Citations

Background More than 1.5 million women per year have a benign breast biopsy resulting in concern about their future breast cancer (BC) risk. This study examined the performance of 2 BC risk models that integrate clinical and histologic findings in this population. Methods The BC risk at 5 and 10 years was estimated with the Breast Cancer Surveillance Consortium (BCSC) and Benign Breast Disease to Breast Cancer (BBD‐BC) models for women diagnosed with benign breast disease (BBD) at the Mayo Clinic from 1997 to 2001. Women with BBD were eligible for the BBD‐BC model, but the BCSC model also required a screening mammogram. Calibration and discrimination were assessed. Results Fifty‐six cases of BC were diagnosed among the 2142 women with BBD (median age, 50 years) within 5 years (118 were diagnosed within 10 years). The BBD‐BC model had slightly better calibration at 5 years (0.89; 95% confidence interval [CI], 0.71‐1.21) versus 10 years (0.81; 95% CI, 0.70‐1.00) but similar discrimination in the 2 time periods: 0.68 (95% CI, 0.60‐0.75) and 0.66 (95% CI, 0.60‐0.71), respectively. In contrast, among the 1089 women with screening mammograms (98 cases of BC within 10 years), the BCSC model had better calibration (0.94; 95% CI, 0.85‐1.43) and discrimination (0.63; 95% CI, 0.56‐0.71) at 10 years versus 5 years (calibration, 1.31; 95% CI, 0.94‐2.25; discrimination, 0.59; 95% CI, 0.46‐0.71) where discrimination was not different from chance. Conclusions The BCSC and BBD‐BC models were validated in the Mayo BBD cohort, although their performance differed by 5‐year risk versus 10‐year risk. Further enhancement of these models is needed to provide accurate BC risk estimates for women with BBD.

Background. Lungs are allocated in the United States using the lung allocation score (LAS). We investigated the effect of LAS trends on lung transplant-related costs, healthcare utilization, and mortality. Methods. Utilization data from Mayo Clinic (Florida and Minnesota) from 2005 to 2015 were obtained from the electronic health records (N = 465). Costs were categorized as 1-year posttransplant or transplant episode and standardized using 2015 Medicare reimbursement and cost-to-charge ratios. Regression analysis was used to assess the relationship of LAS to length of stay (LOS), mortality, and cost of transplant. Results. The mean LAS at transplant increased from 45.7 to 58.3 during the study period, whereas the 1-year survival improved from 88.1% to 92.5% (P < 0.0001). The proportion of patients transplanted with LAS of 60 or greater increased from 16.9% to 33.3%. Posttransplant, overall, and intensive care unit LOS increased with increasing LAS. Patients with higher LAS had substantially higher transplant episode costs. An increase of LAS at transplant by 10 points increased inflation-adjusted costs by 12.0% (95% confidence interval, 9.3%–14.5%). Conclusions. The mean LAS at transplant has significantly increased over time associated with increases in LOS, resource utilization and cost. Lung allocation score has not jeopardized overall survival, but a high LAS (>60) at transplant is associated with increased mortality.

Purpose Women with atypical hyperplasia (AH) on breast biopsy have an aggregate increased risk of breast cancer (BC), but existing risk prediction models do not provide accurate individualized estimates of risk in this subset of high-risk women. Here, we used the Mayo benign breast disease cohort to develop and validate a model of BC risk prediction that is specifically for women with AH, which we have designated as AH-BC. Patients and Methods Retrospective cohorts of women age 18 to 85 years with pathologically confirmed benign AH from Rochester, MN, and Nashville, TN, were used for model development and external validation, respectively. Clinical risk factors and histologic features of the tissue biopsy were selected using L1-penalized Cox proportional hazards regression. Identified features were included in a Fine and Gray regression model to estimate BC risk, with death as a competing risk. Model discrimination and calibration were assessed in the model-building set and an external validation set. Results The model-building set consisted of 699 women with AH, 142 of whom developed BC (median follow-up, 8.1 years), and the external validation set consisted of 461 women with 114 later BC events (median follow-up, 11.4 years). The final AH-BC model included three covariates: age at biopsy, age at biopsy squared, and number of foci of AH. At 10 years, the AH-BC model demonstrated good discrimination (0.63 [95% CI, 0.57 to 0.70]) and calibration (0.87 [95% CI, 0.66 to 1.24]). In the external validation set, the model showed acceptable discrimination (0.59 [95% CI, 0.51 to 0.67]) and calibration (0.91 [95% CI, 0.65 to 1.42]). Conclusion We have created a new model with which to refine BC risk prediction for women with AH. The AH-BC model demonstrates good discrimination and calibration, and it validates in an external data set.

