Kramer, Christopher M.

Importance Current risk prediction guidelines for hypertrophic cardiomyopathy predict only sudden cardiac death and are imperfect, leading to avoidable deaths and unnecessary implantable cardioverter defibrillators. Objective To combine prospectively collected clinical history, imaging, genetic, and biomarker data to improve risk prediction of adverse events in hypertrophic cardiomyopathy. Design, Setting, and Participants A total of 2750 patients with hypertrophic cardiomyopathy were prospectively enrolled in the registry-based study from 44 sites in North America and Europe with expertise in hypertrophic cardiomyopathy and cardiac magnetic resonance (CMR) imaging. Participants were enrolled from April 1, 2014, to April 7, 2017. Exposures Patients underwent a health history questionnaire, blood sampling for biomarkers and genotyping, and contrast-enhanced CMR. Patients were followed up yearly by telephone and through records review regarding event documentation. Main Outcomes and Measures The predefined composite adjudicated primary end point was time to first event for hypertrophic cardiomyopathy–related deaths; nonfatal sustained ventricular arrhythmias (VAs) requiring cardioversion or defibrillation; and left ventricular (LV) assist device implant or heart transplant. A secondary end point was a composite of sudden cardiac death and nonfatal VA events. The elastic-net method identified the most important predictors. Cox proportional hazards regression assessed associations with time to the first end point. Results Of the 2750 prospectively enrolled patients, 2698 (98%) had analyzable data after 9 were excluded because they had hypertrophic cardiomyopathy phenocopies and 43 withdrew. Of these remaining patients, 1919 (71%) were male, mean age was 50 years (SD, 11 years), and 423 (16%) were from underrepresented racial and minority groups. The mean follow-up was 6.9 years (SD, 2.1 years). The primary event model in 104 patients included LV scar as a percentage of LV mass by late gadolinium enhancement (LGE%; hazard ratio [HR], 1.86; 95% CI, 1.58-2.20; P < .001), LV mass index (HR, 1.09; 95% CI, 1.01-1.17; P = .03), LV end-systolic volume index (HR, 1.28; 95% CI, 1.12-1.46; P < .001 ), all per 10-unit increase, history of heart failure at study entry (HR, 2.89; 95% CI, 1.75-4.77; P < .001), and log N-terminal pro–B-type natriuretic peptide (NT-proBNP; HR, 1.41; 95% CI, 1.17-1.70; P < .001) level per log unit, (C index for all, 0.77). An LGE percentage of the LV mass of 9% or higher substantially increased the primary composite event rate ( P = .001). The secondary sudden cardiac death and VA risk factor model (in 69 patients) included LGE%, LV mass index, LV ejection fraction, and log(NT-proBNP) (C index, 0.76). Conclusions and Relevance These results provide prospective evidence for incorporating cardiac magnetic resonance and NT-proBNP in the evaluation of patients with hypertrophic cardiomyopathy. Trial Registration ClinicalTrials.gov Identifier: NCT01915615

BACKGROUND: Patients with heart failure with preserved ejection fraction and obesity have significant disability and frequent exacerbations of heart failure. We hypothesized that tirzepatide, a long-acting agonist of glucose-dependent insulinotropic polypeptide and glucagon-like peptide-1 receptors, would improve a comprehensive suite of clinical end points, including measures of health status, functional capacity, quality of life, exercise tolerance, patient well-being, and medication burden, in these patients. METHODS: We randomized (double-blind) 731 patients with class II to IV heart failure, ejection fraction ≥50%, and body mass index ≥30 kg/m 2 to tirzepatide (titrated up to 15 mg SC weekly; n=364) or placebo (n=367) added to background therapy for a median of 104 weeks (quartile 1, 66; quartile 3, 126 weeks). The primary end points were whether tirzepatide reduced the combined risk of cardiovascular death or worsening heart failure and improved Kansas City Cardiomyopathy Questionnaire Clinical Summary Score. The current expanded analysis included sensitivity analyses of the primary end points, 6-minute walk distance, EQ-5D-5L health state index, Patient Global Impression of Severity Overall Health score, New York Heart Association class, use of heart failure medications, and a hierarchical composite based on all-cause death, worsening heart failure, and 52-week changes in Kansas City Cardiomyopathy Questionnaire Clinical Summary Score and 6-minute walk distance. RESULTS: Patients were 65.2±10.7 years of age; 53.8% (n=393) were female; body mass index was 38.2±6.7 kg/m 2 ; Kansas City Cardiomyopathy Questionnaire Clinical Summary Score was 53.5±18.5; 6-minute walk distance was 302.8±81.7 m; and 53% (n=388) had a worsening heart failure event in the previous 12 months. Compared with placebo, tirzepatide produced a consistent beneficial effect across all composites of death and worsening heart failure events, analyzed as time to first event (hazard ratios, 0.41–0.67). At 52 weeks, tirzepatide increased the Kansas City Cardiomyopathy Questionnaire Clinical Summary Score by 6.9 points (95% CI, 3.3–10.6; P <0.001), 6-minute walk distance 18.3 meters (95% CI, 9.9–26.7; P <0.001), and EQ-5D-5L 0.06 (95% CI, 0.03–0.09; P <0.001). The tirzepatide group shifted to a more favorable Patient Global Impression of Severity Overall Health score (proportional odds ratio, 1.99 [95% CI, 1.44–2.76]) and New York Heart Association class (proportional odds ratio, 2.26 [95% CI, 1.54–3.31]; both P <0.001) and required fewer heart failure medications ( P =0.015). The broad spectrum of effects was reflected in benefits on the hierarchical composite (win ratio, 1.63 [95% CI, 1.17–2.28]; P =0.004). CONCLUSIONS: Tirzepatide produced a comprehensive, meaningful improvement in heart failure across multiple complementary domains; enhanced health status, quality of life, functional capacity, exercise tolerance, and well-being; and reduced symptoms and medication burden in patients with heart failure with preserved ejection fraction and obesity. REGISTRATION: URL: https://www.clinicaltrials.gov ; Unique identifier: NCT04847557.