Romano, Jennifer C.

Background: Robust models exist to predict risk-adjusted mortality following congenital heart surgery. It is known that underlying diagnosis modifies predicted risk of operations, and institution-level outcomes vary based on their unique case mix. We therefore evaluated risk-adjusted outcomes for a subset of diagnosis-procedure (D-P) combinations within the Society of Thoracic Surgeons' (STS) congenital heart surgery database (CHSD). Methods: A clinician panel identified the most frequently encountered D-P combinations in CHSD between 07/2017 and 06/2021. Candidate modeling techniques were compared in a random 80% development cohort. Model performance was assessed using internal and cross-validation calibration, discrimination plots and optimism adjusted C-statistics. The final selected model was evaluated in the 20% validation sample. Results: The chosen subset of D-P combinations represented 45,384 of 87,589 (52%) unique episodes of surgical care in CHSD during this time-period. The development cohort (36,350 episodes) had 1.8% mortality (667 deaths). All candidate models had excellent discrimination with C-statistics ranging from 0.862 to 0.876. The model with the best combination of discrimination, calibration, and clinical face validity was a modified version of the current STS mortality risk model. This version included all current risk model variables with the addition of indicator variables for D-P combinations. In the 20% validation sample (9,034 episodes), this model was well calibrated (Figure) and had excellent discrimination (C = 0.879). Conclusion: We describe a cohort of D-P combinations widely encountered in the STS CHSD. Further, we refined the existing STS CHSD risk model for application to these D-P dyads to derive empirical risk-adjusted benchmark outcomes. This approach will benefit quality improvement efforts at an institutional level and may have implications for publicly reporting congenital heart surgery outcomes.

Care and outcomes for the more than 40,000 patients undergoing pediatric and congenital heart surgery in the United States annually are known to vary widely. While consensus recommendations have been published across numerous fields as one mechanism to promote a high level of care delivery across centers, it has been more than two decades since the last pediatric heart surgery recommendations were published in the United States. More recent guidance is lacking, and collaborative efforts involving the many disciplines engaged in caring for these children have not been undertaken to date. The present initiative brings together professional societies spanning numerous care domains and congenital cardiac surgeons, pediatric cardiologists, nursing, and other healthcare professionals from diverse programs around the country to develop consensus recommendations for United States centers. The focus of this initial work is on pediatric heart surgery, and it is recommended that future efforts focus in detail on the adult congenital population. We describe the background, rationale, and methodology related to this collaborative effort, and recommendations put forth for Essential Care Centers (essential services necessary for any program), and Comprehensive Care Centers (services to optimize comprehensive and high-complexity care), encompassing structure, process, and outcome metrics across 14 domains.

Every effort must be made by the leaders in our field, as well as by every individual cardiothoracic surgeon, to assure equal opportunity for all cardiothoracic surgeons, regardless of race, gender or any other sociodemographic source of bias. Every effort must be made by every surgeon, not just those in particular leadership roles. Opportunities for advancement must be equal in multiple domains, including clinical practice, patient referral, clinical leadership, academic leadership, institutional leadership and leadership in professional medical and surgical societies. Such actions to minimize bias and promote inclusivity will also ensure that cardiothoracic surgical care is provided by a workforce that represents the diversity of patients whom we serve. In the final analysis, it is an absolute fact that gender differences in payments to cardiothoracic surgeons are absolutely unacceptable and cannot be tolerated.

As recovery of congenital heart surgery programs begins during this COVID-19 pandemic, we review key considerations such as screening, protection of patients and health care workers (HCWs), case prioritization, barriers to reactivation, redesign of patient care teams, contribution of telemedicine, modification of trainees’ experiences, preparation for potential resurgence, and strategies to maintain HCW wellness. COVID-19 has tested the resolve and grit of our specialty and we have an opportunity to emerge more refined.