Abstract Purpose: Folate receptor alpha (FR) is overexpressed in several cancers. Endogenous immunity to the FR has been demonstrated in patients and suggests the feasibility of targeting FR with vaccine or other immune therapies. CD4 helper T cells are central to the development of coordinated immunity, and prior work shows their importance in protecting against relapse. Our previous identification of degenerate HLA-class II epitopes from human FR led to the development of a broad coverage epitope pool potentially useful in augmenting antigen-specific immune responses in most patients. Patients and Methods: We conducted a phase I clinical trial testing safety and immunogenicity of this vaccine, enrolling patients with ovarian cancer or breast cancer who completed conventional treatment and who showed no evidence of disease. Patients were initially treated with low-dose cyclophosphamide and then vaccinated 6 times, monthly. Immunity and safety were examined during the vaccine period and up to 1 year later. Results: Vaccination was well tolerated in all patients. Vaccine elicited or augmented immunity in more than 90% of patients examined. Unlike recall immunity to tetanus toxoid (TT), FR T-cell responses developed slowly over the course of vaccination with a median time to maximal immunity in 5 months. Despite slow development of immunity, responsiveness appeared to persist for at least 12 months. Conclusions: The results demonstrate that it is safe to augment immunity to the FR tumor antigen, and the developed vaccine is testable for therapeutic activity in most patients whose tumors express FR, regardless of HLA genotype. Clin Cancer Res; 24(13); 3014–25. ©2018 AACR.

5 Background: Triple-negative breast cancer (TNBC) is an immunogenic breast cancer subtype, with a greater percentage of tumors containing tumor-infiltrating lymphocytes (TILs) compared to non-TNBC. TILs are prognostic for recurrence and predictive for chemotherapy benefit in TNBC, but not in estrogen receptor (ER)-positive tumors. A subset of TNBC expresses the androgen receptor (AR), and resembles ER-positive breast cancer in terms of demographics (older age) and clinical course (later recurrences that tend to involve bone). However, little is known regarding the association between TILs and AR expression in TNBC. Methods: From a cohort of 9982 women with surgically-treated non-metastatic breast cancer, patients who met criteria for TNBC (ER/PR < 1% and HER2-negative) by centralized-pathology review were included as previously published [Leon-Ferre et al, Breast Cancer Res Treat 2017]. Stromal TILs in these tumors were quantified on full-face hematoxylin and eosin sections from the surgical specimen, following the 2014 TIL Working Group recommendations [Salgado et al, Ann Oncol 2014]. The expression of AR [EPR1535(2), Abcam] was scored as a continuous variable (1% increments), and categorized as absent (0%), low (1-25% ), low-moderate (26-50%) moderate (51-75%) and high (> 75%) and correlated with TIL density. Results: 605 patients met criteria for TNBC. The median age was 56 years. Most tumors were T1-2 (95%), N0-1 (86%), and high grade (88%). The median stromal TIL content was 20% (0-90%). Tumor tissue was available for AR staining in 509/605 patients. 165 (32%) tumors expressed AR as follows: low: 12%, low-moderate: 7%, moderate: 5%, and high: 8%. Apocrine tumors (n = 30) expressed AR most frequently (86%) and at higher levels (AR high: 50%). For all 509 tumors, the median stromal TIL content according to AR expression was AR absent: 20%, AR low: 20%, AR low-moderate: 15%, AR high: 10%. AR and stromal TILs (both as continuous variables) demonstrated a weak inverse correlation (correlation coefficient -0.1064, p = 0.017). Conclusions: AR expression in TNBC is associated with lower levels of stromal TILs. Additional data correlating the AR, stromal TILs and outcomes in this cohort will be presented at the meeting.

