Giblon, Rachel

Introduction: Prior AF screening trials demonstrated low yield, highlighting the need for more targeted approaches. An AI algorithm was developed to identify ECG signatures of AF risk during normal sinus rhythm, which has been validated in diverse external populations. Hypothesis: An AI-guided, targeted screening approach could improve the diagnosis of AF. Methods We conducted a pragmatic decentralized trial to prospectively recruit patients with stroke risk factors but no prior AF. The AI algorithm was applied to the ECGs performed in routine practice and divided patients into high- or low-risk groups. The primary endpoint was AF lasting ≥ 30 seconds on a subsequent 30-day continuous cardiac rhythm monitor. In a secondary analysis, trial participants were 1:1 propensity score-matched to real-world controls derived from the eligible but unenrolled population. Results A total of 1,003 patients from 40 U.S. states completed the study, with a mean age of 74 [SD 8.8] years. Over a mean of 22.3 days of continuous monitoring, AF was detected in 6 (1.6%) of low-risk patients and 48 (7.6%) of high-risk patients (OR 4.98 [2.11-11.75], p<0.001). Compared to usual care, AI-guided AF screening was associated with increased detection of AF (high-risk group: 4.2% vs. 11.1%, p<0.001; low-risk group: 0.9% vs. 2.4%, p=0.12) over a median follow-up of 10 months. Conclusions A prospective pragmatic study found that the AI a can risk-stratify a relatively uniform population (i.e., older adults at risk for stroke) to detect AF during short-term cardiac monitoring. Furthermore, when compared with usual care, AI-guided cardiac monitoring was associated with increased AF detection. As such, an AI-guided AF screening approach, leveraging existing EHR data and infrastructure, could be effective, patient-centered, and massively scalable, thereby reducing unnecessary health utilization and diagnosis-related anxiety (Clinicaltrials.gov: NCT04208971).

Objective The aim of this study was to determine inpatient health care utilization in an incident cohort of patients with systemic lupus erythematosus (SLE) compared with the general population. Methods This was a population-based cohort study in the upper Midwest, United States. We included patients fulfilling the European League Against Rheumatism/American College of Rheumatology SLE classification criteria between 1995 and 2018. They were 1:1 age-, sex-, county-matched with individuals without SLE. All hospital admissions and emergency department (ED) visits were electronically retrieved for 1995–2020. Rates for hospital admission, length of stay, readmission, ED visits, and discharge destination were compared between groups. Results Three hundred forty-one patients with SLE and 341 comparators without SLE were included (mean age, 48.6 years at diagnosis; 79.2% female). Rates of hospitalization for patients with SLE and comparators were 29.8 and 9.9 per 100 person-years, respectively. These differences were present across sexes and age groups. Hospitalization rates were higher in patients with SLE after diagnosis and remained higher than comparators for the first 15 years of the disease. Patients with SLE were more likely than comparators to visit the ED (hazard ratio, 2.71; 95% confidence interval, 2.05–3.59). Readmission rates (32% vs. 21%, p = 0.017) were higher in patients with SLE. Length of stay and discharge destination were similar between both groups. Conclusion Patients with SLE were more likely to be hospitalized and to visit the ED than individuals without SLE, highlighting important inpatient care needs. Increased hospitalization rates were observed in both male and female patients and all age groups.

AbstractIntroductionSmoking commercial tobacco products is highly prevalent in American Indian and Alaska Native (Indigenous) pregnancies. This disparity directly contributes to maternal and fetal mortality. Our objective was to describe cigarette smoking prevalence, cessation intervention uptake, and cessation behaviors of pregnant Indigenous people compared to sex and age-matched regional cohort.Aims and MethodsPregnancies from an Indigenous cohort in Olmsted County, Minnesota, identified in the Rochester Epidemiology Project, were compared to pregnancies identified in a sex and age-matched non-Indigenous cohort from 2006 to 2019. Smoking status was defined as current, former, or never. All pregnancies were reviewed to identify cessation interventions and cessation events. The primary outcome was smoking prevalence during pregnancy, with secondary outcomes measuring uptake of smoking cessation interventions and cessation.ResultsThe Indigenous cohort included 57 people with 81 pregnancies, compared to 226 non-Indigenous people with 358 pregnancies. Smoking was identified during 45.7% of Indigenous pregnancies versus 11.2% of non-Indigenous pregnancies (RR: 3.25, 95% CI = 1.98–5.31, p ≤ .0001). Although there was no difference in uptake of cessation interventions between cohorts, smoking cessation was significantly less likely during Indigenous pregnancies compared to non-Indigenous pregnancies (OR: 0.23, 95% CI = 0.07–0.72, p = .012).ConclusionsIndigenous pregnant people in Olmsted County, Minnesota were more than three times as likely to smoke cigarettes during pregnancy compared to the non-indigenous cohort. Despite equivalent uptake of cessation interventions, Indigenous people were less likely to quit than non-Indigenous people. Understanding why conventional smoking cessation interventions were ineffective at promoting cessation during pregnancy among Indigenous women warrants further study.ImplicationsIndigenous pregnant people in Olmsted County, Minnesota, were greater than three times more likely to smoke during pregnancy compared to a regional age matched non-Indigenous cohort. Although Indigenous and non-Indigenous pregnant people had equivalent uptake of cessation interventions offered during pregnancy, Indigenous people were significantly less likely to quit smoking before fetal delivery. This disparity in the effectiveness of standard of care interventions highlights the need for further study to understand barriers to cessation in pregnant Indigenous people.

