogeneic transplantation at the individual level; compared with conventional prognostic tools, iCPSS-based decision modeling changed transplantation strategy in 31% of cases, resulting in a significant gain-in-life expectancy for eligible patient population ( P < .001). A federated learning platform was implemented to enable continuous, privacy-preserving model update across multiple centers. CONCLUSION Molecular information improves CMML classification and prognostication, supports more effective clinical decision making, and potentially refines the design of clinical trials.

Abstract Introduction The 2022 WHO/ICC classifications of myeloid neoplasms (MNs) incorporated genomics into the existing clinicopathologic framework, defining new (mono)genetic entities. However, this iterative approach resulted in a mix of pathologically and genomically-defined entities, reliant on arbitrary thresholds and historically-derived boundaries between entities. We hypothesised that integrating genomics with other features, de novo from first principles, might better incorporate modern molecular knowledge to define the biological continuum, evolutionary links and overlapping features across MN. Methods The discovery cohort comprised 6484 thoroughly annotated pts. Contemporary diagnoses included 1817 AML, 1695 MDS, 737 MPN, and 1101 MDS/MPN. Non-malignant pts (AA/CHIP/CCUS/ICUS) were included to explore beyond current neoplastic boundaries. 1407 pts had ≥1 follow-up sample/s. Validation was performed in an independent international cohort (n=2012). An unsupervised random forest algorithm was used to integrate status (and VAF) for 28 mutations, karyotypes, CBC features, sex and age (total parameters 144). Features were selected for potential to be independent of BM sampling. Proximity-based multidimensional scaling/PCA were used to visualize latent structure and identify variance-driving features. Results The model projected pts onto a continuous 3-dimensional space. We first applied clustering seeking 1st-order structure, revealing 4 major clusters (C1–C4). These were further subdivided into 58 distinct subclusters (SCs) by an unsupervised iterative clustering approach. All SCs were enriched for distinctive features, with diverse associations linking genomics to clinicopathological/outcome features. Notably, contemporary diagnoses were distributed widely throughout this landscape, with 9/58 SCs containing cases spanning multiple WHO/ICC MN categories. C1 displayed the most internal heterogeneity, with admixed AML, MDS and MDS/MPN pts. It naturally subdivided down to 4th-order subclustering. Ten SCs were dominated by splicing factor mutations. For example, SF3B1MT segregated into 3 SCs, alone or with high-VAF TET2/ASXL1 or DNMT3A mutations. A separate TET2/SRSF2 SC associated with elevated monocyte%, reflecting a discrete CMML-phenotype genomic entity. NPM1MT formed a distinct SC with FLT3-ITD, distinguished further by VAFs of FLT3, TET2, and NRAS. Current genomically-defined AML subtypes separated in the 4th subclustering. C2 encompassed classical MPN driver mutations across 6 SCs, including a distinct CALRMT group and others defined by variable JAK2 VAFs, co-mutation patterns and other CBC features: eg high-VAF SF3B1MT correlated with PB blast%, and concurrent TET2MT with higher Hb/monocyte counts. C3 was characterized by TP53 alterations, with 5 SCs differing by TP53MT burden, 17p lesions, karyotypic complexity and age. Two SCs, one marked by high TP53 VAF+complex karyotype, the other by ch17 lesions, were associated with the worst OS in the whole cohort. C4 contained most known non-malignant pts, dividing into 4 SCs: 2 largely comprising CCUS and AA, while 2 reflect overlaps/convergence between AA and MDS and MPN, respectively. Repurposing single-cell pseudotime analysis suggested multiple disease origins, with various progression trajectories converging on C3. Projecting them onto the model longitudinal samples moved along these derived paths, consistent with their known progression/remission changes, validating the model's biological relevance and predictive utility. Remarkably, the 58 SCs displayed distinct risks of clonal progression and survival. To maximize potential clinical utility we created a pan-MN prognostic score integrating these features. It performed robustly (c-index 0.84), matching/exceeding existing prognostic tools and validated in an independent dataset. Conclusion Integrating clinicopathologic and genomic data we developed ab initio a continuum model of MNs that transcends historical diagnostic boundaries, captures disease evolution and stratifies clinical outcomes. It may better reflect the core biology and natural histories of specific cases, placing more rational boundaries between discrete entities. Potential advantages extend to treatment selection/trial design (in the era of molecularly-targeted therapies) and personalised prognostication throughout each disease course. Expanded validation is needed to resolve complexity in some areas (notably in C2/C4) and validate/refine this prototype framework.

