Attard, Gerhardt

PURPOSE The continuous development of new imaging approaches, molecular phenotyping, genetic subtypes, prognosis assessments, and effective therapies across a range of disease states has created a need to redefine terminology and best practices for clinical trial conduct in patients with advanced prostate cancer. Methods We convened an international expert committee of diverse working groups, the Prostate Cancer Working Group 4 (PCWG4), between 2016 and 2025. Our objective was to formulate updated criteria based on emerging evidence and clinical trial data in a biomarker context to provide guidance for clinical trial design, eligibility, and end point assessments for patients with advanced prostate cancer. RESULTS PCWG4 redefines terminology around the disease state and previous therapies in a patient-centric context and terminology focused on androgen pathway modulation. We consider imaging, with a particular focus on positron emission tomography (PET)–defined disease. New recommendations are provided for disease state terminology, defining eligibility criteria, response and delay/prevent end points, intervals for reassessments including imaging, and patient-reported outcome determination. We provide recommendations in a biomarker-based context of use for the intended indication, reflective of patient benefit for specific interventions. We emphasize the need for development of validated PET imaging and molecular and phenotypic criteria as well as trial designs to appropriately risk stratify patients, predict and assess benefit, and measure post-treatment outcomes reliably in a trial framework. CONCLUSION PCWG4 updates recommendations on patient and tumor characterization, therapy development, and imaging criteria and extends guidance into earlier androgen pathway modulator–naïve/sensitive disease states to reflect an evolving, heterogeneous, and diverse patient population to optimize treatment benefits for all patients.

Abstract Background Prostate cancer is a heterogeneous disease comprising diverse cell types within the tumor microenvironment that support cancer cell survival. Using single cell and spatial transcriptomics, we previously identified subpopulations of treatment-persistent cancer cells exhibiting regenerative properties and a distinct molecular signature. Herein, we aimed to characterize the locked ‘Persist’ signature (PS) and its association with outcomes in a large cohort of non-metastatic prostate cancer tumors. Methods Patients with non-metastatic prostate cancer that underwent Decipher prostate genomic classifier and whole-transcriptome profiling on biopsy (BX, n=146,941) and radical prostatectomy (RP, n=55,329) specimens between October 2016 and February 2024 were included (Veracyte Inc., San Diego, CA, USA). Baseline clinical and pathological data from deidentified patients as well as signature scores were retrieved from the Decipher Genomic Resource for Intelligent Discovery (GRID) registry (Clinical Trials identifier: NCT02609269). The PS score based on the expression of 17 genes was calculated for all samples. Results PS was significantly associated with adverse clinical and pathological variables. In biopsy sample, PS was higher in cases with worse T3/4 clinical stage, Grade group (GG4-5), and high/very high NCCN risk (p<0.001 for all). In RP sample, PS was significantly higher in patients with GG4-5, extraprostatic extension, seminal vesicle invasion and lymph node involvement (p<0.001 for all). PS was also higher in patients with very high Decipher (>0.85) in both BX and RP (p<0.001 for both). When evaluating the prognosis of PS in multiple retrospective cohorts, PS in biopsy was prognostic of adverse pathology features at RP. PS was also prognostic of distance metastasis (DM) in multiple RP cohorts with long-term follow up (META855). In the ARNEO trial testing apalutamide in addition to ADT as neo-adjuvant treatment prior RP, PS was prognostic of early recurrence. In the Stampede trial, PS was prognostic of progression free survival, PCSM and OS in both non-metastatic and metastatic disease. When associating PS with other GRID signatures, PS was higher in samples with homologous recombination deficiency, TP53 mutations, Luminal B and luminal proliferating subtypes. On the other hand, PS was lower in samples with low androgen receptor-activity, RB-loss and neuroendocrine-like tumors. Finally, PS was positively correlated with radiation sensitivity signatures. Conclusions Persist is a novel molecular signature associated with more aggressive tumor characteristics. Future studies aim to further examine beyond this signature potential to identify patients at risk of aggressive prostate cancer, and understand what the optimal treatments for those with treatment-persistent prostate cancer cells are. Citation Format: Francesco Ballesio, Sinja Taavitsainen, Mohammed Alshalalfa, Antti Kiviaho, Mazlina Ismail, Reetta Nätkin, Alexander Giesen, Thomas Munro, James A. Proudfoot, Hyunnam Ryu, Elai Davicioni, Matthew C. Cooperberg, R. Jeffrey. Karnes, Ruochen Jiang, Steven Joniau, Gerhardt Attard, Frank Claessens, Matti Nykter, Alfonso Urbanucci. Persist: a molecular signature for prostate cancer patients with preexisting treatment-persistent cells associated with aggressive disease [abstract]. In: Proceedings of the AACR Special Conference in Cancer Research: Innovations in Prostate Cancer Research and Treatment; 2026 Jan 20-22; Philadelphia PA. Philadelphia (PA): AACR; Cancer Res 2026;86(2_Suppl):Abstract nr B079.

