Siontis, George C.M.

Abstract Aims Artificial intelligence electrocardiography (AI-ECG) algorithms are emerging tools for identifying individuals at risk of atrial fibrillation (AF). We evaluated the predictive performance of a validated AI-ECG algorithm for incident AF in UK Biobank participants with AF risk factors, irrespective of prevalent cardiovascular disease, and its incremental value when added to clinical predictors. Methods and results The AI-ECG tool was applied to sinus rhythm ECGs from UK-Biobank participants with risk factors for AF but no AF. Model performance was evaluated using time-dependent ROC-AUC and Harrell’s C-index. Multivariable Cox regression was used to identify clinical risk factors associated with incident AF and to quantify the contribution of AI-ECG. A total of 21 842 participants (56% male) were included. The median follow-up time was 3.7 years (IQR 0.5–5.4) The ECG-AI tool achieved a ROC-AUC of 0.73 (95% CI 0.68–0.78) at 1 and 0.69 (95% CI 0.66–0.72) at 3 years. A multivariable Cox regression model using clinical parameters achieved a ROC-AUC of 0.71 (95% CI 0.66–0.75) at 1 and 0.71 (95% CI 0.68–0.74) at 3 years. By adding ECG-AI to the clinical Cox regression model, the ROC-AUC increased to 0.75 (95%CI 0.71–0.80) at 1 and 0.74 (95% CI 0.71–0.77) at 3 years. AI-ECG showed a hazard ratio of 1.23 per decile increase (95% CI 1.18–1.27). Conclusion An AI-ECG algorithm improved the prediction of incident AF when added to a clinical parameter-based model over a median follow-up time of 3.7 years among individuals with comorbidities predisposing to AF who may benefit from targeted screening and preventive strategies.

Abstract Aims Recently, deep learning artificial intelligence (AI) models have been trained to detect cardiovascular conditions, including hypertrophic cardiomyopathy (HCM), from the 12-lead electrocardiogram (ECG). In this external validation study, we sought to assess the performance of an AI-ECG algorithm for detecting HCM in diverse international cohorts. Methods and results A convolutional neural network-based AI-ECG algorithm was developed previously in a single-centre North American HCM cohort (Mayo Clinic). This algorithm was applied to the raw 12-lead ECG data of patients with HCM and non-HCM controls from three external cohorts (Bern, Switzerland; Oxford, UK; and Seoul, South Korea). The algorithm’s ability to distinguish HCM vs. non-HCM status from the ECG alone was examined. A total of 773 patients with HCM and 3867 non-HCM controls were included across three sites in the merged external validation cohort. The HCM study sample comprised 54.6% East Asian, 43.2% White, and 2.2% Black patients. Median AI-ECG probabilities of HCM were 85% for patients with HCM and 0.3% for controls (P < 0.001). Overall, the AI-ECG algorithm had an area under the receiver operating characteristic curve (AUC) of 0.922 [95% confidence interval (CI) 0.910–0.934], with diagnostic accuracy 86.9%, sensitivity 82.8%, and specificity 87.7% for HCM detection. In age- and sex-matched analysis (case–control ratio 1:2), the AUC was 0.921 (95% CI 0.909–0.934) with accuracy 88.5%, sensitivity 82.8%, and specificity 90.4%. Conclusion The AI-ECG algorithm determined HCM status from the 12-lead ECG with high accuracy in diverse international cohorts, providing evidence for external validity. The value of this algorithm in improving HCM detection in clinical practice and screening settings requires prospective evaluation.

Even though it has been more than a decade since renal denervation (RDN) was first used to treat hypertension and an intense effort on researching this therapy has been made, it is still not clear how RDN fits into the antihypertensive arsenal. There is no question that RDN lowers blood pressure (BP), it does so to an extent at best corresponding to one antihypertensive drug. The procedure has an excellent safety record. However, it remains clinically impossible to predict whose BP responds to RDN and whose does not. Long-term efficacy data on BP reduction are still unconvincing despite the recent results in the SPYRAL HTN-ON MED trial; experimental studies indicate that reinnervation is occurring after RDN. Although BP is an acceptable surrogate endpoint, there is complete lack of outcome data with RDN. Clear indications for RDN are lacking although patients with resistant hypertension, those with documented increase in activity of the sympathetic system and perhaps those who desire to take fewest medication may be considered.