Abstract Background: While TNBC remains the most aggressive type of breast cancer (BC), substantial heterogeneity in biology and outcomes exists among TNBC subtypes. Historically, risk stratification of TNBC has been based on anatomic factors such as tumor size, nodal involvement and presence of distant metastases. However, these features alone fail to accurately predict outcomes. Tumor immune infiltration (sTILs) and distribution of immune cell subsets in the perip heral blood (NLR) have emerged as variables reported to be associated with outcomes in TNBC. We sought to evaluate whether NLR and sTILs provided independent prognostic information in TNBC. Methods: From a cohort of 9,982 women who underwent BC surgery at Mayo Clinic, Rochester, MN between Jan 1985 and Dec 2012, we identified 605 centrally-confirmed TNBC tumors. Patients (pts) with prior BC, bilateral BC, non-invasive disease, stage IV, neoadjuvant therapy, endocrine therapy, or adenoid cystic histology were excluded. For eligible tumors, clinical and pathologic variables were evaluated, including peripheral blood NLR and central assessment of sTILs per the 2014 International TILs Working Group recommendations. We calculated the Pearson correlation coefficient (PCC) between NLR and sTILs and constructed Cox Proportional Hazards Models to evaluate their association with invasive-disease free (IDFS) and overall survival (OS). NLR and sTILs were both analyzed as continuous variables. Results: Most pts had T1-2 (95%) and N0-1 disease (86%). Median OS follow-up was 10.6yrs. Median IDFS was 12yrs (95%CI 10.2-16.7) and median OS was 18.8yrs (95%CI 15.6-20.8). NLR and sTILs were available in 408 and 599 pts, respectively. The median NLR and sTIL content were 2.29 (0.14-10.50) and 20% (0-90%), respectively. NLR and sTILs were poorly correlated (PCC 0.0237). On univariate analysis (UVA), a higher NLR was associated with worse IDFS (HR 1.13; 95%CI 1.02-1.26, p=0.02) and OS (HR 1.17; 95%CI 1.04-1.31, p=0.01). Each 1% increment in sTILs was associated with improved IDFS (HR 0.99; 95%CI 0.98-0.99, p&lt;0.001) and OS (HR 0.99, 95%CI 0.98-1.00, p&lt;0.001). Among pts with high sTILs (≥20%), a higher NLR remained significantly associated with worse IDFS (HR 1.21; 95%CI 1.05-1.38, p=0.007) and OS (HR 1.25; 95%CI 1.09-1.44, p=0.001). In contrast, among pts with low sTILs (&lt;20%), NLR was not associated with IDFS (HR 1.07; 95%CI 0.89-1.28, p=0.49) or OS (HR 1.07; 95%CI 0.88-1.30, p=0.49). The interaction test between NLR and sTILs did not reach statistical significance. A multivariate analysis (MVA; including age, menopausal status, histologic subtype, grade, tumor size, nodal stage, Ki-67, NLR, sTILs, adjuvant chemotherapy, type of surgery and adjuvant radiation) showed that sTILs remained independently associated with IDFS (HR 0.99, 95%CI 0.97-1.0, p=0.019) and OS (HR 0.99, 95% CI 0.97-1.0, p=0.044), whereas NLR did not. Conclusions: A lower NLR and a higher sTIL content were each associated with improved IDFS and OS among pts with nonmetastatic TNBC on UVA. However, when evaluated on a MVA, only sTILs remained independently associated with IDFS and OS. Our data suggest that the effect of sTILs on outcomes may not be modified by the NLR. Citation Format: Leon-Ferre RA, Polley M-Y, Liu H, Gilbert J, Cafourek V, Hillman D, Negron V, Boughey JC, Liu MC, Ingle JN, Kalari K, Couch FJ, Visscher DW, Goetz MP. Prognostic value of the neutrophil-to-lymphocyte ratio (NLR) and its relation to stromal tumor infiltrating lymphocytes (sTILs) in triple negative breast cancer (TNBC) [abstract]. In: Proceedings of the 2017 San Antonio Breast Cancer Symposium; 2017 Dec 5-9; San Antonio, TX. Philadelphia (PA): AACR; Cancer Res 2018;78(4 Suppl):Abstract nr P3-05-06.

Abstract Purpose: Triple negative breast cancer (TNBC) is an aggressive breast cancer subtype with substantial risks of disease recurrence. While cytotoxic chemotherapy is commonly administered and reduces recurrence, disease outcomes vary considerably and few prognostic tools are available for risk stratification for TNBC patients. We constructed and validated clinical calculators for invasive-disease free survival (IDFS) and overall survival (OS) for TNBC and compared their performance against AJCC-based models which include only tumor size and nodal status. Methods: From a surgical cohort of 9,982 patients who underwent breast cancer surgery at Mayo Clinic between January 1985 and December 2012, 605 centrally reviewed TNBC patients were identified and used to construct Cox models for IDFS and OS. Patients treated with neoadjuvant chemotherapy were excluded. Variables considered included age, menopausal status, tumor size, nodal status, Nottingham grade, type of breast surgery (mastectomy vs. lumpectomy), adjuvant radiation therapy, adjuvant chemotherapy, Ki67, stromal tumor infiltrating lymphocytes (sTILs), and neutrophil-to-lymphocyte ratio (NLR). Missing values were imputed using single imputation with all variables (including outcomes) included in the imputation model. Backward step-down procedure was used for model selections. The final models were internally validated for calibration and discrimination using bootstrapping methods and compared with AJCC-based models. Results: For both IDFS and OS, higher sTIL's, less extensive nodal involvement, use of adjuvant chemotherapy, and lower NLR were significant predictors of improved clinical outcomes. Premenopausal status and younger age were additionally predictive of improved IDFS and OS, respectively. Models for IDFS and OS have good calibration and are associated with bias-corrected C-indices of 0.68 and 0.71, respectively, as compared with C-indices of 0.59 and 0.62 for AJCC-based models. Conclusions: Our data indicate that a clinical calculator that includes sTIL's, NLR, menopausal status, age, nodal involvement as well as chemotherapy use can provide significantly greater prediction of clinical risk than tumor size and nodal status alone. These tools may be used to identify TNBC patients at elevated risk of disease relapse and to aid physician's communication with patients regarding their long-term disease outlook and planning treatment strategies. External validation is required to further evaluate broader applicability of this tool, which was developed utilizing a single-institutional experience. Citation Format: Polley M-YC, Leon-Ferre RA, Liu H, Gilbert J, Cafourek V, Hillman DW, Negron V, Boughey JC, Liu MC, Ingle JN, Kalari K, Couch F, Visscher DW, Goetz MP. Mayo clinic TNBC outcome calculator: A clinical calculator to predict disease relapse and survival in women with triple-negative breast cancer [abstract]. In: Proceedings of the 2017 San Antonio Breast Cancer Symposium; 2017 Dec 5-9; San Antonio, TX. Philadelphia (PA): AACR; Cancer Res 2018;78(4 Suppl):Abstract nr P1-06-07.