Importance The ideal duration of androgen deprivation therapy (ADT) for treating localized prostate cancer is unknown due to variable adherence and treatment durations tested in clinical trials. Objective To determine the ideal duration of ADT for patients with prostate cancer treated with radiotherapy. Data Sources This individual patient data meta-analysis of 13 randomized phase 3 clinical trials evaluated the use of radiotherapy alone or with ADT. It included patients with a median follow-up of 11.3 (IQR, 9.5-14.5) years and ADT duration of 0 to 36 months. Most patients (7392 [72%]) included had National Comprehensive Cancer Network high-risk or very high-risk disease. Study Selection For this meta-analysis, a systematic literature search from 1980 to 2020 was performed in trial registries (Cochrane Central Register of Controlled Trials and ClinicalTrials.gov), MEDLINE (1966-2020), Embase (1982-2020), Web of Science, and Scopus to identify trials. Data Extraction and Synthesis Intention-to-treat and as-treated analyses were performed. The number needed to treat to prevent 1 distant metastasis at 10 years was calculated based on prognostic risk group. The analyses were conducted from January 5 to August 15, 2023. Main Outcomes and Measures The primary end point for this study was overall survival, defined as time to death or last follow-up from randomization. Secondary end points included biochemical recurrence, distant metastasis (DM), prostate cancer–specific mortality, and other-cause mortality. Results The median (IQR) age among the 10 266 male patients was 70 (65-74) years. Longer durations of ADT were associated with nonlinear improvement in relative benefits of DM, prostate cancer–specific mortality, and overall survival, with reduced estimated benefits beyond 9 to 12 months of ADT based on the end point. There was a near-linear increase in other-cause mortality associated with long-term ADT use (hazard ratio, 1.28; 95% CI, 1.09-1.50; P = .002 for 28 vs 0 months of ADT). The optimal ADT duration based on 10-year DM was 0, 6, 12 months, and undefined for patients with 1 intermediate-risk factor, 2 or more intermediate-risk factors, and National Comprehensive Cancer Network high-risk and very high-risk disease, respectively. Conclusions and Relevance The results of this meta-analysis suggest that, for men with localized prostate cancer treated with definitive radiotherapy and ADT, there are relative and absolute benefits from increasing durations of ADT that help provide individualized risk estimates.

