Buck, Brian

Introduction: Long-term cardiac monitoring studies have unveiled low-burden, occult atrial fibrillation (AF) in some patients with otherwise cryptogenic stroke (CS). But occult AF is also found in some normal individuals and patients with stroke of known cause (KS). Clinical management would be aided by estimates of how often occult AF in a patient with CS is causal versus incidental. Methods: Through systematic search, we identified all case-control and cohort studies applying identical long-term monitoring techniques to both CS and KS patients. We performed a random-effects meta-analyses across these studies to determine the best estimate of the differential frequency of occult AF in CS and KS among all patients, and across age subgroups. We then applied Bayes’ theorem (method of Alsheikh-Ali et al, Stroke 2009) to determine the probability that occult AF is causal or incidental. Results: The systematic search identified 3 case-control and cohort studies enrolling 575 patients (337 CS, 238 KS). Methods of long-term monitoring were implantable loop recorder in 191 (33.2%), extended mobile external cardiac monitor in 277 (48.2%), and patch/event/Holter monitoring in 107 (18.6%). In formal meta-analysis, the summary odds ratio for occult AF in CS vs KS in all patients was 1.72 (95%CI 0.91-3.25) (Figure). With application of Bayes theorem, the corresponding probabilities indicated that, when present, occult AF in CS patients is causal in 44.4% and incidental in 55.6%. Only one study reported age-specific subgroup data: these suggested occult AF in CS patients was causal in 93% of patients <65y vs 5.6% of patients ≥65y, but estimates had limited precision. Conclusions: In patients with cryptogenic stroke, when occult AF is found, it is likely causal in about 44% of patients, who may benefit from anticoagulation, and likely incidental in about 56% of patients, who may not benefit from anticoagulation. Figure

Background and Purpose— Multiple approaches are being studied to enhance the rate of thrombolysis for acute ischemic stroke. Treatment of myocardial infarction with a combination of a reduced-dose fibrinolytic agent and a glycoprotein (GP) IIb/IIIa receptor antagonist has been shown to improve the rate of recanalization versus fibrinolysis alone. The c ombined approach to l ysis utilizing e ptifibatide a nd r ecombinant tissue-type plasminogen activator (rt-PA) (CLEAR) stroke trial assessed the safety of treating acute ischemic stroke patients within 3 hours of symptom onset with this combination. Methods— The CLEAR trial was a National Institutes of Health/National Institute of Neurological Disorders and Stroke–funded multicenter, double-blind, randomized, dose-escalation and safety study. Patients were randomized 3:1 to either low-dose rt-PA (tier 1=0.3 mg/kg, tier 2=0.45 mg/kg) plus eptifibatide (75 μg/kg bolus followed by 0.75 μg/kg per min infusion for 2 hours) or standard-dose rt-PA (0.9 mg/kg). The primary safety end point was the incidence of symptomatic intracerebral hemorrhage within 36 hours. Secondary analyses were performed regarding clinical efficacy. Results— Ninety-four patients (40 in tier 1 and 54 in tier 2) were enrolled. The combination group of the 2 dose tiers (n=69) had a median age of 71 years and a median baseline National Institutes of Health Stroke Scale (NIHSS) score of 14, and the standard-dose rt-PA group (n=25) had a median age of 61 years and a median baseline NIHSS score of 10 ( P =0.01 for NIHSS score). Fifty-two (75%) of the combination treatment group and 24 (96%) of the standard treatment group had a baseline modified Rankin scale score of 0 ( P =0.04). There was 1 (1.4%; 95% CI, 0% to 4.3%) symptomatic intracranial hemorrhage in the combination group and 2 (8.0%; 95% CI, 0% to 19.2%) in the rt-PA–only arm ( P =0.17). During randomization in tier 2, a review by the independent data safety monitoring board demonstrated that the safety profile of combination therapy at the tier 2 doses was such that further enrollment was statistically unlikely to indicate inadequate safety for the combination treatment group, the ultimate outcome of the study. Thus, the study was halted. There was a trend toward increased clinical efficacy of standard-dose rt-PA compared with the combination treatment group. Conclusions— The safety of the combination of reduced-dose rt-PA plus eptifibatide justifies further dose-ranging trials in acute ischemic stroke.