Background. Study of myeloid neoplasms (MN) has been rapidly transformed by genome characterization. Gene mutations have been reported to influence disease phenotype and risk of disease progression, and the evaluation of mutational status can provide valuable insights to improve the decision-making process. In this international study, we evaluated the clinical impact of mutational screening in patients with CMML, which is characterized by significant clinical and genomic heterogeneity, including a substantial proportion of patients with poor outcomes and unmet needs. Currently, only limited molecular information has been incorporated into CMML classification and prognostication. Methods. We retrospectively collected 3182 CMML patients. We used MOSAIC, an AI-based framework for multimodal analysis in rare cancers (PMID: 38875514) to develop innovative, molecular-based tools for classification and prognostication. An independent validation of the results on 516 prospectively collected patients was performed. Results. Bayesian Networs and Hierarchical Dirichlet Processes were used to identify genomic associations and define a CMML molecular classification. We identified 11 clusters with distinct clinical and genomic features, including splicing machinery, signal transduction and tyrosine kinase pathways aberrations, and high-risk molecular signatures (i.e., AML-like and TP53 mutations). Up to 15% of patients showed clear genomic overlap with other MN. Importantly, extensive multi-color flow cytometry on T lymphocytes, NK and myeloid cells (BD FACSymphony A5 Cell Analyzer) revealed specific immunologic and inflammation signatures associated with molecular subgroups. We then integrated molecular and clinical information to build an international CMML Prognostic Scoring System (iCPSS). We assessed the performance of different statistical and AI-based methods; L1-penalized Cox Model resulted as the best performing method. Selected features included hematological parameters (WBC, Hb, PLT and marrow blasts), cytogenetic abnormalities, and mutations in 10 genes (ASXL1, DNMT3A, EZH2, NRAS, RUNX1, SETBP1, STAG2, TET2, TP53, U2AF1). By Bayesian thresholds optimization, we identified 5 risk classes (i.e., very-low, low, intermediate, high and very-high) with median overall survival (OS) ranging from 99 to 9 months (P&lt;.001), and median leukemia-free survival (LFS) ranging from 210 to 18 months (P&lt;.001). iCPSS provided better patient discrimination across all clinical endpoints compared to currently available prognostic tools, with a Concordance Index (CI) for OS of 0.75 versus 0.62-0.64, respectively. Notably, compared to available scoring systems, up to 40% of patients were reassigned to higher or lower risk classes by the iCPSS. External validation on an independent prospective cohort confirmed that the performance of iCPSS is superior to existing prognostic models (CI for OS 0.71 vs 0.54-0.61, respectively) To demonstrate the clinical utility of iCPSS, we focused on 753 patients who underwent allogeneic stem cell transplantation (HSCT). In multivariable analysis, iCPSS stratified the probability of OS post-HSCT (P&lt;.001) and identified groups of patients with different probabilities of disease relapse, ranging from 9% to 62% (P&lt;.001). We employed a clinical- and genomic-based decision support system (PMID: 38723212) to determine the optimal timing of HSCT. Preliminary analyses indicated that higher-risk patients according to iCPSS (i.e., intermediate, high, and very high) benefit from an immediate HSCT strategy. Lower-risk patients (i.e., very low and low) had life expectancy maximized with delayed HSCT. Modeling decision analysis using iCPSS compared to conventional scores, resulted in a change in transplantation policy for a significant proportion of patients (up to 25%). Conclusion. Molecular information significantly improves the classification of CMML patients, providing a basis for refining diagnostic boundaries with other MN and for a more rational inclusion of patients in clinical trials. The iCPSS demonstrated superior performance over currently available scoring systems and improved HSCT decision making process.

SummaryLeukaemic stem cell (LSC) gene expression has recently been linked to prognosis in patients with acute myeloid leukaemia (17‐gene LSC score, LSC‐17) and myelodysplastic syndromes. Although chronic myelomonocytic leukaemia (CMML) is regarded as a stem cell disorder, the clinical and biological impact of LSCs on CMML patients remains elusive. Making use of multiple independent validation cohorts, we here describe a concise three‐gene expression signature (LSC‐3, derived from the LSC‐17 score) as an independent and robust prognostic factor for leukaemia‐free and overall survival in CMML. We propose that LSC‐3 could be used to supplement existing risk stratification systems, to improve prognostic performance and guide management decisions.