We examined risks for first hospitalization and the rate, risk factors, costs, and 1‐year outcome of 30‐day readmission among patients admitted for complications of cirrhosis. Data were retrospectively analyzed for adult patients with cirrhosis residing in Minnesota, Iowa, or Wisconsin and admitted from 2010 through 2013 at both campuses of the Mayo Clinic Hospital in Rochester, MN. Readmission was captured at the two hospitals as well as at community hospitals in the tristate area within the Mayo Clinic Health System. The incidence of hospitalization for complications of cirrhosis was 100/100,000 population, with increasing age and male sex being the strongest risks for hospitalization. For the 2,048 hospitalized study patients, the overall 30‐day readmission rate was 32%; 498 (24.3%) patients were readmitted to Mayo Clinic hospitals and 157 (7.7%) to community hospitals, mainly for complications of portal hypertension (52%) and infections (30%). Readmission could not be predicted accurately. There were 146 deaths during readmission and an additional 105 deaths up to 1 year of follow‐up (50.4% total mortality). Annual postindex hospitalization costs for those with a 30‐day readmission were substantially higher ($73,252) than those readmitted beyond 30 days ($62,053) or those not readmitted ($5,719). At 1‐year follow‐up, only 20.4% of patients readmitted within 30 days were at home. In conclusion, patients with cirrhosis have high rates of hospitalization, especially among men over 65 years, and of unscheduled 30‐day readmission. Readmission cannot be accurately predicted. Postindex hospitalization costs are high; nationally, the annual costs are estimated to be more than $4.45 billion. Only 20% of patients readmitted within 30 days are home at 1 year. (Hepatology Communications 2018;2:188–198)

Abstract In breast adipose tissue, macrophages that encircle damaged adipocytes form “crown-like structures of breast” (CLS-B). Although CLS-B have been associated with breast cancer, their role in benign breast disease (BBD) and early carcinogenesis is not understood. We evaluated breast biopsies from three age-matched groups (n = 86 each, mean age 55 years), including normal tissue donors of the Susan G. Komen for the Cure Tissue Bank (KTB), and subjects in the Mayo Clinic Benign Breast Disease Cohort who developed cancer (BBD cases) or did not develop cancer (BBD controls, median follow-up 14 years). Biopsies were classified into histologic categories, and CD68-immunostained tissue sections were evaluated for the frequency and density of CLS-B. Our data demonstrate that CLS-B are associated with BBD: CLS-B–positive samples were significantly less frequent among KTB biopsies (3/86, 3.5%) than BBD controls (16/86 = 18.6%, P = 0.01) and BBD cases (21/86 = 24%, P = 0.002). CLS-B were strongly associated with body mass index (BMI); BMI &lt; 25: 7% CLS-B positive, BMI 25–29: 13%, and BMI ≥ 30: 29% (P = 0.0005). Among BBD biopsies, a high CLS-B count [&gt;5 CLS-B/sample: 10.5% (BBD cases) vs 4.7% (BBD controls), P = 0.007] conferred a breast cancer OR of 6.8 (95% CI, 1.4–32.4), P = 0.02, after adjusting for adipose tissue area (cm2), histologic impression, and BMI. As high CLS-B densities are independently associated with an increased breast cancer risk, they may be a promising histologic marker of breast cancer risk in BBD. Cancer Prev Res; 11(2); 113–9. ©2017 AACR.