Cachay, Edward R.

Objectives To understand the trade-offs between different statistical modeling approaches, using real world data with small sub-populations, with rare exposures and increasingly rare outcomes. In particular, to compare adjusted regression, inverse probability weighting, and matching. Methods Data for these analyses came from the RADAR (N=1,134) and combined CNICS/JHHCC (N=14,434) cohorts. We estimated prevalence ratios (PRs) for self-reported use of specific substances comparing subpopulations (SP), SP-1 vs SP-3 and SP-2 vs SP-3, where SP-1 was the largest proportion (92% in RADAR, 81% in CNICS/JHHCC), SP2 was moderate proportion (18% in CNICS/JHHCC) and SP-3 was the smallest proportion (8% in RADAR, 1% in CNICS/JHHCC) of the population. We calculated PRs using 1) unadjusted relative risk regression (RR); and adjusted estimates controlling for age, race/ethnicity, study site, and year of interview using: 2) standard adjustment in RR; 3) stabilized inverse probability of treatment weighting (IPTW); and 4) matching with up to 3 matches from SP-1 or SP-2 per SP-3 participant. Results For most substances, all methods yielded consistent estimates. There were large weights in some of the IPTW analyses and in three cases these resulted in substantially divergent estimates. For the comparison between SP-1 and SP-3, the estimate for smoking was 1.3-fold greater in the matched analysis (PR=1.33, 95% CI: 1.02-1.75) than in IPTW (PR=1.03, 95% CI: 0.78-1.37 ATE and PR=1.05, 95% CI: 0.88-1.26 ATT). Even more extreme divergence in estimates was observed for differences between SP-2 and SP-3 with respect to methamphetamine/amphetamine, (IPTW-ATE: PR=1.51, 95% CI: 0.79-2.89; IPTW-ATT: PR=2.36, 95% CI: 1.36-4.12); vs Matching: PR=2.71, 95%CI: 1.47-4.99) and cocaine (IPTW-ATE: PR=1.15, 95% CI: 0.55-2.38; IPTW-ATT: PR=1.81, 95% CI: 1.03-3.18); vs Matching: PR=1.38, 95%CI: 0.76-2.53). Conclusion The combination of a rare exposure and a rare outcome can produce challenges for commonly used confounding adjustment strategies, and it is often best to compare different modeling approaches to gain greater insight.

Background: Previous studies suggest that internalized HIV stigma (IHS) results in HIV viral nonsuppression via directly increasing depression, which then reduces adherence leading to nonsuppression; however, the dynamics between IHS and mental health are likely more complex. We sought to better understand IHS-mental health dynamics using data from a longitudinal clinical cohort of people with HIV (PWH) receiving healthcare across 10 US primary care clinics. Methods: Among 8,506 PWH who had ≥2 timepoints in which IHS, depression, and anxiety were measured, we examined changes over time in both two-state (i.e., impact of IHS on depression or anxiety and vice versa) and four-state combinations of depression-IHS (i.e., no depression or IHS, depression/no IHS, no depression/IHS, both depression/IHS) and anxiety-IHS. Transition probabilities between states and factors influencing transitions were identified using multistate Markov models. Results: The impact of IHS on the transition rates of mental health measures (i.e., depression, anxiety) and vice versa were almost the same, suggesting that each influences the other. Over 50% of PWH remained in the same IHS-depression or IHS-anxiety state. PWH with IHS had almost twice the rate of transitioning from no depression/anxiety to having depression/anxiety compared to PWH without IHS; with similar results for the depression or anxiety with no IHS to reporting IHS transition. Conclusions: We demonstrate that IHS and mental health dynamics are more complex than previously suspected and that the associations are bidirectional, which has implications for both future analyses and optimal management of these conditions among PWH.