Objective There is a paucity of population‐based studies investigating the epidemiology of lupus nephritis (LN) in the US and long‐term secular trends of the disease and its outcomes. We aimed to examine the epidemiology of LN in a well‐defined 8‐county region in the US. Methods Patients with incident LN between 1976 and 2018 in Olmsted County, Minnesota (1976–2009) and an 8‐county region in southeast Minnesota (2010–2018) were identified. Age‐ and sex‐specific incidence rates and point prevalence over 4 decades, adjusted to the projected 2000 US population, were determined. Standardized mortality ratios (SMRs), survival rates, and time to end‐stage renal disease (ESRD) were estimated. Results There were 72 patients with incident LN between 1976 and 2018, of whom 76% were female and 69% were non‐Hispanic White. Mean ± SD age at diagnosis was 38.4 ± 16.24 years. Average annual LN incidence per 100,000 population between 1976 and 2018 was 1.0 (95% CI 0.8–1.3) and was highest in patients ages 30–39 years. Between the 1976–1989 and 2000–2018 time periods, overall incidence of LN increased from 0.7 to 1.3 per 100,000, but this was not statistically significant. Estimated LN prevalence increased from 16.8 per 100,000 in 1985 to 21.2 per 100,000 in 2015. Patients with LN had an SMR of 6.33 (95% CI 3.81–9.89), with no improvement in the mortality gap in the last 4 decades. At 10 years, survival was 70%, and 13% of LN patients had ESRD. Conclusion The incidence and prevalence of LN in this area increased in the last 4 decades. LN patients have poor outcomes, with high rates of ESRD and mortality rates 6 times that of the general population.

OBJECTIVE Magnetic resonance imaging at 7T offers improved image spatial and contrast resolution for visualization of small brain nuclei targeted in neuromodulation. However, greater image geometric distortion and a lack of compatible instrumentation preclude implementation. In this report, the authors detail the development of a stereotactic image localizer and accompanying imaging sequences designed to mitigate geometric distortion, enabling accurate image registration and surgical planning of basal ganglia nuclei. METHODS Magnetization-prepared rapid acquisition with gradient echo (MPRAGE), fast gray matter acquisition T1 inversion recovery (FGATIR), T2-weighted, and T2*-weighted sequences were optimized for 7T in 9 human subjects to visualize basal ganglia nuclei, minimize image distortion, and maximize target contrast-to-noise and signal-to-noise ratios. Extracranial spatial distortions were mapped to develop a skull-contoured image localizer embedded with spherical silicone fiducials for improved MR image registration and target guidance. Surgical plan accuracy testing was initially performed in a custom-developed MRI phantom (n = 5 phantom studies) and finally in a human trial. RESULTS MPRAGE and T2*-weighted sequences had the best measures among global measures of image quality (3.8/4, p < 0.0001; and 3.7/4, p = 0.0002, respectively). Among basal ganglia nuclei, FGATIR outperformed MPRAGE for globus pallidus externus (GPe) visualization (2.67/4 vs 1.78/4, p = 0.008), and FGATIR, T2-weighted imaging, and T2*-weighted imaging outperformed MPRAGE for substantia nigra visualization (1.44/4 vs 2.56/4, p = 0.04; vs 2.56/4, p = 0.04; vs 2.67/4, p = 0.003). Extracranial distortion was lower in the head’s midregion compared with the base and apex ( 1.17–1.33 mm; MPRAGE and FGATIR, p < 0.0001; T2-weighted imaging, p > 0.05; and T2*-weighted imaging, p = 0.013). Fiducial placement on the localizer in low distortion areas improved image registration (fiducial registration error, 0.79–1.19 mm; p < 0.0001) and targeting accuracy (target registration error, 0.60–1.09 mm; p = 0.04). Custom surgical software and the refined image localizer enabled successful surgical planning in a human trial (fiducial registration error = 1.0 mm). CONCLUSIONS A skull-contoured image localizer that accounts for image distortion is necessary to enable high-accuracy 7T imaging–guided targeting for surgical neuromodulation. These results may enable improved clinical efficacy for the treatment of neurological disease.