309 Background: Standard of care (SOC) treatment options for HR-PCa include RT with long-term androgen deprivation (LT-ADT) or RP with selective use of post-operative RT +/- androgen deprivation therapy (ADT). The optimal treatment approach has been assessed in retrospective population-based and multi-center comparisons, which have yielded mixed results with substantial bias. Therefore, we conducted an emulated randomized comparison of RT vs RP in HR-PCa leveraging patients enrolled in RCTs. Methods: We searched Medline for RCTs in HR-PCa with a SOC arm of an RT- or RP-based regimen. Inclusion required similar experimental treatment and contemporaneous enrollment in the same country to reduce bias. This identified 2 trials, NRG/RTOG 0521 (RT+LT-ADT +/- 6 cycles docetaxel [doce]), and CALGB 90203 (RP +/- neoadjuvant 6 cycles doce and ADT). Due to inherent difference in the biochemical recurrence criteria after RT vs RP, we chose inverse probability of treatment weighted (IPTW) cumulative incidence of distant metastasis (DM) as the primary endpoint, considering deaths as competing events. Death after DM was measured to create a harmonized metric of deaths likely attributed to PCa. To assess potential residual selection bias, death without DM to capture non-cancer associated deaths was analyzed. Results: Overall, 1290 patients (RT n=557, RP n=733) were included, with similar median follow-up of 6.4 years. Prior to IPTW, RP patients were significantly younger with lower baseline PSA compared to RT patients. Adjuvant (18%) and salvage therapy (44%) was used in RP cohort. Cumulative incidence of DM was significantly lower in patients who underwent RT compared to RP (8-year DM: 16% vs 23%; p=0.01; subdistribution hazard ratio [sHR] 0.48 [95%CI 0.34-0.69], p<0.001). 8-year rates of death after DM were 10% vs 8% (p=0.72) in the RP and RT patients, respectively. RT patients had significantly greater risk of death without DM (HR 2.09 [1.01-4.34], p=0.048) with early differences measured. On a cross-arm comparison, 8-year cumulative incidence of DM when comparing SOC RT+LT-ADT group versus the doce+ADT+RP group was 18% vs 21%, respectively (sHR 0.75 [0.45-1.24], p=0.26). Conclusions: HR-PCa patients enrolled on RCTs had significantly lower incidence of DM with an RT-based strategy compared to an RP-based approach. Longer follow-up is needed to assess deaths attributed to PCa. Despite the strengths of the comparison (use of cooperative group RCT data, contemporaneous enrollment in the same country, patients fit enough for chemotherapy, and IPTW adjustments) there appears to be residual unmeasured bias, as expected, based on greater early deaths without DM in the RT arm. Utilization of post-operative radiotherapy and ADT+Doce may mitigate differences between RP and SOC RT+LT-ADT.

5094 Background: In prior studies, basal vs. luminal differentiation portends differential response to a) androgen suppression (AS) duration for high-risk prostate cancer (PCa) (NRG-GU-TS006) and b) docetaxel chemotherapy (CT) and AS for metastatic hormone-sensitive disease (CHAARTED). In NRG-GU-TS006, basal tumors appeared to benefit the most from longer duration of AS while those with luminal subtype did not whereas, in CHAARTED, luminal subtype had greater benefit from addition of CT. Herein, we examined basal-luminal subtyping to predict differential response to the addition of CT in the setting of high-risk PCa treated with AS and definitive radiotherapy (AS + RT) in NRG/RTOG 0521. Methods: Per pre-specified and approved NCI analysis plan (Navigator #1061), we obtained available NRG biobank biopsy specimens from patients enrolled on the NRG/RTOG 0521 phase III trial, which randomized patients to AS + RT +/- CT. The highest-grade tumors were profiled on clinical-grade whole-transcriptome arrays (Veracyte, San Diego, CA). Basal-luminal subtypes were generated using a 215-gene PCa subtyping classifier (PSC), a second generation PAM50 basal-luminal model. Treatment effects in Luminal Proliferating (LP) and non-LP subtypes were examined with Cox (for overall survival, OS, and metastasis-free survival, MFS) and Fine & Gray (for distant metastasis, DM) multivariable (MVA) models adjusted for age and trial risk stratification, as well as with restricted mean survival times (RMST). Results: Of 183 samples available for analysis (91 from control and 92 from the CT arm), 52 (28%) were classified as LP subtype. Median follow-up for OS was 9.9 years. No significant differences in clinical or pathological variables were observed between LP and non-LP subtypes. In MVA, we did not detect any significant LP subtype-by-CT treatment interaction but observed evidence of non-proportional hazards (Grambsch-Therneau test, p<0.05). In unselected patients, 5- and 10-year RMST difference between the arms was 0.9 (95% CI [-1.5, 3.4], p=0.46) and 5.7 (95% CI [-2.5, 13.9], p=0.17) months of OS. Stratifying by tumor subtype, at 5 years the RMST difference in months was 3.8 (95% CI [0.3, 7.2], p=0.03) for LP and -0.2 ([-3.4, 2.9], p=0.89) for non-LP. The RMST difference in months at 10-years was 13.7 (95% CI [-0.2, 27.5], p=0.053) for LP and 2.5 ([-7.6, 12.5], p=0.63) for non-LP. Conclusions: In pre-treatment biopsy samples from a Phase 3 trial cohort of localized high-risk men, luminal-basal subtyping of tumors demonstrated differential response to docetaxel CT. Similar to results from the CHAARTED trial of metastatic disease, LP tumors may derive greater benefit from addition of CT. Validation of these findings may enable effective earlier use of CT in men with PCa.