Background: Sodium–glucose cotransporter 2 inhibitors (SGLT2i) are nephroprotective but are associated with early eGFR decline, also termed “eGFR dip.” Despite elevated risk of kidney disease, this phenomenon is understudied among people with HIV (PWH). Methods: In a 1:1 propensity score–matched cohort study using data from 9 Centers for AIDS Research Network of Integrated Clinical Systems (CNICS) sites, we compared new SGLT2i users with new users of other antihyperglycemic classes. We estimated adjusted hazard ratios (aHRs) for time to ≥10% and ≥30% eGFR decline using multivariable Cox proportional hazards models and analyzed eGFR change using multivariable linear mixed models. In addition, longer-term eGFR trends over 24 months were visualized using locally weighted scatterplot smoothing (LOWESS) curves. Results: Among 1554 eligible PWH, we obtained 295 matched pairs. Over 6 months, eGFR decline incidence of ≥10% and ≥30% was higher among users of SGLT2i versus other antihyperglycemic classes (58.2% vs. 37.4%; aHR: 1.79; 95% CI: 1.40%–2.28%; and 17.3% vs. 9.8%; aHR: 1.69; 95% CI: 1.05–2.73; respectively). The adjusted mean eGFR change at 6 months was −2.62 mL/min/1.73 m 2 for SGLT2i versus 0.05 mL/min/1.73 m 2 for other classes. Long-term eGFR trends revealed an expected initial decline after SGLT2i initiation, followed by stabilization and a slower subsequent decline compared with other classes. Conclusions: Acute eGFR dips were more common among PWH initiating SGLT2i relative to other antihyperglycemic classes, although overall declines were small, transient, and consistent with the general population. Further research is needed to explore the long-term effects of SGLT2i in PWH.

BACKGROUND Among antiretroviral therapy–suppressed (ART-suppressed) people with HIV (PWH), women have higher levels of some inflammatory markers than men, but the effect of sex on the inflammatory proteome, and whether age modifies these differences, remain unclear. METHODS Plasma inflammatory protein levels were assessed in ART-suppressed PWH from the Center for AIDS Research Network of Integrated Clinical Systems. The relationship between sex and plasma proteins — including 22 interferon-α response pathway proteins — was assessed, adjusting for confounders and assessing interactions by age. RESULTS Of 922 participants, 162 (18%) were female. The median age was 47, above which the majority of women had undetectable plasma anti-Müllerian hormone levels, a biomarker of ovarian reserve. Age modified the influence of sex on the inflammatory proteome. Older age (>47) was associated with greater increases among women than men in 194 proteins. Interferon-α response proteins were higher in men in those ≤ 47 but higher in women in those > 47 (interaction P < 0.001). Among the 131 proteins associated with mortality risk ( q < 0.05), only 5 differed by sex among those ≤ 47, while 79 differed by sex in those > 47, with nearly all being higher in women. Women had decreased mortality than men ≤ 47 ( P < 0.001) but had similar mortality > 47 ( P = 0.84). CONCLUSION The menopausal transition appears to increase systemic type I interferon responses and inflammation in women with HIV, which may contribute to a loss of female advantage in mortality. FUNDING NIH National Heart, Lung, and Blood Institute; National Institute of Neurological Disorders and Stroke; National Institute of Allergy and Infectious Diseases.

Background: Internalized HIV stigma (IHS) is associated with reductions in antiretroviral therapy (ART) adherence and HIV viremia mediated through depression. However, there is still a need to quantify the direct impact of IHS on ART adherence to inform interventions to improve medication adherence. Methods: The Center for AIDS Research Network of Integrated Clinical Systems is a longitudinal, US-based, multisite cohort of people with HIV who complete patient-reported outcome assessments as part of HIV-care visits. Patient-reported outcome data include IHS items, ART adherence, depression assessments, substance use, and other outcomes. We examined associations between IHS and ART adherence using generalized linear latent and mixed models with a nonparametric random effects intercept to accommodate repeated measures. Results were compared with analyses using generalized estimating equations and marginal structural models. Results: Among 13,119 people with HIV, the mean age was 47.4 years, 17.6% were women, and 59.3% were non-White. Across 33,139 observations, controlled for repeated measures on individuals, HIV medication adherence was reduced by 1.07% for every point increase in IHS after controlling for age, sex, ethnicity, geographic location, and substance use, and 0.58% when additionally adjusted for depression score. Marginal structural models and generalized estimating equations provided similar results. Conclusions: Our study demonstrates that IHS has a direct association with reductions in ART adherence, which could affect other comorbid health outcomes that are influenced by unsuppressed viremia over time. Developing a thorough understanding of the mechanisms through which IHS affects ART adherence is critical for developing interventions to mitigate IHS and improve health outcomes across the lifespan.