Background Guidelines promote shared decision‐making (SDM) for anticoagulation in patients with atrial fibrillation. We recently showed that adding a within‐encounter SDM tool to usual care (UC) increases patient involvement in decision‐making and clinician satisfaction, without affecting encounter length. We aimed to estimate the extent to which use of an SDM tool changed adherence to the decided care plan and clinical safety end points. Methods and Results We conducted a multicenter, encounter‐level, randomized trial assessing the efficacy of UC with versus without an SDM conversation tool for use during the clinical encounter (Anticoagulation Choice) in patients with nonvalvular atrial fibrillation considering starting or reviewing anticoagulation treatment. We conducted a chart and pharmacy review, blinded to randomization status, at 10 months after enrollment to assess primary adherence (proportion of patients who were prescribed an anticoagulant who filled their first prescription) and secondary adherence (estimated using the proportion of days for which treatment was supplied and filled for direct oral anticoagulant, and as time in therapeutic range for warfarin). We also noted any strokes, transient ischemic attacks, major bleeding, or deaths as safety end points. We enrolled 922 evaluable patient encounters (Anticoagulation Choice=463, and UC=459), of which 814 (88%) had pharmacy and clinical follow‐up. We found no differences between arms in either primary adherence (78% of patients in the SDM arm filled their first prescription versus 81% in UC arm) or secondary adherence to anticoagulation (percentage days covered of the direct oral anticoagulant was 74.1% in SDM versus 71.6% in UC; time in therapeutic range for warfarin was 66.6% in SDM versus 64.4% in UC). Safety outcomes, mostly bleeds, occurred in 13% of participants in the SDM arm and 14% in the UC arm. Conclusions In this large, randomized trial comparing UC with a tool to promote SDM against UC alone, we found no significant differences between arms in primary or secondary adherence to anticoagulation or in clinical safety outcomes. Registration URL: https://www.clinicaltrials.gov ; Unique identifier: clinicaltrials.gov. Identifier: NCT02905032.

Objective To characterize the incidence and prevalence of childhood‐onset systemic lupus erythematosus (SLE), and to estimate the proportion of patients who are diagnosed with SLE during childhood. Methods A cohort of patients with incident childhood‐onset SLE from 1976 to 2018 from an 8‐county region in the US were identified based on comprehensive medical record review. All patients met the European Alliance of Associations for Rheumatology (EULAR)/American College of Rheumatology (ACR) classification criteria for SLE or the ACR SLE classification criteria from 1997 at or before age 18 years. Incidence rates were estimated using Poisson methods. We estimated the childhood‐onset SLE point prevalence for January 1, 2015. Results were sex and age adjusted to the US 2000 population. Among all the SLE patients living in the 8‐county region on January 1, 2015, the proportion of patients diagnosed at ≤18 years was estimated. Results A total of 13 children were diagnosed with childhood‐onset SLE during the study period (using the EULAR/ACR definition; mean age at diagnosis 15.1 years, 85% female, 69% White). Childhood‐onset SLE overall adjusted incidence rate was 0.7 (95% confidence interval [95% CI] 0.2–1.1) per 100,000 children. The incidence rate in girls was 1.2 (95% CI 0.5–1.9) per 100,000 children, while in boys it was 0.2 (95% CI 0.0–0.5) per 100,000. The adjusted prevalence of childhood‐onset SLE was 1.1 (95% CI 0.0–3.1) per 100,000 children. The proportion of patients with SLE diagnosed as children was 9% (95% CI 6–13%). Conclusion In this population‐based study, both the incidence and prevalence rates of childhood‐onset SLE were ~1 per 100,000 children. One in 10 adults with SLE was diagnosed in childhood. More studies are needed to further characterize the epidemiology of childhood‐onset SLE in minorities.

AbstractObjectiveTo estimate the incidence and time-to-classification of SLE by the 1997 ACR (ACR97) criteria, the SLICC criteria, and the European Alliance of Associations for Rheumatology/ACR (EULAR/ACR) criteria.MethodsWe identified all incident SLE cases from 2000–2018 in the well-defined Olmsted County population. Clinical data included in the ACR97, SLICC and EULAR/ACR criteria were manually abstracted from medical records. All incident cases met at least one of the three classification criteria. Time-to-classification was estimated from the first documented lupus-attributable disease manifestation to the time of criteria fulfilment by each of the three definitions. Annual incidence rates were age or age/sex adjusted to the 2000 US population.ResultsOf 139 incident cases there were 126 cases by the EULAR/ACR criteria, corresponding to an age/sex-adjusted incidence of 4.5 per 100 000 population (95% CI: 3.7, 5.2). The age/sex-incidence was higher than that of the SLICC criteria (113 cases; 4.0 per 100 000 [95% CI: 3.3, 4.7], P = 0.020) and the ACR97 (92 cases; 3.3 per 100 000 [95% CI: 2.6, 3.9], P &lt; 0.001). The median time from first disease manifestation to criteria fulfilment was shorter for the EULAR/ACR criteria (29.4 months) than the ACR97 criteria (47.0 months, P &lt; 0.001) and similar to the SLICC criteria (30.6 months, P = 0.83).ConclusionThe incidence of SLE was higher by the EULAR/ACR criteria compared with the ACR97 and the SLICC criteria, and the EULAR/ACR criteria classified patients earlier that the ACR97 criteria but similar to the SLICC criteria.