AbstractBackgroundProstate cancer (PCa) is a clinically heterogeneous disease. The creation of an expression‐based subtyping model based on prostate‐specific biological processes was sought.MethodsUnsupervised machine learning of gene expression profiles from prospectively collected primary prostate tumors (training, n = 32,000; evaluation, n = 68,547) was used to create a prostate subtyping classifier (PSC) based on basal versus luminal cell expression patterns and other gene signatures relevant to PCa biology. Subtype molecular pathways and clinical characteristics were explored in five other clinical cohorts.ResultsClustering derived four subtypes: luminal differentiated (LD), luminal proliferating (LP), basal immune (BI), and basal neuroendocrine (BN). LP and LD tumors both had higher androgen receptor activity. LP tumors also had a higher expression of cell proliferation genes, MYC activity, and characteristics of homologous recombination deficiency. BI tumors possessed significant interferon γactivity and immune infiltration on immunohistochemistry. BN tumors were characterized by lower androgen receptor activity expression, lower immune infiltration, and enrichment with neuroendocrine expression patterns. Patients with LD tumors had less aggressive tumor characteristics and the longest time to metastasis after surgery. Only patients with BI tumors derived benefit from radiotherapy after surgery in terms of time to metastasis (hazard ratio [HR], 0.09; 95% CI, 0.01–0.71; n = 855). In a phase 3 trial that randomized patients with metastatic PCa to androgen deprivation with or without docetaxel (n = 108), only patients with LP tumors derived survival benefit from docetaxel (HR, 0.21; 95% CI, 0.09–0.51).ConclusionsWith the use of expression profiles from over 100,000 tumors, a PSC was developed that identified four subtypes with distinct biological and clinical features.Plain language summary Prostate cancer can behave in an indolent or aggressive manner and vary in how it responds to certain treatments. To differentiate prostate cancer on the basis of biological features, we developed a novel RNA signature by using data from over 100,000 prostate tumors—the largest data set of its kind. This signature can inform patients and physicians on tumor aggressiveness and susceptibilities to treatments to help personalize cancer management.

241 Background: We previously reported on the use of gene expression profiling to characterize four primary subtypes in an analysis of over 100,000 prostate cancer primary tumors. Here we examine these subtypes and response to radiation (RT) after prostatectomy or chemotherapy in addition to androgen deprivation therapy (ADT) in hormone-sensitive metastatic prostate cancer (mHSPC). Methods: We examined a 215-gene prostate subtyping classifier (PSC) which groups luminal and basal gene expression profiles into one of four subtypes; luminal differentiated (LD), luminal proliferating (LP), basal immune (BI) and basal neuroendocrine-like (BN). The log-rank method was used to compare (i) metastasis-free survival between patients who did and did not receive salvage RT in the META855 cohort of localized disease patients treated with radical prostatectomy (n=855) and the (ii) overall survival of patients on the Phase III mHSPC EA3805 CHAARTED trial of ADT or ADT + docetaxel chemotherapy (n=160). Results: After radical prostatectomy, patients with BI tumors derived benefit from RT in terms of metastasis-free survival ( P=9.23e-4) while those with other subtype tumors did not (Each Log-rank P≥0.5). Patients with metastatic disease and LP tumors derived benefit from docetaxel (Log-rank P=0.002) while those with other subtypes tumors did not (Log-rank P=0.2). Conclusions: Basal-luminal subtyping segments tumors by relevant biological processes with potential implications for identifying patients who benefit from salvage radiation post prostatectomy and addition of docetaxel to ADT in mHSPC.