Background: HIV outcomes in people with HIV (PWH) are suboptimal and inequitably distributed in the United States. Long-acting injectable antiretroviral therapy (LAI-ART) has potential to make important contributions to improving HIV outcomes and quality of life for PWH. Methods: The SELIGO Study used a 1-time, 20-minute survey of 801 PWH from the Center for AIDS Research Network of Integrated Clinical Systems cohort in 3 US cities (Boston, MA; Chapel Hill, NC; San Diego, CA) that included 54 items. Using multinomial and binary logistic regression, we assessed factors associated with LAI-ART versus daily oral ART preferences. Results: Most participants were cisgender men (82.3%); 57.0% identified as racial and/or ethnic minorities; mean years of age, 52.2; mean years living with HIV, 18.1; 2.8% were using LAI-ART. Compared with daily oral ART, 56.9% preferred LAI-ART administered monthly, and 68.0% preferred LAI-ART administered every 2 months. Factors associated with greater odds of LAI-ART preference included medication/contraception injection experience, pill burden, no medication other than ART, 4 or more clinic visits per year, detectable viral load, reporting a higher number of HIV treatment considerations, and identifying as Black. Factors associated with decreased odds of LAI-ART preference included older age, identifying as neither gay nor straight, living > 1 hour from the clinic, and considerable/extreme needle fear. Conclusions: Findings demonstrate that although there is considerable interest in LAI-ART, HIV treatment modality preferences are multifaceted. Shared decision making can ensure that conversations about ART options consistently address specific factors across diverse groups to facilitate equitable LAI-ART uptake.

Background: Housing instability and HIV are both associated with early onset of aging-related health conditions, including frailty. However, little is known about the relationship between housing and frailty among people with HIV. Methods: We analyzed data on adults in HIV care collected during routine clinical visits at 6 sites within the US Centers for AIDS Research Network of Integrated Clinical Systems (CNICS) between 2019 and 2024. We measured frailty using a previously validated approach, defined as having at least three of four components (fatigue, weight loss, immobility, inactivity) vs. less than three components. Housing status was based on self-perceived living situation in the past month (“Stable,” “Unstable,” “Homeless,” or “Don’t know”). We estimated the association between most recent housing status and frailty with prevalence ratios from relative risk regression adjusted for sociobehavioral and clinical characteristics. Results: Among 6961 people with HIV (84% men, 16% women) with a median age of 52 years (IQR: 40–60), 11% ( n = 760) were frail and 9% ( n = 625) were unstably housed (5% unstable, 3% homeless, 1% do not know). Compared to individuals with stable housing, the prevalence of frailty more than doubled among those experiencing unstable housing [prevalence ratio = 2.41, 95% confidence interval (95% CI): 1.95–2.97] or homelessness (prevalence ratio = 2.05, 95% CI: 1.56–2.69). Stratified analyses indicated stronger associations among younger vs. older individuals and among those virally suppressed vs. unsuppressed. Conclusion: Housing instability and frailty were both prevalent and strongly associated among adults in HIV care, including within younger and virally suppressed subgroups. These findings highlight the importance of social determinants of health for clinical outcomes among all people with HIV.

