Burns, Joseph D.

Background and Purpose— Coronary artery disease is the leading cause of death after TIA. Reliable estimates of the risk of MI after TIA, however, are lacking. Methods— Our purpose was to determine the incidence of and risk factors for MI after TIA. We cross-referenced preexisting incidence cohorts from the Rochester Epidemiology Project for TIA (1985–1994) and MI (1979–2006) to identify all community residents with incident MI after incident TIA. Incidence of MI after TIA was determined using Kaplan–Meier life-table methods. This was compared to the age-, sex-, and period-specific MI incidences in the general population. Proportional hazards regression analysis was used to examine associations between clinical variables and the occurrence of MI after TIA. Results— Average annual incidence of MI after TIA was 0.95%. Relative risk for incident MI in the TIA cohort compared to the general population was 2.09 (95% CI, 1.52–2.81). This was highest in patients younger than 60 years old (relative risk, 15.1; 95% CI, 4.11–38.6). Increasing age (hazard ratio, 1.51 per 10 years; 95% CI, 1.14–2.01), male sex (hazard ratio, 2.19; 95% CI, 1.18–4.06), and the use of lipid-lowering therapy at the time of TIA (hazard ratio, 3.10; 95% CI, 1.20–8.00) were independent risk factors for MI after TIA. Conclusions— Average annual incidence of MI after TIA is ≈1%, approximately double that of the general population. The relative risk increase is especially high in patients younger than 60 years old. These data are useful for identifying subgroups of patients with TIA at highest risk for subsequent MI.

Background and Purpose— Size of an unruptured intracranial aneurysm (UIA) may be an important risk factor for rupture. Accordingly, serial noninvasive imaging is commonly used to assess untreated UIA for enlargement. Few data exist regarding the frequency and predictors of enlargement. We obtained this information from a group of patients followed with serial MR angiography (MRA). Methods— We retrospectively identified 165 patients with 191 UIA followed with serial MRA. Fusiform aneurysms, UIA <2 mm, and UIA that were surgically or endovascularly treated before the first MRA were excluded. MRA was performed using 1.5-T and 3-T MRI. Maximal diameter was determined on MRA source images. Multivariate regression analysis was used to determine independent risk factors for growth. Results— Twenty aneurysms (10%) grew over a median follow-up period of 47 months. Frequency of enlargement was 6.9%, 25%, and 83% for aneurysms <8 mm, 8 to 12 mm, and ≥13 mm, respectively ( P <0.001 for trend). Of the variables we evaluated, original aneurysm diameter (OR, 1.28 per mm; 95% CI, 1.07 to 1.58) was the only independent predictor of enlargement. Aneurysms ≥8 mm in diameter were at highest risk for enlargement (OR, 7.25; 95% CI, 1.96 to 27.1). There was a trend toward increased risk of enlargement in patients with multiple aneurysms (OR, 2.50; 95% CI, 0.86 to 7.53). Conclusions— Over a median follow-up period of 47 months, 10% of UIA enlarged. Larger aneurysms had a significantly increased risk of enlargement. The likelihood of enlargement was highest in aneurysms with diameters ≥8 mm. However, a clinically significant proportion of small aneurysms grow, and this growth can be detected by serial MRA.