3507 Purpose: To detect IGF-1R on circulating tumor cells (CTCs) as a biomarker in the clinical development of a monoclonal human antibody, CP-751,871, targeting IGF-1R. Experimental Design: An automated sample preparation and analysis system for enumerating CTCs (Celltracks) was adapted for detecting IGF-1R positive CTCs with a diagnostic antibody targeting a different IGF-1R epitope to CP-751,871. This assay was utilized in three phase I trials of CP-751,871 as a single agent or with chemotherapy and was validated using cell lines and blood samples from healthy volunteers and patients with metastatic carcinoma. Results: There was no interference between the analytical and therapeutic antibodies. CP-751,871 was well tolerated as a single agent, and in combination with docetaxel or carboplatin and paclitaxel, at doses ranging from 0.05 mg/kg to 20 mg/kg. Eighty patients were enrolled on phase 1 studies of CP-751,871, with 47 (59%) patients having CTCs detected during the study. Prior to treatment 26 patients (33%) had CTCs, with 23 having detectable IGF-1R positive CTCs. CP-751,871 alone, and CP-751,871 with cytotoxic chemotherapy, decreased CTCs and IGF-1R positive CTCs; these increased towards the end of the 21-day cycle in some patients, falling again with retreatment. CTCs were commonest in advanced hormone refractory prostate cancer (11/20). Detectable IGF-1R expression on CTCs before treatment with CP-751,871 and docetaxel was associated with a higher frequency of PSA decline by more than 50% (6/10 vs 2/8 patients). A relationship was observed between sustained falls in CTCs counts and PSA declines by more than 50%. Conclusions: IGF-1R expression is detectable by immunofluorescence on CTCs. These data support the further evaluation of CTCs in pharmacodynamic studies and patient selection, particularly in advanced prostate cancer. No significant financial relationships to disclose.

Abstract Purpose: To detect insulin-like growth factor-IR (IGF-IR) on circulating tumor cells (CTC) as a biomarker in the clinical development of a monoclonal human antibody, CP-751,871, targeting IGF-IR. Experimental Design: An automated sample preparation and analysis system for enumerating CTCs (CellTracks) was adapted for detecting IGF-IR–positive CTCs with a diagnostic antibody targeting a different IGF-IR epitope to CP-751,871. This assay was used in three phase I trials of CP-751,871 as a single agent or with chemotherapy and was validated using cell lines and blood samples from healthy volunteers and patients with metastatic carcinoma. Results: There was no interference between the analytic and therapeutic antibodies. Eighty patients were enrolled on phase I studies of CP-751,871, with 47 (59%) patients having CTCs detected during the study. Before treatment, 26 patients (33%) had CTCs, with 23 having detectable IGF-IR–positive CTCs. CP-751,871 alone, and CP-751,871 with cytotoxic chemotherapy, decreased CTCs and IGF-IR–positive CTCs; these increased toward the end of the 21-day cycle in some patients, falling again with retreatment. CTCs were commonest in advanced hormone refractory prostate cancer (11 of 20). Detectable IGF-IR expression on CTCs before treatment with CP-751,871 and docetaxel was associated with a higher frequency of prostate-specific antigen decline by &gt;50% (6 of 10 versus 2 of 8 patients). A relationship was observed between sustained decreases in CTC counts and prostate-specific antigen declines by &gt;50%. Conclusions: IGF-IR expression is detectable by immunofluorescence on CTCs. These data support the further evaluation of CTCs in pharmacodynamic studies and patient selection, particularly in advanced prostate cancer.