Background: Current understanding of associations between alcohol use and falls among people with HIV (PWH) is limited due to few and inconsistent studies. Given the prevalence of heavy episodic alcohol use reported among PWH, this remains an important question. Methods: Alcohol use was measured using the Alcohol Use Disorders Identification Test-Consumption (AUDIT-C) and self-reported alcohol use treatment and/or diagnosis of alcohol use disorder (collectively AUD) among PWH at eight CFAR Network of Integrated Clinical Systems (CNICS) sites from 2021 to 2024. Falls were self-reported using the components of the Falls Risk for Older People in the Community (FROP-Com) questionnaire. Cross-sectional associations between alcohol use and falls were examined using relative risk models adjusted for age, sex, race/ethnicity, and geographic location. Results: Among 5729 PWH, mean age was 55 years; 42% reported White and 41% reported Black/African American race/ethnicity; and 81% were male. Mean AUDIT-C score was 1.9 (range: 0–12); 27% reported heavy episodic drinking; 22% had AUD; and 22% reported falling in the past year. Reporting at least one fall in the past year was not associated with any measure of current alcohol use. AUD was associated with reporting at least one fall [prevalence ratio = 1.54; 95% confidence interval (CI) 1.39–1.70] and number of falls [one fall: prevalence ratio = 1.27 (95% CI: 1.08–1.50); at least two falls: prevalence ratio = 1.84 (95% CI: 1.58–2.15)]. Conclusion: Among PWH, 22% reported falling, which was associated with AUD, but not current alcohol use, suggesting that a mechanism other than acute intoxication could be responsible. Further longitudinal research is warranted to explore mechanisms for why AUD, but not current alcohol use, is associated with falls.

BACKGROUND COVID-19 convalescent plasma (CCP) virus-specific antibody levels that translate into recipient posttransfusion antibody levels sufficient to prevent disease progression are not defined. METHODS This secondary analysis correlated donor and recipient antibody levels to hospitalization risk among unvaccinated, seronegative CCP recipients within the outpatient, double-blind, randomized clinical trial that compared CCP to control plasma. The majority of COVID-19 CCP arm hospitalizations (15/17, 88%) occurred in this unvaccinated, seronegative subgroup. A functional cutoff to delineate recipient high versus low posttransfusion antibody levels was established by 2 methods: (i) analyzing virus neutralization–equivalent anti–Spike receptor-binding domain immunoglobulin G (anti-S-RBD IgG) responses in donors or (ii) receiver operating characteristic (ROC) curve analysis. RESULTS SARS-CoV-2 anti–S-RBD IgG antibody was volume diluted 21.3-fold into posttransfusion seronegative recipients from matched donor units. Virus-specific antibody delivered was approximately 1.2 mg. The high-antibody recipients transfused early (symptom onset within 5 days) had no hospitalizations. A CCP-recipient analysis for antibody thresholds correlated to reduced hospitalizations found a statistical significant association between early transfusion and high antibodies versus all other CCP recipients (or control plasma), with antibody cutoffs established by both methods-donor-based virus neutralization cutoffs in posttransfusion recipients (0/85 [0%] versus 15/276 [5.6%]; P = 0.03) or ROC-based cutoff (0/94 [0%] versus 15/267 [5.4%]; P = 0.01). CONCLUSION In unvaccinated, seronegative CCP recipients, early transfusion of plasma units in the upper 30% of study donors’ antibody levels reduced outpatient hospitalizations. High antibody level plasma units, given early, should be reserved for therapeutic use. TRIAL REGISTRATION ClinicalTrials.gov NCT04373460. FUNDING Department of Defense (W911QY2090012); Defense Health Agency; Bloomberg Philanthropies; the State of Maryland; NIH (3R01AI152078-01S1, U24TR001609-S3, 1K23HL151826NIH); the Mental Wellness Foundation; the Moriah Fund; Octapharma; the Healthnetwork Foundation; the Shear Family Foundation; the NorthShore Research Institute; and the Rice Foundation.